Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026

UIC def. Southern Ill. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: UIC 59.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UIC won at Southern Ill. 3-2 (22-25, 20-25, 25-21, 25-21, 15-13) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. UIC's Gabi Peter led with 23 kills, and Mihaela Harizanova added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set12345Sets
UIC22202525153
SIU25252121132

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Tamara Kisic served 4 aces, and UIC needed every one.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are UIC's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave UIC 59% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · UIC 7–8 Southern Ill.

    From here UIC won 18 of 31 rallies to take the set 25–21.

    UIC 14% → 29%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · UIC 6–6 Southern Ill.

    UIC scored 4 straight to go from 6–6 to a 10–6 lead.

    UIC 55% → 91%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · UIC 13–10 Southern Ill.

    3 straight Southern Ill. kills erased a 10–13 deficit: 13–13.

    UIC 92% → 55%

Southern Ill. above 50UIC belowMax swing 25.2%

UICSouthern Ill.

Sideout %
UIC 61.3·Southern Ill. 60.4
Break %
UIC 39.6·Southern Ill. 38.7
Hitting
UIC .239·Southern Ill. .213
Longest run
UIC 4·Southern Ill. 6

Gabi Peter
7 kills inside the turning points, 23 K and .413 for the match (23.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Ill. above 50 · UIC below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+25.2% UICrally 212 · set 5

Biggest swing: 25.2% to UIC — set 5, UIC 15-13 SIU. Kill by Robyn Ward (set by Mihaela Harizanova). SIU win probability 25% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UIC 65.7%34.3% SIU

UIC wins

3-0
20.5%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
20.0%

Southern Ill. wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
15.1%
UIC break %
43.6% vs this opp
SIU break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Robyn WardKill+25.2%

    Kill by Robyn Ward (set by Mihaela Harizanova)

    Set 5 · UIC 15-13 SIU · UIC 75% → 100%

  2. 02
    Beatriz PiaiaKill+19.9%

    Kill by Beatriz Piaia (set by Ella McFarland)

    Set 5 · UIC 13-13 SIU · SIU 25% → 45%

  3. 03

    Kill by Sasha Pellettieri (set by Mihaela Harizanova)

    Set 5 · UIC 14-13 SIU · UIC 55% → 75%

  4. 04
    Ella SwansigerKill+11.9%

    Kill by Ella Swansiger (set by Ella McFarland)

    Set 5 · UIC 13-12 SIU · SIU 13% → 25%

  5. 05
    Gabi PeterKill+10.8%

    Kill by Gabi Peter (set by Mihaela Harizanova)

    Set 5 · UIC 8-6 SIU · UIC 63% → 74%

  6. 06
    Robyn WardAttack error+10.5%

    Attack error by Robyn Ward

    Set 5 · UIC 6-6 SIU · SIU 35% → 45%

  7. 07

    Alexandria Arrington stuffed by Robyn Ward & Mihaela Harizanova

    Set 5 · UIC 5-4 SIU · UIC 52% → 62%

  8. 08
    UICAce+9.7%

    UIC ace on Alexandria Arrington

    Set 5 · UIC 6-4 SIU · UIC 62% → 72%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UICaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523446.41320010010.523.5
515436.30604217204221
510520.2500010004212
56420.100201900217
5206.3333700190010.52.5
1023-.66700000010.50.5
27Ava YoungL/DS
51011.0005111410002
46222.182100201017
4000–300500000
35314.14310020031.56.5
2000–1011200001
2000–000010000
1113.000000000001
1014-.250000010000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–300200000
Team totals6927176.23964667361169107
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515746.174123152010.517.5
513643.1630001002114
58314.3570213014313
57528.07110011010.57.5
5203.66729011300002
5113.000000200212
516431.3870000002117
5000–5101700001
5000–2400300000
4001.000010800001
3000–000300000
1000–000000000
Team totals6226169.21360656661127105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UIC · SIU 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 UICSIU 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 UICSIU 6

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 UICSIU 3

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 UICSIU 3

Set 5

15-13

Longest run 4 UICSIU 3

Bars above the line = Southern Ill. leads, below = UIC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UIC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%14/23
8%1/12
2
75%12/16
41%9/22
3
50%11/22
39%7/18
4
63%10/16
54%13/24
5
53%9/17
55%11/20
6
75%9/12
10%1/10
All
61%65/106
40%42/106

Southern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%14/17
29%5/17
2
52%12/23
39%9/23
3
50%11/22
31%5/16
4
50%9/18
50%10/20
5
60%9/15
36%5/14
6
82%9/11
44%7/16
All
60%64/106
39%41/106

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

212 rallies

#UIC-SIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+2.5
21-1SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.8
31-2UICSIUAttack errEmma Colombari+1.9
42-2SIUUICBad setElla McFarland+1.8
52-3UICSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+1.9
62-4SIUSIUAceSouthern Ill.aced Ava Young+2.6
73-4SIUUIC×3KillEmma Colombariset Judy Asar+1.8
84-4UICUIC×3BlockedAlexandria Arringtonblk Sasha Pellettieri+2.6
95-4UICUIC×3BlockedElla Swansigerblk Robyn Ward, Tamara Kisic+2.6
105-5UICSIUKillElla McFarlandset McKenzie Moeller+2.0
116-5SIUUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+2.0
127-5UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+2.6
137-6UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.9
148-6SIUUICKillEmma Colombariset Sasha Pellettieri+2.0
158-7UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.9
169-7SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Ava Young+2.0
1710-7UICUICKillEmma Colombari+2.6
1810-8UICSIUBlockedEmma Colombariblk Natalie Vance, Beatriz Piaia+1.8
1911-8SIUUICBlockedBeatriz Piaiablk Gabi Peter, Jillian Gibbons+1.9
2011-9UICSIUKillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.8
2112-9SIUUICKillTamara Kisicset Ella McFarland+2.0
2212-10UICSIUServe errUIC+1.8
2312-11SIUSIUAttack errSasha Pellettieri+2.9
2413-11SIUUICKillRobyn Wardset Judy Asar+2.3
2513-12UICSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+2.2
2614-12SIUUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+2.4
2714-13UICSIU×4KillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+2.3
2814-14SIUSIU×4Attack errTamara Kisic+3.5
2914-15SIUSIU×4Attack errJillian Gibbons+3.8
3014-16SIUSIU×4Attack errJillian Gibbons+3.9
3115-16SIUUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+2.6
3215-17UICSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Jillian Shaneyfelt+3.0
3315-18SIUSIUAttack errTamara Kisic+3.8
3416-18SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Ava Young+2.3
3516-19UICSIUServe errUIC+2.9
3617-19SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.3
3717-20UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+3.1
3817-21SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+3.3
3918-21SIUUIC×3KillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+1.5
4019-21UICUIC×3Attack errElla Swansiger+3.1
4120-21UICUIC×3AceUICaced McKenzie Moeller+4.4
4220-22UICSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+4.4
4320-23SIUSIUAceSouthern Ill.aced Tamara Kisic+4.8
4421-23SIUUICKillAva Young+2.0
4522-23UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+4.7
4622-24UICSIUAttack errRobyn Ward+5.8
4722-25SIUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+4.5
Set 2
10-1UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+2.0
20-2SIUSIUAceSouthern Ill.aced Martina Cerrato+2.8
31-2SIUUICKillEmma Colombariset Gabi Peter+2.0
42-2UICUICAttack errElla Swansiger+2.7
52-3UICSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Ella McFarland+2.1
63-3SIUUIC×3KillEmma Colombariset Ava Young+2.1
74-3UICUIC×3KillRobyn Wardset Emma Colombari+2.8
85-3UICUIC×3Attack errElla Swansiger+2.8
95-4UICSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Ella McFarland+2.0
105-5SIUSIUBad setMihaela Harizanova+2.9
116-5SIUUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Lillian Dempkey+2.2
127-5UICUICAttack errAlexandria Arrington+2.9
137-6UICSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Alexandria Arrington+2.1
148-6SIUUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Mihaela Harizanova+2.2
158-7UICSIU×3Serve errUIC+2.1
168-8SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Elizabeth King+3.2
178-9SIUSIU×3Attack errElizabeth King+3.3
189-9SIUUICAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+2.4
199-10UICSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+2.6
2010-10SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.5
2110-11UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+2.7
2210-12SIUSIUAttack errAna Petrides+3.6
2311-12SIUUICServe errSouthern Ill.+2.5
2412-12UICUICBlockedElla Swansigerblk Emma Colombari, Robyn Ward+3.6
2512-13UICSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+2.9
2613-13SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.8
2713-14UICSIU×6KillAlexandria Arringtonset Ella McFarland+3.0
2813-15SIUSIU×6KillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+4.1
2913-16SIUSIU×6Attack errRobyn Ward+3.9
3013-17SIUSIU×6BlockedSasha Pellettieriblk Natalie Vance, Valentina Zevallos+3.4
3113-18SIUSIU×6Attack errEmma Colombari+2.7
3213-19SIUSIU×6KillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+2.0
3314-19SIUUICKillEmma Colombariset Judy Asar+0.9
3414-20UICSIUBad setJudy Asar+1.4
3515-20SIUUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+0.8
3616-20UICUICAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.6
3716-21UICSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+1.9
3817-21SIUUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+1.1
3917-22UICSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Lillian Dempkey+1.8
4018-22SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+0.9
4118-23UICSIUBlockedGabi Peterblk Beatriz Piaia, McKenzie Moeller+1.6
4218-24SIUSIUBlockedEmma Colombariblk Beatriz Piaia, Ella Swansiger+0.8
4319-24SIUUICAttack errBeatriz Piaia+0.1
4420-24UICUICKillRobyn Wardset Gabi Peter+0.4
4520-25UICSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+0.7
Set 3
11-0SIUUICKillMaryam Husseinset Mihaela Harizanova+1.4
21-1UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.4
32-1SIUUICKillNathàlia Souza da Silvaset Mihaela Harizanova+1.4
42-2UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.5
52-3SIUSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Ella McFarland+2.1
63-3SIUUICServe errSouthern Ill.+1.5
74-3UICUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.0
84-4UICSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Ella McFarland+1.5
95-4SIUUICKillMihaela Harizanovaset Lianna Ortiz+1.5
105-5UICSIUServe errUIC+1.6
116-5SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Lianna Ortiz+1.6
126-6UICSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
137-6SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.6
147-7UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
157-8SIUSIUAttack errMaryam Hussein+2.3
168-8SIUUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+1.7
179-8UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+2.3
189-9UICSIUAttack errNathàlia Souza da Silva+1.7
1910-9SIUUICServe errSouthern Ill.+1.8
2011-9UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+2.3
2111-10UICSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+1.7
2212-10SIUUIC×4KillMihaela Harizanovaset Emma Colombari+1.8
2313-10UICUIC×4KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.2
2414-10UICUIC×4Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+2.0
2515-10UICUIC×4KillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+1.6
2615-11UICSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+0.9
2715-12SIUSIU×3KillNatalie Vanceset Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.7
2815-13SIUSIU×3Attack errRobyn Ward+2.1
2916-13SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.8
3016-14UICSIUKillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
3117-14SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Julia Laidig+1.9
3217-15UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
3317-16SIUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+2.8
3418-16SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.3
3518-17UICSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Lillian Dempkey+2.1
3619-17SIUUICBlockedElla Swansigerblk Maryam Hussein, Tamara Kisic+2.5
3720-17UICUICAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+2.9
3820-18UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.7
3921-18SIUUICKillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+2.2
4022-18UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+2.2
4122-19UICSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+0.9
4222-20SIUSIUBlockedRobyn Wardblk Alexandria Arrington, Valentina Zevallos+2.1
4323-20SIUUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+2.4
4423-21UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.4
4524-21SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.5
4625-21UICUICAceUIC+1.3
Set 4
10-1UICSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.7
21-1SIUUIC×4KillMaryam Husseinset Mihaela Harizanova+2.6
32-1UICUIC×4Attack errNatalie Vance+3.6
43-1UICUIC×4KillSasha Pellettieriset Maryam Hussein+3.5
54-1UICUIC×4BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Tamara Kisic, Robyn Ward+3.3
64-2UICSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+2.3
75-2SIUUICAttack errAlexandria Arrington+2.5
85-3UICSIUKillElla McFarlandset Jillian Shaneyfelt+2.4
96-3SIUUICKillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+2.5
106-4UICSIU×3KillAlexandria Arringtonset Lillian Dempkey+2.4
116-5SIUSIU×3KillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+3.6
126-6SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Tamara Kisic+4.0
137-6SIUUIC×4KillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+3.0
148-6UICUIC×4KillMaryam Husseinset Mihaela Harizanova+3.9
159-6UICUIC×4KillGabi Peterset Ava Young+3.7
1610-6UICUIC×4Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+3.3
1710-7UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+2.2
1810-8SIUSIUBlockedGabi Peterblk Beatriz Piaia, Ella Swansiger+3.5
1911-8SIUUICAttack errBeatriz Piaia+2.9
2011-9UICSIUAttack errMaryam Hussein+2.6
2111-10SIUSIUAttack errGabi Peter+4.1
2212-10SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+3.3
2312-11UICSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.2
2413-11SIUUICBlockedNatalie Vanceblk Tamara Kisic, Maryam Hussein+3.4
2513-12UICSIUAttack errTamara Kisic+3.3
2614-12SIUUICAttack errValentina Zevallos+3.5
2714-13UICSIUAttack errRobyn Ward+3.4
2815-13SIUUIC×4KillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+3.7
2916-13UICUIC×4AceUIC+4.5
3017-13UICUIC×4AceUICaced McKenzie Moeller+3.8
3118-13UICUIC×4AceUIC+2.9
3218-14UICSIUKillValentina Zevallosset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
3319-14SIUUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+2.1
3420-14UICUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.9
3521-14UICUIC×3Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.1
3621-15UICSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+0.4
3721-16SIUSIU×3Attack errGabi Peter+0.9
3821-17SIUSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+1.6
3922-17SIUUICKillMaryam Husseinset Lianna Ortiz+1.9
4023-17UICUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+1.2
4123-18UICSIUBad setMihaela Harizanova+0.3
4224-18SIUUICServe errSouthern Ill.+0.6
4324-19UICSIU×3Serve errUIC+0.1
4424-20SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.+0.4
4524-21SIUSIU×3KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+1.0
4625-21SIUUICServe errSouthern Ill.+2.9
Set 5
10-1SIUSIUBlockedMaryam Husseinblk Beatriz Piaia+8.7
21-1SIUUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+6.3
32-1UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+8.8
42-2UICSIUKillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+6.6
52-3SIUSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+9.4
63-3SIUUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+6.8
73-4UICSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+7.3
84-4SIUUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Ava Young+7.1
95-4UICUIC×3BlockedAlexandria Arringtonblk Robyn Ward, Mihaela Harizanova+10.0
106-4UICUIC×3AceUICaced Alexandria Arrington+9.7
116-5UICSIUServe errUIC+6.7
126-6SIUSIUAttack errRobyn Ward+10.5
137-6SIUUIC×4Attack errAlexandria Arrington+8.2
148-6UICUIC×4KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+10.8
159-6UICUIC×4BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Maryam Hussein, Emma Colombari+9.5
1610-6UICUIC×4KillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+7.4
1710-7UICSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+3.8
1811-7SIUUICKillGabi Peterset Mihaela Harizanova+5.5
1911-8UICSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+3.6
2012-8SIUUICAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+5.4
2112-9UICSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Lillian Dempkey+3.1
2212-10SIUSIUAttack errTamara Kisic+7.2
2313-10SIUUICKillMaryam Husseinset Mihaela Harizanova+8.3
2413-11UICSIU×3KillMcKenzie Moellerset Maryam Hussein+4.8
2513-12SIUSIU×3KillElla Swansigerset Ella McFarland+11.9
2613-13SIUSIU×3KillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+19.9
2714-13SIUUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Mihaela Harizanova+19.4
2815-13UICUICKillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+25.2

Score shown after each rally, UIC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).