FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Murray St. def. UIC 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UIC 87.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Murray St. beat visiting UIC 3-0 (25-20, 26-24, 27-25) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Murray St.'s Alexa Watts led with 15 kills, and Samantha Nelson added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set123Sets
UIC2024250
MURRAY2526273

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Murray St. beat UIC from a 13% pre-match call.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Murray St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. UIC went in at 87% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · UIC 6–2 Murray St.

    Murray St.'s low point. Murray St. then won 23 of the next 37 rallies and the set 25–20.

    Murray St. 9% → 31%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · UIC 24–23 Murray St.

    Down 23–24, Murray St. had 3 straight kills to lead 26–24. The match swung to Murray St.

    Murray St. 28% → 62%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · UIC 24–24 Murray St.

    Murray St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 27–25 and win the match 3–0.

    Murray St. 72% → >99%

Murray St. above 50UIC belowMax swing 17.9%

UICMurray St.

Sideout %
UIC 50.6·Murray St. 57.1
Break %
UIC 42.9·Murray St. 49.4
Hitting
UIC .230·Murray St. .339
Longest run
UIC 7·Murray St. 5

Anne Makowski
7 kills inside the turning points, 11 K and .308 for the match (11.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Murray St. above 50 · UIC below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+17.9% MURRAYrally 147 · set 3

Biggest swing: 17.9% to Murray St. — set 3, UIC 25-27 MURRAY. Kill by Lily Burnett (set by Paige Brock). MURRAY win probability 82% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UIC 83.4%16.6% MURRAY

UIC wins

3-0
35.2%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.2%

Murray St. wins

3-0
2.5%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
8.7%
UIC break %
44.3% vs this opp
MURRAY break %
36.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lily BurnettKill+17.9%

    Kill by Lily Burnett (set by Paige Brock)

    Set 3 · UIC 25-27 MURRAY · MURRAY 82% → 100%

  2. 02
    Anne MakowskiKill+15.5%

    Kill by Anne Makowski (set by Paige Brock)

    Set 2 · UIC 24-26 MURRAY · MURRAY 47% → 62%

  3. 03
    Anne MakowskiKill+12.5%

    Kill by Anne Makowski (set by Paige Brock)

    Set 2 · UIC 24-25 MURRAY · MURRAY 34% → 47%

  4. 04

    Alexa Watts stuffed by Maryam Hussein & Tamara Kisic

    Set 2 · UIC 24-23 MURRAY · UIC 62% → 72%

  5. 05
    Jillian GibbonsAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Jillian Gibbons

    Set 3 · UIC 23-24 MURRAY · MURRAY 72% → 82%

  6. 06
    Maezi SnyderAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Maezi Snyder

    Set 3 · UIC 24-24 MURRAY · UIC 18% → 28%

  7. 07

    Kill by Mija Sagadin Pristovnik (set by Samantha Nelson)

    Set 3 · UIC 24-25 MURRAY · MURRAY 72% → 82%

  8. 08
    Gabi PeterKill+9.9%

    Kill by Gabi Peter (set by Judy Asar)

    Set 3 · UIC 25-25 MURRAY · UIC 18% → 28%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UICaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312233.30301132010.513.5
35110.400010001439
35323.087000600005
2216.16700000010.52.5
2000–1100300000
1213.33300011010.52.5
3208.25017121000214
3118.00000000031.52.5
27Ava YoungL/DS
3001.000610910001
26112.417000200006
2000–010500001
2000–210000001
1316.333000100003
1002.00000000010.50.5
1011-1.00000110010.50.5
Team totals3812113.2303664415114869
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315434.3240025002116
314118.72210000031.515.5
311326.30800110010.511.5
39318.33301030010.510.5
36324.1250021010006
3104.250442280010.53.5
3000–5211900002
3000–300400000
2000–000100000
Team totals5614124.339535851608478

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UIC vs Murray St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UIC · MURRAY 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 UICMURRAY 5

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 3 UICMURRAY 3

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 7 UICMURRAY 4

Bars above the line = Murray St. leads, below = UIC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UIC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
25%2/8
2
50%7/14
27%3/11
3
39%7/18
36%4/11
4
67%6/9
61%11/18
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
56%5/9
54%7/13
All
51%39/77
43%30/70

Murray St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
46%6/13
2
70%7/10
53%8/15
3
44%7/16
63%12/19
4
54%7/13
22%2/9
5
67%6/9
40%4/10
6
50%5/10
55%6/11
All
57%40/70
49%38/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

147 rallies

#UIC-MURRAYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.5
21-1MURRAYUIC×4Attack errAnne Makowski+0.9
32-1UICUIC×4Attack errLily Burnett+1.3
43-1UICUIC×4AceUIC+1.2
54-1UICUIC×4KillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.0
64-2UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+0.7
75-2MURRAYUICServe errMurray St.+0.7
86-2UICUICAceUIC+0.9
96-3UICMURRAY×5KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+0.5
106-4MURRAYMURRAY×5KillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+1.0
116-5MURRAYMURRAY×5KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+1.3
126-6MURRAYMURRAY×5KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.5
136-7MURRAYMURRAY×5Attack errRobyn Ward+1.8
147-7MURRAYUICKillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+1.1
157-8UICMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Samantha Nelson+1.3
168-8MURRAYUICKillRobyn Wardset Mihaela Harizanova+1.1
178-9UICMURRAY×3KillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+1.3
188-10MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errNour Elsafy+2.1
198-11MURRAYMURRAY×3Bad setMihaela Harizanova+2.3
209-11MURRAYUICAttack errSasha Pellettieri+1.3
219-12UICMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+1.6
2210-12MURRAYUICKillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+1.3
2311-12UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Ava Young+2.1
2411-13UICMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.7
2511-14MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Tamara Kisic+2.5
2611-15MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errGabi Peter+2.5
2712-15MURRAYUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.2
2812-16UICMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.8
2912-17MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+2.2
3013-17MURRAYUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.0
3114-17UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+1.9
3214-18UICMURRAY×3KillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+1.8
3314-19MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errSasha Pellettieri+2.2
3414-20MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+1.6
3515-20MURRAYUIC×3Serve errMurray St.+0.5
3616-20UICUIC×3KillNour Elsafyset Judy Asar+1.3
3717-20UICUIC×3BlockedAlexa Wattsblk Nour Elsafy, Robyn Ward+1.8
3817-21UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Samantha Nelson+1.9
3918-21MURRAYUICKillNour Elsafyset Judy Asar+1.1
4019-21UICUICAceUIC+2.4
4119-22UICMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Paige Brock+2.6
4220-22MURRAYUICServe errMurray St.+1.5
4320-23UICMURRAY×3KillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+2.7
4420-24MURRAYMURRAY×3KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Ada Tamturk+2.4
4520-25MURRAYMURRAY×3AceMurray St.aced Nour Elsafy+0.7
Set 2
10-1UICMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+1.8
21-1MURRAYUICServe errMurray St.+1.7
31-2UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Ada Tamturk+1.9
41-3MURRAYMURRAYBlockedFrancesca Lorenzoblk Anne Makowski, Lily Burnett+3.1
52-3MURRAYUICKillFrancesca Lorenzoset Ava Young+1.8
62-4UICMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+2.2
72-5MURRAYMURRAYAceMurray St.+3.4
83-5MURRAYUICKillTamara Kisicset Ava Young+2.0
93-6UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+2.4
104-6MURRAYUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+2.0
114-7UICMURRAY×3Serve errUIC+2.5
124-8MURRAYMURRAY×3KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Judy Asar+3.7
134-9MURRAYMURRAY×3KillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+3.7
145-9MURRAYUIC×3Attack errAlexa Watts+1.9
156-9UICUIC×3KillGabi Peterset Judy Asar+3.2
167-9UICUIC×3BlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Judy Asar, Ana Petrides+3.4
177-10UICMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+2.7
188-10MURRAYUICKillAna Petridesset Judy Asar+2.2
199-10UICUICAceUIC+3.6
209-11UICMURRAY×3Serve errUIC+2.8
219-12MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errAna Petrides+4.3
229-13MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAlexa Wattsset Lily Burnett+4.3
2310-13MURRAYUICKillFrancesca Lorenzoset Judy Asar+2.2
2410-14UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+3.0
2511-14MURRAYUICKillJudy Asarset Ava Young+2.2
2612-14UICUICBad setPaige Brock+3.9
2712-15UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+3.3
2813-15MURRAYUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+2.6
2914-15UICUIC×3KillTamara Kisicset Ava Young+4.3
3015-15UICUIC×3AceUIC+4.4
3115-16UICMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+3.3
3216-16MURRAYUICServe errMurray St.+3.0
3316-17UICMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+3.6
3417-17MURRAYUIC×3KillJudy Asar+3.2
3518-17UICUIC×3BlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Judy Asar, Ana Petrides+4.8
3619-17UICUIC×3Attack errMija Sagadin Pristovnik+4.2
3719-18UICMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Ada Tamturk+2.6
3820-18MURRAYUICKillGabi Peterset Judy Asar+2.9
3920-19UICMURRAYServe errUIC+2.7
4020-20MURRAYMURRAYAceMurray St.aced Tamara Kisic+5.7
4121-20MURRAYUICServe errMurray St.+4.1
4221-21UICMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+4.3
4321-22MURRAYMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+8.4
4422-22MURRAYUICKillFrancesca Lorenzoset Judy Asar+5.1
4522-23UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+6.9
4623-23MURRAYUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+6.1
4724-23UICUICBlockedAlexa Wattsblk Maryam Hussein, Tamara Kisic+10.8
4824-24UICMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+6.9
4924-25MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+12.5
5024-26MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+15.5
Set 3
10-1MURRAYMURRAYAttack errGabi Peter+3.1
20-2MURRAYMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Samantha Nelson+3.5
31-2MURRAYUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+2.1
41-3UICMURRAY×4Serve errUIC+2.5
51-4MURRAYMURRAY×4KillAlexa Wattsset Samantha Nelson+3.8
61-5MURRAYMURRAY×4KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+4.0
71-6MURRAYMURRAY×4KillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+4.0
82-6MURRAYUICServe errMurray St.+2.1
92-7UICMURRAY×4BlockedTamara Kisicblk Lily Burnett, Alexa Watts+2.8
102-8MURRAYMURRAY×4BlockedTamara Kisicblk Maezi Snyder, Alexa Watts+3.9
112-9MURRAYMURRAY×4AceMurray St.aced Ava Young+3.5
122-10MURRAYMURRAY×4KillMaezi Snyder+3.0
133-10MURRAYUIC×7KillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+1.4
144-10UICUIC×7BlockedAnne Makowskiblk Ana Petrides, Sasha Pellettieri+2.6
155-10UICUIC×7AceUICaced Mija Sagadin Pristovnik+3.0
166-10UICUIC×7KillMartina Cerratoset Paulina Ströh+3.4
177-10UICUIC×7BlockedMaezi Snyderblk Ana Petrides, Sasha Pellettieri+3.8
188-10UICUIC×7Attack errAnne Makowski+4.0
199-10UICUIC×7KillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+4.1
209-11UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+3.2
2110-11MURRAYUICServe errMurray St.+2.7
2211-11UICUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Paulina Ströh+4.2
2311-12UICMURRAYKillPaige Brock+3.1
2412-12MURRAYUIC×4KillMartina Cerratoset Paulina Ströh+2.8
2513-12UICUIC×4Attack errMaezi Snyder+4.1
2614-12UICUIC×4KillMartina Cerratoset Judy Asar+3.7
2715-12UICUIC×4KillGabi Peterset Ava Young+3.0
2815-13UICMURRAY×3Attack errGabi Peter+1.8
2915-14MURRAYMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+3.6
3015-15MURRAYMURRAY×3BlockedMartina Cerratoblk Lily Burnett, Paige Brock+4.7
3116-15MURRAYUICKillMartina Cerratoset Judy Asar+3.1
3216-16UICMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+3.4
3316-17MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+6.0
3417-17MURRAYUICKillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+3.7
3517-18UICMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+4.4
3618-18MURRAYUICKillGabi Peterset Judy Asar+4.0
3719-18UICUICBlockedAlexa Wattsblk Ana Petrides+6.0
3819-19UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+4.2
3919-20MURRAYMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+7.6
4020-20MURRAYUICKillAna Petridesset Samantha Nelson+4.7
4120-21UICMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Paige Brock+5.9
4220-22MURRAYMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Paige Brock+9.4
4321-22MURRAYUICKillMartina Cerratoset Paulina Ströh+4.6
4422-22UICUICBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Jillian Gibbons, Sasha Pellettieri+9.3
4522-23UICMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Paige Brock+8.0
4623-23MURRAYUICKillMartina Cerratoset Paulina Ströh+7.1
4723-24UICMURRAYAttack errJillian Gibbons+9.9
4824-24MURRAYUICAttack errMaezi Snyder+9.9
4924-25UICMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Samantha Nelson+9.9
5025-25MURRAYUICKillGabi Peterset Judy Asar+9.9
5125-26UICMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+9.9
5225-27MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Paige Brock+17.9

Score shown after each rally, UIC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).