FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayHORIZON

3:0

HomeOVC

NIU def. SIUE 3–0

(25-18, 25-19, 25-20)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
NIU	25	25	25	3
SIUE	18	19	20	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SIUE above 50 · NIU below

Biggest swing: 3.5% to NIU — set 1, NIU 15-14 SIUE. Point NIU (not logged in NCAA feed). SIUE win probability 36% → 32%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NIU 65.2%34.8% SIUE

NIU wins

3-0

20.1%

3-1

25.0%

3-2

20.1%

SIUE wins

3-0

7.1%

3-1

12.5%

3-2

15.3%

NIU break %: 44.1% vs this opp
SIUE break %: 41.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Unlogged pointFeed gap+3.5%
Point NIU (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · NIU 15-14 SIUE · NIU 64% → 68%
02
Unlogged pointFeed gap+3.4%
Point NIU (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · NIU 14-14 SIUE · NIU 61% → 64%
03
Delaney SteersKill+3.3%
Kill by Delaney Steers (set by Kylie Schulze)
Set 1 · NIU 16-14 SIUE · NIU 68% → 71%
04
Ava GrevengoedAttack error+3.2%
Attack error by Ava Grevengoed
Set 1 · NIU 10-12 SIUE · SIUE 38% → 41%
05
Unlogged pointFeed gap+3.2%
Point NIU (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · NIU 13-14 SIUE · NIU 57% → 61%
06
SIUE serverAce+3.1%
SIUE ace on Charlotte Gramzow
Set 1 · NIU 10-13 SIUE · SIUE 41% → 44%
07
Teagan SullivanKill+3.1%
Kill by Teagan Sullivan (set by Ally Hughes)
Set 1 · NIU 10-11 SIUE · SIUE 35% → 38%
08
Kiana ShieldsKill+3.1%
Kill by Kiana Shields (set by Autumn Flynn)
Set 1 · NIU 18-15 SIUE · NIU 71% → 74%

Official NCAA box

Box score

NIUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Autumn FlynnMB	3	9	2	20	.350	1	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	11.5
3Ava GrevengoedOH	3	9	3	28	.214	0	1	1	15	0	1	0.5	10.5
11Katie PahlOH	3	8	3	17	.294	0	1	2	2	0	2	1	10
9Delaney SteersOH	3	9	3	25	.240	2	0	0	7	1	1	0.5	9.5
8Rylea AlvinMB	3	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
6Viktoria DjukicS	3	0	1	2	-.500	19	0	4	5	0	0	0	0
4Kiana ShieldsMB	3	8	0	13	.615	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	9
5Kylie SchulzeS	3	1	0	5	.200	15	0	0	6	0	0	0	1
18Charlotte GramzowL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	3	12	3	0	0	0
Team totals		47	13	115	.296	43	2	10	51	4	12	6	75

SIUEhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Georgia BresnahanOH	3	7	7	24	.000	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	7
2Vienna ElliottMB	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
11Sophie RobinsonOH	3	5	2	19	.158	1	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
6Kennedy PikeOH	3	4	2	21	.095	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
9Paige BernsteinS	3	1	0	3	.333	14	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
7Ashlyn SchulzeMB	2	1	1	4	.000	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
12Maddie DetermanOH	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
13Teagan SullivanOH	3	2	0	6	.333	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
8Ally HughesS	3	0	1	2	-.500	11	2	2	7	0	0	0	0	2
3Kinley QuastDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
5Claire JonesDS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
16Jehireh WilliamsMB	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	15	104	.135	29	3	9	40	2	1	6	4	57

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 NIU · SIUE 5

Set 1*

25-18

Longest run 6 NIUSIUE 5

Set 2*

25-19

Longest run 4 NIUSIUE 4

Set 3*

25-20

Longest run 5 NIUSIUE 3

Bars above the line = SIUE leads, below = NIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

NIU

No clean sets to split.

SIUE

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#	NIU-SIUE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott		+1.8
2	1-1	SIUE	NIU	Attack err	Vienna Elliott		+1.7
3	1-2	NIU	SIUE	Serve err	NIU server		+1.8
4	2-2	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Charlotte Gramzow	+1.7
5	2-3	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+1.8
6	3-3	SIUE	NIU×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
7	4-3	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Maddie Determan		+2.4
8	5-3	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+2.3
9	5-4	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Ashlyn Schulze	set Ally Hughes	+1.7
10	6-4	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Kylie Schulze	+1.7
11	6-5	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+1.7
12	7-5	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Kylie Schulze	+1.8
13	7-6	NIU	SIUE	Serve err	NIU server		+1.8
14	8-6	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Rylea Alvin		+1.8
15	8-7	NIU	SIUE	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.8
16	9-7	SIUE	NIU	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+1.9
17	9-8	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike		+1.9
18	9-9	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Ashlyn Schulze	+2.8
19	10-9	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.1
20	10-10	NIU	SIUE×5	Serve err	NIU server		+2.2
21	10-11	SIUE	SIUE×5	Kill	Teagan Sullivan	set Ally Hughes	+3.1
22	10-12	SIUE	SIUE×5	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+3.2
23	10-13	SIUE	SIUE×5	Ace	SIUE server	aced Charlotte Gramzow	+3.1
24	10-14	SIUE	SIUE×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.9
25	11-14	SIUE	NIU×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
26	12-14	NIU	NIU×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.8
27	13-14	NIU	NIU×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.2
28	14-14	NIU	NIU×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.4
29	15-14	NIU	NIU×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.5
30	16-14	NIU	NIU×6	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+3.3
31	16-15	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Ally Hughes	+2.3
32	17-15	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+2.6
33	18-15	NIU	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Autumn Flynn	+3.1
34	18-16	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Ally Hughes	+1.9
35	19-16	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+2.4
36	20-16	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Sophie Robinson		+2.5
37	20-17	NIU	SIUE	Attack err	Delaney Steers	blk Vienna Elliott, Maddie Determan	+1.3
38	20-18	SIUE	SIUE	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.6
39	21-18	SIUE	NIU×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.6
40	22-18	NIU	NIU×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.5
41	23-18	NIU	NIU×5	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan	blk Autumn Flynn, Katie Pahl	+1.3
42	24-18	NIU	NIU×5	Attack err	Vienna Elliott		+0.5
43	25-18	NIU	NIU×5	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan	blk Katie Pahl, Autumn Flynn	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	SIUE	NIU	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.4
2	2-0	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Charlotte Gramzow	+1.9
3	2-1	NIU	SIUE	Serve err	NIU server		+1.4
4	3-1	SIUE	NIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
5	3-2	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Ally Hughes	+1.4
6	4-2	SIUE	NIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
7	4-3	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Paige Bernstein	+1.4
8	5-3	SIUE	NIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+1.5
9	6-3	NIU	NIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.9
10	6-4	NIU	SIUE×4	Kill	Paige Bernstein		+1.3
11	6-5	SIUE	SIUE×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
12	6-6	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Paige Bernstein	+2.2
13	6-7	SIUE	SIUE×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.4
14	7-7	SIUE	NIU×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.7
15	8-7	NIU	NIU×4	Serve err	NIU server		+2.3
16	9-7	NIU	NIU×4	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+2.2
17	10-7	NIU	NIU×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
18	10-8	NIU	SIUE	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.4
19	11-8	SIUE	NIU×3	Serve err	SIUE server		+1.5
20	12-8	NIU	NIU×3	Attack err	Sophie Robinson		+1.8
21	13-8	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.5
22	13-9	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+0.9
23	13-10	SIUE	SIUE	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+1.6
24	14-10	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.4
25	15-10	NIU	NIU	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+1.5
26	15-11	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson		+0.9
27	15-12	SIUE	SIUE	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.6
28	16-12	SIUE	NIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.5
29	17-12	NIU	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Kylie Schulze	+1.5
30	17-13	NIU	SIUE×3	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Paige Bernstein	+0.9
31	17-14	SIUE	SIUE×3	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Kinley Quast	+1.6
32	17-15	SIUE	SIUE×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.2
33	18-15	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Kylie Schulze	+2.0
34	19-15	NIU	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Charlotte Gramzow	+2.1
35	19-16	NIU	SIUE	Serve err	NIU server		+1.2
36	20-16	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.6
37	20-17	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Ally Hughes	+1.1
38	21-17	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.6
39	22-17	NIU	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl		+1.3
40	22-18	NIU	SIUE	Attack err	Autumn Flynn		+0.5
41	23-18	SIUE	NIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+0.9
42	23-19	NIU	SIUE	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
43	24-19	SIUE	NIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.7
44	25-19	NIU	NIU	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Kylie Schulze	+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	NIU	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed		+1.1
2	1-1	NIU	SIUE×3	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+0.8
3	1-2	SIUE	SIUE×3	Attack err	Rylea Alvin		+1.2
4	1-3	SIUE	SIUE×3	Attack err	Ava Grevengoed		+1.2
5	2-3	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Ava Grevengoed		+0.9
6	3-3	NIU	NIU	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.2
7	3-4	NIU	SIUE	Serve err	NIU server		+0.9
8	4-4	SIUE	NIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+0.9
9	5-4	NIU	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Delaney Steers	+1.2
10	5-5	NIU	SIUE	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
11	6-5	SIUE	NIU	Attack err	Jehireh Williams		+0.9
12	6-6	NIU	SIUE	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
13	7-6	SIUE	NIU×3	Attack err	Kennedy Pike		+0.9
14	8-6	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Rylea Alvin	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.2
15	9-6	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Ava Grevengoed	set Viktoria Djukic	+1.1
16	9-7	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Paige Bernstein	+0.8
17	10-7	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kinley Quast	+0.9
18	10-8	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+0.8
19	11-8	SIUE	NIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
20	11-9	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Ally Hughes	+0.8
21	12-9	SIUE	NIU	Attack err	Kiana Shields	blk Ava Grevengoed	+0.9
22	12-10	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Delaney Steers		+0.8
23	13-10	SIUE	NIU×5	Attack err	Sophie Robinson		+0.9
24	14-10	NIU	NIU×5	Bad set	Ally Hughes		+1.1
25	15-10	NIU	NIU×5	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Kylie Schulze	+0.9
26	16-10	NIU	NIU×5	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.7
27	17-10	NIU	NIU×5	Attack err	Delaney Steers		+0.5
28	17-11	NIU	SIUE	Attack err	Sophie Robinson		+0.2
29	17-12	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+0.5
30	18-12	SIUE	NIU×3	Serve err	SIUE server		+0.5
31	19-12	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Kiana Shields	set Kylie Schulze	+0.4
32	20-12	NIU	NIU×3	Kill	Delaney Steers	set Rylea Alvin	+0.2
33	20-13	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+0.1
34	21-13	SIUE	NIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+0.1
35	21-14	NIU	SIUE	Serve err	NIU server		+0.1
36	21-15	SIUE	SIUE	Attack err	Viktoria Djukic		+0.2
37	22-15	SIUE	NIU	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+0.2
38	22-16	NIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+0.1
39	23-16	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl	set Kylie Schulze	+0.1
40	23-17	NIU	SIUE	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
41	24-17	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Katie Pahl		+0.1
42	24-18	NIU	SIUE×3	Attack err	Katie Pahl		+0.0
43	24-19	SIUE	SIUE×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
44	24-20	SIUE	SIUE×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
45	25-20	SIUE	NIU	Kill	Autumn Flynn	set Kylie Schulze	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, NIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.