FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

NIU def. SIUE 3–0

NIU won at SIUE 3-0 (25-18, 25-19, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. NIU's Ava Grevengoed and Delaney Steers led with 9 kills each.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
NIU2525253
SIUE1819200

Win probability

SIUE above 50 · NIU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.7% NIUrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.7% to NIU — set 1, NIU 15-14 SIUE. Point NIU (not logged in NCAA feed). SIUE win probability 44% → 40%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NIU 56.8%43.2% SIUE

NIU wins

3-0
15.6%
3-1
21.6%
3-2
19.6%

SIUE wins

3-0
9.9%
3-1
15.9%
3-2
17.4%
NIU break %
44.2% vs this opp
SIUE break %
42.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+3.7%

    Point NIU (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · NIU 15-14 SIUE · NIU 56% → 60%

  2. 02

    Kill by Delaney Steers (set by Kylie Schulze)

    Set 1 · NIU 16-14 SIUE · NIU 60% → 63%

  3. 03
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+3.5%

    Point NIU (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · NIU 14-14 SIUE · NIU 53% → 56%

  4. 04
    Kiana ShieldsKill+3.4%

    Kill by Kiana Shields (set by Autumn Flynn)

    Set 1 · NIU 18-15 SIUE · NIU 64% → 67%

  5. 05
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+3.2%

    Point NIU (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · NIU 13-14 SIUE · NIU 49% → 53%

  6. 06
    Ava GrevengoedAttack error+3.2%

    Attack error by Ava Grevengoed

    Set 1 · NIU 10-12 SIUE · SIUE 46% → 49%

  7. 07

    Kill by Teagan Sullivan (set by Ally Hughes)

    Set 1 · NIU 10-11 SIUE · SIUE 43% → 46%

  8. 08
    SIUEAce+3.1%

    SIUE ace on Charlotte Gramzow

    Set 1 · NIU 10-13 SIUE · SIUE 49% → 52%

Box score

Official NCAA box

NIUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39327.222111140010.510.5
38220.30010010052.510.5
38418.2221122002110
39325.24020081010.59.5
3314.50000020010.53.5
3102.5002004500001
38014.571000200219
3105.2001300700001
3000–6031230000
Team totals4713115.29644210534012675
SIUEhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37825-.040001900007
3419.33300200132.56.5
35218.16710150010.55.5
34221.095000000004
3103.3331400800001
2114.000101100001
35114.286000000216
3206.333011500003
3012-.5001122600002
3000–111600001
3001.000100200000
1104.250000000001
Team totals3016107.131294942216457

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NIU · SIUE 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 6 NIUSIUE 5

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 NIUSIUE 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 NIUSIUE 3

Bars above the line = SIUE leads, below = NIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

NIU

No clean sets to split.

SIUE

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#NIU-SIUESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NIUSIUEKillVienna Elliott+1.9
21-1SIUENIUAttack errVienna Elliott+1.8
31-2NIUSIUEServe errNIU+1.9
42-2SIUENIUKillAva Grevengoedset Charlotte Gramzow+1.9
52-3NIUSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Paige Bernstein+2.0
63-3NIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
74-3NIUNIU×3Attack errMaddie Determan+2.5
85-3NIUNIU×3Attack errGeorgia Bresnahan+2.5
95-4NIUSIUEKillAshlyn Schulzeset Ally Hughes+1.9
106-4SIUENIUKillKiana Shieldsset Kylie Schulze+2.0
116-5NIUSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+1.9
127-5SIUENIUKillRylea Alvinset Kylie Schulze+2.0
137-6NIUSIUEServe errNIU+2.0
148-6SIUENIUKillRylea Alvin+2.1
158-7NIUSIUEAttack errKatie Pahl+2.0
169-7SIUENIUAttack errGeorgia Bresnahan+2.1
179-8NIUSIUEKillKennedy Pike+2.1
189-9SIUESIUEKillGeorgia Bresnahanset Ashlyn Schulze+2.9
1910-9SIUENIUKillAutumn Flynnset Viktoria Djukic+2.3
2010-10NIUSIUE×5Serve errNIU+2.3
2110-11SIUESIUE×5KillTeagan Sullivanset Ally Hughes+3.2
2210-12SIUESIUE×5Attack errAva Grevengoed+3.2
2310-13SIUESIUE×5AceSIUEaced Charlotte Gramzow+3.1
24–2915-14NIU 5 · SIUE
NCAA feed gap6 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+12.2
3016-14NIUNIU×6KillDelaney Steersset Kylie Schulze+3.6
3116-15NIUSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.6
3217-15SIUENIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+2.9
3318-15NIUNIUKillKiana Shieldsset Autumn Flynn+3.4
3418-16NIUSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+2.2
3519-16SIUENIUKillDelaney Steersset Kylie Schulze+2.7
3620-16NIUNIUAttack errSophie Robinson+2.8
3720-17NIUSIUEBlockedDelaney Steersblk Vienna Elliott, Maddie Determan+1.5
38–4022-18NIU 2 · SIUE
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.9
4123-18NIUNIU×5BlockedGeorgia Bresnahanblk Autumn Flynn, Katie Pahl+1.6
4224-18NIUNIU×5Attack errVienna Elliott+0.6
4325-18NIUNIU×5BlockedGeorgia Bresnahanblk Katie Pahl, Autumn Flynn+0.1
Set 2
11-0SIUENIUAttack errKatie Pahl+1.7
22-0NIUNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Charlotte Gramzow+2.2
32-1NIUSIUEServe errNIU+1.6
43-1NIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
53-2NIUSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+1.7
64-2NIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
74-3NIUSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Paige Bernstein+1.7
85-3SIUENIUServe errSIUE+1.8
96-3NIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
106-4NIUSIUE×4KillPaige Bernstein+1.6
116-5SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
126-6SIUESIUE×4KillGeorgia Bresnahanset Paige Bernstein+2.5
13–147-7NIU · SIUE
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
158-7NIUNIU×4Serve errNIU+2.6
169-7NIUNIU×4KillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.6
1710-7NIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.4
1810-8NIUSIUEAttack errKatie Pahl+1.7
1911-8SIUENIU×3Serve errSIUE+1.9
2012-8NIUNIU×3Attack errSophie Robinson+2.2
2113-8NIUNIU×3KillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+1.9
2213-9NIUSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+1.2
2313-10SIUESIUEAttack errKatie Pahl+2.0
2414-10SIUENIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.8
2515-10NIUNIUAttack errGeorgia Bresnahan+1.9
2615-11NIUSIUEKillSophie Robinson+1.2
27–2816-12NIU · SIUE
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
2917-12NIUNIUKillKiana Shieldsset Kylie Schulze+1.9
3017-13NIUSIUE×3KillGeorgia Bresnahanset Paige Bernstein+1.1
3117-14SIUESIUE×3KillGeorgia Bresnahanset Kinley Quast+2.0
3217-15SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.6
3318-15SIUENIUKillKiana Shieldsset Kylie Schulze+2.4
3419-15NIUNIUKillDelaney Steersset Charlotte Gramzow+2.6
3519-16NIUSIUEServe errNIU+1.5
3620-16SIUENIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.0
3720-17NIUSIUEKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+1.4
3821-17SIUENIUKillKatie Pahlset Viktoria Djukic+2.0
3922-17NIUNIUKillKatie Pahl+1.7
4022-18NIUSIUEAttack errAutumn Flynn+0.7
4123-18SIUENIUServe errSIUE+1.2
42–4324-19NIU · SIUE
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
4425-19NIUNIUKillKiana Shieldsset Kylie Schulze+0.3
Set 3
11-0NIUNIUKillAva Grevengoedset Viktoria Djukic+1.4
21-1NIUSIUEServe errNIU+1.1
3–42-2NIU · SIUE
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
53-2NIUNIU×3Serve errNIU+1.4
64-2NIUNIU×3KillAva Grevengoed+1.4
7–128-4NIU 4 · SIUE 2
NCAA feed gap6 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.8
139-4NIUNIU×5Attack errSophie Robinson+1.1
149-5NIUSIUEKillSophie Robinsonset Ally Hughes+0.7
1510-5SIUENIUAttack errSophie Robinson+0.9
1611-5NIUNIUKillMaddie Determanset Ally Hughes+0.9
1711-6SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
1811-7SIUESIUEServe errSIUE+1.0
1912-7SIUENIUKillDelaney Steers+0.9
2012-8SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
2113-8SIUENIUKillViktoria Djukicset Delaney Steers+0.9
2213-9SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
2314-9SIUENIUKillRylea Alvin+0.9
24–2616-10NIU 2 · SIUE
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
2716-11NIUSIUEKillKennedy Pike+0.5
2817-11SIUENIUAttack errKennedy Pike+0.7
2918-11NIUNIUServe errNIU+0.6
30–3220-12NIU 2 · SIUE
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
3320-13NIUSIUEKillSophie Robinson+0.1
3421-13SIUENIUServe errSIUE+0.2
3521-14NIUSIUEServe errNIU+0.1
3621-15SIUESIUEAttack errKatie Pahl+0.2
3722-15SIUENIUAttack errGeorgia Bresnahan+0.3
3822-16NIUSIUEKillKennedy Pikeset Paige Bernstein+0.1
3923-16SIUENIUKillKatie Pahlset Kylie Schulze+0.2
4023-17SIUE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
4124-17SIUENIUKillKatie Pahl+0.1
4224-18NIUSIUE×3Attack errKatie Pahl·
43–4424-20SIUE 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
4525-20SIUENIUKillAutumn Flynnset Kylie Schulze+0.3

Score shown after each rally, NIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).