FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayNEC

3:0

HomeAMERICA-EAST

FDU def. NJIT 3–0

(25-22, 25-10, 25-11)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FDU	25	25	25	3
NJIT	22	10	11	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NJIT above 50 · FDU below

Biggest swing: 6.2% to FDU — set 1, FDU 24-22 NJIT. Attack error by Aries Fontaine. NJIT win probability 28% → 22%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FDU 68.2%31.8% NJIT

FDU wins

3-0

22.1%

3-1

26.2%

3-2

20.0%

NJIT wins

3-0

6.2%

3-1

11.2%

3-2

14.3%

FDU break %: 46.7% vs this opp
NJIT break %: 43.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Aries FontaineAttack error+6.2%
Attack error by Aries Fontaine
Set 1 · FDU 24-22 NJIT · FDU 72% → 78%
02
FDU serverAce+5.7%
FDU ace on Sara Siefert
Set 1 · FDU 22-21 NJIT · FDU 65% → 71%
03
Mila SamardzijaKill+5.5%
Kill by Mila Samardzija (set by Kayla Green)
Set 1 · FDU 23-22 NJIT · FDU 67% → 72%
04
Leah DevarajAttack error+5.2%
Leah Devaraj stuffed by Alessia Zampieri
Set 1 · FDU 21-21 NJIT · FDU 60% → 65%
05
Aries FontaineKill+4.7%
Kill by Aries Fontaine (set by Finley McAndrew)
Set 1 · FDU 22-22 NJIT · NJIT 29% → 33%
06
FDU serverAce+4.2%
FDU ace on Sara Siefert
Set 1 · FDU 20-21 NJIT · FDU 56% → 60%
07
Aries FontaineKill+3.8%
Kill by Aries Fontaine (set by Finley McAndrew)
Set 1 · FDU 15-17 NJIT · NJIT 37% → 40%
08
Ava DeGuzmanAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Ava DeGuzman
Set 1 · FDU 15-18 NJIT · NJIT 40% → 44%

Official NCAA box

Box score

FDUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Mila SamardzijaOH	3	9	2	19	.368	0	3	1	7	0	0	0	0	12
7Ava DeGuzmanOH	3	9	5	29	.138	1	0	1	2	1	1	1	1.5	10.5
16Angela MarchettoMB	3	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	1	0	4	3	5.5	8.5
17Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez SanchezOH	3	6	1	17	.294	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	6
12Alessia ZampieriMB	3	4	1	7	.429	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5
1Isabella ScarfoneS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
4Nina JasieckaOH	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
23Madeline JoyceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
10Nora MargineanS	3	0	0	0	–	13	2	2	4	0	0	0	0	2
5Kayla GreenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	3	7	1	0	0	0	0
21Jelena JevticL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	10	88	.295	34	8	8	38	3	6	6	9	75

NJIThome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
12Ema TorresOH	3	6	5	28	.036	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	6
9Leah DevarajOH	3	5	3	19	.105	0	1	1	3	2	0	0	6
13Rowan SchreiberMB	3	0	0	3	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1
11Cece MarinoS	3	1	0	1	1.000	10	0	0	13	0	0	0	1
10Tereza MotalovaMB	3	0	2	2	-1.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
16Joaneliz MaisonetOH	2	2	4	11	-.182	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	2
2Aries FontaineOH	3	7	8	25	-.040	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	8
1Mya Lei-ButtersL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	2	3	1	0	0	2
18Finley McAndrewS	3	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
17Kayden CampbellOH	2	1	5	7	-.571	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	1
3Ela AkayL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
6Sara SiefertOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
Team totals		22	27	96	-.052	21	3	4	37	8	2	2	43

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 FDU · NJIT 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 FDUNJIT 5

Set 2

25-10

Longest run 7 FDUNJIT 2

Set 3

25-11

Longest run 4 FDUNJIT 3

Bars above the line = NJIT leads, below = FDU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

FDU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%6/8	56%5/9
2	60%6/10	54%7/13
3	60%6/10	63%10/16
4	56%5/9	72%13/18
5	100%4/4	50%4/8
6	100%4/4	56%5/9
All	69%31/45	60%44/73

NJIT

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%6/12	29%2/7
2	43%6/14	40%4/10
3	40%6/15	33%3/9
4	25%4/16	45%5/11
5	50%4/8	0%0/4
6	38%3/8	0%0/4
All	40%29/73	31%14/45

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

118 rallies

Rally log

#	FDU-NJIT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Alessia Zampieri		+2.2
2	1-1	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.7
3	2-1	FDU	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Alessia Zampieri	+2.1
4	2-2	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Cece Marino	set Rowan Schreiber	+1.8
5	2-3	NJIT	NJIT	Kill	Joaneliz Maisonet	set Cece Marino	+2.3
6	3-3	NJIT	FDU	Serve err	NJIT server		+1.8
7	3-4	FDU	NJIT	Serve err	FDU server		+1.9
8	4-4	NJIT	FDU	Serve err	NJIT server		+1.9
9	5-4	FDU	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Nora Marginean	+2.3
10	5-5	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+1.9
11	6-5	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Nora Marginean	+1.9
12	7-5	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Joaneliz Maisonet		+2.2
13	7-6	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+1.8
14	8-6	NJIT	FDU	Attack err	Aries Fontaine		+1.8
15	8-7	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Mya Lei-Butters	+1.8
16	9-7	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Nora Marginean	+1.9
17	9-8	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+1.9
18	9-9	NJIT	NJIT	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.6
19	10-9	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.1
20	10-10	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+2.2
21	10-11	NJIT	NJIT	Kill	Joaneliz Maisonet	set Mya Lei-Butters	+2.9
22	11-11	NJIT	FDU	Attack err	Ema Torres		+2.3
23	12-11	FDU	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.8
24	12-12	FDU	NJIT×4	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+2.4
25	12-13	NJIT	NJIT×4	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+3.1
26	12-14	NJIT	NJIT×4	Ace	NJIT server	aced Team	+3.3
27	12-15	NJIT	NJIT×4	Ace	NJIT server	aced Ava DeGuzman	+3.2
28	13-15	NJIT	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.2
29	14-15	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Joaneliz Maisonet		+3.1
30	15-15	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Joaneliz Maisonet	blk Angela Marchetto	+3.3
31	15-16	FDU	NJIT×5	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+3.0
32	15-17	NJIT	NJIT×5	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+3.8
33	15-18	NJIT	NJIT×5	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+3.6
34	15-19	NJIT	NJIT×5	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+3.2
35	15-20	NJIT	NJIT×5	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman	blk Aries Fontaine	+2.5
36	16-20	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Nora Marginean	+1.3
37	17-20	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Aries Fontaine		+2.3
38	17-21	FDU	NJIT	Serve err	FDU server		+2.7
39	18-21	NJIT	FDU×5	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+1.8
40	19-21	FDU	FDU×5	Attack err	Leah Devaraj		+3.1
41	20-21	FDU	FDU×5	Ace	FDU server	aced Sara Siefert	+4.2
42	21-21	FDU	FDU×5	Attack err	Leah Devaraj	blk Alessia Zampieri	+5.2
43	22-21	FDU	FDU×5	Ace	FDU server	aced Sara Siefert	+5.7
44	22-22	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+4.7
45	23-22	NJIT	FDU×3	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Kayla Green	+5.5
46	24-22	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Aries Fontaine		+6.2
47	25-22	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Aries Fontaine		+3.5
Set 2
1	1-0	FDU	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.7
2	1-1	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Cece Marino	+1.4
3	2-1	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.4
4	2-2	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+1.5
5	3-2	NJIT	FDU×4	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.5
6	4-2	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Tereza Motalova		+1.7
7	5-2	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Ema Torres	blk Angela Marchetto	+1.6
8	6-2	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Joaneliz Maisonet		+1.4
9	6-3	FDU	NJIT	Serve err	FDU server		+1.1
10	7-3	NJIT	FDU×3	Attack err	Aries Fontaine		+1.2
11	8-3	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU server	aced Joaneliz Maisonet	+1.3
12	9-3	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Aries Fontaine	blk Angela Marchetto, Nina Jasiecka	+1.1
13	9-4	FDU	NJIT	Attack err	Nina Jasiecka		+0.7
14	10-4	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Nora Marginean	+0.9
15	10-5	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+0.7
16	11-5	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Nora Marginean	+0.9
17	12-5	FDU	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+0.8
18	12-6	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+0.5
19	13-6	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Nora Marginean	+0.7
20	13-7	FDU	NJIT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.5
21	14-7	NJIT	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Kayla Green	+0.7
22	15-7	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU server	aced Team	+0.6
23	16-7	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Ema Torres		+0.4
24	16-8	FDU	NJIT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.2
25	17-8	NJIT	FDU	Serve err	NJIT server		+0.3
26	18-8	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Kayden Campbell		+0.2
27	18-9	FDU	NJIT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.1
28	18-10	NJIT	NJIT	Kill	Aries Fontaine	set Finley McAndrew	+0.2
29	19-10	NJIT	FDU×7	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.2
30	20-10	FDU	FDU×7	Ace	FDU server	aced Mya Lei-Butters	+0.1
31	21-10	FDU	FDU×7	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Nora Marginean	+0.1
32	22-10	FDU	FDU×7	Attack err	Kayden Campbell	blk Ava DeGuzman, Angela Marchetto	+0.0
33	23-10	FDU	FDU×7	Attack err	Leah Devaraj		+0.0
34	24-10	FDU	FDU×7	Attack err	Aries Fontaine	blk Angela Marchetto	+0.0
35	25-10	FDU	FDU×7	Attack err	Aries Fontaine		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	NJIT	FDU×4	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.8
2	2-0	FDU	FDU×4	Ace	FDU server	aced Leah Devaraj	+1.0
3	3-0	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Kayla Green	+0.9
4	4-0	FDU	FDU×4	Ace	FDU server	aced Leah Devaraj	+0.8
5	4-1	FDU	NJIT×3	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Cece Marino	+0.6
6	4-2	NJIT	NJIT×3	Ace	NJIT server	aced Kayla Green	+0.9
7	4-3	NJIT	NJIT×3	Attack err	Ava DeGuzman		+1.0
8	5-3	NJIT	FDU×4	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.8
9	6-3	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Kayla Green	+0.9
10	7-3	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.9
11	8-3	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.7
12	8-4	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Kayden Campbell	set Cece Marino	+0.5
13	9-4	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
14	10-4	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Kayden Campbell	blk Angela Marchetto, Nina Jasiecka	+0.6
15	10-5	FDU	NJIT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.4
16	11-5	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Nora Marginean	+0.5
17	11-6	FDU	NJIT	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+0.4
18	12-6	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Nora Marginean	+0.5
19	12-7	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Ela Akay	+0.4
20	13-7	NJIT	FDU×3	Serve err	NJIT server		+0.5
21	14-7	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Ava DeGuzman	+0.5
22	15-7	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU server	aced Kayden Campbell	+0.3
23	15-8	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Leah Devaraj	set Finley McAndrew	+0.2
24	16-8	NJIT	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
25	17-8	FDU	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+0.2
26	17-9	FDU	NJIT	Attack err	Mila Samardzija	blk Rowan Schreiber	+0.1
27	18-9	NJIT	FDU×3	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Mya Lei-Butters	+0.1
28	19-9	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Kayden Campbell	blk Ava DeGuzman	+0.1
29	20-9	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.0
30	20-10	FDU	NJIT	Kill	Ema Torres	set Cece Marino	+0.0
31	21-10	NJIT	FDU	Attack err	Ema Torres		+0.0
32	22-10	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Ema Torres	blk Angela Marchetto	+0.0
33	22-11	FDU	NJIT	Serve err	FDU server		+0.0
34	23-11	NJIT	FDU×3	Kill	Ava DeGuzman	set Nora Marginean	+0.0
35	24-11	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Kayden Campbell		+0.0
36	25-11	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Tereza Motalova		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, FDU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.