FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomePATRIOT

Lafayette def. FDU 3–0

(25-23, 25-20, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FDU	23	20	20	0
LAFAYE	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LAFAYE above 50 · FDU below

Biggest swing: 8.1% to Lafayette — set 1, FDU 23-25 LAFAYE. Bad set by Isabella Scarfone. LAFAYE win probability 74% → 82%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FDU 31.8%68.2% LAFAYE

FDU wins

3-0

6.2%

3-1

11.3%

3-2

14.4%

Lafayette wins

3-0

22.0%

3-1

26.2%

3-2

20.0%

FDU break %: 43.1% vs this opp
LAFAYE break %: 46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Isabella ScarfoneBad set+8.1%
Bad set by Isabella Scarfone
Set 1 · FDU 23-25 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 74% → 82%
02
Noa KamphuisKill+7.1%
Kill by Noa Kamphuis (set by Sophia Wilson)
Set 1 · FDU 23-24 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 67% → 74%
03
Noa KamphuisKill+6.8%
Kill by Noa Kamphuis (set by Sophia Wilson)
Set 1 · FDU 22-23 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 66% → 72%
04
Mila SamardzijaAttack error+5.9%
Mila Samardzija stuffed by Noa Kamphuis & Paige Chmura
Set 1 · FDU 22-22 LAFAYE · LAFAYE 60% → 66%
05
Szonja CsabaiKill+5.5%
Kill by Szonja Csabai (set by Isabella Scarfone)
Set 1 · FDU 23-23 LAFAYE · FDU 28% → 33%
06
FDU serverAce+5.0%
FDU ace on Alyssa Chu
Set 1 · FDU 21-19 LAFAYE · FDU 38% → 43%
07
Isabella ScarfoneKill+4.5%
Kill by Isabella Scarfone (set by Ava DeGuzman)
Set 1 · FDU 22-20 LAFAYE · FDU 39% → 44%
08
Mackenzie CalhounBad set+4.0%
Bad set by Mackenzie Calhoun
Set 1 · FDU 18-16 LAFAYE · FDU 36% → 40%

Official NCAA box

Box score

FDUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez SanchezOH	3	12	3	37	.243	1	1	0	9	2	0	1	0.5	13.5
14Mila SamardzijaOH	3	7	5	34	.059	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	0	7
16Angela MarchettoMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
1Isabella ScarfoneS	3	4	1	9	.333	21	0	0	20	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
19Brooke Kamelchuk	2	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
13Szonja CsabaiMB	1	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
12Alessia ZampieriMB	3	5	3	17	.118	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	7
23Madeline JoyceL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
5Kayla GreenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
7Ava DeGuzmanOH	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	10	2	0	0	0	0
4Nina JasieckaOH	2	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
3Agnes ShakirovaOH	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Nora MargineanS	2	0	0	1	.000	7	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
9Ashlyn GualtieriOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	16	131	.191	38	4	3	63	7	1	7	4.5	63

Lafayettehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
26Noa KamphuisMB	3	12	2	31	.323	1	1	1	1	1	0	6	3	16
11Justine PuigOH	3	13	3	38	.263	1	1	2	18	1	0	1	0.5	14.5
22Destiny McKenzieOH	3	9	2	25	.280	0	1	1	10	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
4Paige ChmuraOH	3	4	1	14	.214	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
9Johanna GrogerMB	3	3	3	8	.000	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	4
1Sophia WilsonS	3	1	0	2	.500	22	3	1	8	0	0	0	0	4
13Grace JamisonOH	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
6Alyssa ChuL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	16	1	0	0	0	1
5Mackenzie CalhounS	2	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
27LK LaMonicaS	1	0	0	1	.000	4	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	12	132	.258	41	7	5	66	4	1	12	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 FDU · LAFAYE 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 FDULAFAYE 3

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 FDULAFAYE 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 FDULAFAYE 5

Bars above the line = Lafayette leads, below = FDU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

FDU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%8/20	33%3/9
2	70%7/10	56%10/18
3	40%6/15	22%2/9
4	75%6/8	33%3/9
5	55%6/11	40%4/10
6	50%5/10	33%3/9
All	51%38/74	39%25/64

Lafayette

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	61%11/18
2	67%8/12	47%7/15
3	67%6/9	50%6/12
4	67%6/9	40%4/10
5	75%6/8	50%6/12
6	63%5/8	29%2/7
All	61%39/64	49%36/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

138 rallies

Rally log

#	FDU-LAFAYE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Sophia Wilson	+2.0
2	1-1	LAFAYE	FDU×5	Serve err	LAFAYE server		+1.7
3	2-1	FDU	FDU×5	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Ava DeGuzman	+2.2
4	3-1	FDU	FDU×5	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Ava DeGuzman	+2.3
5	4-1	FDU	FDU×5	Attack err	Paige Chmura		+2.4
6	5-1	FDU	FDU×5	Attack err	Noa Kamphuis		+2.3
7	5-2	FDU	LAFAYE	Attack err	Mila Samardzija	blk Noa Kamphuis, Justine Puig	+1.7
8	5-3	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.2
9	6-3	LAFAYE	FDU	Serve err	LAFAYE server		+2.0
10	7-3	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Noa Kamphuis	blk Szonja Csabai, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Alessia Zampieri	+2.4
11	7-4	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+1.7
12	7-5	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+2.3
13	8-5	LAFAYE	FDU	Serve err	LAFAYE server		+2.1
14	8-6	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Sophia Wilson	+1.9
15	9-6	LAFAYE	FDU	Attack err	Johanna Groger		+2.2
16	10-6	FDU	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Brooke Kamelchuk	+2.6
17	10-7	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.8
18	11-7	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.2
19	11-8	FDU	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Justine Puig	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.8
20	11-9	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Team	+2.5
21	11-10	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Mila Samardzija	blk Grace Jamison, Noa Kamphuis	+2.7
22	12-10	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Isabella Scarfone	set Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	+2.5
23	12-11	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Justine Puig	+2.3
24	12-12	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Brooke Kamelchuk	+2.9
25	13-12	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Szonja Csabai	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.6
26	13-13	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Paige Chmura	set Sophia Wilson	+2.5
27	14-13	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.7
28	14-14	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+2.6
29	14-15	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Szonja Csabai		+3.2
30	15-15	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+2.7
31	15-16	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Sophia Wilson	+2.7
32	16-16	LAFAYE	FDU×3	Attack err	Destiny McKenzie	blk Angela Marchetto, Alessia Zampieri	+2.8
33	17-16	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Johanna Groger		+3.8
34	18-16	FDU	FDU×3	Bad set	Mackenzie Calhoun		+4.0
35	18-17	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Grace Jamison	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+2.9
36	18-18	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Johanna Groger	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+4.0
37	19-18	LAFAYE	FDU	Serve err	LAFAYE server		+3.6
38	19-19	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+3.5
39	20-19	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Isabella Scarfone	set Brooke Kamelchuk	+3.9
40	21-19	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU server	aced Alyssa Chu	+5.0
41	21-20	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+3.4
42	22-20	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Isabella Scarfone	set Ava DeGuzman	+4.5
43	22-21	FDU	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Justine Puig	set Sophia Wilson	+3.6
44	22-22	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Mila Samardzija	blk Noa Kamphuis, Paige Chmura	+5.9
45	22-23	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+6.8
46	23-23	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Szonja Csabai	set Isabella Scarfone	+5.5
47	23-24	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+7.1
48	23-25	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Bad set	Isabella Scarfone		+8.1
Set 2
1	1-0	FDU	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.8
2	1-1	FDU	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+1.5
3	1-2	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Attack err	Ashlyn Gualtieri	blk Paige Chmura, Noa Kamphuis	+1.8
4	1-3	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+1.7
5	1-4	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Attack err	Angela Marchetto	blk Destiny McKenzie, Noa Kamphuis	+1.6
6	2-4	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Ava DeGuzman	+1.2
7	2-5	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+1.3
8	3-5	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.3
9	3-6	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Sophia Wilson	+1.3
10	3-7	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Alessia Zampieri	blk Johanna Groger	+1.5
11	4-7	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.1
12	4-8	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Grace Jamison	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.2
13	4-9	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.3
14	5-9	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.9
15	6-9	FDU	FDU	Kill	Isabella Scarfone	set Brooke Kamelchuk	+1.4
16	6-10	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Johanna Groger	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.3
17	7-10	LAFAYE	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.2
18	8-10	FDU	FDU×3	Attack err	Justine Puig		+1.7
19	9-10	FDU	FDU×3	Ace	FDU server	aced Justine Puig	+2.0
20	9-11	FDU	LAFAYE	Attack err	Isabella Scarfone		+1.7
21	10-11	LAFAYE	FDU	Attack err	Justine Puig	blk Angela Marchetto, Isabella Scarfone	+1.7
22	10-12	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Mila Samardzija	+1.8
23	11-12	LAFAYE	FDU	Serve err	LAFAYE server		+1.7
24	11-13	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Sophia Wilson	set Alyssa Chu	+1.8
25	12-13	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.8
26	12-14	FDU	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Paige Chmura	set Sophia Wilson	+1.9
27	12-15	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Kill	Grace Jamison		+2.1
28	12-16	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×3	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez		+1.8
29	13-16	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.2
30	13-17	FDU	LAFAYE	Serve err	FDU server		+1.5
31	14-17	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Isabella Scarfone	+1.2
32	14-18	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.5
33	15-18	LAFAYE	FDU	Attack err	Grace Jamison		+1.2
34	15-19	FDU	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Mackenzie Calhoun	+1.6
35	15-20	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+1.4
36	15-21	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Attack err	Mila Samardzija		+0.9
37	15-22	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Bad set	Nora Marginean		+0.5
38	16-22	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Agnes Shakirova	set Nora Marginean	+0.2
39	17-22	FDU	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Ava DeGuzman	+0.4
40	17-23	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Sophia Wilson	+0.5
41	17-24	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	+0.2
42	18-24	LAFAYE	FDU×3	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.0
43	19-24	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.1
44	20-24	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
45	20-25	FDU	LAFAYE	Serve err	FDU server		+0.4
Set 3
1	0-1	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Kill	Justine Puig		+1.0
2	0-2	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	+0.9
3	0-3	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Attack err	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	blk Noa Kamphuis, Paige Chmura	+0.9
4	0-4	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Bad set	Isabella Scarfone		+0.8
5	0-5	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×5	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Ava DeGuzman	+0.7
6	1-5	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.5
7	2-5	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU server	aced Noa Kamphuis	+0.7
8	2-6	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+0.7
9	3-6	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.6
10	3-7	FDU	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Sophia Wilson	+0.7
11	3-8	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Ava DeGuzman	+0.7
12	3-9	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Destiny McKenzie		+0.6
13	3-10	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Paige Chmura	set Noa Kamphuis	+0.5
14	4-10	LAFAYE	FDU	Attack err	Johanna Groger	blk Alessia Zampieri	+0.3
15	5-10	FDU	FDU	Attack err	Destiny McKenzie		+0.5
16	5-11	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Paige Chmura	set Sophia Wilson	+0.5
17	5-12	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Attack err	Alessia Zampieri		+0.5
18	6-12	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Nora Marginean	+0.3
19	6-13	FDU	LAFAYE	Serve err	FDU server		+0.4
20	6-14	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Ace	LAFAYE server	aced Team	+0.3
21	7-14	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Nora Marginean	+0.2
22	7-15	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set LK LaMonica	+0.3
23	8-15	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Nora Marginean	+0.2
24	8-16	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set LK LaMonica	+0.3
25	8-17	LAFAYE	LAFAYE	Kill	Noa Kamphuis	set Sophia Wilson	+0.2
26	9-17	LAFAYE	FDU×4	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.1
27	10-17	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Kayla Green	+0.2
28	11-17	FDU	FDU×4	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.3
29	12-17	FDU	FDU×4	Attack err	Justine Puig		+0.4
30	12-18	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Justine Puig	set Sophia Wilson	+0.5
31	13-18	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Angela Marchetto	set Justine Puig	+0.3
32	14-18	FDU	FDU	Ace	FDU server	aced Team	+0.6
33	14-19	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Sophia Wilson	+0.6
34	15-19	LAFAYE	FDU×3	Kill	Nina Jasiecka	set Isabella Scarfone	+0.5
35	16-19	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+0.8
36	17-19	FDU	FDU×3	Kill	Alessia Zampieri		+1.2
37	17-20	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Destiny McKenzie	set Sophia Wilson	+1.2
38	18-20	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Alessia Zampieri	set Nora Marginean	+1.0
39	18-21	FDU	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Johanna Groger	set LK LaMonica	+1.3
40	18-22	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Justine Puig	set LK LaMonica	+1.1
41	18-23	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Kill	Justine Puig	set Alyssa Chu	+0.6
42	18-24	LAFAYE	LAFAYE×4	Attack err	Alessia Zampieri		+0.3
43	19-24	LAFAYE	FDU	Kill	Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez	set Nora Marginean	+0.0
44	20-24	FDU	FDU	Kill	Mila Samardzija	set Nora Marginean	+0.1
45	20-25	FDU	LAFAYE	Kill	Grace Jamison	set LK LaMonica	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, FDU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.