FinalTue, Oct 13, 2026Watch on NEC Front Row

FDU def. Saint Peter's 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: FDU 70.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 13, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FDU beat visiting Saint Peter's 3-0 (25-14, 25-19, 25-20) on Tue, Oct 13, 2026. Angela Marchetto and Mila Samardzija led FDU with 7 kills each; Saint Peter's' Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez had a match-high 9.

Data through · final Oct 13

Set123Sets
ST PTR1419200
FDU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

FDU swept Saint Peter's, and no set was closer than 5 points.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.3 points. Saint Peter's peaked at 27% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. FDU went in as RallyIQ's 71% pick.

Saint Peter'sFDU
  • Break %+18.4 pts
    37.055.4

    Points won on own serve: 41 of 74 vs 20 of 54. Saint Peter's sided out 44.6% of the time.

  • Hitting+.236
    -.051.185

    Kills and errors: 30–15 vs 26–31.

  • Longest run+0
    55

    FDU scored 5 straight in the third set to cut a 1–7 deficit to 6–7. That set ended 25–20.

FDU above 50Saint Peter's belowMax swing 2.3%

Saint Peter'sFDU

Aces
Saint Peter's 7·FDU 7
Serve err
Saint Peter's 6·FDU 5
Blocks
Saint Peter's 8·FDU 14.53 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 29 BA
Digs
Saint Peter's 31·FDU 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FDU above 50 · Saint Peter's below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.3% FDUrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.3% to FDU — set 2, ST PTR 13-15 FDU. Victoria Pruvost stuffed by Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez & Angela Marchetto. FDU win probability 85% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ST PTR 21.8%78.2% FDU

Saint Peter's wins

3-0
3.6%
3-1
7.3%
3-2
10.8%

FDU wins

3-0
29.8%
3-1
29.7%
3-2
18.7%
ST PTR break %
40.9% vs this opp
FDU break %
46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Victoria Pruvost stuffed by Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez & Angela Marchetto

    Set 2 · ST PTR 13-15 FDU · FDU 85% → 87%

  2. 02
    Natasha TejadaAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Natasha Tejada

    Set 2 · ST PTR 11-11 FDU · FDU 80% → 83%

  3. 03

    Kill by Angela Marchetto (set by Isabella Scarfone)

    Set 2 · ST PTR 11-12 FDU · FDU 83% → 85%

  4. 04
    Saint Peter'sAce+2.3%

    Saint Peter's ace on Ava DeGuzman

    Set 2 · ST PTR 10-7 FDU · ST PTR 21% → 23%

  5. 05
    Saint Peter'sAce+2.2%

    Saint Peter's ace on Ava DeGuzman

    Set 2 · ST PTR 9-7 FDU · ST PTR 19% → 21%

  6. 06
    FDUAce+2.2%

    FDU ace

    Set 2 · ST PTR 10-9 FDU · FDU 78% → 80%

  7. 07

    Elina Arsov stuffed by Angela Marchetto & Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez

    Set 2 · ST PTR 13-16 FDU · FDU 87% → 89%

  8. 08
    Mila SamardzijaAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Mila Samardzija

    Set 2 · ST PTR 6-3 FDU · ST PTR 20% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39316.3750203012213
36930-.10001240031.58.5
37823-.04300010111.58.5
31310-.20000122132.53.5
31011.0001500200001
2013-.33300050010.50.5
3115.000131510004
3011-1.000111210001
2158-.500000000001
2001.000401400000
2000–100200000
1000–400100000
Team totals263198-.0512676317310853
FDUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
3708.87500010073.510.5
37727.000100810429
35118.22211011052.58.5
34312.08300170052.56.5
3318.25000010073.56.5
3325.200241150010.54.5
3000–242610004
31011.000000430001
3000–011000001
1011-1.000000000000
1001.000100000000
1000–000000000
1000–000010000
Team totals301581.185297533702914.575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ST PTR · FDU 5

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 ST PTRFDU 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 ST PTRFDU 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 ST PTRFDU 5

Bars above the line = FDU leads, below = Saint Peter's leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Saint Peter's

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
17%1/6
2
55%6/11
50%6/12
3
33%6/18
50%6/12
4
60%6/10
0%0/6
5
38%5/13
40%4/10
6
44%4/9
38%3/8
All
45%33/74
37%20/54

FDU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
57%8/14
2
60%6/10
40%4/10
3
67%6/9
70%14/20
4
75%6/8
40%4/10
5
50%5/10
58%7/12
6
100%4/4
50%4/8
All
63%34/54
55%41/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#ST PTR-FDUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FDUFDU×3BlockedVictoria Pruvostblk Mila Samardzija, Angela Marchetto+2.0
20-2FDUFDU×3BlockedValeria Pagan Munozblk Nina Jasiecka, Angela Marchetto+1.9
30-3FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Elina Arsov+1.8
41-3FDUST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+1.3
52-3ST PTRST PTRBlockedMila Samardzijablk Elina Arsov, Indira T. Benitez Dumeng+1.9
62-4ST PTRFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
72-5FDUFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Isabella Scarfone+1.8
83-5FDUST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+1.4
93-6ST PTRFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.4
104-6FDUST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+1.4
114-7ST PTRFDUServe errSaint Peter's+1.5
125-7FDUST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Meleksu Ozmen+1.4
135-8ST PTRFDU×4BlockedValeria Pagan Munozblk Alessia Zampieri, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.5
145-9FDUFDU×4Attack errNatasha Tejada+1.7
155-10FDUFDU×4KillIsabella Scarfoneset Madeline Joyce+1.5
165-11FDUFDU×4BlockedKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezblk Mila Samardzija, Alessia Zampieri+1.2
176-11FDUST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Meleksu Ozmen+0.8
186-12ST PTRFDUBad setKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+0.9
197-12FDUST PTRServe errKayla Green+0.8
207-13ST PTRFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
217-14FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
228-14FDUST PTRServe errIsabella Scarfone+0.5
238-15ST PTRFDUAttack errVictoria Pruvost+0.7
248-16FDUFDUBlockedElina Arsovblk Angela Marchetto, Nina Jasiecka+0.6
259-16FDUST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+0.3
269-17ST PTRFDU×4KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+0.4
279-18FDUFDU×4Attack errElina Arsov+0.3
289-19FDUFDU×4AceFDUaced Briana Tuten+0.2
299-20FDUFDU×4Attack errKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+0.1
3010-20FDUST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas·
3110-21ST PTRFDUAttack errNatasha Tejada·
3211-21FDUST PTRAttack errAgnes Shakirova·
3311-22ST PTRFDUServe errSaint Peter's·
3412-22FDUST PTR×3KillNatasha Tejadaset Meleksu Ozmen·
3513-22ST PTRST PTR×3AceSaint Peter'saced Szonja Csabai·
3614-22ST PTRST PTR×3Attack errMila Samardzija·
3714-23ST PTRFDU×3KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Nora Marginean+0.1
3814-24FDUFDU×3BlockedNatasha Tejadablk Mila Samardzija, Angela Marchetto·
3914-25FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Elina Arsov·
Set 2
10-1ST PTRFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
20-2FDUFDUAttack errValeria Pagan Munoz+1.6
31-2FDUST PTRAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.2
42-2ST PTRST PTRAceSaint Peter'saced Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.7
52-3ST PTRFDUServe errSaint Peter's+1.3
63-3FDUST PTR×4KillVictoria Pruvostset Alicia Valladares+1.4
74-3ST PTRST PTR×4KillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas+1.9
85-3ST PTRST PTR×4BlockedNina Jasieckablk Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+2.0
96-3ST PTRST PTR×4Attack errMila Samardzija+2.0
106-4ST PTRFDUServe errSaint Peter's+1.4
116-5FDUFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Madeline Joyce+1.9
127-5FDUST PTRServe errMadeline Joyce+1.7
137-6ST PTRFDUKillIsabella Scarfoneset Mila Samardzija+1.5
147-7FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+2.0
158-7FDUST PTR×3Serve errNina Jasiecka+1.7
169-7ST PTRST PTR×3AceSaint Peter'saced Ava DeGuzman+2.2
1710-7ST PTRST PTR×3AceSaint Peter'saced Ava DeGuzman+2.3
1810-8ST PTRFDUServe errSaint Peter's+1.5
1910-9FDUFDUAceFDU+2.2
2011-9FDUST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Zumra Yavuz+1.9
2111-10ST PTRFDU×3KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.7
2211-11FDUFDU×3Attack errNatasha Tejada+2.3
2311-12FDUFDU×3KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+2.3
2412-12FDUST PTRAttack errMila Samardzija+1.8
2512-13ST PTRFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.8
2613-13FDUST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+1.9
2713-14ST PTRFDU×4Attack errValeria Pagan Munoz+1.9
2813-15FDUFDU×4BlockedVictoria Pruvostblk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Angela Marchetto+2.3
2913-16FDUFDU×4BlockedElina Arsovblk Angela Marchetto, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+2.1
3013-17FDUFDU×4Attack errVictoria Pruvost+1.7
3114-17FDUST PTRKillBriana Tutenset Alondra Fargas+1.1
3214-18ST PTRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
3315-18FDUST PTRKillVictoria Pruvostset Alondra Fargas+1.1
3415-19ST PTRFDUAttack errNatasha Tejada+1.4
3516-19FDUST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Zumra Yavuz+1.1
3616-20ST PTRFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.4
3716-21FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
3817-21FDUST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Zumra Yavuz+0.6
3917-22ST PTRFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
4017-23FDUFDUKillIsabella Scarfoneset Zumra Yavuz+0.5
4118-23FDUST PTRKillElina Arsovset Zumra Yavuz+0.2
4219-23ST PTRST PTRBlockedMila Samardzijablk Victoria Pruvost, Elina Arsov+0.4
4319-24ST PTRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.6
4419-25FDUFDUBlockedVictoria Pruvostblk Angela Marchetto, Nina Jasiecka+0.2
Set 3
11-0FDUST PTR×5KillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+0.8
22-0ST PTRST PTR×5KillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+1.0
33-0ST PTRST PTR×5AceSaint Peter'saced Madeline Joyce+1.0
44-0ST PTRST PTR×5BlockedMila Samardzijablk Valeria Pagan Munoz, Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+1.0
55-0ST PTRST PTR×5BlockedNina Jasieckablk Valeria Pagan Munoz, Karolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+1.0
65-1ST PTRFDUAttack errIndira T. Benitez Dumeng+0.6
76-1FDUST PTRKillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+0.8
87-1ST PTRST PTRBlockedNina Jasieckablk Valeria Pagan Munoz, Elina Arsov+0.9
97-2ST PTRFDU×5KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.6
107-3FDUFDU×5KillNina Jasieckaset Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+0.9
117-4FDUFDU×5BlockedAlicia Valladaresblk Alessia Zampieri, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.0
127-5FDUFDU×5AceFDU+1.0
137-6FDUFDU×5AceFDU+1.1
148-6FDUST PTRServe errMadeline Joyce+0.9
158-7ST PTRFDUKillNina Jasieckaset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
169-7FDUST PTR×3Attack errIsabella Scarfone+1.0
1710-7ST PTRST PTR×3KillVictoria Pruvostset Kylee Gilbert+1.2
1811-7ST PTRST PTR×3BlockedIsabella Scarfoneblk Elina Arsov+1.2
1911-8ST PTRFDU×4Serve errSaint Peter's+0.8
2011-9FDUFDU×4Attack errVictoria Pruvost+1.1
2111-10FDUFDU×4Attack errBriana Tuten+1.2
2211-11FDUFDU×4BlockedVictoria Pruvostblk Alessia Zampieri, Mila Samardzija+1.3
2312-11FDUST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Meleksu Ozmen+1.0
2413-11ST PTRST PTRAceSaint Peter'saced Ava DeGuzman+1.4
2513-12ST PTRFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.0
2614-12FDUST PTRBlockedMila Samardzijablk Victoria Pruvost+1.1
2714-13ST PTRFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.0
2814-14FDUFDUAttack errKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendez+1.4
2915-14FDUST PTRKillAlondra Fargasset Briana Tuten+1.2
3015-15ST PTRFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.1
3116-15FDUST PTR×3KillKarolina T. Rodriguez Mendezset Alondra Fargas+1.3
3217-15ST PTRST PTR×3KillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas+1.7
3318-15ST PTRST PTR×3AceSaint Peter'saced Mila Samardzija+1.6
3418-16ST PTRFDU×5KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.0
3518-17FDUFDU×5BlockedValeria Pagan Munozblk Nina Jasiecka, Alessia Zampieri+1.6
3618-18FDUFDU×5Attack errValeria Pagan Munoz+1.8
3718-19FDUFDU×5AceFDUaced Alicia Valladares+1.8
3818-20FDUFDU×5BlockedValeria Pagan Munozblk Nina Jasiecka, Alessia Zampieri+1.7
3919-20FDUST PTRKillValeria Pagan Munozset Alondra Fargas+1.2
4019-21ST PTRFDU×4Attack errValeria Pagan Munoz+1.4
4119-22FDUFDU×4BlockedVictoria Pruvostblk Alessia Zampieri, Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Isabella Scarfone+1.5
4219-23FDUFDU×4KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
4319-24FDUFDU×4Attack errValeria Pagan Munoz+0.4
4420-24FDUST PTRAttack errAlessia Zampieri+0.1
4520-25ST PTRFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Saint Peter's first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).