North Dakota St. def. Tennessee Tech 3–0
(25-16, 25-23, 25-20)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND ST | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| TNTECH | 16 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 3.5% to North Dakota St. — set 2, ND ST 25-23 TNTECH. Kill by Arianna Blohm (set by Sarah Pfiffner). TNTECH win probability 7% → 3%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
North Dakota St. wins
Tennessee Tech wins
- ND ST break %
- 48.4% vs this opp
- TNTECH break %
- 41.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Arianna BlohmKill+3.5%
Kill by Arianna Blohm (set by Sarah Pfiffner)
Set 2 · ND ST 25-23 TNTECH · ND ST 93% → 97%
- 02Ava SchubertAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Ava Schubert
Set 2 · ND ST 24-22 TNTECH · ND ST 92% → 95%
- 03Jordyn MilhouseKill+3.3%
Kill by Jordyn Milhouse (set by Lauren Jansen)
Set 2 · ND ST 22-22 TNTECH · TNTECH 8% → 12%
- 04Emma TallmanKill+3.2%
Kill by Emma Tallman (set by Sarah Pfiffner)
Set 2 · ND ST 23-22 TNTECH · ND ST 88% → 92%
- 05
- 06Kendall WorwaKill+2.6%
Kill by Kendall Worwa (set by Sarah Pfiffner)
Set 2 · ND ST 22-20 TNTECH · ND ST 91% → 93%
- 07Zoe JohnKill+2.3%
Kill by Zoe John (set by Sarah Pfiffner)
Set 2 · ND ST 21-20 TNTECH · ND ST 89% → 91%
- 08TNTECH serverAce+2.1%
Tennessee Tech ace on Sadie Johnson
Set 1 · ND ST 3-6 TNTECH · TNTECH 22% → 24%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 3 | 35 | .257 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | |
| 3 | 9 | 2 | 19 | .368 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | .429 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 13 | 4 | 23 | .391 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 43 | 12 | 104 | .298 | 38 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 32 | .125 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 19 | .263 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 17 | .176 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1.000 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | -.364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -.286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 31 | 21 | 104 | .096 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 59 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-16
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
25-20
Bars above the line = Tennessee Tech leads, below = North Dakota St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
North Dakota St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 80%8/10 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 78%7/9 | 53%8/15 |
| 3 | 70%7/10 | 46%6/13 |
| 4 | 50%6/12 | 40%4/10 |
| 5 | 67%6/9 | 60%9/15 |
| 6 | 60%6/10 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 67%40/60 | 47%35/74 |
Tennessee Tech
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%8/17 | 36%4/11 |
| 2 | 47%7/15 | 20%2/10 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 13%1/8 |
| 4 | 50%6/12 | 60%9/15 |
| 5 | 46%6/13 | 0%0/6 |
| 6 | 67%6/9 | 40%4/10 |
| All | 53%39/74 | 33%20/60 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
134 rallies
Rally log
| # | ND ST-TNTECH | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Jordyn Milhouse | set Morgan Petelin | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | TNTECH | ND ST | Attack err | Ashlyn Gamble | +1.3 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | ND ST | ND ST | Attack err | Ashlyn Gamble | +1.5 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Jordyn Milhouse | +1.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | TNTECH | TNTECH | Serve err | TNTECH server | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Arianna Blohm | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.3 |
| 7 | 3-4 | ND ST | TNTECH×3 | Kill | Jordyn Milhouse | set Morgan Petelin | +1.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | TNTECH | TNTECH×3 | Ace | TNTECH server | aced Sadie Johnson | +2.0 |
| 9 | 3-6 | TNTECH | TNTECH×3 | Ace | TNTECH server | aced Sadie Johnson | +2.1 |
| 10 | 4-6 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.5 |
| 11 | 4-7 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Kamya Mahorn | set Morgan Petelin | +1.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | TNTECH | ND ST×4 | Serve err | TNTECH server | +1.5 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | ND ST | ND ST×4 | Attack err | Audrey Berkebile | +1.9 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | ND ST | ND ST×4 | Attack err | Alayna Pierce | +1.9 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | ND ST | ND ST×4 | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Shelby Hannah | +1.6 |
| 17 | 9-8 | TNTECH | ND ST×3 | Attack err | Audrey Berkebile | +1.5 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Ace | ND ST server | aced Shelby Hannah | +1.7 |
| 19 | 11-8 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Ace | ND ST server | aced Audrey Berkebile | +1.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | ND ST | TNTECH | Attack err | Emma Tallman | +1.2 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | TNTECH | ND ST×4 | Serve err | TNTECH server | +1.3 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | ND ST | ND ST×4 | Attack err | Alayna Pierce | +1.3 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | ND ST | ND ST×4 | Kill | Lauren Jansen | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | ND ST | ND ST×4 | Attack err | Ashlyn Gamble | +0.8 | |
| 25 | 15-10 | ND ST | TNTECH | Attack err | Lauren Jansen | +0.5 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | TNTECH | ND ST×3 | Attack err | Alayna Pierce | blk Emma Tallman | +0.6 |
| 27 | 17-10 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.5 |
| 28 | 18-10 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Bad set | Shelby Hannah | +0.3 | |
| 29 | 18-11 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +0.2 |
| 30 | 19-11 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.2 |
| 31 | 20-11 | ND ST | ND ST | Ace | ND ST server | aced Shelby Hannah | +0.2 |
| 32 | 20-12 | ND ST | TNTECH | Serve err | ND ST server | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 21-12 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Arianna Blohm | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.1 |
| 34 | 21-13 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Audrey Berkebile | set Morgan Petelin | +0.0 |
| 35 | 22-13 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Sarah Pfiffner | set Morgan Petelin | +0.1 |
| 36 | 22-14 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Morgan Petelin | set Alayna Pierce | +0.0 |
| 37 | 23-14 | TNTECH | ND ST | Attack err | Ashlyn Gamble | blk Kendall Worwa | +0.1 |
| 38 | 23-15 | ND ST | TNTECH | Attack err | Zoe John | blk Mallory Jenkins | +0.0 |
| 39 | 24-15 | TNTECH | ND ST | Serve err | TNTECH server | +0.0 | |
| 40 | 24-16 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +0.0 |
| 41 | 25-16 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Kendall Worwa | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Rya Borer | +0.9 |
| 2 | 2-0 | ND ST | ND ST | Attack err | Alayna Pierce | blk Kendall Worwa, Emma Tallman | +1.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +0.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | TNTECH | ND ST | Serve err | TNTECH server | +0.8 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | ND ST | ND ST | Kill | Emma Tallman | set Rya Borer | +0.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Jordyn Milhouse | set Morgan Petelin | +0.8 |
| 7 | 5-2 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Arianna Blohm | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.8 |
| 8 | 5-3 | ND ST | TNTECH×4 | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +0.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Attack err | Arianna Blohm | +1.1 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Kill | Audrey Berkebile | set Morgan Petelin | +1.3 |
| 11 | 5-6 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Attack err | Lauren Jansen | +1.4 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | TNTECH | ND ST×3 | Attack err | Jordyn Milhouse | +1.1 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Kill | Arianna Blohm | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.3 |
| 14 | 8-6 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.2 |
| 15 | 8-7 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Audrey Berkebile | set Brooklyn Rapp | +1.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | TNTECH | ND ST | Attack err | Mallory Jenkins | blk Arianna Blohm | +1.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | ND ST | TNTECH | Attack err | Zoe John | +1.0 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.0 |
| 19 | 10-9 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Audrey Berkebile | set Morgan Petelin | +1.1 |
| 20 | 11-9 | TNTECH | ND ST×3 | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.1 |
| 21 | 12-9 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Kill | Kendall Worwa | +1.2 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Attack err | Ashlyn Gamble | +1.0 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +0.7 |
| 24 | 14-10 | TNTECH | ND ST×3 | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.8 |
| 25 | 15-10 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Ace | ND ST server | aced Alayna Pierce | +0.8 |
| 26 | 16-10 | ND ST | ND ST×3 | Kill | Emma Tallman | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.6 |
| 27 | 16-11 | ND ST | TNTECH | Attack err | Emma Tallman | blk Alayna Pierce | +0.4 |
| 28 | 17-11 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.5 |
| 29 | 17-12 | ND ST | TNTECH×4 | Kill | Jordyn Milhouse | set Morgan Petelin | +0.4 |
| 30 | 17-13 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Ace | TNTECH server | aced Rya Borer | +0.6 |
| 31 | 17-14 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Attack err | Lauren Jansen | +0.9 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Ace | TNTECH server | aced Rya Borer | +1.3 |
| 33 | 18-15 | TNTECH | ND ST | Attack err | Alayna Pierce | blk Arianna Blohm | +1.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +1.1 |
| 35 | 19-16 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.3 |
| 36 | 19-17 | ND ST | TNTECH | Bad set | Sarah Pfiffner | +1.1 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | TNTECH | TNTECH | Ace | TNTECH server | aced Rya Borer | +1.9 |
| 38 | 20-18 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.7 |
| 39 | 20-19 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Ashlyn Gamble | set Morgan Petelin | +1.6 |
| 40 | 20-20 | TNTECH | TNTECH | Attack err | Zoe John | +2.7 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +2.3 |
| 42 | 22-20 | ND ST | ND ST | Kill | Kendall Worwa | set Sarah Pfiffner | +2.6 |
| 43 | 22-21 | ND ST | TNTECH | Serve err | ND ST server | +1.8 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | TNTECH | TNTECH | Kill | Jordyn Milhouse | set Lauren Jansen | +3.3 |
| 45 | 23-22 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Emma Tallman | set Sarah Pfiffner | +3.2 |
| 46 | 24-22 | ND ST | ND ST | Attack err | Ava Schubert | +3.4 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | ND ST | TNTECH | Serve err | ND ST server | +1.7 | |
| 48 | 25-23 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Arianna Blohm | set Sarah Pfiffner | +3.5 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ND ST | ND ST | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Morgan Petelin | set Tuva Falk | +0.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TNTECH | TNTECH | Bad set | Rya Borer | +0.6 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Arianna Blohm | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ND ST | ND ST | Attack err | Jordyn Milhouse | +0.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Audrey Berkebile | set Morgan Petelin | +0.5 |
| 7 | 4-3 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Sarah Pfiffner | set Sadie Johnson | +0.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | ND ST | TNTECH | Serve err | ND ST server | +0.5 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | TNTECH | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +0.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Arianna Blohm | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.5 |
| 11 | 5-6 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Jordyn Milhouse | set Morgan Petelin | +0.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | TNTECH | ND ST | Serve err | TNTECH server | +0.5 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | ND ST | TNTECH×4 | Attack err | Zoe John | +0.6 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Attack err | Emma Tallman | +0.8 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Ace | TNTECH server | aced Lauren Jansen | +0.8 |
| 16 | 6-10 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Bad set | Lauren Jansen | +0.8 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | TNTECH | ND ST | Attack err | Alayna Pierce | +0.6 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | ND ST | TNTECH×4 | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +0.7 |
| 19 | 7-12 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Ace | TNTECH server | aced Sadie Johnson | +0.8 |
| 20 | 7-13 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Kill | Audrey Berkebile | set Morgan Petelin | +0.7 |
| 21 | 7-14 | TNTECH | TNTECH×4 | Kill | Morgan Petelin | set Ella Watford | +0.6 |
| 22 | 8-14 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Sarah Pfiffner | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.4 |
| 23 | 9-14 | ND ST | ND ST | Attack err | Alayna Pierce | +0.6 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Audrey Berkebile | set Brooklyn Rapp | +0.6 |
| 25 | 10-15 | TNTECH | ND ST | Serve err | TNTECH server | +0.4 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | ND ST | TNTECH | Attack err | Arianna Blohm | +0.6 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Arianna Blohm | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | ND ST | ND ST | Attack err | Jordyn Milhouse | +0.7 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +0.7 |
| 30 | 13-17 | TNTECH | ND ST×5 | Kill | Arianna Blohm | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.5 |
| 31 | 14-17 | ND ST | ND ST×5 | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.8 |
| 32 | 15-17 | ND ST | ND ST×5 | Attack err | Ava Schubert | blk Kendall Worwa | +0.9 |
| 33 | 16-17 | ND ST | ND ST×5 | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.0 |
| 34 | 17-17 | ND ST | ND ST×5 | Kill | Zoe John | set Maddy Dombeck | +1.1 |
| 35 | 17-18 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Alayna Pierce | set Morgan Petelin | +1.0 |
| 36 | 18-18 | TNTECH | ND ST×5 | Kill | Zoe John | set Maddy Dombeck | +0.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | ND ST | ND ST×5 | Attack err | Alayna Pierce | blk Emma Tallman, Kendall Worwa | +1.2 |
| 38 | 20-18 | ND ST | ND ST×5 | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +1.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | ND ST | ND ST×5 | Kill | Zoe John | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.9 |
| 40 | 22-18 | ND ST | ND ST×5 | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Rya Borer | +0.6 |
| 41 | 22-19 | ND ST | TNTECH | Serve err | ND ST server | +0.3 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Zoe John | set Rya Borer | +0.5 |
| 43 | 24-19 | ND ST | ND ST | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.3 |
| 44 | 24-20 | ND ST | TNTECH | Kill | Morgan Petelin | set Audrey Berkebile | +0.1 |
| 45 | 25-20 | TNTECH | ND ST | Kill | Lauren Jansen | set Sarah Pfiffner | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, North Dakota St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.