FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayAMERICA-EAST

0:3

HomeSUN-BELT

App State def. Bryant 3–0

(25-19, 25-18, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BRYANT	19	18	22	0
APP ST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

APP ST above 50 · BRYANT below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Bryant — set 1, BRYANT 13-13 APP ST. Attack error by Brooke Doherty. APP ST win probability 90% → 89%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

BRYANT 10.0%90.0% APP ST

Bryant wins

3-0

1.3%

3-1

3.1%

3-2

5.6%

App State wins

3-0

44.4%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

14.0%

BRYANT break %: 35.6% vs this opp
APP ST break %: 45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Brooke DohertyAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Brooke Doherty
Set 1 · BRYANT 13-13 APP ST · BRYANT 10% → 11%
02
Brooke DohertyKill+1.5%
Kill by Brooke Doherty (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 1 · BRYANT 13-15 APP ST · APP ST 90% → 91%
03
Bella HutchensAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Bella Hutchens
Set 1 · BRYANT 8-8 APP ST · BRYANT 9% → 11%
04
Kaitlin CurranAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Kaitlin Curran
Set 1 · BRYANT 9-11 APP ST · APP ST 90% → 91%
05
APP ST serverAce+1.2%
App State ace on Hannah Jackson
Set 1 · BRYANT 13-16 APP ST · APP ST 91% → 93%
06
Kaitlin CurranKill+1.2%
Kill by Kaitlin Curran (set by Madison Keem)
Set 1 · BRYANT 1-0 APP ST · BRYANT 10% → 11%
07
Chelsea GilmoreKill+1.1%
Kill by Chelsea Gilmore (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 1 · BRYANT 13-14 APP ST · APP ST 89% → 90%
08
Brooke DohertyKill+1.1%
Kill by Brooke Doherty (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 1 · BRYANT 2-3 APP ST · APP ST 89% → 91%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Bryantaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Kaitlin CurranOH	3	12	4	24	.333	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	12
13Hannah JacksonOH	3	6	2	13	.308	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	1.5	7.5
16Layla OlatundeMB	3	6	2	17	.235	1	0	1	3	0	0	2	1	7
14Cara LewandowskiOH	3	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	1	7
5Madison KeemS	3	3	0	6	.500	29	1	2	3	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
15Alicia JohansenMB	3	3	0	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
12Kalia AlvaradoOH	3	1	1	5	.000	2	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
1Carrina BarronL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
4Claudia Camacho-CastroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	9	1	0	0	0	0
17Sophia GonzalezOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
2Luiza BergamaschiL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	13	92	.261	35	2	9	36	10	3	4	5	59

App Statehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Delanie GrevengoedOH	3	9	1	15	.533	0	8	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	17.5
10Bella HutchensOH	3	11	3	27	.296	1	1	2	4	0	1	0	1	13
2Brooke DohertyOH	3	9	3	24	.250	1	0	1	5	1	1	1	1.5	10.5
8Chelsea GilmoreMB	3	4	0	11	.364	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	2.5	6.5
98Lou JohnsonMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
18Raegan RichardsonS	3	1	0	3	.333	30	0	1	5	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
24Iris WilliamsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
4MeMe DavisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	3	9	0	0	0	0	0
1Eva GoodsonS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Amber McClainMB	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Amelia MancinoOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Bella DaffornL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	8	91	.341	35	10	11	31	2	4	4	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 BRYANT · APP ST 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 BRYANTAPP ST 6

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 2 BRYANTAPP ST 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 7 BRYANTAPP ST 6

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = Bryant leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Bryant

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	30%3/10
2	54%7/13	13%1/8
3	35%7/20	30%3/10
4	43%6/14	42%5/12
5	67%6/9	33%3/9
6	63%5/8	50%6/12
All	52%38/73	34%21/61

App State

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	33%3/9
2	78%7/9	30%3/10
3	70%7/10	42%5/12
4	55%6/11	74%17/23
5	75%6/8	33%3/9
6	50%6/12	40%4/10
All	66%40/61	48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	BRYANT-APP ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+1.2
2	1-1	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.8
3	2-1	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.9
4	2-2	BRYANT	APP ST×3	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+0.8
5	2-3	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+1.1
6	2-4	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Hannah Jackson	blk Chelsea Gilmore	+1.0
7	3-4	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.7
8	3-5	BRYANT	APP ST×3	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.7
9	3-6	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Hannah Jackson	blk Chelsea Gilmore, Brooke Doherty	+0.9
10	3-7	APP ST	APP ST×3	Ace	APP ST server	aced Team	+0.7
11	4-7	APP ST	BRYANT×3	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+0.5
12	5-7	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Claudia Camacho-Castro	+0.9
13	6-7	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Kill	Madison Keem	set Carrina Barron	+1.1
14	6-8	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+0.7
15	7-8	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.8
16	8-8	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Bella Hutchens		+1.4
17	8-9	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.9
18	9-9	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+1.0
19	9-10	BRYANT	APP ST	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.9
20	9-11	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+1.3
21	10-11	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.9
22	10-12	BRYANT	APP ST	Attack err	Kalia Alvarado		+0.9
23	11-12	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.9
24	11-13	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.9
25	12-13	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+1.0
26	13-13	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Brooke Doherty		+1.7
27	13-14	BRYANT	APP ST×6	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+1.1
28	13-15	APP ST	APP ST×6	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+1.5
29	13-16	APP ST	APP ST×6	Ace	APP ST server	aced Hannah Jackson	+1.2
30	13-17	APP ST	APP ST×6	Ace	APP ST server	aced Kaitlin Curran	+0.9
31	13-18	APP ST	APP ST×6	Ace	APP ST server	aced Cara Lewandowski	+0.6
32	13-19	APP ST	APP ST×6	Ace	APP ST server	aced Kaitlin Curran	+0.4
33	14-19	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.2
34	15-19	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+0.4
35	15-20	BRYANT	APP ST	Attack err	Layla Olatunde	blk Brooke Doherty	+0.4
36	15-21	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3
37	16-21	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+0.1
38	17-21	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Kalia Alvarado	set Madison Keem	+0.3
39	17-22	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Raegan Richardson	set Brooke Doherty	+0.3
40	17-23	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.2
41	18-23	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.0
42	18-24	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.1
43	19-24	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Madison Keem	set Kalia Alvarado	+0.0
44	19-25	BRYANT	APP ST	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.7
2	1-1	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.5
3	1-2	BRYANT	APP ST	Bad set	Cara Lewandowski		+0.5
4	2-2	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+0.5
5	2-3	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.5
6	2-4	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Layla Olatunde		+0.7
7	3-4	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.5
8	4-4	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Delanie Grevengoed	blk Cara Lewandowski	+0.8
9	4-5	BRYANT	APP ST	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.5
10	5-5	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+0.6
11	5-6	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+0.5
12	6-6	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Madison Keem	set Kalia Alvarado	+0.6
13	6-7	BRYANT	APP ST	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.6
14	7-7	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.6
15	7-8	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.6
16	8-8	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.7
17	8-9	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.6
18	8-10	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set MeMe Davis	+0.8
19	9-10	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.6
20	9-11	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.6
21	10-11	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+0.6
22	10-12	BRYANT	APP ST×3	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.6
23	10-13	APP ST	APP ST×3	Bad set	Madison Keem		+0.7
24	10-14	APP ST	APP ST×3	Bad set	Madison Keem		+0.6
25	11-14	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+0.3
26	12-14	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Layla Olatunde	+0.7
27	12-15	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Iris Williams	+0.5
28	13-15	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.5
29	13-16	BRYANT	APP ST	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+0.5
30	13-17	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens		+0.6
31	14-17	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.4
32	14-18	BRYANT	APP ST	Bad set	Madison Keem		+0.4
33	15-18	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.3
34	15-19	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
35	15-20	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Cara Lewandowski	blk Delanie Grevengoed, Raegan Richardson	+0.4
36	16-20	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+0.2
37	17-20	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Brooke Doherty	blk Hannah Jackson	+0.5
38	17-21	BRYANT	APP ST	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.4
39	18-21	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Layla Olatunde	set Madison Keem	+0.3
40	18-22	BRYANT	APP ST×4	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
41	18-23	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3
42	18-24	APP ST	APP ST×4	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+0.1
43	18-25	APP ST	APP ST×4	Ace	APP ST server	aced Kaitlin Curran	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	BRYANT	APP ST	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.2
2	1-1	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.3
3	2-1	BRYANT	BRYANT	Ace	BRYANT server	aced Brooke Doherty	+0.4
4	2-2	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3
5	2-3	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Cara Lewandowski	blk Chelsea Gilmore	+0.4
6	3-3	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Hannah Jackson	set Madison Keem	+0.3
7	4-3	BRYANT	BRYANT	Attack err	Brooke Doherty	blk Hannah Jackson, Layla Olatunde	+0.5
8	4-4	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3
9	5-4	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+0.3
10	6-4	BRYANT	BRYANT	Kill	Cara Lewandowski	set Madison Keem	+0.5
11	6-5	BRYANT	APP ST	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.3
12	6-6	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Sophia Gonzalez	blk Bella Hutchens	+0.5
13	7-6	APP ST	BRYANT	Attack err	Bella Hutchens	blk Madison Keem, Layla Olatunde	+0.4
14	7-7	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3
15	7-8	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Madison Keem	+0.4
16	8-8	APP ST	BRYANT	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Claudia Camacho-Castro	+0.3
17	8-9	BRYANT	APP ST	Serve err	BRYANT server		+0.3
18	8-10	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
19	9-10	APP ST	BRYANT×3	Kill	Alicia Johansen	set Madison Keem	+0.3
20	10-10	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Bad set	Raegan Richardson		+0.5
21	11-10	BRYANT	BRYANT×3	Ace	BRYANT server	aced Team	+0.6
22	11-11	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
23	11-12	APP ST	APP ST	Ace	APP ST server	aced Claudia Camacho-Castro	+0.5
24	12-12	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.4
25	12-13	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Lou Johnson	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
26	12-14	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Raegan Richardson	+0.5
27	13-14	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.3
28	13-15	BRYANT	APP ST×6	Kill	Delanie Grevengoed	set Cara Lewandowski	+0.3
29	13-16	APP ST	APP ST×6	Ace	APP ST server	aced Hannah Jackson	+0.4
30	13-17	APP ST	APP ST×6	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set MeMe Davis	+0.3
31	13-18	APP ST	APP ST×6	Ace	APP ST server	aced Team	+0.2
32	13-19	APP ST	APP ST×6	Attack err	Cara Lewandowski		+0.1
33	13-20	APP ST	APP ST×6	Ace	APP ST server	aced Team	+0.1
34	14-20	APP ST	BRYANT	Serve err	APP ST server		+0.0
35	14-21	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Brooke Doherty	set Bella Hutchens	+0.0
36	14-22	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.0
37	15-22	APP ST	BRYANT	Attack err	Bella Hutchens	blk Madison Keem	+0.0
38	15-23	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.0
39	15-24	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Kaitlin Curran		+0.0
40	16-24	APP ST	BRYANT×7	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.0
41	17-24	BRYANT	BRYANT×7	Attack err	Amber McClain		+0.0
42	18-24	BRYANT	BRYANT×7	Kill	Kaitlin Curran		+0.0
43	19-24	BRYANT	BRYANT×7	Kill	Alicia Johansen	set Raegan Richardson	+0.0
44	20-24	BRYANT	BRYANT×7	Kill	Alicia Johansen	set Madison Keem	+0.0
45	21-24	BRYANT	BRYANT×7	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.1
46	22-24	BRYANT	BRYANT×7	Kill	Kaitlin Curran	set Madison Keem	+0.2
47	22-25	BRYANT	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Bryant first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.