Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

Davidson def. Winthrop 3–2

Davidson beat visiting Winthrop 3-2 (25-22, 21-25, 25-15, 18-25, 18-16) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Elena Garcia-Guerrios led Davidson with 20 kills; Winthrop's Paige Bennett had a match-high 22.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set12345Sets
WINTHR22251525162
DAVID25212518183

Win probability

Davidson above 50 · Winthrop below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+27.1% DAVIDrally 210 · set 5

Biggest swing: 27.1% to Davidson — set 5, WINTHR 14-14 DAVID. Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Ylame Dsamou). DAVID win probability 20% → 47%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WINTHR 46.9%53.1% DAVID

Winthrop wins

3-0
11.3%
3-1
17.5%
3-2
18.2%

Davidson wins

3-0
13.8%
3-1
20.0%
3-2
19.2%
WINTHR break %
41.7% vs this opp
DAVID break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Ylame Dsamou)

    Set 5 · WINTHR 14-14 DAVID · DAVID 20% → 47%

  2. 02
    Ariyana JohnsonKill+26.7%

    Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Ylame Dsamou)

    Set 5 · WINTHR 14-15 DAVID · DAVID 47% → 74%

  3. 03

    Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Kinsey Smith)

    Set 5 · WINTHR 16-18 DAVID · DAVID 74% → 100%

  4. 04
    WinthropAce+20.6%

    Winthrop ace

    Set 5 · WINTHR 14-12 DAVID · WINTHR 68% → 88%

  5. 05
    Reece RhoadsKill+19.3%

    Kill by Reece Rhoads (set by Cami Roberts)

    Set 5 · WINTHR 15-15 DAVID · WINTHR 26% → 46%

  6. 06

    Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Ylame Dsamou)

    Set 5 · WINTHR 15-16 DAVID · DAVID 54% → 74%

  7. 07
    Paige BennettKill+19.3%

    Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Cami Roberts)

    Set 5 · WINTHR 16-16 DAVID · WINTHR 26% → 46%

  8. 08
    Ngodoo HarrisBlock+19.3%

    Reece Rhoads stuffed by Ngodoo Harris

    Set 5 · WINTHR 16-17 DAVID · DAVID 54% → 74%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
522855.255033121010.525.5
59323.26100020132.511.5
58623.08700020010.58.5
48519.15800182010.58.5
1102.5001400300001
11011.000000000001
59631.0970115006313
5001.0006202200002
5000–220810002
4108.125380050010.51.5
3000–002000000
24211.18201020010.55.5
1003.000000000000
Team totals6330177.18660976951148103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520350.340122122010.522.5
514748.14600010100014
56316.188000200217
5001.0004411190010.51.5
46416.125000200006
2103.333001101012
55317.118100710216
5001.0006131910001
5001.000011200001
39110.8000001002110
2000–000010000
1000–300000000
Team totals6121163.2455558759185107

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 WINTHR · DAVID 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 WINTHRDAVID 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 WINTHRDAVID 3

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 WINTHRDAVID 6

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 4 WINTHRDAVID 3

Set 5

16-18

Longest run 2 WINTHRDAVID 3

Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = Winthrop leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Winthrop

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%13/20
21%3/14
2
57%12/21
40%8/20
3
60%12/20
40%8/20
4
69%11/16
42%8/19
5
69%9/13
45%9/20
6
53%9/17
10%1/10
All
62%66/107
36%37/103

Davidson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
93%13/14
50%11/22
2
63%12/19
35%7/20
3
52%12/23
43%9/21
4
48%11/23
37%7/19
5
75%9/12
31%4/13
6
75%9/12
25%3/12
All
64%66/103
38%41/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

210 rallies

#WINTHR-DAVIDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Trabrece Marbley+2.5
20-2DAVIDDAVIDAttack errGiselle Little+2.5
31-2DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
41-3WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.8
51-4DAVIDDAVIDBlockedLaila Gloverblk Melanie Tilles+2.4
62-4DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.6
72-5WINTHRDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.8
83-5DAVIDWINTHRKillKimanni Rugleyset Lexi Thatcher+1.7
94-5WINTHRWINTHRAttack errAriyana Johnson+2.5
104-6WINTHRDAVIDServe errWinthrop+2.0
115-6DAVIDWINTHR×4BlockedMia Compasblk Trabrece Marbley, Teagan Sychterz+1.9
126-6WINTHRWINTHR×4KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+2.8
137-6WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errAriyana Johnson+2.9
148-6WINTHRWINTHR×4KillLexi Thatcherset Kinsey Smith+2.9
158-7WINTHRDAVIDBlockedTrabrece Marbleyblk Mia Compas, Kinsey Smith+2.0
169-7DAVIDWINTHRKillTrabrece Marbleyset Lexi Thatcher+2.2
179-8WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.1
1810-8DAVIDWINTHRServe errDavidson+2.2
1910-9WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Adlee Grissett+2.1
2010-10DAVIDDAVIDAttack errGiselle Little+3.2
2111-10DAVIDWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Lexi Thatcher+2.4
2211-11WINTHRDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+2.4
2312-11DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.5
2412-12WINTHRDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+2.4
2513-12DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+2.6
2613-13WINTHRDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Lexi Thatcher+2.5
2713-14DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+3.7
2814-14DAVIDWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher+2.6
2914-15WINTHRDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Adlee Grissett+2.8
3015-15DAVIDWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher+2.8
3115-16WINTHRDAVIDAttack errTrabrece Marbley+2.9
3216-16DAVIDWINTHR×3Serve errDavidson+2.9
3317-16WINTHRWINTHR×3Serve errWinthrop+4.3
3418-16WINTHRWINTHR×3KillGiselle Littleset Addison Torain+4.3
3518-17WINTHRDAVID×3Attack errGiselle Little+2.8
3618-18DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errGiselle Little+4.5
3718-19DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+4.9
3819-19DAVIDWINTHRKillTrabrece Marbleyset Lexi Thatcher+3.5
3919-20WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+3.8
4020-20DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+3.8
4120-21WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+4.3
4221-21DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+4.2
4321-22WINTHRDAVID×3Attack errPaige Bennett+4.8
4421-23DAVIDDAVID×3Bad setLexi Thatcher+6.4
4521-24DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+4.5
4622-24DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher+1.3
4722-25WINTHRDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+3.0
Set 2
10-1WINTHRDAVIDKillAriyana Johnsonset Kinsey Smith+1.8
21-1DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+1.8
32-1WINTHRWINTHRBlockedMeile Songailablk Laila Glover, Teagan Sychterz+2.5
42-2WINTHRDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+1.8
53-2DAVIDWINTHR×3KillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+1.9
64-2WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWinthropaced Adlee Grissett+2.6
75-2WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+2.5
85-3WINTHRDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.7
96-3DAVIDWINTHR×5KillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+1.8
107-3WINTHRWINTHR×5Attack errMeile Songaila+2.4
118-3WINTHRWINTHR×5AceWinthrop+2.1
129-3WINTHRWINTHR×5AceWinthropaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.8
1310-3WINTHRWINTHR×5Attack errMeile Songaila+1.5
1410-4WINTHRDAVIDAttack errPaige Bennett+0.8
1511-4DAVIDWINTHRKillTrabrece Marbleyset Cami Roberts+1.1
1611-5WINTHRDAVIDAttack errGiselle Little+0.8
1712-5DAVIDWINTHRServe errDavidson+1.1
1812-6WINTHRDAVIDKillMelanie Tillesset Kinsey Smith+0.8
1912-7DAVIDDAVIDAttack errTrabrece Marbley+1.4
2013-7DAVIDWINTHRKillTrabrece Marbleyset Cami Roberts+1.3
2113-8WINTHRDAVIDAttack errLaila Glover+1.0
2214-8DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+1.3
2314-9WINTHRDAVIDAttack errTeagan Sychterz+1.0
2414-10DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Elena Garcia-Guerrios+1.8
2515-10DAVIDWINTHR×3Serve errDavidson+1.6
2616-10WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errAriyana Johnson+1.8
2717-10WINTHRWINTHR×3Bad setAdlee Grissett+1.3
2817-11WINTHRDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Ellie Ocampo+0.6
2917-12DAVIDDAVIDAttack errTeagan Sychterz+1.2
3018-12DAVIDWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Cami Roberts+1.2
3118-13WINTHRDAVIDAttack errPaige Bennett+0.8
3219-13DAVIDWINTHRKillCami Robertsset Addison Torain+1.2
3319-14WINTHRDAVIDServe errWinthrop+0.7
3420-14DAVIDWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Cami Roberts+1.1
3520-15WINTHRDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.6
3620-16DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Adlee Grissett+1.4
3720-17DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.1
3821-17DAVIDWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Cami Roberts+2.2
3921-18WINTHRDAVIDServe errWinthrop+1.4
4022-18DAVIDWINTHRServe errDavidson+2.2
4122-19WINTHRDAVIDBad setCami Roberts+1.2
4222-20DAVIDDAVIDAttack errLaila Glover+2.8
4323-20DAVIDWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Cami Roberts+3.3
4424-20WINTHRWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Cami Roberts+2.5
4524-21WINTHRDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+0.5
4625-21DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Alyah Cadavid+1.3
Set 3
11-0DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+2.4
21-1WINTHRDAVID×5KillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+2.4
31-2DAVIDDAVID×5AceDavidsonaced Trabrece Marbley+3.4
41-3DAVIDDAVID×5Bad setCami Roberts+3.4
51-4DAVIDDAVID×5Attack errTeagan Sychterz+3.2
61-5DAVIDDAVID×5AceDavidson+3.0
72-5DAVIDWINTHRBlockedEllie Ocampoblk Paige Bennett, Teagan Sychterz+2.0
82-6WINTHRDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Adlee Grissett+2.2
92-7DAVIDDAVIDAttack errPaige Bennett+2.7
103-7DAVIDWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Cami Roberts+1.7
113-8WINTHRDAVIDKillMia Compasset Cami Roberts+2.0
124-8DAVIDWINTHR×3KillTeagan Sychterzset Cami Roberts+1.7
135-8WINTHRWINTHR×3KillTrabrece Marbleyset Alyah Cadavid+2.8
146-8WINTHRWINTHR×3KillGiselle Littleset Cami Roberts+3.2
156-9WINTHRDAVID×3Attack errTeagan Sychterz+2.6
166-10DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errGiselle Little+3.3
176-11DAVIDDAVID×3Attack errTrabrece Marbley+2.8
187-11DAVIDWINTHRAttack errMia Compas+1.7
198-11WINTHRWINTHRAttack errEllie Ocampo+2.9
208-12WINTHRDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.5
218-13DAVIDDAVID×3KillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+2.9
228-14DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.3
239-14DAVIDWINTHRKillTrabrece Marbleyset Addison Torain+1.2
249-15WINTHRDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+1.6
2510-15DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain+1.2
2610-16WINTHRDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+1.6
2710-17DAVIDDAVIDKillMeile Songailaset Adlee Grissett+1.6
2811-17DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+0.7
2911-18WINTHRDAVID×6KillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+1.1
3011-19DAVIDDAVID×6Attack errTeagan Sychterz+0.9
3111-20DAVIDDAVID×6KillMeile Songaila+0.5
3211-21DAVIDDAVID×6AceDavidsonaced Paige Bennett+0.2
3311-22DAVIDDAVID×6Attack errPaige Bennett+0.1
3411-23DAVIDDAVID×6BlockedPaige Bennettblk Mia Compas, Ellie Ocampo·
3512-23DAVIDWINTHR×3Serve errDavidson·
3613-23WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errElena Garcia-Guerrios·
3714-23WINTHRWINTHR×3KillTrabrece Marbleyset Cami Roberts·
3814-24WINTHRDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith·
3915-24DAVIDWINTHRKillTrabrece Marbleyset Cami Roberts·
4015-25WINTHRDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith·
Set 4
10-1WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.3
21-1DAVIDWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Cami Roberts+2.4
31-2WINTHRDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+2.4
41-3DAVIDDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+3.3
52-3DAVIDWINTHR×3KillLaila Gloverset Cami Roberts+2.3
63-3WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errMia Compas+3.4
74-3WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWinthropaced Elena Garcia-Guerrios+3.5
84-4WINTHRDAVIDAttack errPaige Bennett+2.5
95-4DAVIDWINTHRServe errDavidson+2.6
106-4WINTHRWINTHRBlockedMeile Songailablk Cami Roberts, Teagan Sychterz+3.6
116-5WINTHRDAVIDServe errWinthrop+2.5
127-5DAVIDWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Cami Roberts+2.7
137-6WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+2.5
148-6DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+2.7
158-7WINTHRDAVIDAttack errTrabrece Marbley+2.6
169-7DAVIDWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Cami Roberts+2.8
179-8WINTHRDAVIDServe errWinthrop+2.7
189-9DAVIDDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+4.0
1910-9DAVIDWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+3.0
2011-9WINTHRWINTHR×4KillLaila Gloverset Addison Torain+4.1
2112-9WINTHRWINTHR×4BlockedMeile Songailablk Laila Glover, Teagan Sychterz+3.9
2213-9WINTHRWINTHR×4AceWinthrop+3.6
2313-10WINTHRDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Kinsey Smith+2.2
2414-10DAVIDWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Cami Roberts+2.6
2515-10WINTHRWINTHRAttack errEllie Ocampo+3.0
2615-11WINTHRDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+1.7
2715-12DAVIDDAVIDAttack errTeagan Sychterz+3.0
2816-12DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+2.7
2916-13WINTHRDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+2.2
3017-13DAVIDWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Kinsey Smith+2.8
3118-13WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWinthropaced Ellie Ocampo+3.0
3219-13WINTHRWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Cami Roberts+2.1
3319-14WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+0.9
3420-14DAVIDWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Cami Roberts+1.5
3520-15WINTHRDAVID×3KillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+0.8
3620-16DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+1.8
3720-17DAVIDDAVID×3BlockedReece Rhoadsblk Ngodoo Harris, Ellie Ocampo+2.8
3821-17DAVIDWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Cami Roberts+2.9
3921-18WINTHRDAVIDServe errWinthrop+1.9
4022-18DAVIDWINTHR×4KillLaila Gloverset Cami Roberts+2.9
4123-18WINTHRWINTHR×4BlockedMeile Songailablk Laila Glover, Teagan Sychterz+2.3
4224-18WINTHRWINTHR×4AceWinthropaced Peyton Garrick+0.9
4325-18WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+1.4
Set 5
11-0DAVIDWINTHRAttack errElena Garcia-Guerrios+6.4
22-0WINTHRWINTHRAceWinthropaced Meile Songaila+8.8
32-1WINTHRDAVIDBlockedPaige Bennettblk Ngodoo Harris, Elena Garcia-Guerrios+6.0
43-1DAVIDWINTHRServe errDavidson+6.6
53-2WINTHRDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+6.2
64-2DAVIDWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Cami Roberts+6.9
74-3WINTHRDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+6.4
84-4DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Adlee Grissett+9.8
94-5DAVIDDAVID×3KillMeile Songailaset Kinsey Smith+10.3
105-5DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+7.4
116-5WINTHRWINTHRAttack errMeile Songaila+10.9
126-6WINTHRDAVIDServe errWinthrop+7.8
137-6DAVIDWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Cami Roberts+8.4
147-7WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+8.2
157-8DAVIDDAVIDAceDavidsonaced Alyah Cadavid+12.2
168-8DAVIDWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Cami Roberts+8.7
179-8WINTHRWINTHRBlockedNgodoo Harrisblk Reece Rhoads, Giselle Little+13.2
189-9WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+9.4
1910-9DAVIDWINTHRBlockedElena Garcia-Guerriosblk Laila Glover+10.4
2010-10WINTHRDAVIDKillNgodoo Harrisset Kinsey Smith+10.2
2111-10DAVIDWINTHRKillLaila Gloverset Cami Roberts+11.6
2211-11WINTHRDAVIDKillEllie Ocamposet Adlee Grissett+11.2
2312-11DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+13.1
2412-12WINTHRDAVIDKillMia Compasset Kinsey Smith+12.6
2513-12DAVIDWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Cami Roberts+15.6
2614-12WINTHRWINTHRAceWinthrop+20.6
2714-13WINTHRDAVID×3Bad setCami Roberts+8.3
2814-14DAVIDDAVID×3KillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+27.1
2914-15DAVIDDAVID×3KillAriyana Johnsonset Ylame Dsamou+26.7
3015-15DAVIDWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Cami Roberts+19.3
3115-16WINTHRDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Ylame Dsamou+19.3
3216-16DAVIDWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Cami Roberts+19.3
3316-17WINTHRDAVIDBlockedReece Rhoadsblk Ngodoo Harris+19.3
3416-18DAVIDDAVIDKillElena Garcia-Guerriosset Kinsey Smith+26.4

Score shown after each rally, Winthrop first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).