Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayBIG-SOUTH

2:3

HomeATLANTIC-10

Davidson def. Winthrop 3–2

(25-22, 21-25, 25-15, 18-25, 18-16)

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
WINTHR	22	25	15	25	16	2
DAVID	25	21	25	18	18	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DAVID above 50 · WINTHR below

Biggest swing: 27.8% to Davidson — set 5, WINTHR 14-14 DAVID. Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Ylame Dsamou). DAVID win probability 22% → 49%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WINTHR 35.9%64.1% DAVID

Winthrop wins

3-0

7.4%

3-1

12.9%

3-2

15.6%

Davidson wins

3-0

19.5%

3-1

24.6%

3-2

20.0%

WINTHR break %: 41.0% vs this opp
DAVID break %: 43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Elena Garcia-GuerriosKill+27.8%
Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Ylame Dsamou)
Set 5 · WINTHR 14-14 DAVID · DAVID 22% → 49%
02
Ariyana JohnsonKill+26.1%
Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Ylame Dsamou)
Set 5 · WINTHR 14-15 DAVID · DAVID 49% → 76%
03
Elena Garcia-GuerriosKill+24.4%
Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Kinsey Smith)
Set 5 · WINTHR 16-18 DAVID · DAVID 76% → 100%
04
WINTHR serverAce+21.7%
Winthrop ace on Team
Set 5 · WINTHR 14-12 DAVID · WINTHR 66% → 87%
05
Reece RhoadsKill+19.0%
Kill by Reece Rhoads (set by Cami Roberts)
Set 5 · WINTHR 15-15 DAVID · WINTHR 24% → 43%
06
Elena Garcia-GuerriosKill+19.0%
Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Ylame Dsamou)
Set 5 · WINTHR 15-16 DAVID · DAVID 57% → 76%
07
Paige BennettKill+19.0%
Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Cami Roberts)
Set 5 · WINTHR 16-16 DAVID · WINTHR 24% → 43%
08
Reece RhoadsAttack error+19.0%
Reece Rhoads stuffed by Ngodoo Harris
Set 5 · WINTHR 16-17 DAVID · DAVID 57% → 76%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Winthropaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Paige BennettOH	5	22	8	55	.255	0	3	3	12	1	0	1	0.5	25.5
20Laila GloverOPP	5	9	3	23	.261	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	11.5
9Giselle LittleMB	5	8	6	23	.087	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
3Trabrece MarbleyOH	4	8	5	19	.158	0	0	1	8	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
4Lexi ThatcherS	1	1	0	2	.500	14	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
8Kimanni RugleyMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
23Teagan SychterzMB	5	9	6	31	.097	0	1	1	5	0	0	6	3	13
14Addison TorainDS	5	0	0	1	.000	6	2	0	22	0	0	0	0	2
13Alyah CadavidDS	5	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	8	1	0	0	0	2
22Cami RobertsS	4	1	0	8	.125	38	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
6Lindsay LangnerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Reece RhoadsOH	2	4	2	11	.182	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
7KeAra BowenOPP	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		63	30	177	.186	60	9	7	69	5	1	14	8	103

Davidsonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Elena Garcia-GuerriosOH	5	20	3	50	.340	1	2	2	12	2	0	1	0.5	22.5
15Meile SongailaOH	5	14	7	48	.146	0	0	0	10	1	0	0	0	14
14Mia CompasMB	5	6	3	16	.188	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	7
3Kinsey SmithS	5	0	0	1	.000	44	1	1	19	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
10Ariyana JohnsonOH	4	6	4	16	.125	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6
20Melanie TillesMB	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	2
12Ellie OcampoOH	5	5	3	17	.118	1	0	0	7	1	0	2	1	6
1Adlee GrissettL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	6	1	3	19	1	0	0	0	1
13Brooke BriscoeDS	5	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
5Ngodoo HarrisOH	3	9	1	10	.800	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	10
2Peyton GarrickL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
4Ylame DsamouS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		61	21	163	.245	55	5	8	75	9	1	8	5	107

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 WINTHR · DAVID 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 WINTHRDAVID 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 WINTHRDAVID 3

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 WINTHRDAVID 6

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 4 WINTHRDAVID 3

Set 5

16-18

Longest run 2 WINTHRDAVID 3

Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = Winthrop leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Winthrop

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	65%13/20	21%3/14
2	57%12/21	40%8/20
3	60%12/20	40%8/20
4	69%11/16	42%8/19
5	69%9/13	45%9/20
6	53%9/17	10%1/10
All	62%66/107	36%37/103

Davidson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	93%13/14	50%11/22
2	63%12/19	35%7/20
3	52%12/23	43%9/21
4	48%11/23	37%7/19
5	75%9/12	31%4/13
6	75%9/12	25%3/12
All	64%66/103	38%41/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

210 rallies

Rally log

#	WINTHR-DAVID	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	DAVID	DAVID	Ace	DAVID server	aced Trabrece Marbley	+2.3
2	0-2	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Giselle Little		+2.2
3	1-2	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.6
4	1-3	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+1.6
5	1-4	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Laila Glover	blk Melanie Tilles	+2.1
6	2-4	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.5
7	2-5	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+1.6
8	3-5	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Kimanni Rugley	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.5
9	4-5	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		+2.3
10	4-6	WINTHR	DAVID	Serve err	WINTHR server		+1.8
11	5-6	DAVID	WINTHR×4	Attack err	Mia Compas	blk Trabrece Marbley, Teagan Sychterz	+1.7
12	6-6	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.6
13	7-6	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		+2.8
14	8-6	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Lexi Thatcher	set Kinsey Smith	+2.8
15	8-7	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Trabrece Marbley	blk Mia Compas, Kinsey Smith	+2.0
16	9-7	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Trabrece Marbley	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.2
17	9-8	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+2.0
18	10-8	DAVID	WINTHR	Serve err	DAVID server		+2.2
19	10-9	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Adlee Grissett	+2.1
20	10-10	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Giselle Little		+3.0
21	11-10	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.3
22	11-11	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+2.2
23	12-11	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.4
24	12-12	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+2.3
25	13-12	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.5
26	13-13	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.4
27	13-14	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+3.4
28	14-14	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.5
29	14-15	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Adlee Grissett	+2.6
30	15-15	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Lexi Thatcher	+2.6
31	15-16	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Trabrece Marbley		+2.7
32	16-16	DAVID	WINTHR×3	Serve err	DAVID server		+2.8
33	17-16	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Serve err	WINTHR server		+4.1
34	18-16	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Giselle Little	set Addison Torain	+4.2
35	18-17	WINTHR	DAVID×3	Attack err	Giselle Little		+2.7
36	18-18	DAVID	DAVID×3	Attack err	Giselle Little		+4.3
37	18-19	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+4.5
38	19-19	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Trabrece Marbley	set Lexi Thatcher	+3.3
39	19-20	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+3.6
40	20-20	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+3.6
41	20-21	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+4.0
42	21-21	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+4.0
43	21-22	WINTHR	DAVID×3	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+4.5
44	21-23	DAVID	DAVID×3	Bad set	Lexi Thatcher		+5.8
45	21-24	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+3.9
46	22-24	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Lexi Thatcher	+1.1
47	22-25	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+2.6
Set 2
1	0-1	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+1.5
2	1-1	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+1.5
3	2-1	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Meile Songaila	blk Laila Glover, Teagan Sychterz	+2.1
4	2-2	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+1.5
5	3-2	DAVID	WINTHR×3	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+1.6
6	4-2	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Adlee Grissett	+2.3
7	5-2	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		+2.2
8	5-3	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+1.5
9	6-3	DAVID	WINTHR×5	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+1.7
10	7-3	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Attack err	Meile Songaila		+2.2
11	8-3	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Team	+2.0
12	9-3	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Elena Garcia-Guerrios	+1.8
13	10-3	WINTHR	WINTHR×5	Attack err	Meile Songaila		+1.5
14	10-4	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+0.9
15	11-4	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Trabrece Marbley	set Cami Roberts	+1.1
16	11-5	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Giselle Little		+0.8
17	12-5	DAVID	WINTHR	Serve err	DAVID server		+1.1
18	12-6	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Melanie Tilles	set Kinsey Smith	+0.8
19	12-7	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Trabrece Marbley		+1.4
20	13-7	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Trabrece Marbley	set Cami Roberts	+1.3
21	13-8	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Laila Glover		+1.0
22	14-8	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+1.3
23	14-9	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+1.0
24	14-10	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Elena Garcia-Guerrios	+1.7
25	15-10	DAVID	WINTHR×3	Serve err	DAVID server		+1.6
26	16-10	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		+1.8
27	17-10	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Bad set	Adlee Grissett		+1.3
28	17-11	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Ellie Ocampo	+0.6
29	17-12	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+1.2
30	18-12	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+1.2
31	18-13	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+0.8
32	19-13	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Cami Roberts	set Addison Torain	+1.2
33	19-14	WINTHR	DAVID	Serve err	WINTHR server		+0.7
34	20-14	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Cami Roberts	+1.1
35	20-15	WINTHR	DAVID×3	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+0.6
36	20-16	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Adlee Grissett	+1.3
37	20-17	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+2.0
38	21-17	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Cami Roberts	+2.1
39	21-18	WINTHR	DAVID	Serve err	WINTHR server		+1.3
40	22-18	DAVID	WINTHR	Serve err	DAVID server		+2.1
41	22-19	WINTHR	DAVID	Bad set	Cami Roberts		+1.2
42	22-20	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Laila Glover		+2.6
43	23-20	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+3.1
44	24-20	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+2.5
45	24-21	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+0.5
46	25-21	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Alyah Cadavid	+1.3
Set 3
1	1-0	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Addison Torain	+2.4
2	1-1	WINTHR	DAVID×5	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+2.3
3	1-2	DAVID	DAVID×5	Ace	DAVID server	aced Trabrece Marbley	+3.2
4	1-3	DAVID	DAVID×5	Bad set	Cami Roberts		+3.1
5	1-4	DAVID	DAVID×5	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+2.9
6	1-5	DAVID	DAVID×5	Ace	DAVID server	aced Team	+2.6
7	2-5	DAVID	WINTHR	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo	blk Paige Bennett, Teagan Sychterz	+1.8
8	2-6	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Adlee Grissett	+1.9
9	2-7	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+2.3
10	3-7	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+1.5
11	3-8	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Cami Roberts	+1.7
12	4-8	DAVID	WINTHR×3	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+1.5
13	5-8	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Trabrece Marbley	set Alyah Cadavid	+2.5
14	6-8	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Giselle Little	set Cami Roberts	+2.9
15	6-9	WINTHR	DAVID×3	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+2.3
16	6-10	DAVID	DAVID×3	Attack err	Giselle Little		+2.8
17	6-11	DAVID	DAVID×3	Attack err	Trabrece Marbley		+2.4
18	7-11	DAVID	WINTHR	Attack err	Mia Compas		+1.5
19	8-11	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo		+2.5
20	8-12	WINTHR	DAVID×3	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+2.2
21	8-13	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+2.5
22	8-14	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+1.9
23	9-14	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Trabrece Marbley	set Addison Torain	+1.1
24	9-15	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+1.4
25	10-15	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Addison Torain	+1.0
26	10-16	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Kinsey Smith	+1.4
27	10-17	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Adlee Grissett	+1.3
28	11-17	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+0.6
29	11-18	WINTHR	DAVID×6	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+0.9
30	11-19	DAVID	DAVID×6	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+0.7
31	11-20	DAVID	DAVID×6	Kill	Meile Songaila		+0.4
32	11-21	DAVID	DAVID×6	Ace	DAVID server	aced Paige Bennett	+0.2
33	11-22	DAVID	DAVID×6	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+0.1
34	11-23	DAVID	DAVID×6	Attack err	Paige Bennett	blk Mia Compas, Ellie Ocampo	+0.0
35	12-23	DAVID	WINTHR×3	Serve err	DAVID server		+0.0
36	13-23	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.0
37	14-23	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Trabrece Marbley	set Cami Roberts	+0.0
38	14-24	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+0.0
39	15-24	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Trabrece Marbley	set Cami Roberts	+0.0
40	15-25	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Kinsey Smith	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+2.0
2	1-1	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Cami Roberts	+2.1
3	1-2	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+2.1
4	1-3	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Kinsey Smith	+2.7
5	2-3	DAVID	WINTHR×3	Kill	Laila Glover	set Cami Roberts	+2.0
6	3-3	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Attack err	Mia Compas		+2.9
7	4-3	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Elena Garcia-Guerrios	+3.1
8	4-4	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+2.2
9	5-4	DAVID	WINTHR	Serve err	DAVID server		+2.4
10	6-4	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Meile Songaila	blk Cami Roberts, Teagan Sychterz	+3.3
11	6-5	WINTHR	DAVID	Serve err	WINTHR server		+2.3
12	7-5	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+2.5
13	7-6	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+2.3
14	8-6	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+2.6
15	8-7	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Trabrece Marbley		+2.4
16	9-7	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Cami Roberts	+2.7
17	9-8	WINTHR	DAVID	Serve err	WINTHR server		+2.5
18	9-9	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+3.5
19	10-9	DAVID	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+2.8
20	11-9	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Laila Glover	set Addison Torain	+3.8
21	12-9	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Attack err	Meile Songaila	blk Laila Glover, Teagan Sychterz	+3.7
22	13-9	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Team	+3.5
23	13-10	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Kinsey Smith	+2.1
24	14-10	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Cami Roberts	+2.6
25	15-10	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Ellie Ocampo		+3.1
26	15-11	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+1.7
27	15-12	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+2.9
28	16-12	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+2.8
29	16-13	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+2.2
30	17-13	DAVID	WINTHR×3	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Kinsey Smith	+2.8
31	18-13	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Ellie Ocampo	+3.1
32	19-13	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Cami Roberts	+2.2
33	19-14	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+1.0
34	20-14	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Cami Roberts	+1.6
35	20-15	WINTHR	DAVID×3	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+0.9
36	20-16	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+1.9
37	20-17	DAVID	DAVID×3	Attack err	Reece Rhoads	blk Ngodoo Harris, Ellie Ocampo	+2.7
38	21-17	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Giselle Little	set Cami Roberts	+3.0
39	21-18	WINTHR	DAVID	Serve err	WINTHR server		+1.9
40	22-18	DAVID	WINTHR×4	Kill	Laila Glover	set Cami Roberts	+3.0
41	23-18	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Attack err	Meile Songaila	blk Laila Glover, Teagan Sychterz	+2.4
42	24-18	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Peyton Garrick	+1.0
43	25-18	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+1.3
Set 5
1	1-0	DAVID	WINTHR	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+6.5
2	2-0	WINTHR	WINTHR	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Meile Songaila	+9.0
3	2-1	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Paige Bennett	blk Ngodoo Harris, Elena Garcia-Guerrios	+6.1
4	3-1	DAVID	WINTHR	Serve err	DAVID server		+7.0
5	3-2	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+6.3
6	4-2	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Cami Roberts	+7.2
7	4-3	WINTHR	DAVID×3	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+6.6
8	4-4	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Adlee Grissett	+9.7
9	4-5	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+9.9
10	5-5	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+7.4
11	6-5	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Meile Songaila		+10.9
12	6-6	WINTHR	DAVID	Serve err	WINTHR server		+7.8
13	7-6	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+8.6
14	7-7	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+8.2
15	7-8	DAVID	DAVID	Ace	DAVID server	aced Alyah Cadavid	+11.8
16	8-8	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Cami Roberts	+8.7
17	9-8	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Ngodoo Harris	blk Reece Rhoads, Giselle Little	+13.3
18	9-9	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+9.4
19	10-9	DAVID	WINTHR	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	blk Laila Glover	+10.7
20	10-10	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+10.3
21	11-10	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Cami Roberts	+11.9
22	11-11	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Adlee Grissett	+11.3
23	12-11	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+13.6
24	12-12	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+12.8
25	13-12	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+16.1
26	14-12	WINTHR	WINTHR	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Team	+21.7
27	14-13	WINTHR	DAVID×3	Bad set	Cami Roberts		+8.9
28	14-14	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+27.8
29	14-15	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Ylame Dsamou	+26.1
30	15-15	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Cami Roberts	+19.0
31	15-16	WINTHR	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+19.0
32	16-16	DAVID	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+19.0
33	16-17	WINTHR	DAVID	Attack err	Reece Rhoads	blk Ngodoo Harris	+19.0
34	16-18	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+24.4

Score shown after each rally, Winthrop first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.