North Carolina vs Davidson: North Carolina Wins 3-0 (Aug 29)

FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

3:0

North Carolina won at Davidson 3-0 (25-22, 25-17, 25-22) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Chelsea Thorpe led North Carolina with 11 kills; Davidson's Ariyana Johnson had a match-high 13.

Data through Nov 3, 1:50 PM CT · final Aug 29

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UNC	25	25	25	3
DAVID	22	17	22	0

Win probability

Davidson above 50 · North Carolina below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Davidson — set 1, UNC 19-20 DAVID. Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Kinsey Smith). DAVID win probability 5% → 6%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNC 96.9%3.1% DAVID

North Carolina wins

3-0

61.7%

3-1

27.5%

3-2

7.6%

Davidson wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.8%

3-2

2.0%

UNC break %: 48.7% vs this opp
DAVID break %: 34.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Meile SongailaKill+1.6%
Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Kinsey Smith)
Set 1 · UNC 19-20 DAVID · DAVID 5% → 6%
02
Mia CompasAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Mia Compas
Set 1 · UNC 21-20 DAVID · UNC 95% → 96%
03
DavidsonAce+1.2%
Davidson ace on Bridget Malone
Set 1 · UNC 19-19 DAVID · DAVID 3% → 5%
04
Laynie SmithKill+1.1%
Kill by Laynie Smith (set by Julia Bohlinger)
Set 1 · UNC 22-20 DAVID · UNC 96% → 97%
05
DavidsonAce+1.1%
Davidson ace on Bridget Malone
Set 1 · UNC 7-12 DAVID · DAVID 7% → 8%
06
Ariyana JohnsonKill+1.0%
Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Kinsey Smith)
Set 1 · UNC 7-11 DAVID · DAVID 6% → 7%
07
Safi HamptonKill+1.0%
Kill by Safi Hampton (set by Emily Bobbitt)
Set 1 · UNC 20-20 DAVID · UNC 94% → 95%
08
Chelsea ThorpeKill+1.0%
Kill by Chelsea Thorpe (set by Zoe Behrendt)
Set 1 · UNC 24-22 DAVID · UNC 97% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

North Carolinaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
77Chelsea ThorpeOPP	3	11	2	18	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	12
22Safi HamptonOH	3	9	6	24	.125	0	1	1	14	0	0	0	0	10
21Jackie TaylorMB	3	4	1	10	.300	1	2	4	0	0	2	0	2	8
10Bridget MaloneOH	3	6	2	23	.174	1	0	0	7	6	0	0	0	6
3Lauren SchutterMB	3	3	1	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	3	6
1Zoe BehrendtS	3	0	0	0	–	17	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
23Laynie SmithOPP	3	6	0	16	.375	0	0	0	6	0	0	4	2	8
14Emily BobbittS	3	1	0	1	1.000	15	2	1	3	0	0	0	0	3
18Carly MarkhamL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
6Julia BohlingerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
4Erin CurtisOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33Hailey PearceOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	12	98	.286	38	6	6	46	6	2	12	8	75

Davidsonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Ariyana JohnsonOH	3	13	6	34	.206	0	1	0	5	0	1	2	2	16
19Elena Garcia-GuerriosOH	3	8	6	31	.065	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	9
15Meile SongailaOH	3	5	5	22	.000	0	3	0	8	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
5Ngodoo HarrisOH	3	1	0	5	.200	1	0	1	1	0	0	4	2	3
3Kinsey SmithS	3	0	0	2	.000	21	1	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
14Mia CompasMB	2	3	4	9	-.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
12Ellie OcampoOH	3	3	0	7	.429	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
4Ylame DsamouS	3	1	0	3	.333	5	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
1Adlee GrissettL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	5	0	1	17	3	0	0	0	1
13Brooke BriscoeDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
20Melanie TillesMB	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		35	22	117	.111	33	6	4	44	6	1	10	6	61

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UNC · DAVID 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 UNCDAVID 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 5 UNCDAVID 3

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 UNCDAVID 4

Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = North Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	22%2/9
2	58%7/12	56%9/16
3	78%7/9	46%6/13
4	55%6/11	50%6/12
5	50%6/12	50%6/12
6	100%6/6	45%5/11
All	65%41/63	47%34/73

Davidson

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	33%4/12
2	54%7/13	42%5/12
3	50%7/14	22%2/9
4	67%6/9	30%3/10
5	43%6/14	57%8/14
6	67%6/9	0%0/6
All	53%39/73	35%22/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#	UNC-DAVID	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	DAVID	DAVID×3	Ace	Davidson	aced Bridget Malone	+0.5
2	0-2	DAVID	DAVID×3	Attack err	Safi Hampton		+0.6
3	0-3	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Adlee Grissett	+0.7
4	1-3	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.4
5	2-3	UNC	UNC	Ace	North Carolina	aced Adlee Grissett	+0.6
6	2-4	UNC	DAVID	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.5
7	2-5	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Chelsea Thorpe		+0.8
8	3-5	DAVID	UNC	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.5
9	4-5	UNC	UNC	Ace	North Carolina	aced Adlee Grissett	+0.6
10	4-6	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Ngodoo Harris	+0.5
11	4-7	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+0.8
12	5-7	DAVID	UNC	Serve err	Davidson		+0.5
13	5-8	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+0.6
14	5-9	DAVID	DAVID	Ace	Davidson	aced Bridget Malone	+1.0
15	6-9	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Carly Markham	+0.5
16	7-9	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Meile Songaila	blk Laynie Smith, Lauren Schutter	+0.8
17	7-10	UNC	DAVID×3	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+0.7
18	7-11	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+1.0
19	7-12	DAVID	DAVID×3	Ace	Davidson	aced Bridget Malone	+1.1
20	8-12	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.6
21	9-12	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Mia Compas		+0.9
22	9-13	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+0.8
23	10-13	DAVID	UNC×3	Kill	Emily Bobbitt	set Bridget Malone	+0.6
24	11-13	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton		+0.9
25	12-13	UNC	UNC×3	Ace	North Carolina	aced Adlee Grissett	+0.9
26	12-14	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Adlee Grissett	+0.8
27	13-14	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.7
28	13-15	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+0.9
29	14-15	DAVID	UNC	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.7
30	15-15	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Meile Songaila		+1.0
31	15-16	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+0.8
32	16-16	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.7
33	17-16	UNC	UNC	Ace	North Carolina	aced Elena Garcia-Guerrios	+0.9
34	17-17	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+0.7
35	18-17	DAVID	UNC	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.7
36	19-17	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		+0.8
37	19-18	UNC	DAVID×3	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+0.6
38	19-19	DAVID	DAVID×3	Ace	Davidson	aced Bridget Malone	+1.2
39	19-20	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+1.6
40	20-20	DAVID	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Emily Bobbitt	+1.0
41	21-20	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Mia Compas		+1.4
42	22-20	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Julia Bohlinger	+1.1
43	22-21	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Mia Compas	set Kinsey Smith	+0.7
44	23-21	DAVID	UNC	Serve err	Davidson		+0.9
45	23-22	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Adlee Grissett	+0.7
46	24-22	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.0
47	25-22	UNC	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Carly Markham	+0.6
Set 2
1	0-1	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+0.2
2	1-1	DAVID	UNC	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		+0.2
3	2-1	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		+0.3
4	2-2	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Adlee Grissett	+0.2
5	3-2	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.2
6	3-3	UNC	DAVID	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.2
7	4-3	DAVID	UNC	Blocked	Meile Songaila	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter	+0.2
8	5-3	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Mia Compas	blk Lauren Schutter, Laynie Smith	+0.2
9	5-4	UNC	DAVID×3	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+0.2
10	5-5	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+0.3
11	5-6	DAVID	DAVID×3	Ace	Davidson	aced Bridget Malone	+0.4
12	6-6	DAVID	UNC×5	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.2
13	7-6	UNC	UNC×5	Blocked	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	blk Lauren Schutter, Laynie Smith	+0.3
14	8-6	UNC	UNC×5	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.3
15	9-6	UNC	UNC×5	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.2
16	10-6	UNC	UNC×5	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.2
17	10-7	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Adlee Grissett		+0.1
18	11-7	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.1
19	12-7	UNC	UNC	Bad set	Kinsey Smith		+0.1
20	12-8	UNC	DAVID	Bad set	Emily Bobbitt		+0.1
21	13-8	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Carly Markham	+0.1
22	13-9	UNC	DAVID	Blocked	Safi Hampton	blk Ariyana Johnson	+0.1
23	14-9	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.1
24	15-9	UNC	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.1
25	15-10	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+0.1
26	16-10	DAVID	UNC	Attack err	Mia Compas		+0.1
27	17-10	UNC	UNC	Ace	North Carolina		+0.1
28	17-11	UNC	DAVID	Serve err	North Carolina		·
29	18-11	DAVID	UNC	Blocked	Meile Songaila	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter	·
30	18-12	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ylame Dsamou	set Emily Bobbitt	·
31	19-12	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Emily Bobbitt	·
32	19-13	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	·
33	20-13	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Emily Bobbitt	·
34	20-14	UNC	DAVID	Blocked	Safi Hampton	blk Ngodoo Harris, Ellie Ocampo	·
35	21-14	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Emily Bobbitt	·
36	21-15	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	·
37	22-15	DAVID	UNC	Serve err	Davidson		·
38	22-16	UNC	DAVID	Blocked	Bridget Malone	blk Ngodoo Harris, Ariyana Johnson	·
39	23-16	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	·
40	24-16	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		·
41	24-17	UNC	DAVID	Serve err	North Carolina		·
42	25-17	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	·
Set 3
1	0-1	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Safi Hampton		+0.1
2	1-1	DAVID	UNC×3	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.1
3	2-1	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Jackie Taylor	+0.1
4	3-1	UNC	UNC×3	Bad set	Kinsey Smith		+0.1
5	3-2	UNC	DAVID×4	Bad set	Zoe Behrendt		+0.1
6	3-3	DAVID	DAVID×4	Blocked	Chelsea Thorpe	blk Meile Songaila, Ngodoo Harris	+0.1
7	3-4	DAVID	DAVID×4	Ace	Davidson	aced Bridget Malone	+0.2
8	3-5	DAVID	DAVID×4	Attack err	Jackie Taylor		+0.2
9	4-5	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.1
10	5-5	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Elena Garcia-Guerrios		+0.2
11	5-6	UNC	DAVID	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.1
12	5-7	DAVID	DAVID	Attack err	Bridget Malone		+0.2
13	6-7	DAVID	UNC×3	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.1
14	7-7	UNC	UNC×3	Ace	North Carolina	aced Meile Songaila	+0.2
15	8-7	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		+0.2
16	8-8	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Adlee Grissett	+0.1
17	9-8	DAVID	UNC	Blocked	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	blk Laynie Smith, Lauren Schutter	+0.1
18	9-9	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ariyana Johnson	set Kinsey Smith	+0.1
19	9-10	DAVID	DAVID	Blocked	Safi Hampton	blk Kinsey Smith, Melanie Tilles	+0.2
20	10-10	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.1
21	10-11	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+0.2
22	11-11	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.1
23	11-12	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Kinsey Smith	+0.2
24	12-12	DAVID	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.2
25	13-12	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.2
26	14-12	UNC	UNC×3	Bad set	Kinsey Smith		+0.2
27	14-13	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ngodoo Harris	set Kinsey Smith	+0.1
28	14-14	DAVID	DAVID	Blocked	Safi Hampton	blk Ngodoo Harris, Ariyana Johnson	+0.2
29	15-14	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.2
30	16-14	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Ariyana Johnson		+0.2
31	16-15	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Meile Songaila	set Kinsey Smith	+0.1
32	17-15	DAVID	UNC×3	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.1
33	18-15	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.2
34	19-15	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Lauren Schutter		+0.1
35	19-16	UNC	DAVID×3	Serve err	North Carolina		+0.1
36	19-17	DAVID	DAVID×3	Attack err	Lauren Schutter		+0.1
37	19-18	DAVID	DAVID×3	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.2
38	20-18	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.2
39	20-19	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ellie Ocampo	+0.2
40	20-20	DAVID	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.4
41	21-20	DAVID	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Emily Bobbitt	+0.3
42	22-20	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Melanie Tilles	blk Jackie Taylor	+0.3
43	22-21	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Elena Garcia-Guerrios	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.2
44	23-21	DAVID	UNC	Serve err	Davidson		+0.2
45	23-22	UNC	DAVID	Kill	Ellie Ocampo	set Ylame Dsamou	+0.2
46	24-22	DAVID	UNC	Blocked	Meile Songaila	blk Jackie Taylor	+0.3
47	25-22	UNC	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, North Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

North Carolina def. Davidson 3–0