Davidson def. Wake Forest 3–1
(20-25, 26-24, 25-21, 25-20)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAVID | 20 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| WAKE | 25 | 24 | 21 | 20 | 1 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.4% to Davidson — set 2, DAVID 26-24 WAKE. Attack error by Sadie Poeck. WAKE win probability 75% → 67%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Davidson wins
Wake Forest wins
- DAVID break %
- 40.3% vs this opp
- WAKE break %
- 44.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02WAKE serverAce+7.8%
Wake Forest ace on Meile Songaila
Set 2 · DAVID 24-24 WAKE · WAKE 73% → 81%
- 03Ariyana JohnsonKill+7.2%
Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Kinsey Smith)
Set 4 · DAVID 18-16 WAKE · DAVID 72% → 79%
- 04Meile SongailaKill+6.9%
Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Adlee Grissett)
Set 4 · DAVID 19-16 WAKE · DAVID 79% → 86%
- 05Elena Garcia-GuerriosKill+6.4%
Kill by Elena Garcia-Guerrios (set by Ylame Dsamou)
Set 3 · DAVID 22-19 WAKE · DAVID 49% → 55%
- 06Elena Garcia-GuerriosAttack error+6.3%
Elena Garcia-Guerrios stuffed by Laiya Ebo & Sanaa Williams
Set 4 · DAVID 16-16 WAKE · WAKE 27% → 34%
- 07Meile SongailaKill+6.2%
Kill by Meile Songaila (set by Adlee Grissett)
Set 4 · DAVID 15-13 WAKE · DAVID 70% → 76%
- 08Ariyana JohnsonKill+6.1%
Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Andrea Roman)
Set 4 · DAVID 16-13 WAKE · DAVID 76% → 82%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 44 | .159 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 13 | 4 | 26 | .346 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| 4 | 14 | 2 | 39 | .308 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 1 | 12 | .417 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 25 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 21 | .190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 12 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 59 | 18 | 151 | .272 | 57 | 3 | 11 | 60 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 96 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 16 | 9 | 45 | .156 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | |
| 4 | 11 | 2 | 21 | .429 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 16 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 27 | .185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | .214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 26 | 152 | .191 | 53 | 3 | 6 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 90 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
26-24
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-20
Bars above the line = Wake Forest leads, below = Davidson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Davidson
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 65%11/17 | 64%16/25 |
| 2 | 64%9/14 | 29%4/14 |
| 3 | 64%9/14 | 18%2/11 |
| 4 | 53%9/17 | 53%10/19 |
| 5 | 50%9/18 | 36%5/14 |
| 6 | 64%7/11 | 42%5/12 |
| All | 59%54/91 | 44%42/95 |
Wake Forest
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%10/20 | 44%7/16 |
| 2 | 69%9/13 | 47%8/17 |
| 3 | 45%9/20 | 18%2/11 |
| 4 | 75%9/12 | 44%7/16 |
| 5 | 64%9/14 | 55%11/20 |
| 6 | 44%7/16 | 18%2/11 |
| All | 56%53/95 | 41%37/91 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
186 rallies
Rally log
| # | DAVID-WAKE | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WAKE | DAVID | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +1.6 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +1.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +1.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +1.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | WAKE | DAVID×5 | Kill | Cayla Weisner | set Kinsey Smith | +1.6 |
| 7 | 4-3 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +2.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | +2.5 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +2.5 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | DAVID | WAKE×3 | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Becca Bellows | +1.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Meile Songaila | +2.3 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Ariyana Johnson | +2.5 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +2.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | DAVID | WAKE×7 | Kill | Sadie Poeck | set Emma Keeping | +1.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +2.6 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Attack err | Meile Songaila | blk Sanaa Williams, Patrycja Lagida | +2.5 |
| 18 | 8-10 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.4 |
| 19 | 8-11 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +2.2 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Attack err | Ellie Ocampo | blk Sadie Poeck, Sanaa Williams | +1.9 |
| 21 | 8-13 | WAKE | WAKE×7 | Kill | Sadie Poeck | set Emma Keeping | +1.5 |
| 22 | 9-13 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ellie Ocampo | set Ylame Dsamou | +0.9 |
| 23 | 9-14 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.1 |
| 24 | 10-14 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +0.9 |
| 25 | 10-15 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +1.1 |
| 26 | 11-15 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ellie Ocampo | set Ylame Dsamou | +0.9 |
| 27 | 11-16 | DAVID | WAKE×3 | Serve err | DAVID server | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 11-17 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +1.1 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Becca Bellows | +0.7 |
| 30 | 12-18 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.3 |
| 31 | 12-19 | DAVID | WAKE | Serve err | DAVID server | +0.5 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | WAKE | DAVID×3 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.3 |
| 33 | 14-19 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Adlee Grissett | +0.6 |
| 34 | 15-19 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +1.0 |
| 35 | 15-20 | DAVID | WAKE | Serve err | DAVID server | +1.1 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Kinsey Smith | +0.7 |
| 37 | 16-21 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.0 |
| 38 | 17-21 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Ylame Dsamou | +0.6 |
| 39 | 17-22 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.0 |
| 40 | 18-22 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +0.5 |
| 41 | 19-22 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.2 |
| 42 | 19-23 | DAVID | WAKE | Serve err | DAVID server | +1.5 | |
| 43 | 20-23 | WAKE | DAVID | Serve err | WAKE server | +0.7 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +1.3 |
| 45 | 20-25 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +0.5 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +1.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Attack err | Catherine Burke | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +1.9 |
| 5 | 4-1 | DAVID | WAKE | Serve err | DAVID server | +1.2 | |
| 6 | 5-1 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +1.5 |
| 7 | 5-2 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +1.3 |
| 8 | 6-2 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.5 |
| 9 | 6-3 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Becca Bellows | +1.3 |
| 10 | 7-3 | WAKE | DAVID | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | blk Ngodoo Harris | +1.5 |
| 11 | 8-3 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +1.9 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | DAVID | WAKE×3 | Kill | Sadie Poeck | set Emma Keeping | +1.2 |
| 13 | 8-5 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | blk Sadie Poeck, Sanaa Williams | +1.8 |
| 14 | 8-6 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Ellie Ocampo | blk Patrycja Lagida, Sanaa Williams | +2.0 |
| 15 | 9-6 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ellie Ocampo | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Andrea Roman | +1.5 |
| 17 | 10-7 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Cayla Weisner | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.7 |
| 18 | 11-7 | DAVID | DAVID | Bad set | Emma Keeping | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sadie Poeck | set Emma Keeping | +1.4 |
| 20 | 12-8 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Adlee Grissett | +1.7 |
| 21 | 12-9 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +1.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.7 |
| 23 | 13-10 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Emma Keeping | +1.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +1.8 |
| 25 | 14-11 | DAVID | WAKE | Attack err | Ngodoo Harris | blk Sanaa Williams | +1.4 |
| 26 | 15-11 | WAKE | DAVID | Serve err | WAKE server | +1.8 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | DAVID | WAKE | Serve err | DAVID server | +1.4 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ellie Ocampo | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.8 |
| 29 | 16-13 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.4 |
| 30 | 16-14 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Ellie Ocampo | blk Patrycja Lagida, Catherine Burke | +2.3 |
| 31 | 17-14 | WAKE | DAVID | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | blk Cayla Weisner, Ellie Ocampo | +2.2 |
| 32 | 17-15 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sadie Poeck | set Emma Keeping | +1.7 |
| 33 | 17-16 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +2.8 |
| 34 | 18-16 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Cayla Weisner | set Kinsey Smith | +2.5 |
| 35 | 19-16 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Cayla Weisner, Ariyana Johnson | +3.2 |
| 36 | 19-17 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +1.8 |
| 37 | 20-17 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Adlee Grissett | +2.5 |
| 38 | 20-18 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +1.8 |
| 39 | 21-18 | WAKE | DAVID | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | blk Ngodoo Harris, Ariyana Johnson | +2.6 |
| 40 | 22-18 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Adlee Grissett | +2.7 |
| 41 | 22-19 | DAVID | WAKE | Serve err | DAVID server | +1.1 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Sadie Poeck | set Emma Keeping | +2.4 |
| 43 | 23-20 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Adlee Grissett | +2.9 |
| 44 | 23-21 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +1.6 |
| 45 | 23-22 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Adlee Grissett | +3.7 |
| 46 | 24-22 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +4.6 |
| 47 | 24-23 | DAVID | WAKE | Serve err | DAVID server | +2.5 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | WAKE | WAKE | Ace | WAKE server | aced Meile Songaila | +7.8 |
| 49 | 25-24 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Adlee Grissett | +5.7 |
| 50 | 26-24 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Sadie Poeck | +8.4 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +2.9 |
| 2 | 0-2 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Kinsey Smith | +2.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +2.0 |
| 4 | 1-3 | DAVID | WAKE | Serve err | DAVID server | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | WAKE | DAVID | Serve err | WAKE server | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Becca Bellows | +2.1 |
| 7 | 3-4 | WAKE | DAVID×3 | Attack err | Sanaa Williams | +2.1 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +3.2 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Ylame Dsamou | set Adlee Grissett | +3.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | set Emma Keeping | +2.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | WAKE | DAVID×3 | Bad set | Emma Keeping | +2.6 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Attack err | Sadie Poeck | +3.7 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | blk Ellie Ocampo, Ngodoo Harris | +3.8 |
| 14 | 8-6 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +2.5 |
| 15 | 8-7 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +3.6 |
| 16 | 9-7 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +2.9 |
| 17 | 10-7 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Sadie Poeck | +4.0 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.6 |
| 19 | 11-8 | WAKE | DAVID×5 | Kill | Ellie Ocampo | set Ylame Dsamou | +3.0 |
| 20 | 12-8 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Adlee Grissett | +3.9 |
| 21 | 13-8 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Attack err | Kelis Hawkins | blk Cayla Weisner | +3.5 |
| 22 | 14-8 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +3.0 |
| 23 | 15-8 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Ace | DAVID server | aced Amina Ndiaye | +2.4 |
| 24 | 15-9 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +1.2 |
| 25 | 15-10 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +2.1 |
| 26 | 16-10 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +2.2 |
| 27 | 16-11 | DAVID | WAKE×3 | Serve err | DAVID server | +1.5 | |
| 28 | 16-12 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Bad set | Cayla Weisner | +2.7 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Ariyana Johnson | +3.4 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +3.3 |
| 31 | 17-14 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +2.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | blk Laiya Ebo, Sanaa Williams | +4.1 |
| 33 | 18-15 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Kinsey Smith | +3.9 |
| 34 | 19-15 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | +4.6 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | DAVID | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +2.4 |
| 36 | 19-17 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +4.3 |
| 37 | 19-18 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Laiya Ebo | +5.3 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +4.9 |
| 39 | 20-19 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +4.1 |
| 40 | 21-19 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ellie Ocampo | set Adlee Grissett | +5.4 |
| 41 | 22-19 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +6.4 |
| 42 | 22-20 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Emma Keeping | +3.0 |
| 43 | 23-20 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +5.0 |
| 44 | 24-20 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | blk Ariyana Johnson, Cayla Weisner | +4.0 |
| 45 | 24-21 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Becca Bellows | +0.9 |
| 46 | 25-21 | WAKE | DAVID | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +2.2 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +3.9 |
| 2 | 2-0 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Sanaa Williams | +4.1 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Emma Keeping | set Cayla Weisner | +2.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | WAKE | WAKE | Attack err | Ariyana Johnson | +3.9 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | WAKE | DAVID×3 | Serve err | WAKE server | +3.1 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Attack err | Laiya Ebo | +4.3 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Ace | DAVID server | aced Dhru Lalaji | +4.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Emma Keeping | +2.9 |
| 9 | 6-3 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Kinsey Smith | +3.4 |
| 10 | 6-4 | DAVID | WAKE×3 | Serve err | DAVID server | +3.0 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +4.3 |
| 12 | 6-6 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +4.3 |
| 13 | 7-6 | WAKE | DAVID | Serve err | WAKE server | +3.4 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Ryleigh Whitekettle | set Becca Bellows | +3.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | WAKE | WAKE | Kill | Amina Ndiaye | +4.4 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | WAKE | DAVID×3 | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Adlee Grissett | +3.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Attack err | Ryleigh Whitekettle | blk Cayla Weisner, Elena Garcia-Guerrios | +4.9 |
| 18 | 10-8 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Ace | DAVID server | aced Andrea Roman | +5.1 |
| 19 | 10-9 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Becca Bellows | +3.5 |
| 20 | 11-9 | WAKE | DAVID | Serve err | WAKE server | +3.9 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Adlee Grissett | +5.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | DAVID | WAKE×4 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Becca Bellows | +3.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Attack err | Ariyana Johnson | +5.1 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +5.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | WAKE | WAKE×4 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +5.2 |
| 26 | 13-13 | WAKE | DAVID×4 | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +4.0 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Attack err | Amina Ndiaye | blk Cayla Weisner, Ariyana Johnson | +5.9 |
| 28 | 15-13 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Adlee Grissett | +6.2 |
| 29 | 16-13 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Andrea Roman | +6.1 |
| 30 | 16-14 | DAVID | WAKE×3 | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +3.7 |
| 31 | 16-15 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Kill | Patrycja Lagida | set Emma Keeping | +5.9 |
| 32 | 16-16 | WAKE | WAKE×3 | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | blk Laiya Ebo, Sanaa Williams | +6.3 |
| 33 | 17-16 | WAKE | DAVID×3 | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +5.2 |
| 34 | 18-16 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +7.2 |
| 35 | 19-16 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Adlee Grissett | +6.9 |
| 36 | 19-17 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Sanaa Williams | set Emma Keeping | +3.9 |
| 37 | 20-17 | WAKE | DAVID | Attack err | Patrycja Lagida | +5.4 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Ylame Dsamou | +5.9 |
| 39 | 21-18 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Laiya Ebo | set Emma Keeping | +2.7 |
| 40 | 22-18 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Ylame Dsamou | +4.4 |
| 41 | 22-19 | DAVID | WAKE | Attack err | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | blk Patrycja Lagida, Catherine Burke | +2.4 |
| 42 | 23-19 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +4.2 |
| 43 | 24-19 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Ellie Ocampo | set Brooke Briscoe | +2.8 |
| 44 | 24-20 | DAVID | WAKE | Kill | Catherine Burke | set Becca Bellows | +0.5 |
| 45 | 25-20 | WAKE | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-Guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.2 |
Score shown after each rally, Davidson first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.