Davidson def. Charlotte 3–1
Davidson beat visiting Charlotte 3-1 (25-17, 13-25, 25-22, 25-13) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Davidson's Ariyana Johnson led with 19 kills, and Brooke Briscoe added 16 digs.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHAR | 17 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 1 |
| DAVID | 25 | 13 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 7.4% to Davidson — set 3, CHAR 22-24 DAVID. Attack error by Clara Briley. DAVID win probability 78% → 86%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Charlotte wins
Davidson wins
- CHAR break %
- 39.1% vs this opp
- DAVID break %
- 45.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01
- 02Jovana Antic&Elena KovacevicBlock+6.4%
Meile Songaila stuffed by Jovana Antic & Elena Kovacevic
Set 3 · CHAR 21-21 DAVID · CHAR 21% → 28%
- 03Elena Garcia-guerriosKill+6.3%
Kill by Elena Garcia-guerrios (set by Kinsey Smith)
Set 3 · CHAR 22-23 DAVID · DAVID 72% → 78%
- 04Clara BrileyKill+5.4%
Kill by Clara Briley (set by Harper Hall)
Set 3 · CHAR 22-22 DAVID · CHAR 23% → 28%
- 05Ariyana JohnsonKill+5.3%
Kill by Ariyana Johnson (set by Kinsey Smith)
Set 3 · CHAR 21-22 DAVID · DAVID 72% → 77%
- 06Clara Briley&Sofia LocadiaBlock+4.4%
Ariyana Johnson stuffed by Clara Briley & Sofia Locadia
Set 3 · CHAR 14-12 DAVID · CHAR 30% → 34%
- 07Sofia LocadiaAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Sofia Locadia
Set 3 · CHAR 14-14 DAVID · DAVID 68% → 73%
- 08DavidsonAce+4.0%
Davidson ace on Chloe Maughan
Set 3 · CHAR 14-15 DAVID · DAVID 73% → 77%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 19 | .263 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 45 | .111 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 15 | .267 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -.222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 19 | .211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 37 | 19 | 129 | .140 | 34 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 19 | 77 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 19 | 7 | 37 | .324 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 20.5 | |
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 46 | .174 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | |
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 28 | .071 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 4 | 6 | 2 | 8 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 46 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 58 | 31 | 145 | .186 | 56 | 6 | 5 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 88 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
25-13
Set 3
22-25
Set 4
13-25
Bars above the line = Davidson leads, below = Charlotte leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Charlotte
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25%2/8 | 0%0/1 |
| 2 | 33%2/6 | 67%4/6 |
| 3 | 50%2/4 | 50%2/4 |
| 4 | 67%2/3 | 0%0/2 |
| 5 | 67%2/3 | 0%0/2 |
| 6 | 100%1/1 | 0%0/2 |
| All | 44%11/25 | 35%6/17 |
Davidson
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33%2/6 | 75%6/8 |
| 2 | 50%2/4 | 67%4/6 |
| 3 | 100%2/2 | 50%2/4 |
| 4 | 100%2/2 | 33%1/3 |
| 5 | 100%2/2 | 33%1/3 |
| 6 | 100%1/1 | 0%0/1 |
| All | 65%11/17 | 56%14/25 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
165 rallies
| # | CHAR-DAVID | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Ace | Davidson | aced Gia Mcgrew | +1.6 |
| 2 | 0-2 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.5 |
| 3 | 0-3 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | +1.3 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Cayla Weisner | set Kinsey Smith | +1.1 |
| 5 | 1-4 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | +0.8 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | CHAR | CHAR | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +1.3 |
| 7 | 2-5 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Meile Songaila | +1.0 |
| 8 | 3-5 | DAVID | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Sofia Locadia, Mariam Mushkudiani | +1.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Ariyana Johnson | blk Clara Briley, Sofia Locadia | +1.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Attack err | Meile Songaila | +1.8 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +1.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Melanie Tilles | +1.7 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +1.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Brooke Briscoe | +1.2 |
| 15 | 6-9 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Brooke Briscoe | +1.5 |
| 16 | 7-9 | DAVID | CHAR | Attack err | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Brooke Briscoe | +1.1 |
| 17 | 7-10 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Ylame Dsamou | +1.3 |
| 19 | 8-11 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Gia Mcgrew | set Harper Hall | +0.9 |
| 20 | 8-12 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Melanie Tilles | +1.0 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | DAVID | CHAR | Serve err | Davidson | +0.9 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | CHAR | DAVID×3 | Attack err | Milan Cannon | set Harper Hall | +1.0 |
| 23 | 9-14 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.1 |
| 24 | 9-15 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +0.8 |
| 25 | 10-15 | DAVID | CHAR×4 | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Harper Hall | +0.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +0.9 |
| 27 | 12-15 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Attack err | Ariyana Johnson | +1.2 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Chloe Maughan | +1.7 |
| 29 | 13-16 | CHAR | DAVID×5 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | +1.4 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Attack err | Mariam Mushkudiani | +1.5 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Attack err | Mariam Mushkudiani | +1.1 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Ace | Davidson | +0.7 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Attack err | Clara Briley | +0.4 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +0.2 |
| 35 | 14-21 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Cayla Weisner | set Kinsey Smith | +0.3 |
| 36 | 14-22 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.2 |
| 37 | 15-22 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | · |
| 38 | 15-23 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | +0.1 | |
| 39 | 16-23 | DAVID | CHAR | Attack err | Melanie Tilles | set Ylame Dsamou | · |
| 40 | 16-24 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Brooke Briscoe | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | · |
| 42 | 17-25 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | · | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Ariyana Johnson | blk Milan Cannon, Elena Kovacevic | +1.3 |
| 2 | 2-0 | CHAR | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Erin Lehman | +1.4 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CHAR | DAVID | Serve err | Charlotte | +1.0 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | DAVID | CHAR | Attack err | Meile Songaila | set Brooke Briscoe | +1.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CHAR | DAVID×3 | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +1.0 |
| 6 | 3-3 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Blocked | Clara Briley | blk Melanie Tilles, Ariyana Johnson | +1.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | +1.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Harper Hall | +1.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Melanie Tilles | blk Sofia Locadia | +1.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | CHAR | DAVID | Attack err | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +1.0 |
| 11 | 6-5 | DAVID | CHAR×3 | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +1.2 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Harper Hall, Sofia Locadia | +1.7 |
| 13 | 8-5 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Kill | Sofia Locadia | +1.7 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | CHAR | DAVID | Serve err | Charlotte | +1.1 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | DAVID | CHAR | Blocked | Elena Garcia-guerrios | blk Harper Hall, Sofia Locadia | +1.3 |
| 16 | 9-7 | CHAR | DAVID | Serve err | Charlotte | +1.1 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | DAVID | CHAR×5 | Kill | Milan Cannon | +1.4 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Attack err | Cayla Weisner | +1.8 | |
| 19 | 12-7 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Blocked | Elena Garcia-guerrios | blk Milan Cannon, Elena Kovacevic | +1.7 |
| 20 | 13-7 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Blocked | Ngodoo Harris | blk Gia Mcgrew, Milan Cannon | +1.5 |
| 21 | 14-7 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Kill | Milan Cannon | +1.3 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Brooke Briscoe | +0.6 |
| 23 | 15-8 | DAVID | CHAR×3 | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Harper Hall | +0.9 |
| 24 | 16-8 | CHAR | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.0 | |||
| 25 | 17-8 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Elena Garcia-guerrios | blk Milan Cannon, Elena Kovacevic | +0.7 |
| 26 | 17-9 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.3 |
| 27 | 18-9 | DAVID | CHAR | Attack err | Ellie Ocampo | set Brooke Briscoe | +0.4 |
| 28 | 18-10 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.2 |
| 29 | 19-10 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +0.4 |
| 30 | 19-11 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.2 |
| 31 | 19-12 | DAVID | DAVID | Blocked | Sofia Locadia | blk Ellie Ocampo | +0.4 |
| 32 | 20-12 | DAVID | CHAR×5 | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +0.5 |
| 33 | 21-12 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Blocked | Ngodoo Harris | blk Sofia Locadia | +0.4 |
| 34 | 22-12 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Attack err | Elena Garcia-guerrios | +0.2 | |
| 35 | 23-12 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +0.1 |
| 36 | 24-12 | CHAR | CHAR×5 | Kill | Jovana Antic | set Harper Hall | · |
| 37 | 24-13 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ellie Ocampo | set Kinsey Smith | · |
| 38 | 25-13 | DAVID | CHAR | Attack err | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +2.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Elena Kovacevic, Sofia Locadia | +3.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +2.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | DAVID | DAVID | Ace | Davidson | aced Erin Lehman | +2.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | DAVID | CHAR | Bad set | Ariyana Johnson | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +2.0 |
| 7 | 4-3 | DAVID | CHAR | Serve err | Davidson | +2.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Melanie Tilles | set Kinsey Smith | +2.1 |
| 9 | 5-4 | CHAR | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.3 | |||
| 10 | 5-5 | CHAR | DAVID | Attack err | Gia Mcgrew | set Kennedy Earls | +2.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | DAVID | CHAR×4 | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Harper Hall | +2.4 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Ace | Harper Hall | aced Meile Songaila | +3.4 |
| 13 | 8-5 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Harper Hall | +3.6 |
| 14 | 9-5 | CHAR | CHAR×4 | Blocked | Ariyana Johnson | blk Gia Mcgrew, Milan Cannon | +3.6 |
| 15 | 9-6 | CHAR | DAVID×4 | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +2.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Kinsey Smith | set Milan Cannon | +3.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +3.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | DAVID | DAVID×4 | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +3.4 |
| 19 | 10-9 | DAVID | CHAR | Serve err | Davidson | +2.7 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | CHAR | DAVID | Attack err | Elena Kovacevic | set Chloe Maughan | +2.5 |
| 21 | 10-11 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Kinsey Smith | +3.4 |
| 22 | 11-11 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Milan Cannon | set Harper Hall | +2.6 |
| 23 | 12-11 | CHAR | CHAR | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Harper Hall | +3.9 |
| 24 | 12-12 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +2.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | DAVID | CHAR | Bad set | Kinsey Smith | +3.1 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Ariyana Johnson | blk Clara Briley, Sofia Locadia | +4.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | CHAR | DAVID×5 | Attack err | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +2.9 |
| 28 | 14-14 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Attack err | Sofia Locadia | +4.1 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Ace | Davidson | aced Chloe Maughan | +4.0 |
| 30 | 14-16 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +3.7 |
| 31 | 14-17 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Melanie Tilles | set Kinsey Smith | +3.1 |
| 32 | 15-17 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +2.0 |
| 33 | 15-18 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | +2.3 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | DAVID | CHAR | Attack err | Ellie Ocampo | set Kinsey Smith | +2.1 |
| 35 | 17-18 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Elena Garcia-guerrios | blk Harper Hall, Milan Cannon | +3.8 |
| 36 | 17-19 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Melanie Tilles | set Kinsey Smith | +3.2 |
| 37 | 18-19 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Harper Hall | +3.0 |
| 38 | 18-20 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Kinsey Smith | +3.4 |
| 39 | 19-20 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Harper Hall | +3.2 |
| 40 | 19-21 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +3.7 |
| 41 | 20-21 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +3.3 |
| 42 | 21-21 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Jovana Antic, Elena Kovacevic | +6.4 |
| 43 | 21-22 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +5.3 |
| 44 | 22-22 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Clara Briley | set Harper Hall | +5.4 |
| 45 | 22-23 | CHAR | DAVID×3 | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +6.3 |
| 46 | 22-24 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Attack err | Clara Briley | +7.4 | |
| 47 | 22-25 | DAVID | DAVID×3 | Attack err | Elena Kovacevic | +3.7 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Harper Hall | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | CHAR | CHAR | Attack err | Elena Garcia-guerrios | +2.2 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +1.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DAVID | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +2.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Harper Hall | +1.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CHAR | DAVID×6 | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +1.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | DAVID | DAVID×6 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.9 |
| 9 | 3-6 | DAVID | DAVID×6 | Attack err | Clara Briley | +1.7 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | DAVID | DAVID×6 | Ace | Davidson | aced Chloe Maughan | +1.5 |
| 11 | 3-8 | DAVID | DAVID×6 | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | +1.2 |
| 12 | 3-9 | DAVID | DAVID×6 | Blocked | Clara Briley | blk Elena Garcia-guerrios, Melanie Tilles | +1.0 |
| 13 | 4-9 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Sofia Locadia | set Dixie Gayden | +0.6 |
| 14 | 5-9 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Elena Garcia-guerrios | blk Mariam Mushkudiani, Sofia Locadia | +1.1 |
| 15 | 5-10 | CHAR | DAVID×5 | Serve err | Charlotte | +0.9 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +1.0 |
| 17 | 5-12 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Attack err | Mariam Mushkudiani | +0.7 | |
| 18 | 5-13 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Ace | Davidson | aced Chloe Maughan | +0.5 |
| 19 | 5-14 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Melanie Tilles | set Kinsey Smith | +0.3 |
| 20 | 6-14 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Mariam Mushkudiani | set Dixie Gayden | +0.2 |
| 21 | 6-15 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.2 |
| 22 | 7-15 | DAVID | CHAR | Serve err | Davidson | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 8-15 | CHAR | CHAR | Blocked | Meile Songaila | blk Elena Kovacevic, Milan Cannon | +0.3 |
| 24 | 8-16 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Meile Songaila | set Brooke Briscoe | +0.3 |
| 25–26 | 9-17 | CHAR · DAVID | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.1 | |||
| 27 | 9-18 | CHAR | DAVID×5 | Kill | Ngodoo Harris | set Kinsey Smith | +0.2 |
| 28 | 9-19 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Ariyana Johnson | set Kinsey Smith | +0.1 |
| 29 | 9-20 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Blocked | Milan Cannon | blk Ariyana Johnson, Ngodoo Harris | · |
| 30 | 9-21 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Brooke Briscoe | · |
| 31 | 9-22 | DAVID | DAVID×5 | Blocked | Elena Kovacevic | blk Elena Garcia-guerrios, Ngodoo Harris | · |
| 32 | 10-22 | DAVID | CHAR×3 | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | set Harper Hall | · |
| 33 | 11-22 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Ngodoo Harris | blk Elena Kovacevic, Sofia Locadia | · |
| 34 | 12-22 | CHAR | CHAR×3 | Blocked | Ariyana Johnson | blk Sara Marinkovic, Sofia Locadia | · |
| 35 | 12-23 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | · |
| 36 | 12-24 | DAVID | DAVID | Attack err | Sofia Locadia | · | |
| 37 | 13-24 | DAVID | CHAR | Kill | Elena Kovacevic | · | |
| 38 | 13-25 | CHAR | DAVID | Kill | Elena Garcia-guerrios | set Kinsey Smith | · |
Score shown after each rally, Charlotte first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).