FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

Washington St. def. LIU 3–0

Washington St. beat LIU 3-0 (25-14, 25-17, 25-19) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Washington St.'s Eliana Tia led with 15 kills, and Kambree Rodriguez added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set123Sets
LIU1417190
WASHST2525253

Win probability

Washington St. above 50 · LIU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.6% LIUrally 124 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.6% to LIU — set 1, LIU 7-6 WASHST. Attack error by Kryssa Moerman. WASHST win probability 69% → 67%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIU 31.0%69.0% WASHST

LIU wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
10.9%
3-2
14.1%

Washington St. wins

3-0
22.6%
3-1
26.5%
3-2
19.9%
LIU break %
41.4% vs this opp
WASHST break %
45.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kryssa MoermanAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Kryssa Moerman

    Set 1 · LIU 7-6 WASHST · LIU 31% → 33%

  2. 02

    Bella Correia stuffed by Kate Hayhurst & Naomi White

    Set 1 · LIU 7-8 WASHST · WASHST 68% → 71%

  3. 03
    Mary HealyAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Mary Healy

    Set 1 · LIU 6-6 WASHST · LIU 28% → 31%

  4. 04
    Naomi WhiteBlock+2.4%

    Sara Van gisteren stuffed by Naomi White

    Set 1 · LIU 7-9 WASHST · WASHST 71% → 73%

  5. 05

    Kill by Sara Van gisteren (set by Miabella Musignac)

    Set 1 · LIU 2-0 WASHST · LIU 33% → 35%

  6. 06
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+2.3%

    Point Washington St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 1 · LIU 3-3 WASHST · WASHST 67% → 69%

  7. 07
    Mia Rojas-avilaAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Mia Rojas-avila

    Set 1 · LIU 3-4 WASHST · WASHST 69% → 71%

  8. 08
    Mary HealyAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Mary Healy

    Set 2 · LIU 9-9 WASHST · LIU 16% → 18%

Box score

Official NCAA box

LIUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36837-.0540011101017
36728-.036002730006
33823-.217210710004
34110.300000000004
3237-.143000300002
3115.00016121600002
31011.000200400001
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–100110000
3000–100420000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals2328111-.045222553710150
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315338.31610191031.516.5
36119.26302430010.58.5
3209.222000003668
36317.176202710006
3219.111000101224
3014-.250180140010.50.5
3000–1431300004
3036-.50001000031.52.5
3103.333800500001
3000–000200000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals3212105.190307114424161275

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 LIU · WASHST 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 LIUWASHST 7

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 LIUWASHST 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 LIUWASHST 4

Bars above the line = Washington St. leads, below = LIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

LIU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%2/6
40%2/5
2
50%2/4
0%0/2
3
40%2/5
0%0/2
4
100%2/2
50%2/4
5
40%2/5
33%1/3
6
100%2/2
0%0/2
All
50%12/24
28%5/18

Washington St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%3/5
0%0/2
2
100%2/2
67%4/6
3
100%2/2
50%2/4
4
50%2/4
60%3/5
5
67%2/3
0%0/2
6
100%2/2
60%3/5
All
72%13/18
50%12/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#LIU-WASHSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.+1.7
22-0LIULIUKillSara Van gisterenset Miabella Musignac+2.3
32-1LIUWASHSTAttack errMia Rojas-avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.7
43-1WASHSTLIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.8
53-2LIUWASHST×4KillEliana Tiaset Mary Healy+1.7
63-3WASHST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
73-4WASHSTWASHST×4Attack errMia Rojas-avila+2.2
83-5WASHSTWASHST×4Attack errSara Van gisteren+2.1
94-5WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.+1.6
104-6LIUWASHSTKillLivia Wardset Kambree Rodriguez+1.7
115-6WASHSTLIU×3KillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.7
126-6LIULIU×3Attack errMary Healy+2.4
137-6LIULIU×3Attack errKryssa Moerman+2.6
147-7LIUWASHST×7Serve errLIU+1.9
157-8WASHSTWASHST×7BlockedBella Correiablk Kate Hayhurst, Naomi White+2.5
167-9WASHSTWASHST×7BlockedSara Van gisterenblk Naomi White+2.4
177-10WASHSTWASHST×7BlockedBella Correiablk Kate Hayhurst, Naomi White+2.2
187-11WASHSTWASHST×7KillMary Healy+1.9
197-12WASHSTWASHST×7Attack errBella Correia+1.6
207-13WASHSTWASHST×7AceWashington St.aced Mia Rojas-avila+1.2
218-13WASHSTLIUAttack errKate Hayhurstset Kambree Rodriguez+0.8
228-14LIUWASHSTBlockedBella Correiablk Kate Hayhurst, Naomi White+0.9
239-14WASHSTLIUKillSara Van gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
249-15LIUWASHST×4KillNaomi Whiteset Audrey Hollis+0.9
259-16WASHST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
269-17WASHSTWASHST×4KillEliana Tiaset Audrey Hollis+0.6
279-18WASHSTWASHST×4KillWhitney Dewickiset Audrey Hollis+0.3
2810-18WASHSTLIUAttack errEliana Tiaset Audrey Hollis+0.1
2910-19LIUWASHSTBlockedSara Garciablk Naomi White+0.2
3010-20WASHSTWASHSTKillEliana Tiaset Audrey Hollis+0.1
3111-20WASHSTLIUKillSara Van gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3212-20LIULIUKillMia Rojas-avilaset Neela Feliberty+0.1
3312-21LIUWASHST×3BlockedSara Van gisterenblk Kryssa Moerman, Eliana Tia+0.1
3412-22WASHSTWASHST×3KillEliana Tiaset Audrey Hollis+0.1
3512-23WASHSTWASHST×3Attack errYasmeen Muhammad·
3613-23WASHSTLIUKillMia Rojas-avilaset Miabella Musignac·
3713-24LIUWASHSTServe errLIU·
3814-24WASHSTLIUKillMia Rojas-avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu·
3914-25LIUWASHSTAttack errSara Van gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu·
Set 2
11-0LIULIUAceLIUaced Mary Healy+1.9
21-1LIUWASHSTKillNaomi Whiteset Audrey Hollis+1.4
32-1WASHSTLIUKillSara Van gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.5
42-2LIUWASHSTKillWhitney Dewickiset Audrey Hollis+1.4
53-2WASHSTLIUKillMia Rojas-avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.5
63-3LIUWASHST×3KillEliana Tiaset Audrey Hollis+1.4
73-4WASHSTWASHST×3AceWashington St.aced Mia Rojas-avila+1.9
83-5WASHSTWASHST×3AceWashington St.aced Mia Rojas-avila+1.8
94-5WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.+1.4
104-6LIUWASHSTBlockedMia Rojas-avilablk Kryssa Moerman+1.4
115-6WASHSTLIUAttack errKate Hayhurstset Livia Ward+1.4
126-6LIULIUAttack errMary Healy+2.0
136-7LIUWASHSTKillKryssa Moermanset Livia Ward+1.5
146-8WASHSTWASHSTKillMary Healyset Eliana Tia+1.9
157-8WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.+1.5
167-9LIUWASHSTKillEliana Tiaset Livia Ward+1.5
178-9WASHSTLIUAttack errKate Hayhurstset Livia Ward+1.5
189-9LIULIUAttack errMary Healy+2.2
199-10LIUWASHST×5Serve errLIU+1.7
209-11WASHSTWASHST×5Attack errSara Van gisteren+2.1
219-12WASHSTWASHST×5KillWhitney Dewickiset Audrey Hollis+1.9
229-13WASHSTWASHST×5Attack errBella Correia+1.7
239-14WASHSTWASHST×5BlockedSara Van gisterenblk Whitney Dewicki, Naomi White+1.4
2410-14WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.+0.8
2510-15LIUWASHST×3KillEliana Tiaset Audrey Hollis+1.0
2610-16WASHSTWASHST×3KillEliana Tia+1.0
2710-17WASHSTWASHST×3Attack errSara Garcia+0.7
2811-17WASHSTLIUKillMia Rojas-avilaset Bella Correia+0.4
2911-18LIUWASHSTKillEliana Tiaset Mary Healy+0.5
3011-19WASHSTWASHSTKillEliana Tiaset Audrey Hollis+0.4
3112-19WASHSTLIU×3Serve errWashington St.+0.2
3213-19LIULIU×3KillMiabella Musignacset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.4
3314-19LIULIU×3Attack errEliana Tia+0.6
3414-20LIUWASHSTAttack errMia Rojas-avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.7
3515-20WASHSTLIUKillDilara Elmaciogluset Bella Correia+0.4
3615-21LIUWASHST×3Serve errLIU+0.6
3715-22WASHSTWASHST×3KillMary Healyset Livia Ward+0.4
3815-23WASHSTWASHST×3AceWashington St.aced Neela Feliberty+0.2
3916-23WASHSTLIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu·
4016-24LIUWASHSTKillEliana Tiaset Livia Ward+0.1
4117-24WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.·
4217-25LIUWASHSTAttack errBella Correiaset Washington St.·
Set 3
11-0WASHSTLIUBlockedWhitney Dewickiblk Sara Van gisteren+0.8
21-1LIUWASHSTBlockedSara Van gisterenblk Eliana Tia, Naomi White+0.8
32-1WASHSTLIUKillSara Van gisterenset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.8
42-2LIUWASHSTKillKryssa Moermanset Audrey Hollis+0.8
52-3WASHSTWASHSTKillEliana Tiaset Audrey Hollis+1.0
63-3WASHSTLIUKillSara Van gisteren+0.8
73-4LIUWASHST×3KillEliana Tia+0.8
83-5WASHSTWASHST×3Attack errMia Rojas-avila+1.0
93-6WASHSTWASHST×3KillMary Healyset Livia Ward+0.9
104-6WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.+0.7
114-7LIUWASHST×3Bad setDilara Elmacioglu+0.7
124-8WASHSTWASHST×3AceWashington St.aced Reese Teves+0.8
134-9WASHSTWASHST×3AceWashington St.aced Reese Teves+0.7
145-9WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.+0.5
155-10LIUWASHSTBlockedBella Correiablk Audrey Hollis, Naomi White+0.5
165-11WASHSTWASHSTKillEliana Tiaset Livia Ward+0.6
176-11WASHSTLIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.4
186-12LIUWASHSTKillMary Healyset Audrey Hollis+0.4
197-12WASHSTLIUKillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.4
208-12LIULIUAceLIUaced Eliana Tia+0.6
218-13LIUWASHSTKillWhitney Dewickiset Audrey Hollis+0.6
229-13WASHSTLIUKillSara Van gisterenset Reese Teves+0.5
239-14LIUWASHSTKillEliana Tiaset Audrey Hollis+0.6
2410-14WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.+0.5
2510-15LIUWASHSTBlockedMia Rojas-avilablk Kryssa Moerman, Eliana Tia+0.6
2611-15WASHSTLIUKillYasmeen Muhammadset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.5
2712-15LIULIUAttack errAudrey Hollis+0.8
2812-16LIUWASHSTKillMary Healyset Livia Ward+0.7
2913-16WASHSTLIUServe errWashington St.+0.6
3014-16LIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
3114-17LIUWASHST×4Attack errBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu+1.0
3214-18WASHSTWASHST×4AceWashington St.aced Bella Correia+1.0
3314-19WASHSTWASHST×4Attack errDilara Elmacioglu+0.8
3414-20WASHSTWASHST×4Attack errSara Van gisteren+0.5
3515-20WASHSTLIUKillSara Garciaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
3615-21LIUWASHST×3Serve errLIU+0.3
3715-22WASHSTWASHST×3BlockedSara Garciablk Naomi White+0.2
3815-23WASHSTWASHST×3KillWhitney Dewickiset Audrey Hollis+0.1
3916-23WASHSTLIU×3KillBella Correiaset Dilara Elmacioglu·
4017-23LIU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
4118-23LIULIU×3KillMia Rojas-avilaset Reese Teves+0.1
4218-24LIUWASHSTKillMia Rojas-avilaset Dilara Elmacioglu+0.2
4318-25WASHSTWASHSTKillWhitney Dewickiset Audrey Hollis·

Score shown after each rally, LIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).