FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomePAC-12

Washington St. def. LIU 3–0

(25-14, 25-17, 25-18)

Set	1*	2	3*	Sets
LIU	14	17	18	0
WASHST	25	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WASHST above 50 · LIU below

Biggest swing: 1.0% to LIU — set 1, LIU 7-6 WASHST. Attack error by Kryssa Moerman. WASHST win probability 93% → 92%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LIU 6.5%93.5% WASHST

LIU wins

3-0

0.8%

3-1

1.9%

3-2

3.8%

Washington St. wins

3-0

51.5%

3-1

30.7%

3-2

11.3%

LIU break %: 38.2% vs this opp
WASHST break %: 49.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kryssa MoermanAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Kryssa Moerman
Set 1 · LIU 7-6 WASHST · LIU 7% → 8%
02
Sara Van gisterenKill+1.0%
Kill by Sara Van gisteren (set by Miabella Musignac)
Set 1 · LIU 2-0 WASHST · LIU 7% → 8%
03
Bella CorreiaAttack error+0.9%
Bella Correia stuffed by Kate Hayhurst & Naomi White
Set 1 · LIU 7-8 WASHST · WASHST 93% → 94%
04
Mary HealyAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Mary Healy
Set 1 · LIU 6-6 WASHST · LIU 6% → 7%
05
Unlogged pointFeed gap+0.8%
Point Washington St. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · LIU 3-3 WASHST · WASHST 92% → 93%
06
Sara GarciaKill+0.8%
Kill by Sara Garcia (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 1 · LIU 3-1 WASHST · LIU 7% → 8%
07
Sara Van gisterenAttack error+0.8%
Sara Van gisteren stuffed by Naomi White
Set 1 · LIU 7-9 WASHST · WASHST 94% → 95%
08
Mia Rojas-avilaAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Mia Rojas-avila
Set 1 · LIU 3-4 WASHST · WASHST 93% → 94%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LIUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
23Sara Van gisterenOH	3	6	8	37	-.054	0	0	1	11	0	1	1	7
3Mia Rojas-avilaOH	3	6	7	28	-.036	0	0	2	7	3	0	0	6
13Bella CorreiaOH	3	3	8	23	-.217	2	1	0	7	1	0	0	4
15Yasmeen MuhammadMB	3	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
24Sara GarciaMB	3	2	3	7	-.143	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	2
7Dilara ElmaciogluS	3	1	1	5	.000	16	1	2	16	0	0	0	2
5Miabella MusignacL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	1
11Anna LigartOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26Daniela De los santos castilloMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Neela FelibertyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
9Reese TevesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	2	0	0	0
27Rodaina MohamedS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Sibana González acevedoOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	28	111	-.045	22	2	5	53	7	1	1	50

Washington St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3Eliana TiaOH	3	15	3	38	.316	1	0	1	9	1	0	3	1.5	16.5
9Whitney DewickiOH	3	6	1	19	.263	0	2	4	3	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
1Naomi WhiteMB	3	2	0	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	3	6	6	8
13Mary HealyOPP	3	6	3	17	.176	2	0	2	7	1	0	0	0	6
17Kryssa MoermanMB	3	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	4
11Audrey HollisS	3	0	1	4	-.250	18	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
6Kambree RodriguezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	4	3	13	0	0	0	0	4
14Kate HayhurstOPP	3	0	3	6	-.500	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
4Livia WardS	3	1	0	3	.333	8	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
5Chloe HeimlicherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
18Ella SmithMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Elma BajraktarevicS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Emerson MatthewsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Julia DickesonMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Lauren JohnsonMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Maddy JoswickL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Madyn CervelleraOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	12	105	.190	30	7	11	44	2	4	16	12	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 LIU · WASHST 7

Set 1*

14-25

Longest run 3 LIUWASHST 7

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 LIUWASHST 5

Set 3*

18-25

Longest run 3 LIUWASHST 4

Bars above the line = Washington St. leads, below = LIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%2/6	40%2/5
2	50%2/4	0%0/2
3	40%2/5	0%0/2
4	100%2/2	50%2/4
5	40%2/5	33%1/3
6	100%2/2	0%0/2
All	50%12/24	28%5/18

Washington St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%3/5	0%0/2
2	100%2/2	67%4/6
3	100%2/2	50%2/4
4	50%2/4	60%3/5
5	67%2/3	0%0/2
6	100%2/2	60%3/5
All	72%13/18	50%12/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

124 rallies

Rally log

#	LIU-WASHST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.7
2	2-0	LIU	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Miabella Musignac	+1.0
3	2-1	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.7
4	3-1	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
5	3-2	LIU	WASHST×4	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Mary Healy	+0.7
6	3-3	WASHST	WASHST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.8
7	3-4	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Mia Rojas-avila		+0.8
8	3-5	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Sara Van gisteren		+0.7
9	4-5	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.6
10	4-6	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Livia Ward	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.5
11	5-6	WASHST	LIU×3	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.6
12	6-6	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Mary Healy		+0.9
13	7-6	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Kryssa Moerman		+1.0
14	7-7	LIU	WASHST×7	Serve err	LIU server		+0.7
15	7-8	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Bella Correia	blk Kate Hayhurst, Naomi White	+0.9
16	7-9	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Sara Van gisteren	blk Naomi White	+0.8
17	7-10	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Bella Correia	blk Kate Hayhurst, Naomi White	+0.6
18	7-11	WASHST	WASHST×7	Kill	Mary Healy		+0.5
19	7-12	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.4
20	7-13	WASHST	WASHST×7	Ace	WASHST server	aced Mia Rojas-avila	+0.3
21	8-13	WASHST	LIU	Attack err	Kate Hayhurst	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.2
22	8-14	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Bella Correia	blk Kate Hayhurst, Naomi White	+0.2
23	9-14	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.2
24	9-15	LIU	WASHST×4	Kill	Naomi White	set Audrey Hollis	+0.2
25	9-16	WASHST	WASHST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
26	9-17	WASHST	WASHST×4	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
27	9-18	WASHST	WASHST×4	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
28	10-18	WASHST	LIU	Attack err	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
29	10-19	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Sara Garcia	blk Naomi White	+0.0
30	10-20	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
31	11-20	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
32	12-20	LIU	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Neela Feliberty	+0.0
33	12-21	LIU	WASHST×3	Attack err	Sara Van gisteren	blk Kryssa Moerman, Eliana Tia	+0.0
34	12-22	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
35	12-23	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.0
36	13-23	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Miabella Musignac	+0.0
37	13-24	LIU	WASHST	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
38	14-24	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
39	14-25	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU server	aced Mary Healy	+0.6
2	1-1	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Audrey Hollis	+0.4
3	2-1	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
4	2-2	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.4
5	3-2	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
6	3-3	LIU	WASHST×3	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.4
7	3-4	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Mia Rojas-avila	+0.5
8	3-5	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Mia Rojas-avila	+0.4
9	4-5	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.4
10	4-6	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Mia Rojas-avila	blk Kryssa Moerman	+0.3
11	5-6	WASHST	LIU	Attack err	Kate Hayhurst	set Livia Ward	+0.4
12	6-6	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Mary Healy		+0.6
13	6-7	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Livia Ward	+0.4
14	6-8	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Eliana Tia	+0.5
15	7-8	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.4
16	7-9	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Livia Ward	+0.4
17	8-9	WASHST	LIU	Attack err	Kate Hayhurst	set Livia Ward	+0.4
18	9-9	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Mary Healy		+0.7
19	9-10	LIU	WASHST×5	Serve err	LIU server		+0.5
20	9-11	WASHST	WASHST×5	Attack err	Sara Van gisteren		+0.6
21	9-12	WASHST	WASHST×5	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.5
22	9-13	WASHST	WASHST×5	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.4
23	9-14	WASHST	WASHST×5	Attack err	Sara Van gisteren	blk Whitney Dewicki, Naomi White	+0.3
24	10-14	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.2
25	10-15	LIU	WASHST×3	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.2
26	10-16	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Eliana Tia		+0.2
27	10-17	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Sara Garcia		+0.1
28	11-17	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Bella Correia	+0.1
29	11-18	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Mary Healy	+0.1
30	11-19	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
31	12-19	WASHST	LIU×3	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
32	13-19	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Miabella Musignac	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
33	14-19	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Eliana Tia		+0.1
34	14-20	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
35	15-20	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Dilara Elmacioglu	set Bella Correia	+0.1
36	15-21	LIU	WASHST×3	Serve err	LIU server		+0.1
37	15-22	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.1
38	15-23	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Neela Feliberty	+0.0
39	16-23	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
40	16-24	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Livia Ward	+0.0
41	17-24	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
42	17-25	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Bella Correia	set Washington St.	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	WASHST	LIU	Attack err	Whitney Dewicki	blk Sara Van gisteren	+0.2
2	1-1	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Sara Van gisteren	blk Eliana Tia, Naomi White	+0.2
3	2-1	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.2
4	2-2	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.2
5	2-3	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.2
6	3-3	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren		+0.2
7	3-4	LIU	WASHST×3	Kill	Eliana Tia		+0.2
8	3-5	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Mia Rojas-avila		+0.2
9	3-6	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.2
10	4-6	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
11	4-7	LIU	WASHST×3	Bad set	Dilara Elmacioglu		+0.1
12	4-8	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Reese Teves	+0.1
13	4-9	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Reese Teves	+0.1
14	5-9	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
15	5-10	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Bella Correia	blk Audrey Hollis, Naomi White	+0.1
16	5-11	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Livia Ward	+0.1
17	6-11	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
18	6-12	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
19	7-12	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
20	8-12	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU server	aced Eliana Tia	+0.1
21	8-13	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
22	9-13	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Sara Van gisteren	set Reese Teves	+0.1
23	9-14	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Eliana Tia	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
24	10-14	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
25	10-15	LIU	WASHST	Attack err	Mia Rojas-avila	blk Kryssa Moerman, Eliana Tia	+0.1
26	11-15	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
27	12-15	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Audrey Hollis		+0.2
28	12-16	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.1
29	13-16	WASHST	LIU	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
30	14-16	LIU	LIU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
31	14-17	LIU	WASHST×4	Attack err	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.2
32	14-18	WASHST	WASHST×4	Ace	WASHST server	aced Bella Correia	+0.2
33	14-19	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Dilara Elmacioglu		+0.1
34	14-20	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Sara Van gisteren		+0.1
35	15-20	WASHST	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
36	15-21	LIU	WASHST×3	Serve err	LIU server		+0.1
37	15-22	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Sara Garcia	blk Naomi White	+0.0
38	15-23	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
39	16-23	WASHST	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
40	17-23	LIU	LIU×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
41	18-23	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Reese Teves	+0.0
42	18-24	LIU	WASHST	Kill	Mia Rojas-avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
43	18-25	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, LIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.