FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayPAC-12

3:0

HomeBIG-SKY

Washington St. def. Southern Utah 3–0

(25-22, 25-22, 25-11)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WASHST	25	25	25	3
S UTAH	22	22	11	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S UTAH above 50 · WASHST below

Biggest swing: 0.4% to Southern Utah — set 1, WASHST 14-19 S UTAH. Southern Utah ace on Emerson Matthews. S UTAH win probability 2% → 2%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WASHST 99.7%0.3% S UTAH

Washington St. wins

3-0

82.6%

3-1

15.3%

3-2

1.8%

Southern Utah wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

WASHST break %: 56.1% vs this opp
S UTAH break %: 35.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
S UTAH serverAce+0.4%
Southern Utah ace on Emerson Matthews
Set 1 · WASHST 14-19 S UTAH · S UTAH 2% → 2%
02
Maya BanksKill+0.4%
Kill by Maya Banks (set by Emilia Linden)
Set 1 · WASHST 14-18 S UTAH · S UTAH 1% → 2%
03
S UTAH serverAce+0.3%
Southern Utah ace on Team
Set 1 · WASHST 10-16 S UTAH · S UTAH 2% → 2%
04
Whitney DewickiKill+0.3%
Kill by Whitney Dewicki (set by Audrey Hollis)
Set 1 · WASHST 18-19 S UTAH · WASHST 99% → 99%
05
Maya BanksAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Maya Banks
Set 1 · WASHST 17-19 S UTAH · WASHST 98% → 99%
06
WASHST serverService error+0.3%
Washington St. service error
Set 1 · WASHST 14-17 S UTAH · S UTAH 1% → 1%
07
Maya BanksAttack error+0.3%
Maya Banks stuffed by Naomi White
Set 1 · WASHST 19-19 S UTAH · WASHST 99% → 99%
08
Ryen SmithKill+0.3%
Kill by Ryen Smith (set by Talea Berry)
Set 1 · WASHST 8-13 S UTAH · S UTAH 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Washington St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Whitney DewickiOH	3	8	2	17	.353	0	1	3	2	0	0	4	2	11
1Naomi WhiteMB	3	5	0	11	.455	0	1	0	0	0	1	8	5	11
13Mary HealyOPP	3	8	5	19	.158	0	1	2	3	1	0	2	1	10
17Kryssa MoermanMB	3	6	1	12	.417	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	8
2Madyn CervelleraOH	3	4	6	17	-.118	0	0	0	3	0	0	4	2	6
11Audrey HollisS	3	4	1	8	.375	17	0	2	9	0	0	2	1	5
5Chloe HeimlicherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
4Livia WardS	3	0	0	1	.000	11	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
10Emerson MatthewsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
6Kambree RodriguezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	14	0	0	0	0	0
7Julia DickesonMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		36	15	86	.244	33	4	8	38	3	1	24	13	75

Southern Utahhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Maya BanksOPP	3	5	9	21	-.190	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	7
2Audrey AtwoodOH	3	5	6	19	-.053	0	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	5
12Natalie MooreMB	3	2	0	14	.143	0	0	0	3	0	1	3	2.5	4.5
6Emilia LindenOPP	3	2	1	4	.250	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
14Kaitlyn BarnesL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
17Celeste Uruena JensenS	2	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
5Kaitlyn HoelkerOH	3	10	3	25	.280	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
1Ryen SmithOPP	3	3	4	13	-.077	0	0	3	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
9Ava Tiessen-RoodbolS	3	1	1	2	.000	3	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
19Talea BerryS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
10Zorana StankovskaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	4	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	24	100	.040	26	3	9	29	4	1	12	7	55

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 WASHST · S UTAH 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 7 WASHSTS UTAH 5

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 3 WASHSTS UTAH 4

Set 3

25-11

Longest run 8 WASHSTS UTAH 3

Bars above the line = Southern Utah leads, below = Washington St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Washington St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	50%5/10
2	50%6/12	60%9/15
3	50%6/12	68%13/19
4	50%5/10	64%9/14
5	63%5/8	29%2/7
6	80%4/5	50%4/8
All	58%33/57	58%42/73

Southern Utah

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	47%7/15	40%4/10
2	27%6/22	36%4/11
3	45%5/11	54%7/13
4	56%5/9	38%3/8
5	67%4/6	44%4/9
6	40%4/10	33%2/6
All	42%31/73	42%24/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	WASHST-S UTAH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	S UTAH	S UTAH	Ace	S UTAH server	aced Mary Healy	+0.1
2	0-2	S UTAH	S UTAH	Attack err	Whitney Dewicki	blk Maya Banks, Emilia Linden	+0.1
3	1-2	S UTAH	WASHST	Serve err	S UTAH server		+0.1
4	2-2	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Audrey Atwood		+0.1
5	2-3	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Maya Banks	set Celeste Uruena Jensen	+0.1
6	3-3	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
7	3-4	WASHST	S UTAH×5	Kill	Maya Banks	set Celeste Uruena Jensen	+0.1
8	3-5	S UTAH	S UTAH×5	Kill	Audrey Atwood	set Talea Berry	+0.1
9	3-6	S UTAH	S UTAH×5	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+0.1
10	3-7	S UTAH	S UTAH×5	Kill	Audrey Atwood	set Talea Berry	+0.2
11	3-8	S UTAH	S UTAH×5	Kill	Audrey Atwood	set Talea Berry	+0.2
12	4-8	S UTAH	WASHST×3	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
13	5-8	WASHST	WASHST×3	Bad set	Talea Berry		+0.1
14	6-8	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Audrey Atwood	+0.1
15	6-9	WASHST	S UTAH×3	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
16	6-10	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+0.2
17	6-11	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Talea Berry	+0.2
18	7-11	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Livia Ward	+0.1
19	8-11	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.2
20	8-12	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Talea Berry	+0.2
21	8-13	S UTAH	S UTAH	Kill	Ryen Smith	set Talea Berry	+0.3
22	9-13	S UTAH	WASHST	Serve err	S UTAH server		+0.2
23	9-14	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Talea Berry	+0.2
24	10-14	S UTAH	WASHST	Serve err	S UTAH server		+0.2
25	10-15	WASHST	S UTAH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.3
26	10-16	S UTAH	S UTAH	Ace	S UTAH server	aced Team	+0.3
27	11-16	S UTAH	WASHST×4	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.2
28	12-16	WASHST	WASHST×4	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Audrey Hollis	+0.2
29	13-16	WASHST	WASHST×4	Kill	Kryssa Moerman		+0.2
30	14-16	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Audrey Atwood		+0.2
31	14-17	WASHST	S UTAH×3	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.3
32	14-18	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Kill	Maya Banks	set Emilia Linden	+0.4
33	14-19	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Ace	S UTAH server	aced Emerson Matthews	+0.4
34	15-19	S UTAH	WASHST×7	Serve err	S UTAH server		+0.2
35	16-19	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Audrey Atwood	blk Naomi White, Whitney Dewicki	+0.3
36	17-19	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Maya Banks		+0.3
37	18-19	WASHST	WASHST×7	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.3
38	19-19	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Maya Banks	blk Naomi White	+0.3
39	20-19	WASHST	WASHST×7	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.2
40	21-19	WASHST	WASHST×7	Attack err	Ava Tiessen-Roodbol		+0.2
41	21-20	WASHST	S UTAH	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera	blk Maya Banks, Natalie Moore	+0.2
42	22-20	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.2
43	23-20	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Ryen Smith	blk Madyn Cervellera, Naomi White	+0.1
44	23-21	WASHST	S UTAH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
45	24-21	S UTAH	WASHST	Serve err	S UTAH server		+0.1
46	24-22	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Talea Berry	+0.1
47	25-22	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+0.0
2	2-0	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Emilia Linden		+0.0
3	2-1	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Audrey Atwood	set Ava Tiessen-Roodbol	+0.0
4	3-1	S UTAH	WASHST×3	Attack err	Maya Banks		+0.0
5	4-1	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Audrey Atwood	blk Kryssa Moerman, Audrey Hollis	+0.0
6	5-1	WASHST	WASHST×3	Ace	WASHST server	aced Team	+0.0
7	5-2	WASHST	S UTAH	Attack err	Audrey Hollis	blk Natalie Moore	+0.0
8	6-2	S UTAH	WASHST	Serve err	S UTAH server		+0.0
9	6-3	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Natalie Moore	set Talea Berry	+0.0
10	6-4	S UTAH	S UTAH	Bad set	Audrey Hollis		+0.0
11	7-4	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
12	8-4	WASHST	WASHST	Ace	WASHST server	aced Audrey Atwood	+0.0
13	8-5	WASHST	S UTAH×4	Kill	Natalie Moore	set Talea Berry	+0.0
14	8-6	S UTAH	S UTAH×4	Kill	Ryen Smith	set Audrey Atwood	+0.0
15	8-7	S UTAH	S UTAH×4	Attack err	Whitney Dewicki	blk Kaitlyn Hoelker, Emilia Linden	+0.0
16	8-8	S UTAH	S UTAH×4	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+0.1
17	9-8	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Kryssa Moerman	+0.0
18	10-8	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Ryen Smith	blk Madyn Cervellera	+0.0
19	10-9	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Talea Berry	+0.0
20	11-9	S UTAH	WASHST	Serve err	S UTAH server		+0.0
21	12-9	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Maya Banks		+0.0
22	12-10	WASHST	S UTAH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
23	13-10	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Livia Ward	+0.0
24	13-11	WASHST	S UTAH	Attack err	Mary Healy	blk Maya Banks, Emilia Linden	+0.0
25	14-11	S UTAH	WASHST	Attack err	Maya Banks		+0.0
26	14-12	WASHST	S UTAH×3	Kill	Maya Banks	set Zorana Stankovska	+0.0
27	14-13	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Attack err	Mary Healy	blk Natalie Moore, Ryen Smith	+0.1
28	14-14	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Kill	Ryen Smith	set Talea Berry	+0.1
29	15-14	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Livia Ward	+0.1
30	15-15	WASHST	S UTAH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
31	16-15	S UTAH	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
32	17-15	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
33	18-15	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
34	18-16	WASHST	S UTAH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.0
35	19-16	S UTAH	WASHST	Attack err	Ryen Smith	blk Kryssa Moerman	+0.0
36	19-17	WASHST	S UTAH×3	Kill	Emilia Linden	set Talea Berry	+0.0
37	19-18	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Kill	Ava Tiessen-Roodbol	set Talea Berry	+0.1
38	19-19	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+0.1
39	20-19	S UTAH	WASHST×3	Serve err	S UTAH server		+0.1
40	21-19	WASHST	WASHST×3	Bad set	Ava Tiessen-Roodbol		+0.1
41	22-19	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Naomi White		+0.1
42	22-20	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Ava Tiessen-Roodbol	+0.0
43	22-21	S UTAH	S UTAH	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+0.1
44	23-21	S UTAH	WASHST	Attack err	Maya Banks		+0.1
45	23-22	WASHST	S UTAH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
46	24-22	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+0.1
47	25-22	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Kaitlyn Barnes	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+0.0
2	2-0	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Kaitlyn Hoelker		+0.0
3	2-1	WASHST	S UTAH×3	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Celeste Uruena Jensen	+0.0
4	2-2	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Attack err	Mary Healy	blk Maya Banks, Natalie Moore	+0.0
5	2-3	S UTAH	S UTAH×3	Attack err	Kryssa Moerman		+0.0
6	3-3	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.0
7	3-4	WASHST	S UTAH	Attack err	Mary Healy		+0.0
8	3-5	S UTAH	S UTAH	Attack err	Mary Healy		+0.0
9	4-5	S UTAH	WASHST×4	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.0
10	5-5	WASHST	WASHST×4	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
11	6-5	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Kaitlyn Hoelker		+0.0
12	7-5	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Kaitlyn Hoelker		+0.0
13	7-6	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Zorana Stankovska	+0.0
14	8-6	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
15	8-7	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Audrey Atwood	set Talea Berry	+0.0
16	9-7	S UTAH	WASHST	Attack err	Audrey Atwood	blk Naomi White, Whitney Dewicki	+0.0
17	10-7	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Ryen Smith		+0.0
18	10-8	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Emilia Linden	set Talea Berry	+0.0
19	11-8	S UTAH	WASHST×4	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+0.0
20	12-8	WASHST	WASHST×4	Ace	WASHST server	aced Zorana Stankovska	+0.0
21	13-8	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Audrey Atwood	blk Mary Healy, Naomi White	+0.0
22	14-8	WASHST	WASHST×4	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.0
23	14-9	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Maya Banks	set Celeste Uruena Jensen	+0.0
24	15-9	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Livia Ward	+0.0
25	16-9	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Maya Banks		+0.0
26	16-10	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Celeste Uruena Jensen	+0.0
27	17-10	S UTAH	WASHST×8	Serve err	S UTAH server		+0.0
28	18-10	WASHST	WASHST×8	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
29	19-10	WASHST	WASHST×8	Kill	Mary Healy	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.0
30	20-10	WASHST	WASHST×8	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
31	21-10	WASHST	WASHST×8	Attack err	Maya Banks		+0.0
32	22-10	WASHST	WASHST×8	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Kryssa Moerman	+0.0
33	23-10	WASHST	WASHST×8	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
34	24-10	WASHST	WASHST×8	Attack err	Maya Banks		+0.0
35	24-11	WASHST	S UTAH	Kill	Kaitlyn Hoelker	set Ava Tiessen-Roodbol	+0.0
36	25-11	S UTAH	WASHST	Kill	Julia Dickeson	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Washington St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.