Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwayPAC-12

1:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Washington def. Washington St. 3–1

(25-17, 22-25, 25-18, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
WASHST	17	25	18	20	1
WASH	25	22	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WASH above 50 · WASHST below

Biggest swing: 2.3% to Washington St. — set 3, WASHST 9-9 WASH. Attack error by Katy Wessels. WASH win probability 87% → 85%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WASHST 7.7%92.3% WASH

Washington St. wins

3-0

1.0%

3-1

2.3%

3-2

4.5%

Washington wins

3-0

48.8%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

12.3%

WASHST break %: 37.4% vs this opp
WASH break %: 48.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Katy WesselsAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Katy Wessels
Set 3 · WASHST 9-9 WASH · WASHST 13% → 15%
02
Simona MateskaKill+2.3%
Kill by Simona Mateska (set by Andrea Fabikovicova)
Set 3 · WASHST 12-14 WASH · WASH 86% → 88%
03
Mary HealyKill+2.2%
Kill by Mary Healy (set by Livia Ward)
Set 4 · WASHST 15-15 WASH · WASHST 5% → 8%
04
Mary HealyAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Mary Healy
Set 4 · WASHST 16-18 WASH · WASH 94% → 96%
05
WASH serverService error+2.0%
Washington service error
Set 3 · WASHST 12-12 WASH · WASHST 14% → 16%
06
Kryssa MoermanKill+1.9%
Kill by Kryssa Moerman
Set 2 · WASHST 22-19 WASH · WASHST 9% → 11%
07
WASH serverService error+1.9%
Washington service error
Set 3 · WASHST 11-11 WASH · WASHST 14% → 15%
08
Mary HealyAttack error+1.9%
Attack error by Mary Healy
Set 3 · WASHST 12-13 WASH · WASH 84% → 86%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Washington St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Naomi WhiteMB	4	10	2	18	.444	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	12
9Whitney DewickiOH	4	6	0	26	.231	0	3	2	2	0	0	4	2	11
17Kryssa MoermanMB	4	8	1	15	.467	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
13Mary HealyOPP	4	10	5	36	.139	0	0	2	9	3	0	0	0	10
2Madyn CervelleraOH	4	8	4	31	.129	0	0	1	4	1	1	1	1.5	9.5
11Audrey HollisS	4	3	2	8	.125	15	0	0	15	0	0	2	1	4
4Livia WardS	4	1	1	2	.000	17	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
5Chloe HeimlicherL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	7	3	0	0	0	1
6Kambree RodriguezL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	7	1	0	19	4	0	0	0	1
21Elma BajraktarevicS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Emerson MatthewsOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	15	136	.228	40	5	8	60	12	2	14	9	80

Washingtonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Simona MateskaOH	4	16	2	38	.368	0	4	2	17	2	1	1	1.5	21.5
31Maija HowseOH	4	18	1	35	.486	0	0	0	6	0	0	2	1	19
12Katy WesselsMB	4	8	2	15	.400	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	10
2Julia HuntMB	4	6	2	12	.333	0	2	2	0	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
6Andrea FabikovicovaS	4	3	0	6	.500	46	3	0	13	0	0	0	0	6
7Kylie KlecknerOH	2	6	6	24	.000	0	1	1	8	1	0	0	0	7
1Addy AzavedoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	4	0	0	0	0	1
23Kaitlyn NguyenL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	8	0	1	11	2	0	0	0	0
22Samantha DestlerOH	2	4	4	15	.000	0	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	5
10Addie KanouffOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Lily Mae BuerkleS	1	0	1	1	-1.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		61	18	149	.289	57	12	8	66	5	3	6	6	97

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 WASHST · WASH 7

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 6 WASHSTWASH 7

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 WASHSTWASH 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 WASHSTWASH 5

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 2 WASHSTWASH 4

Bars above the line = Washington leads, below = Washington St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Washington St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%11/27	36%5/14
2	79%11/14	21%3/14
3	56%9/16	44%8/18
4	64%7/11	25%3/12
5	50%7/14	42%5/12
6	50%7/14	36%4/11
All	54%52/96	35%28/81

Washington

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%11/15	50%9/18
2	77%10/13	50%11/22
3	50%9/18	25%3/12
4	64%9/14	40%6/15
5	78%7/9	46%6/13
6	58%7/12	56%9/16
All	65%53/81	46%44/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

177 rallies

Rally log

#	WASHST-WASH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Katy Wessels		+1.0
2	1-1	WASHST	WASH×7	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.7
3	1-2	WASH	WASH×7	Ace	WASH server	aced Kambree Rodriguez	+0.8
4	1-3	WASH	WASH×7	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.7
5	1-4	WASH	WASH×7	Ace	WASH server	aced Kambree Rodriguez	+0.6
6	1-5	WASH	WASH×7	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.5
7	1-6	WASH	WASH×7	Ace	WASH server	aced Kambree Rodriguez	+0.4
8	1-7	WASH	WASH×7	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.3
9	2-7	WASH	WASHST	Attack err	Maija Howse	blk Madyn Cervellera, Kryssa Moerman	+0.2
10	2-8	WASHST	WASH	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+0.2
11	3-8	WASH	WASHST×6	Kill	Naomi White	set Audrey Hollis	+0.2
12	4-8	WASHST	WASHST×6	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.4
13	5-8	WASHST	WASHST×6	Ace	WASHST server	aced Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.5
14	6-8	WASHST	WASHST×6	Kill	Naomi White		+0.7
15	7-8	WASHST	WASHST×6	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner	blk Naomi White, Audrey Hollis	+0.9
16	8-8	WASHST	WASHST×6	Kill	Naomi White		+1.1
17	8-9	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
18	9-9	WASH	WASHST	Attack err	Julia Hunt	blk Madyn Cervellera	+0.9
19	9-10	WASHST	WASH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.8
20	9-11	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Audrey Hollis	blk Simona Mateska	+1.0
21	10-11	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.8
22	10-12	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
23	11-12	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Livia Ward	+0.8
24	12-12	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+1.3
25	12-13	WASHST	WASH×3	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
26	12-14	WASH	WASH×3	Ace	WASH server	aced Mary Healy	+1.2
27	12-15	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.9
28	13-15	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.7
29	13-16	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.7
30	13-17	WASH	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.7
31	14-17	WASH	WASHST	Bad set	Andrea Fabikovicova		+0.5
32	14-18	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.6
33	14-19	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera	blk Julia Hunt, Maija Howse	+0.5
34	15-19	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Audrey Hollis	+0.3
35	16-19	WASHST	WASHST	Ace	WASHST server	aced Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.6
36	16-20	WASHST	WASH×5	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.6
37	16-21	WASH	WASH×5	Attack err	Naomi White		+0.5
38	16-22	WASH	WASH×5	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
39	16-23	WASH	WASH×5	Ace	WASH server	aced Madyn Cervellera	+0.1
40	16-24	WASH	WASH×5	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.0
41	17-24	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Livia Ward	+0.0
42	17-25	WASHST	WASH	Attack err	Mary Healy		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.5
2	1-1	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.4
3	2-1	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Kryssa Moerman	+0.5
4	2-2	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.5
5	2-3	WASH	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.6
6	3-3	WASH	WASHST	Attack err	Whitney Dewicki		+0.5
7	4-3	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.7
8	4-4	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.5
9	5-4	WASH	WASHST	Serve err	WASH server		+0.6
10	6-4	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+0.9
11	6-5	WASHST	WASH×3	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.6
12	6-6	WASH	WASH×3	Ace	WASH server	aced Mary Healy	+0.7
13	6-7	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.7
14	7-7	WASH	WASHST	Serve err	WASH server		+0.5
15	7-8	WASHST	WASH×4	Kill	Andrea Fabikovicova		+0.5
16	7-9	WASH	WASH×4	Attack err	Livia Ward	blk Katy Wessels	+0.6
17	7-10	WASH	WASH×4	Attack err	Audrey Hollis		+0.5
18	7-11	WASH	WASH×4	Attack err	Kryssa Moerman		+0.4
19	8-11	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Livia Ward	+0.3
20	9-11	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+0.5
21	9-12	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.4
22	10-12	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+0.4
23	10-13	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.4
24	11-13	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.4
25	11-14	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.4
26	11-15	WASH	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.5
27	12-15	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Audrey Hollis	+0.3
28	13-15	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner	blk Audrey Hollis, Naomi White	+0.6
29	13-16	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.5
30	14-16	WASH	WASHST×4	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+0.5
31	15-16	WASHST	WASHST×4	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+0.8
32	16-16	WASHST	WASHST×4	Ace	WASHST server	aced Kylie Kleckner	+1.1
33	17-16	WASHST	WASHST×4	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+1.3
34	17-17	WASHST	WASH	Attack err	Naomi White	blk Julia Hunt	+0.9
35	18-17	WASH	WASHST×3	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+1.1
36	19-17	WASHST	WASHST×3	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.7
37	20-17	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Julia Hunt	blk Kryssa Moerman	+1.7
38	20-18	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Lily Mae Buerkle	+0.9
39	20-19	WASH	WASH	Ace	WASH server	aced Chloe Heimlicher	+1.5
40	21-19	WASH	WASHST×3	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+1.5
41	22-19	WASHST	WASHST×3	Kill	Kryssa Moerman		+1.9
42	23-19	WASHST	WASHST×3	Attack err	Lily Mae Buerkle		+1.5
43	23-20	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Lily Mae Buerkle	+0.5
44	23-21	WASH	WASH	Ace	WASH server	aced Chloe Heimlicher	+1.2
45	24-21	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+1.7
46	24-22	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.6
47	25-22	WASH	WASHST	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner	blk Whitney Dewicki, Kryssa Moerman	+1.7
Set 3
1	0-1	WASHST	WASH×3	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.2
2	0-2	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.4
3	0-3	WASH	WASH×3	Ace	WASH server	aced Kambree Rodriguez	+1.2
4	1-3	WASH	WASHST	Serve err	WASH server		+0.9
5	2-3	WASHST	WASHST	Ace	WASHST server	aced Simona Mateska	+1.5
6	2-4	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Samantha Destler	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.1
7	3-4	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Audrey Hollis	+1.2
8	3-5	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.1
9	3-6	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera		+1.3
10	4-6	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Livia Ward	+1.0
11	4-7	WASHST	WASH	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.0
12	5-7	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Audrey Hollis	set Livia Ward	+1.1
13	5-8	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
14	6-8	WASH	WASHST	Serve err	WASH server		+1.1
15	7-8	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Simona Mateska	blk Whitney Dewicki, Kryssa Moerman	+1.8
16	7-9	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Andrea Fabikovicova	set Addy Azavedo	+1.3
17	8-9	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Kambree Rodriguez	+1.4
18	9-9	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Katy Wessels		+2.3
19	9-10	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+1.6
20	10-10	WASH	WASHST	Attack err	Samantha Destler		+1.9
21	10-11	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.7
22	11-11	WASH	WASHST	Serve err	WASH server		+1.9
23	11-12	WASHST	WASH	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.8
24	12-12	WASH	WASHST	Serve err	WASH server		+2.0
25	12-13	WASHST	WASH×3	Attack err	Mary Healy		+1.9
26	12-14	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+2.3
27	12-15	WASH	WASH×3	Ace	WASH server	aced Mary Healy	+1.9
28	13-15	WASH	WASHST	Attack err	Simona Mateska		+1.3
29	13-16	WASHST	WASH×5	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.4
30	13-17	WASH	WASH×5	Ace	WASH server	aced Chloe Heimlicher	+1.5
31	13-18	WASH	WASH×5	Bad set	Livia Ward		+1.0
32	13-19	WASH	WASH×5	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Livia Ward	+0.6
33	13-20	WASH	WASH×5	Kill	Andrea Fabikovicova	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.3
34	14-20	WASH	WASHST	Serve err	WASH server		+0.2
35	14-21	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
36	15-21	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.1
37	15-22	WASHST	WASH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.2
38	16-22	WASH	WASHST	Serve err	WASH server		+0.1
39	16-23	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.1
40	17-23	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.0
41	17-24	WASHST	WASH	Serve err	WASHST server		+0.1
42	18-24	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Livia Ward	+0.0
43	18-25	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Samantha Destler	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	WASH	WASH×4	Attack err	Mary Healy		+1.2
2	0-2	WASH	WASH×4	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
3	0-3	WASH	WASH×4	Ace	WASH server	aced Team	+0.9
4	0-4	WASH	WASH×4	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.7
5	1-4	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.5
6	2-4	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.9
7	2-5	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.7
8	3-5	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Whitney Dewicki	set Audrey Hollis	+0.7
9	4-5	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Samantha Destler	blk Naomi White, Whitney Dewicki	+1.2
10	4-6	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.9
11	5-6	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Kambree Rodriguez	+0.9
12	6-6	WASHST	WASHST	Ace	WASHST server	aced Simona Mateska	+1.5
13	6-7	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
14	7-7	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Livia Ward	+1.2
15	7-8	WASHST	WASH	Serve err	WASHST server		+1.1
16	7-9	WASH	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.3
17	8-9	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+1.0
18	8-10	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
19	9-10	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Livia Ward	set Kambree Rodriguez	+1.1
20	9-11	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
21	10-11	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Audrey Hollis	+1.1
22	11-11	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Simona Mateska	+1.8
23	11-12	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.3
24	12-12	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+1.5
25	12-13	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.4
26	13-13	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Madyn Cervellera	set Audrey Hollis	+1.5
27	13-14	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.4
28	13-15	WASH	WASH	Kill	Samantha Destler	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.7
29	14-15	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+1.3
30	15-15	WASHST	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+2.2
31	15-16	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Samantha Destler	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.6
32	16-16	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Naomi White	set Livia Ward	+1.8
33	16-17	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.8
34	16-18	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Mary Healy		+2.1
35	17-18	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Mary Healy	set Livia Ward	+1.5
36	17-19	WASHST	WASH×3	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.6
37	17-20	WASH	WASH×3	Attack err	Mary Healy	blk Simona Mateska, Katy Wessels	+1.7
38	17-21	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+1.2
39	18-21	WASH	WASHST	Kill	Kryssa Moerman	set Audrey Hollis	+0.6
40	18-22	WASHST	WASH×3	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
41	18-23	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.6
42	18-24	WASH	WASH×3	Attack err	Madyn Cervellera	blk Maija Howse, Katy Wessels	+0.2
43	19-24	WASH	WASHST	Attack err	Samantha Destler		+0.0
44	20-24	WASHST	WASHST	Attack err	Samantha Destler	blk Whitney Dewicki, Naomi White	+0.1
45	20-25	WASHST	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Washington St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.