Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Weber St. def. Southern Utah 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Weber St. 98.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 1:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Weber St. won at Southern Utah 3-1 (25-20, 23-25, 25-17, 28-26) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Rose Moore and Maggie Larsen led Weber St. with 12 kills each; Southern Utah's Audrey Atwood had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
WEB ST252325283
S UTAH202517261

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Weber St. led in all four phases.

Win probability never moved more than 5.3 points on one rally; Southern Utah topped out at 14% in Set 4. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Weber St. at 98%.

Weber St.Southern Utah
  • Hitting+.092
    .216.124

    45 kills, 15 errors vs 63 kills, 41 errors.

  • Longest run+-1
    56

    5 straight Weber St. points in the third set stretched a 15–11 lead to 20–11. That set ended 25–17.

Southern Utah above 50Weber St. belowMax swing 5.3%

Weber St.Southern Utah

Aces
Weber St. 4·Southern Utah 4
Serve err
Weber St. 4·Southern Utah 9
Blocks
Weber St. 12·Southern Utah 611 BS · 2 BA vs 6 BS · 0 BA
Digs
Weber St. 53·Southern Utah 64

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Utah above 50 · Weber St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.3% WEB STrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.3% to Weber St. — set 4, WEB ST 24-24 S UTAH. Bad set by Kaitlyn Barnes. S UTAH win probability 12% → 6%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WEB ST 98.0%2.0% S UTAH

Weber St. wins

3-0
66.9%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
5.9%

Southern Utah wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.5%
3-2
1.3%
WEB ST break %
52.1% vs this opp
S UTAH break %
36.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kaitlyn BarnesBad set+5.3%

    Bad set by Kaitlyn Barnes

    Set 4 · WEB ST 24-24 S UTAH · WEB ST 88% → 94%

  2. 02
    Reagan WilliamsBad set+4.8%

    Bad set by Reagan Williams

    Set 4 · WEB ST 22-24 S UTAH · S UTAH 9% → 14%

  3. 03
    Audrey AtwoodKill+4.1%

    Kill by Audrey Atwood (set by Celeste Uruena Jensen)

    Set 4 · WEB ST 24-25 S UTAH · S UTAH 6% → 10%

  4. 04
    Lexie CarlsonKill+4.1%

    Kill by Lexie Carlson (set by Morgan Pratt)

    Set 4 · WEB ST 25-25 S UTAH · WEB ST 90% → 94%

  5. 05
    Natalie MooreKill+4.1%

    Kill by Natalie Moore (set by Celeste Uruena Jensen)

    Set 4 · WEB ST 25-26 S UTAH · S UTAH 6% → 10%

  6. 06
    Stacia BarkerKill+4.1%

    Kill by Stacia Barker (set by Morgan Pratt)

    Set 4 · WEB ST 26-26 S UTAH · WEB ST 90% → 94%

  7. 07
    Audrey AtwoodAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Audrey Atwood

    Set 4 · WEB ST 27-26 S UTAH · WEB ST 94% → 97%

  8. 08

    Kill by Julia Roncero-ribas (set by Celeste Uruena Jensen)

    Set 4 · WEB ST 20-22 S UTAH · S UTAH 7% → 11%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412541.1710001020214
412734.14700112111.513.5
4406.66700110414.58.5
4207.286000102024
41011.0001631900004
42211.000000001013
411135.2860001000011
4102.500000001012
4000–6102110001
4002.000201700000
4000–000000000
4000–000300000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–1900200000
4000–000610000
4000–000000000
Team totals4515139.216434453411212101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4181257.1050008020220
410321.3331011000010
47216.313000402029
45719-.105200201016
4015-.2000011510000
4013-.3332400700000
414631.2580003000014
48924-.042103301019
4000–141820004
41011.000300900001
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–2703400000
Team totals6341177.124594964460688

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Weber St. vs Southern Utah

Season series · Weber St. leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 WEB ST · S UTAH 6

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 WEB STS UTAH 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 WEB STS UTAH 5

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 5 WEB STS UTAH 3

Set 4

28-26

Longest run 4 WEB STS UTAH 6

Bars above the line = Southern Utah leads, below = Weber St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Weber St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
64%14/22
2
67%8/12
33%4/12
3
100%6/6
53%8/15
4
33%6/18
54%7/13
5
50%6/12
14%1/7
6
75%6/8
14%1/7
All
60%41/68
46%35/76

Southern Utah

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%8/21
22%2/9
2
62%8/13
20%2/10
3
44%7/16
33%4/12
4
67%6/9
0%0/6
5
86%6/7
71%15/21
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
54%41/76
40%27/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#WEB ST-S UTAHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S UTAHS UTAHBad setMaggie Larsen+0.3
21-1S UTAHWEB STKillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+0.2
31-2WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.3
41-3S UTAHS UTAHAttack errMaggie Larsen+0.4
52-3S UTAHWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+0.3
62-4WEB STS UTAHBlockedRose Mooreblk Audrey Atwood+0.3
73-4S UTAHWEB STServe errSouthern Utah+0.3
84-4WEB STWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+0.3
94-5WEB STS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+0.3
104-6S UTAHS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.4
115-6S UTAHWEB ST×4KillZiya Munyerset Addison Eastwood+0.3
126-6WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errEmilia Zug+0.3
137-6WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errRyen Smith+0.3
148-6WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedEmilia Zugblk Ziya Munyer+0.2
158-7WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+0.2
169-7S UTAHWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Addison Eastwood+0.2
1710-7WEB STWEB STKillAddison Eastwoodset Ryen Smith+0.2
1810-8WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry+0.2
1911-8S UTAHWEB STServe errSouthern Utah+0.2
2011-9WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
2111-10S UTAHS UTAHAttack errRose Moore+0.3
2212-10S UTAHWEB STAttack errEmilia Linden+0.2
2312-11WEB STS UTAHBlockedMaggie Larsenblk Julia Roncero-ribas+0.3
2413-11S UTAHWEB STAttack errJulia Roncero-ribas+0.3
25–2614-12WEB ST · S UTAH
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
2715-12WEB STWEB STAttack errNatalie Moore+0.3
2815-13WEB STS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.2
2916-13S UTAHWEB ST×3KillMaggie Larsenset Marly Pratt+0.2
3017-13WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errEmilia Zug+0.2
3118-13WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errRyen Smith+0.1
3218-14WEB STS UTAHServe errWeber St.+0.1
3319-14S UTAHWEB STBlockedRyen Smithblk Tennille Gonder+0.1
3419-15WEB STS UTAH×4KillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry+0.1
3519-16S UTAHS UTAH×4KillZorana Stankovskaset Ryen Smith+0.2
3619-17S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errTennille Gonder+0.3
3719-18S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errTennille Gonder+0.5
3820-18S UTAHWEB STServe errSouthern Utah+0.4
3920-19WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.5
4021-19S UTAHWEB ST×4KillRose Mooreset Addison Eastwood+0.5
4122-19WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errJulia Roncero-ribas+0.4
4223-19WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errKaitlyn Barnes+0.2
4324-19WEB STWEB ST×4KillMaggie Larsenset Katelynn Albano+0.1
4424-20WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen·
4525-20S UTAHWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood·
Set 2
11-0WEB STWEB STAceWeber St.aced Amanda Mendoza+0.1
21-1WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.1
31-2S UTAHS UTAHKillJulia Roncero-ribas+0.2
42-2S UTAHWEB STKillSophia Sparrowset Addison Eastwood+0.1
52-3WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
62-4S UTAHS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry+0.2
73-4S UTAHWEB STAttack errRyen Smith+0.2
83-5WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry+0.2
94-5S UTAHWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+0.2
105-5WEB STWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Marly Pratt+0.2
115-6WEB STS UTAH×5KillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+0.2
125-7S UTAHS UTAH×5KillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.3
135-8S UTAHS UTAH×5AceAmanda Mendozaaced Maggie Larsen+0.3
145-9S UTAHS UTAH×5AceAmanda Mendozaaced Maggie Larsen+0.4
155-10S UTAHS UTAH×5KillEmilia Linden+0.4
166-10S UTAHWEB STKillZiya Munyerset Katelynn Albano+0.2
176-11WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry+0.3
187-11S UTAHWEB STServe errSouthern Utah+0.2
197-12WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.4
208-12S UTAHWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+0.3
219-12WEB STWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+0.3
2210-12WEB STWEB ST×4AceWeber St.+0.3
2311-12WEB STWEB ST×4AceWeber St.aced Amanda Mendoza+0.3
2411-13WEB STS UTAHServe errWeber St.+0.3
2512-13S UTAHWEB STServe errSouthern Utah+0.3
2613-13WEB STWEB STAttack errAudrey Atwood+0.3
2713-14WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.3
2814-14S UTAHWEB ST×3KillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+0.3
2915-14WEB STWEB ST×3BlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Maggie Larsen, Ziya Munyer+0.3
3016-14WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errRyen Smith+0.2
3116-15WEB STS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+0.2
3217-15S UTAHWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+0.2
3317-16WEB STS UTAH×4BlockedMaggie Larsenblk Natalie Moore+0.2
3417-17S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errMaggie Larsen+0.4
3517-18S UTAHS UTAH×4Attack errMaggie Larsen+0.5
3617-19S UTAHS UTAH×4KillEmilia Linden+0.6
3718-19S UTAHWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Addison Eastwood+0.4
3818-20WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+0.6
3919-20S UTAHWEB STBlockedEmilia Zugblk Ziya Munyer+0.4
4019-21WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.6
4120-21S UTAHWEB STAttack errCeleste Uruena Jensen+0.5
4221-21WEB STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Addison Eastwood+0.7
4321-22WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.7
4422-22S UTAHWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Marly Pratt+0.6
4522-23WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.8
4622-24S UTAHS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Zorana Stankovska+1.3
4723-24S UTAHWEB STAttack errAudrey Atwood+0.6
4823-25WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry+1.6
Set 3
11-0S UTAHWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+0.5
22-0WEB STWEB STBlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Sophia Sparrow+0.6
32-1WEB STS UTAHServe errWeber St.+0.5
43-1S UTAHWEB ST×4KillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+0.5
54-1WEB STWEB ST×4AceWeber St.aced Kaitlyn Barnes+0.5
65-1WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errJulia Roncero-ribas+0.4
76-1WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Rose Moore+0.3
86-2WEB STS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.2
97-2S UTAHWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+0.2
107-3WEB STS UTAHAttack errRose Moore+0.3
118-3S UTAHWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Morgan Pratt+0.2
128-4WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+0.3
138-5S UTAHS UTAHAceAmanda Mendozaaced Reagan Williams+0.4
149-5S UTAHWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+0.4
159-6WEB STS UTAHServe errWeber St.+0.4
169-7S UTAHS UTAHKillJulia Roncero-ribasset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.7
1710-7S UTAHWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+0.5
1811-7WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errJulia Roncero-ribas+0.5
1912-7WEB STWEB ST×4Bad setCeleste Uruena Jensen+0.4
2013-7WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errAudrey Atwood+0.3
2113-8WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Amanda Mendoza+0.2
2213-9S UTAHS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.4
2314-9S UTAHWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+0.3
2414-10WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.3
2515-10S UTAHWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Morgan Pratt+0.3
2615-11WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.3
2716-11S UTAHWEB ST×5BlockedRyen Smithblk Maggie Larsen+0.3
2817-11WEB STWEB ST×5Attack errAudrey Atwood+0.3
2918-11WEB STWEB ST×5Attack errRyen Smith+0.2
3019-11WEB STWEB ST×5Attack errRyen Smith+0.1
3120-11WEB STWEB ST×5KillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt·
3220-12WEB STS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry·
3321-12S UTAHWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt·
3421-13WEB STS UTAH×3KillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry·
3521-14S UTAHS UTAH×3KillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry·
3621-15S UTAHS UTAH×3AceAmanda Mendozaaced Marly Pratt+0.1
3722-15S UTAHWEB STAttack errEmilia Linden+0.1
3822-16WEB STS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Emilia Linden·
3923-16S UTAHWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+0.1
4023-17WEB STS UTAHKillJulia Roncero-ribasset Celeste Uruena Jensen·
4124-17S UTAHWEB STServe errSouthern Utah·
4225-17WEB STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt·
Set 4
11-0WEB STWEB STAttack errEmilia Linden+0.5
22-0WEB STWEB STAttack errAudrey Atwood+0.4
32-1WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Julia Roncero-ribas+0.4
42-2S UTAHS UTAHBlockedLexie Carlsonblk Audrey Atwood+0.6
53-2S UTAHWEB STKillRose Mooreset Morgan Pratt+0.4
63-3WEB STS UTAH×3KillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+0.5
73-4S UTAHS UTAH×3Attack errMaggie Larsen+0.7
83-5S UTAHS UTAH×3Attack errRose Moore+0.9
94-5S UTAHWEB STServe errSouthern Utah+0.6
104-6WEB STS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Talea Berry+0.8
115-6S UTAHWEB STKillMaggie Larsenset Morgan Pratt+0.7
125-7WEB STS UTAH×6KillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+0.8
135-8S UTAHS UTAH×6KillEmilia Linden+1.2
145-9S UTAHS UTAH×6KillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry+1.4
155-10S UTAHS UTAH×6KillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+1.5
165-11S UTAHS UTAH×6KillEmilia Lindenset Talea Berry+1.6
175-12S UTAHS UTAH×6BlockedMaggie Larsenblk Ryen Smith+1.5
186-12S UTAHWEB STServe errSouthern Utah+0.8
196-13WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Talea Berry+1.3
206-14S UTAHS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Zorana Stankovska+1.5
217-14S UTAHWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+0.7
227-15WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Lindenset Celeste Uruena Jensen+1.2
238-15S UTAHWEB ST×4KillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+0.7
249-15WEB STWEB ST×4Attack errJulia Roncero-ribas+1.1
2510-15WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedJulia Roncero-ribasblk Stacia Barker+1.2
2611-15WEB STWEB ST×4BlockedAudrey Atwoodblk Rose Moore+1.3
2711-16WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Julia Roncero-ribas+1.6
2812-16S UTAHWEB STAttack errAudrey Atwood+1.0
2913-16WEB STWEB STKillRose Mooreset Marly Pratt+1.5
3013-17WEB STS UTAHBlockedRose Mooreblk Natalie Moore+1.7
3114-17S UTAHWEB STServe errSouthern Utah+1.2
3215-17WEB STWEB STAttack errNatalie Moore+1.6
3315-18WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Talea Berry+1.8
3416-18S UTAHWEB ST×3KillZiya Munyerset Morgan Pratt+1.3
3517-18WEB STWEB ST×3BlockedEmilia Zugblk Ziya Munyer+1.7
3618-18WEB STWEB ST×3BlockedRyen Smithblk Ziya Munyer+1.7
3718-19WEB STS UTAHKillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+1.7
3819-19S UTAHWEB STKillTennille Gonderset Morgan Pratt+1.5
3920-19WEB STWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Marly Pratt+1.7
4020-20WEB STS UTAH×3KillRyen Smithset Talea Berry+1.6
4120-21S UTAHS UTAH×3KillJulia Roncero-ribasset Zorana Stankovska+2.6
4220-22S UTAHS UTAH×3KillJulia Roncero-ribasset Celeste Uruena Jensen+3.2
4321-22S UTAHWEB STBlockedEmilia Zugblk Sophia Sparrow+1.9
4422-22WEB STWEB STAttack errJulia Roncero-ribas+2.8
4522-23WEB STS UTAHKillEmilia Zugset Celeste Uruena Jensen+3.1
4622-24S UTAHS UTAHBad setReagan Williams+4.8
4723-24S UTAHWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Marly Pratt+2.2
4824-24WEB STWEB STBad setKaitlyn Barnes+5.3
4924-25WEB STS UTAHKillAudrey Atwoodset Celeste Uruena Jensen+4.1
5025-25S UTAHWEB STKillLexie Carlsonset Morgan Pratt+4.1
5125-26WEB STS UTAHKillNatalie Mooreset Celeste Uruena Jensen+4.1
5226-26S UTAHWEB ST×3KillStacia Barkerset Morgan Pratt+4.1
5327-26WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errAudrey Atwood+3.7
5428-26WEB STWEB ST×3Attack errAudrey Atwood+2.5

Score shown after each rally, Weber St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).