FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

UC San Diego def. Southeastern La. 3–0

UC San Diego beat Southeastern La. 3-0 (25-16, 25-19, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. UC San Diego's Ireland Mcnees led with 15 kills.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
SE LA1619210
UCSD2525253

Win probability

UC San Diego above 50 · Southeastern La. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.5% SE LArally 131 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.5% to Southeastern La. — set 1, SE LA 14-15 UCSD. Attack error by Kaliya Ndiaye. UCSD win probability 80% → 78%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SE LA 24.1%75.9% UCSD

Southeastern La. wins

3-0
4.2%
3-1
8.2%
3-2
11.7%

UC San Diego wins

3-0
27.8%
3-1
29.0%
3-2
19.2%
SE LA break %
39.9% vs this opp
UCSD break %
45.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kaliya NdiayeAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Kaliya Ndiaye

    Set 1 · SE LA 14-15 UCSD · SE LA 20% → 22%

  2. 02

    Kill by Molly Mccluskey (set by Dillyn Griffin)

    Set 1 · SE LA 14-17 UCSD · UCSD 80% → 82%

  3. 03
    Abby BaileyKill+2.3%

    Kill by Abby Bailey (set by Kyra Mckelvey)

    Set 1 · SE LA 8-8 UCSD · SE LA 22% → 25%

  4. 04
    Brea PayneAce+2.2%

    Ace by Brea Payne on Paulina Baillie

    Set 1 · SE LA 2-0 UCSD · SE LA 26% → 28%

  5. 05

    Kill by Katelyn Hernandez (set by Maija Nepszy)

    Set 1 · SE LA 8-10 UCSD · UCSD 77% → 79%

  6. 06
    Molly MccluskeyAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Molly Mccluskey

    Set 1 · SE LA 1-0 UCSD · SE LA 24% → 26%

  7. 07
    Kyra MckelveyAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Kyra Mckelvey

    Set 1 · SE LA 2-2 UCSD · UCSD 73% → 75%

  8. 08

    Kyra Mckelvey stuffed by Kaliya Ndiaye & Ireland Mcnees

    Set 1 · SE LA 14-16 UCSD · UCSD 78% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
35825-.12010080111.56.5
35211.273000310005
3106.1671910400424
3114.00000020010.51.5
3126-.167000220001
3014-.250000000000
37318.222000500007
3307.429000200425
32210.00000120111.53.5
3237-.14300130010.52.5
3001.000201310000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–200000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals272299.0512413346212856
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315633.27301311002117
312425.32001160010.513.5
38114.50010010031.59.5
3024-.50010000031.51.5
3001.0001811300001
3000–100500000
3408.5001300200215
33318.000000200003
3000–131710003
3037-.42900040010.50.5
3000–000300000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals4219110.2093566441012675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SE LA · UCSD 8

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 SE LAUCSD 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 SE LAUCSD 8

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 SE LAUCSD 4

Bars above the line = UC San Diego leads, below = Southeastern La. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southeastern La.

No clean sets to split.

UC San Diego

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#SE LA-UCSDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SE LASE LAAttack errMolly Mccluskey+2.0
22-0SE LASE LAAceBrea Payneaced Paulina Baillie+2.2
32-1SE LAUCSD×3KillMolly Mccluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.5
42-2UCSDUCSD×3Attack errKyra Mckelvey+2.0
52-3UCSDUCSD×3KillIreland Mcnees+1.9
63-3UCSDSE LAKillMelina Gonzalez+1.5
73-4SE LAUCSD×4KillIreland Mcneesset Paulina Baillie+1.5
83-5UCSDUCSD×4BlockedKyra Mckelveyblk Madison Johnson, Ireland Mcnees+1.9
93-6UCSDUCSD×4Attack errAbby Bailey+1.7
103-7UCSDUCSD×4AceUC San Diegoaced Melina Gonzalez+1.5
114-7UCSDSE LAKillKyra Mckelveyset Audrey Vielguth+1.0
124-8SE LAUCSDKillIreland Mcneesset Maija Nepszy+1.1
135-8UCSDSE LA×4KillKyra Mckelveyset Brea Payne+1.0
146-8SE LA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
157-8SE LASE LA×4BlockedKatelyn Hernandezblk Brea Payne, Keira Beverly+2.0
168-8SE LASE LA×4KillAbby Baileyset Kyra Mckelvey+2.3
178-9SE LAUCSDBlockedAbby Baileyblk Maija Nepszy, Madison Johnson+1.7
188-10UCSDUCSDKillKatelyn Hernandezset Maija Nepszy+2.2
199-10UCSDSE LAKillKeira Beverlyset Brea Payne+1.6
209-11SE LAUCSD×3KillKatelyn Hernandezset Kaliya Ndiaye+1.6
219-12UCSDUCSD×3KillMolly Mccluskeyset Marleena Catalan+2.0
229-13UCSDUCSD×3AceUC San Diegoaced Melina Gonzalez+1.7
2310-13UCSDSE LAAttack errMolly Mccluskeyset Kaliya Ndiaye+1.1
2411-13SE LASE LAKillGracie Mann+1.9
2511-14SE LAUCSDServe errSoutheastern La.+1.5
2611-15UCSDUCSDKillIreland Mcneesset Marleena Catalan+1.8
2712-15UCSDSE LA×3KillBrea Payne+1.1
2813-15SE LASE LA×3BlockedIreland Mcneesblk Kyra Mckelvey+2.0
2914-15SE LASE LA×3Attack errKaliya Ndiaye+2.5
3014-16SE LAUCSD×5BlockedKyra Mckelveyblk Kaliya Ndiaye, Ireland Mcnees+2.0
3114-17UCSDUCSD×5KillMolly Mccluskeyset Dillyn Griffin+2.4
3214-18UCSDUCSD×5AceUC San Diegoaced Kaelyn Sharp+1.9
3314-19UCSD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
3414-20UCSDUCSD×5Attack errAinsley Driska+0.8
3515-20UCSDSE LAKillKyra Mckelveyset Brea Payne+0.4
3615-21SE LAUCSD×3KillMarleena Catalan+0.6
3715-22UCSDUCSD×3KillMolly Mccluskeyset Maija Nepszy+0.4
3815-23UCSDUCSD×3KillIreland Mcneesset Maija Nepszy+0.1
3916-23UCSDSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Brea Payne·
4016-24SE LAUCSDKillIreland Mcneesset Maija Nepszy+0.1
4116-25UCSDUCSDAttack errKeira Beverly·
Set 2
11-0UCSDSE LAKillGracie Mannset Brea Payne+1.2
22-0SE LASE LAAttack errIreland Mcnees+1.7
32-1SE LAUCSDKillIreland Mcneesset Marleena Catalan+1.2
42-2UCSDUCSDAceUC San Diegoaced Abby Bailey+1.6
53-2UCSDSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Brea Payne+1.3
63-3SE LAUCSDServe errSoutheastern La.+1.2
74-3UCSDSE LAServe errUC San Diego+1.3
84-4SE LAUCSD×8Attack errGracie Mannset Brea Payne+1.2
94-5UCSDUCSD×8KillMaija Nepszy+1.6
104-6UCSDUCSD×8AceUC San Diego+1.5
114-7UCSDUCSD×8KillMadison Johnsonset Maija Nepszy+1.3
124-8UCSDUCSD×8Attack errKyra Mckelvey+1.2
134-9UCSDUCSD×8KillMadison Johnsonset Maija Nepszy+1.0
144-10UCSDUCSD×8KillMolly Mccluskeyset Madison Johnson+0.8
154-11UCSDUCSD×8KillMadison Johnson+0.6
165-11UCSDSE LAServe errUC San Diego+0.3
175-12SE LAUCSDKillMaija Nepszy+0.4
185-13UCSDUCSDAttack errGracie Brown+0.4
196-13UCSDSE LAKillGracie Brownset Brea Payne+0.2
207-13SE LASE LABlockedKatelyn Hernandezblk Brea Payne, Claire King+0.4
217-14SE LAUCSDKillMaija Nepszy+0.4
227-15UCSDUCSDAttack errCarissa Young+0.4
238-15UCSDSE LA×4KillGracie Mannset Brea Payne+0.2
249-15SE LASE LA×4KillCarissa Youngset Brea Payne+0.4
2510-15SE LASE LA×4BlockedMolly Mccluskeyblk Carissa Young, Claire King+0.6
2611-15SE LASE LA×4Attack errKaliya Ndiaye+0.8
2711-16SE LAUCSDKillMolly Mccluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.8
2812-16UCSDSE LAKillClaire Kingset Brea Payne+0.6
2912-17SE LAUCSDKillMolly Mccluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.8
3012-18UCSDUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Marleena Catalan+0.7
3113-18UCSDSE LAKillClaire Kingset Brea Payne+0.4
3213-19SE LAUCSD×3KillIreland Mcneesset Marleena Catalan+0.5
3313-20UCSDUCSD×3Attack errGracie Brown+0.4
3413-21UCSDUCSD×3Attack errCarissa Young+0.2
3514-21UCSDSE LAKillCarissa Youngset Brea Payne+0.1
3614-22SE LAUCSDServe errSoutheastern La.+0.1
3715-22UCSDSE LAServe errUC San Diego·
3815-23SE LAUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Maija Nepszy+0.1
3916-23UCSDSE LA×4KillGracie Mannset Brea Payne·
4017-23SE LASE LA×4KillGracie Mannset Brea Payne+0.1
4118-23SE LA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
4219-23SE LASE LA×4KillGracie Mannset Brea Payne+0.3
4319-24SE LAUCSDKillIreland Mcnees+0.5
4419-25UCSDUCSDAttack errGracie Mann+0.1
Set 3
11-0SE LA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.9
21-1SE LAUCSDKillIreland Mcneesset Marleena Catalan+0.6
32-1UCSDSE LAServe errUC San Diego+0.7
43-1SE LASE LAAttack errIreland Mcnees+0.9
53-2SE LAUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Marleena Catalan+0.6
63-3UCSDUCSDKillIreland Mcneesset Maija Nepszy+0.9
74-3UCSDSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Brea Payne+0.7
84-4SE LAUCSDAttack errGracie Mannset Brea Payne+0.7
95-4UCSDSE LABlockedIreland Mcneesblk Gracie Brown+0.7
105-5SE LAUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Maija Nepszy+0.7
116-5UCSDSE LAAttack errIreland Mcneesset Kaliya Ndiaye+0.7
127-5SE LASE LAAttack errKatelyn Hernandez+1.1
137-6SE LAUCSDKillMaija Nepszy+0.7
147-7UCSDUCSDAttack errCarissa Young+1.0
158-7UCSDSE LAKillClaire Kingset Brea Payne+0.8
168-8SE LAUCSDKillKatelyn Hernandezset Marleena Catalan+0.7
179-8UCSDSE LAAttack errIreland Mcneesset Marleena Catalan+0.8
189-9SE LAUCSD×3KillIreland Mcneesset Marleena Catalan+0.8
199-10UCSDUCSD×3Attack errKyra Mckelvey+1.0
209-11UCSDUCSD×3KillIreland Mcneesset Marleena Catalan+1.0
2110-11UCSDSE LAAttack errMolly Mccluskeyset Ireland Mcnees+0.7
2210-12SE LAUCSD×4KillIreland Mcneesset Marleena Catalan+0.7
2310-13UCSDUCSD×4Attack errKyra Mckelvey+0.9
2410-14UCSDUCSD×4BlockedMelina Gonzalezblk Madison Johnson, Maija Nepszy+0.7
2510-15UCSD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
2611-15UCSDSE LAKillMelina Gonzalez+0.3
2711-16SE LAUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Maija Nepszy+0.4
2812-16UCSDSE LAServe errUC San Diego+0.3
2913-16SE LASE LABlockedKylie Parkerblk Brea Payne, Claire King+0.6
3013-17SE LAUCSDKillMolly Mccluskeyset Maija Nepszy+0.6
3114-17UCSDSE LAKillGracie Mannset Brea Payne+0.5
3215-17SE LASE LAKillKyra Mckelveyset Kaelyn Sharp+0.9
3315-18SE LAUCSD×3KillMaija Nepszy+0.8
3415-19UCSDUCSD×3KillMolly Mccluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.8
3515-20UCSDUCSD×3BlockedKyra Mckelveyblk Kylie Parker, Kaliya Ndiaye+0.6
3616-20UCSDSE LA×3Serve errUC San Diego+0.3
3717-20SE LASE LA×3Attack errKylie Parker+0.6
3818-20SE LASE LA×3BlockedKylie Parkerblk Claire King, Kyra Mckelvey+0.9
3918-21SE LAUCSDKillMolly Mccluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.9
4019-21UCSDSE LAKillKyra Mckelveyset Brea Payne+0.7
4119-22SE LAUCSD×3BlockedMelina Gonzalezblk Kaliya Ndiaye, Molly Mccluskey+0.9
4219-23UCSD
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.8
4319-24UCSDUCSD×3AceUC San Diego+0.3
4420-24UCSDSE LAKillAbby Baileyset Kaelyn Sharp+0.1
4521-24SE LASE LABlockedMadison Johnsonblk Brea Payne, Gracie Brown+0.2
4621-25SE LAUCSDKillMolly Mccluskeyset Marleena Catalan+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Southeastern La. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).