FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayBIG-EAST

3:0

HomeMEAC

Georgetown def. Morgan St. 3–0

(25-22, 25-19, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
GTOWN	25	25	25	3
MORGAN	22	19	18	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MORGAN above 50 · GTOWN below

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Morgan St. — set 1, GTOWN 19-20 MORGAN. Morgan St. ace on Team. MORGAN win probability 3% → 4%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GTOWN 98.3%1.7% MORGAN

Georgetown wins

3-0

69.1%

3-1

24.0%

3-2

5.2%

Morgan St. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.4%

3-2

1.1%

GTOWN break %: 51.1% vs this opp
MORGAN break %: 34.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
MORGAN serverAce+1.1%
Morgan St. ace on Team
Set 1 · GTOWN 19-20 MORGAN · MORGAN 3% → 4%
02
Katherine McGregorKill+0.9%
Kill by Katherine McGregor (set by Taylor Mercado)
Set 1 · GTOWN 21-20 MORGAN · GTOWN 97% → 98%
03
Grace AlbaughKill+0.8%
Kill by Grace Albaugh (set by Juleigh Urbina)
Set 1 · GTOWN 23-21 MORGAN · GTOWN 98% → 99%
04
MORGAN serverAce+0.8%
Morgan St. ace on Grace Albaugh
Set 1 · GTOWN 19-19 MORGAN · MORGAN 2% → 3%
05
Berkeley PloderKill+0.7%
Kill by Berkeley Ploder (set by Juleigh Urbina)
Set 1 · GTOWN 22-21 MORGAN · GTOWN 97% → 98%
06
Tre'Niya MillerKill+0.7%
Kill by Tre'Niya Miller (set by Isabelle Brown)
Set 1 · GTOWN 21-21 MORGAN · MORGAN 2% → 3%
07
MORGAN serverService error+0.7%
Morgan St. service error
Set 1 · GTOWN 20-20 MORGAN · GTOWN 96% → 97%
08
MORGAN serverAce+0.5%
Morgan St. ace on Grace Albaugh
Set 2 · GTOWN 13-15 MORGAN · MORGAN 1% → 2%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Georgetownaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Dionna MitchellOH	3	12	4	33	.242	0	1	1	13	0	2	0	2	15
9Kamryn Lee-CaracciMB	3	9	6	20	.150	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	10
11Katherine McGregorOH	3	8	4	18	.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
13Berkeley PloderMB	3	7	0	9	.778	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
15Grace AlbaughOH	3	7	3	21	.190	0	1	2	8	2	0	0	0	8
20Juleigh UrbinaS	3	1	0	5	.200	35	1	1	11	0	1	0	1	3
5Jessica LeeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
3Taylor MercadoDS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	1	15	0	0	0	0	0
4Avery LewisOPP	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
1Alexis AndersonOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
17Sydney MercadoL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	17	108	.250	40	5	5	54	4	4	2	5	75

Morgan St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
1Jada WilliamsMB	3	11	2	33	.273	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	11
9Michaela PanekovaOH	3	11	6	30	.167	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	11
11Aubrey WilsonMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	7
8Tre'Niya MillerMB	3	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	4
4Isabelle BrownS	3	2	1	6	.167	25	2	1	9	0	0	0	4
10Nathalia MoraisOH	3	1	3	18	-.111	2	0	2	6	2	0	0	1
5Bailey SwintonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	5	0	0	0	1
21Kira DevriezeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
6Tameary WardlawL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
Team totals		32	14	105	.171	29	4	11	42	5	4	4	59

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 GTOWN · MORGAN 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 GTOWNMORGAN 3

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 GTOWNMORGAN 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 GTOWNMORGAN 4

Bars above the line = Morgan St. leads, below = Georgetown leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Georgetown

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	40%4/10
2	58%7/12	53%8/15
3	78%7/9	36%4/11
4	86%6/7	60%9/15
5	50%6/12	45%5/11
6	67%6/9	45%5/11
All	66%40/61	48%35/73

Morgan St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	54%7/13	38%5/13
2	50%7/14	42%5/12
3	40%6/15	30%3/10
4	67%6/9	0%0/6
5	50%6/12	45%5/11
6	60%6/10	33%3/9
All	52%38/73	34%21/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	GTOWN-MORGAN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Grace Albaugh	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.2
2	1-1	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Tameary Wardlaw	+0.2
3	2-1	MORGAN	GTOWN	Attack err	Nathalia Morais		+0.2
4	2-2	GTOWN	MORGAN	Serve err	GTOWN server		+0.2
5	2-3	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	blk Aubrey Wilson	+0.3
6	3-3	MORGAN	GTOWN×3	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.2
7	4-3	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Ace	GTOWN server	aced Michaela Panekova	+0.3
8	5-3	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Attack err	Aubrey Wilson		+0.2
9	5-4	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Nathalia Morais	set Isabelle Brown	+0.2
10	6-4	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Grace Albaugh	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.2
11	7-4	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.2
12	7-5	GTOWN	MORGAN×3	Serve err	GTOWN server		+0.1
13	7-6	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Bad set	Juleigh Urbina		+0.2
14	7-7	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Kamryn Lee-Caracci		+0.3
15	8-7	MORGAN	GTOWN	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.2
16	8-8	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+0.3
17	8-9	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Nathalia Morais	+0.4
18	9-9	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Taylor Mercado	+0.3
19	10-9	GTOWN	GTOWN	Attack err	Michaela Panekova	blk Dionna Mitchell	+0.4
20	10-10	GTOWN	MORGAN	Attack err	Katherine McGregor		+0.3
21	11-10	MORGAN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Berkeley Ploder	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.3
22	12-10	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Ace	GTOWN server	aced Michaela Panekova	+0.3
23	13-10	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Grace Albaugh	set Taylor Mercado	+0.2
24	13-11	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.2
25	14-11	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.2
26	14-12	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Tameary Wardlaw	+0.2
27	14-13	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.4
28	15-13	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.3
29	16-13	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Grace Albaugh	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.3
30	16-14	GTOWN	MORGAN	Attack err	Grace Albaugh		+0.2
31	17-14	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.2
32	17-15	GTOWN	MORGAN	Serve err	GTOWN server		+0.2
33	17-16	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Kamryn Lee-Caracci		+0.4
34	18-16	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.3
35	18-17	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.4
36	19-17	MORGAN	GTOWN	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+0.4
37	19-18	GTOWN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.4
38	19-19	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Ace	MORGAN server	aced Grace Albaugh	+0.8
39	19-20	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Ace	MORGAN server	aced Team	+1.1
40	20-20	MORGAN	GTOWN	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.7
41	21-20	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Taylor Mercado	+0.9
42	21-21	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Tre'Niya Miller	set Isabelle Brown	+0.7
43	22-21	MORGAN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Berkeley Ploder	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.7
44	23-21	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Grace Albaugh	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.8
45	24-21	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.5
46	24-22	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Dionna Mitchell	+0.1
47	25-22	MORGAN	GTOWN	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Taylor Mercado	+0.1
2	2-0	GTOWN	GTOWN	Attack err	Michaela Panekova	blk Berkeley Ploder	+0.1
3	2-1	GTOWN	MORGAN	Attack err	Katherine McGregor		+0.1
4	2-2	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Katherine McGregor		+0.2
5	3-2	MORGAN	GTOWN×3	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.1
6	4-2	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.1
7	5-2	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.1
8	5-3	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.1
9	6-3	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.1
10	6-4	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+0.1
11	7-4	MORGAN	GTOWN	Attack err	Nathalia Morais	blk Katherine McGregor, Berkeley Ploder	+0.1
12	7-5	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.1
13	7-6	MORGAN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.1
14	8-6	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.1
15	8-7	GTOWN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+0.1
16	8-8	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Ace	MORGAN server	aced Alexis Anderson	+0.2
17	8-9	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Nathalia Morais	+0.3
18	9-9	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.2
19	9-10	GTOWN	MORGAN×3	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.2
20	9-11	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Dionna Mitchell		+0.3
21	9-12	MORGAN	MORGAN×3	Attack err	Dionna Mitchell	blk Tre'Niya Miller	+0.4
22	10-12	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Berkeley Ploder	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.2
23	10-13	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.3
24	11-13	MORGAN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.3
25	12-13	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Grace Albaugh	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.3
26	13-13	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Berkeley Ploder		+0.3
27	13-14	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.3
28	13-15	MORGAN	MORGAN	Ace	MORGAN server	aced Grace Albaugh	+0.5
29	14-15	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Berkeley Ploder	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.3
30	15-15	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.4
31	15-16	GTOWN	MORGAN	Attack err	Grace Albaugh		+0.3
32	16-16	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.3
33	17-16	GTOWN	GTOWN	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+0.3
34	17-17	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+0.3
35	18-17	MORGAN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.3
36	19-17	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Attack err	Jada Williams		+0.3
37	20-17	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Ace	GTOWN server	aced Tameary Wardlaw	+0.2
38	21-17	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Isabelle Brown	+0.1
39	21-18	GTOWN	MORGAN	Attack err	Kamryn Lee-Caracci		+0.1
40	22-18	MORGAN	GTOWN×3	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.1
41	23-18	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+0.1
42	24-18	GTOWN	GTOWN×3	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
43	24-19	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Tre'Niya Miller	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
44	25-19	MORGAN	GTOWN	Attack err	Jada Williams	blk Dionna Mitchell	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
2	2-0	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
3	2-1	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Isabelle Brown		+0.0
4	2-2	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	blk Tre'Niya Miller	+0.1
5	3-2	MORGAN	GTOWN	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.0
6	4-2	GTOWN	GTOWN	Ace	GTOWN server	aced Nathalia Morais	+0.1
7	4-3	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
8	5-3	MORGAN	GTOWN×5	Kill	Juleigh Urbina	set Michaela Panekova	+0.0
9	6-3	GTOWN	GTOWN×5	Attack err	Michaela Panekova		+0.0
10	7-3	GTOWN	GTOWN×5	Ace	GTOWN server	aced Nathalia Morais	+0.0
11	8-3	GTOWN	GTOWN×5	Kill	Berkeley Ploder	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
12	9-3	GTOWN	GTOWN×5	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
13	9-4	GTOWN	MORGAN	Serve err	GTOWN server		+0.0
14	10-4	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
15	10-5	GTOWN	MORGAN	Serve err	GTOWN server		+0.0
16	11-5	MORGAN	GTOWN	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.0
17	11-6	GTOWN	MORGAN	Attack err	Grace Albaugh		+0.0
18	12-6	MORGAN	GTOWN	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.0
19	13-6	GTOWN	GTOWN	Attack err	Isabelle Brown		+0.0
20	13-7	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
21	13-8	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Dionna Mitchell		+0.0
22	14-8	MORGAN	GTOWN	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.0
23	14-9	GTOWN	MORGAN×4	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
24	14-10	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Kill	Michaela Panekova	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
25	14-11	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Attack err	Dionna Mitchell		+0.0
26	14-12	MORGAN	MORGAN×4	Attack err	Kamryn Lee-Caracci		+0.1
27	15-12	MORGAN	GTOWN	Serve err	MORGAN server		+0.1
28	15-13	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Isabelle Brown		+0.1
29	16-13	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Berkeley Ploder	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.1
30	17-13	GTOWN	GTOWN	Attack err	Tre'Niya Miller		+0.1
31	17-14	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
32	18-14	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Dionna Mitchell	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
33	19-14	GTOWN	GTOWN	Kill	Katherine McGregor	set Taylor Mercado	+0.0
34	19-15	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
35	19-16	MORGAN	MORGAN	Attack err	Katherine McGregor	blk Aubrey Wilson	+0.0
36	20-16	MORGAN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Grace Albaugh	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
37	21-16	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
38	22-16	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Bad set	Isabelle Brown		+0.0
39	23-16	GTOWN	GTOWN×4	Attack err	Nathalia Morais		+0.0
40	23-17	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Jada Williams	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
41	24-17	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0
42	24-18	GTOWN	MORGAN	Kill	Aubrey Wilson	set Isabelle Brown	+0.0
43	25-18	MORGAN	GTOWN	Kill	Kamryn Lee-Caracci	set Juleigh Urbina	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Georgetown first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.