UNC Asheville def. Morgan St. 3–1
UNC Asheville beat Morgan St. 3-1 (24-26, 25-19, 25-17, 25-21) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. UNC Asheville's Sarah Wadsworth led with 15 kills, and Catherine Hubiak added 17 digs.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNC A | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| MORGAN | 26 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.0% to Morgan St. — set 1, UNC A 24-26 MORGAN. Kill by Jada Williams (set by Isabelle Brown). MORGAN win probability 21% → 29%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
UNC Asheville wins
Morgan St. wins
- UNC A break %
- 46.8% vs this opp
- MORGAN break %
- 37.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Jada WilliamsKill+8.0%
Kill by Jada Williams (set by Isabelle Brown)
Set 1 · UNC A 24-26 MORGAN · MORGAN 21% → 29%
- 02Sarah WadsworthAttack error+6.4%
Attack error by Sarah Wadsworth
Set 1 · UNC A 24-25 MORGAN · MORGAN 14% → 21%
- 03Tre'Niya Miller&Jada WilliamsBlock+5.2%
Albertine van der Goot stuffed by Tre'Niya Miller & Jada Williams
Set 1 · UNC A 24-24 MORGAN · MORGAN 9% → 14%
- 04Isabelle Brown&Aubrey WilsonBlock+4.1%
Maddie Connelly stuffed by Isabelle Brown & Aubrey Wilson
Set 2 · UNC A 16-16 MORGAN · MORGAN 27% → 31%
- 05Tre'Niya Miller&Jada WilliamsBlock+3.9%
Sarah Wadsworth stuffed by Tre'Niya Miller & Jada Williams
Set 2 · UNC A 8-11 MORGAN · MORGAN 36% → 40%
- 06UNC AshevilleAce+3.7%
UNC Asheville ace on Nathalia Morais
Set 2 · UNC A 18-16 MORGAN · UNC A 72% → 75%
- 07Tre'Niya Miller&Jada WilliamsBlock+3.7%
Lydia Pate stuffed by Tre'Niya Miller & Jada Williams
Set 2 · UNC A 8-10 MORGAN · MORGAN 33% → 36%
- 08Michaela PanekovaAttack error+3.5%
Attack error by Michaela Panekova
Set 2 · UNC A 10-11 MORGAN · UNC A 62% → 66%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 15 | 10 | 40 | .125 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 18.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 2 | 18 | .500 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 16.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 30 | .233 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 26 | .077 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 22 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 20 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| Team totals | 50 | 24 | 130 | .200 | 47 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 99 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 5 | 36 | .250 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 15 | .267 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .444 | 28 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | -.308 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | .143 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -.600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Team totals | 36 | 24 | 114 | .105 | 32 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 83 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
24-26
Set 2
25-19
Set 3
25-17
Set 4
25-21
Bars above the line = Morgan St. leads, below = UNC Asheville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
UNC Asheville
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63%5/8 | 69%9/13 |
| 2 | 100%4/4 | 50%4/8 |
| 3 | 44%4/9 | 50%4/8 |
| 4 | 100%4/4 | 67%8/12 |
| 5 | 100%4/4 | 0%0/4 |
| 6 | 50%4/8 | 0%0/4 |
| All | 68%25/37 | 51%25/49 |
Morgan St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36%4/11 | 38%3/8 |
| 2 | 50%4/8 | 33%2/6 |
| 3 | 40%4/10 | 33%2/6 |
| 4 | 50%4/8 | 43%3/7 |
| 5 | 100%4/4 | 0%0/4 |
| 6 | 50%4/8 | 33%2/6 |
| All | 49%24/49 | 32%12/37 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
182 rallies
| # | UNC A-MORGAN | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Ace | Morgan St. | aced Sarah Wadsworth | +1.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Lydia Pate | set Olivia Callipo | +0.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +1.0 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Attack err | Maddie Connelly | +1.5 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Jada Williams | set Kira Devrieze | +1.6 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Lydia Pate | set Olivia Callipo | +1.0 |
| 7 | 2-5 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +1.3 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +1.8 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Olivia Callipo | +1.1 |
| 10 | 3-7 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +1.4 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Ace | Morgan St. | aced Lily Bannister | +1.8 |
| 12 | 3-9 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Ace | Morgan St. | aced Sarah Wadsworth | +1.8 |
| 13 | 4-9 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Maddie Connelly | set Elise Jensen | +1.0 |
| 14 | 5-9 | UNC A | UNC A | Attack err | Azra Arslanoglu | +1.5 | |
| 15 | 5-10 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | MORGAN | UNC A | Blocked | Isabelle Brown | blk Sarah Wadsworth | +1.1 |
| 17 | 7-10 | UNC A | UNC A | Kill | Lydia Pate | +1.7 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +1.5 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Lydia Pate | set Elise Jensen | +1.2 |
| 20 | 9-11 | UNC A | UNC A | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Catherine Hubiak | +1.8 |
| 21 | 9-12 | UNC A | MORGAN | Bad set | Catherine Hubiak | +1.6 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | MORGAN | UNC A×4 | Serve err | Morgan St. | +1.3 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | UNC A | UNC A×4 | Blocked | Michaela Panekova | blk Lydia Pate, Maddie Connelly | +1.9 |
| 24 | 12-12 | UNC A | UNC A×4 | Blocked | Morgan St. | blk Albertine van der Goot | +1.9 |
| 25 | 13-12 | UNC A | UNC A×4 | Attack err | Jada Williams | +1.7 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +1.4 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Attack err | Maddie Connelly | +2.2 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Olivia Callipo | +1.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | UNC A | MORGAN | Attack err | Maddie Connelly | set Lydia Pate | +1.7 |
| 30 | 14-16 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Attack err | Cadence Nichols | +2.5 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | MORGAN | UNC A×5 | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Olivia Callipo | +1.6 |
| 32 | 16-16 | UNC A | UNC A×5 | Kill | Maddie Connelly | set Elise Jensen | +2.3 |
| 33 | 17-16 | UNC A | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.2 | |||
| 34 | 18-16 | UNC A | UNC A×5 | Kill | Maddie Connelly | set Elise Jensen | +1.9 |
| 35 | 19-16 | UNC A | UNC A×5 | Ace | UNC Asheville | +1.5 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +1.0 |
| 37 | 20-17 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Cadence Nichols | set Elise Jensen | +1.2 |
| 38 | 20-18 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Isabelle Brown | +1.0 |
| 39 | 20-19 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Blocked | Sarah Wadsworth | blk Aubrey Wilson | +2.0 |
| 40 | 20-20 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Kira Devrieze | +2.9 |
| 41 | 21-20 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Elise Jensen | +2.2 |
| 42 | 22-20 | UNC A | UNC A | Attack err | Michaela Panekova | +2.7 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +1.6 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | MORGAN | UNC A | Serve err | Morgan St. | +2.2 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | UNC A | UNC A | Blocked | Tre'Niya Miller | blk Lydia Pate | +1.9 |
| 46 | 24-22 | UNC A | MORGAN×5 | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +0.5 |
| 47 | 24-23 | MORGAN | MORGAN×5 | Attack err | Sarah Wadsworth | +1.9 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | MORGAN | MORGAN×5 | Blocked | Albertine van der Goot | blk Tre'Niya Miller, Jada Williams | +5.2 |
| 49 | 24-25 | MORGAN | MORGAN×5 | Attack err | Sarah Wadsworth | +6.4 | |
| 50 | 24-26 | MORGAN | MORGAN×5 | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +8.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UNC A | UNC A | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Olivia Callipo | +2.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | UNC A | UNC A | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Olivia Callipo | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +1.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Attack err | Albertine van der Goot | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Jada Williams | +2.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Olivia Callipo | +1.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +2.1 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Olivia Callipo | +1.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | UNC A | UNC A | Ace | UNC Asheville | +2.4 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +1.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Ace | Morgan St. | aced Sarah Wadsworth | +2.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Maddie Connelly | set Olivia Callipo | +2.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +2.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MORGAN | UNC A | Ball handling | Jada Williams | +2.0 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +2.4 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Elise Jensen | +2.1 |
| 17 | 8-9 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +2.5 |
| 18 | 8-10 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Blocked | Lydia Pate | blk Tre'Niya Miller, Jada Williams | +3.7 |
| 19 | 8-11 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Blocked | Sarah Wadsworth | blk Tre'Niya Miller, Jada Williams | +3.9 |
| 20 | 9-11 | MORGAN | UNC A×3 | Kill | Lydia Pate | set Elise Jensen | +2.4 |
| 21 | 10-11 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Attack err | Michaela Panekova | +3.5 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Catherine Hubiak | +3.4 |
| 23 | 11-12 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +2.8 |
| 24 | 12-12 | MORGAN | UNC A×3 | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Olivia Callipo | +2.5 |
| 25 | 13-12 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Olivia Callipo | +3.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Ball handling | UNC Asheville | +2.9 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +2.2 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | MORGAN | UNC A | Attack err | Azra Arslanoglu | set Tameary Wardlaw | +2.2 |
| 29 | 16-13 | UNC A | UNC A | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | +2.6 | |
| 30 | 16-14 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Isabelle Brown | +1.7 |
| 31 | 16-15 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Blocked | Albertine van der Goot | blk Nathalia Morais, Aubrey Wilson | +3.1 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Blocked | Maddie Connelly | blk Isabelle Brown, Aubrey Wilson | +4.1 |
| 33 | 17-16 | MORGAN | UNC A×5 | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Olivia Callipo | +3.0 |
| 34 | 18-16 | UNC A | UNC A×5 | Ace | UNC Asheville | aced Nathalia Morais | +3.7 |
| 35 | 19-16 | UNC A | UNC A×5 | Attack err | Jada Williams | +2.9 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | UNC A | UNC A×5 | Kill | Lily Bannister | set Catherine Hubiak | +2.1 |
| 37 | 21-16 | UNC A | UNC A×5 | Kill | Maddie Connelly | set Elise Jensen | +1.3 |
| 38 | 21-17 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Lily Bannister | +0.6 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | MORGAN | UNC A | Serve err | Morgan St. | +0.8 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Isabelle Brown | +0.5 |
| 41 | 23-18 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Lily Bannister | set Catherine Hubiak | +0.7 |
| 42 | 23-19 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +0.3 |
| 43 | 24-19 | MORGAN | UNC A | Serve err | Morgan St. | +0.6 | |
| 44 | 25-19 | UNC A | UNC A | Attack err | Nathalia Morais | +0.2 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MORGAN | UNC A×3 | Serve err | Morgan St. | +1.4 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Blocked | Jenae Mason | blk Lydia Pate, Albertine van der Goot | +1.8 |
| 3 | 3-0 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Ace | UNC Asheville | aced Kira Devrieze | +1.5 |
| 4 | 3-1 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +1.1 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | MORGAN | UNC A×3 | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Olivia Callipo | +1.1 |
| 6 | 5-1 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Ace | UNC Asheville | aced Jenae Mason | +1.3 |
| 7 | 6-1 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Attack err | Jada Williams | +1.1 | |
| 8 | 6-2 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | set Isabelle Brown | +0.7 |
| 9 | 6-3 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Attack err | Sarah Wadsworth | +1.3 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | MORGAN | UNC A | Serve err | Morgan St. | +1.0 | |
| 11 | 8-3 | UNC A | UNC A | Attack err | Jenae Mason | +1.1 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Maddie Connelly | set Elise Jensen | +0.8 |
| 14 | 9-5 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +0.8 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Elise Jensen | +0.8 |
| 16 | 10-6 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +0.8 |
| 17 | 10-7 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Attack err | Sarah Wadsworth | +1.4 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Isabelle Brown | +1.8 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | MORGAN | UNC A | Blocked | Michaela Panekova | blk Lily Bannister, Lydia Pate | +1.4 |
| 20 | 12-8 | UNC A | UNC A | Blocked | Michaela Panekova | blk Sarah Wadsworth, Lydia Pate | +1.6 |
| 21 | 12-9 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Michaela Panekova | set Isabelle Brown | +1.1 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Blocked | Lydia Pate | blk Jenae Mason | +1.9 |
| 23 | 13-10 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Lydia Pate | set Olivia Callipo | +1.5 |
| 24 | 13-11 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | +1.5 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Olivia Callipo | +1.6 |
| 26 | 14-12 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +1.5 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Attack err | Sarah Wadsworth | +2.7 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | MORGAN | UNC A×4 | Kill | Albertine van der Goot | set Olivia Callipo | +2.0 |
| 29 | 16-13 | UNC A | UNC A×4 | Blocked | Jenae Mason | blk Leah Okogbenin, Lily Bannister | +2.4 |
| 30 | 17-13 | UNC A | UNC A×4 | Ace | UNC Asheville | aced Tameary Wardlaw | +1.8 |
| 31 | 18-13 | UNC A | UNC A×4 | Attack err | Aubrey Wilson | +1.3 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Isabelle Brown | set Sarah Wadsworth | +0.7 |
| 33 | 19-14 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Maddie Connelly | set Elise Jensen | +0.9 |
| 34 | 19-15 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Nathalia Morais | set Isabelle Brown | +0.7 |
| 35 | 20-15 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Elise Jensen | +0.9 |
| 36 | 20-16 | UNC A | MORGAN | Attack err | Lily Bannister | set Elise Jensen | +0.6 |
| 37 | 21-16 | MORGAN | UNC A×4 | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Elise Jensen | +0.8 |
| 38 | 22-16 | UNC A | UNC A×4 | Attack err | Michaela Panekova | +0.6 | |
| 39 | 23-16 | UNC A | UNC A×4 | Ace | UNC Asheville | aced Michaela Panekova | +0.2 |
| 40 | 24-16 | UNC A | UNC A×4 | Blocked | Michaela Panekova | blk Lydia Pate, Albertine van der Goot | +0.1 |
| 41 | 24-17 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Tre'Niya Miller | set Isabelle Brown | · |
| 42 | 25-17 | MORGAN | UNC A | Attack err | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | · |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UNC A | UNC A | Attack err | Jada Williams | +1.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Tre'Niya Miller | set Isabelle Brown | +1.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MORGAN | UNC A×3 | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Olivia Callipo | +1.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Kill | Aubrey Wilson | +1.4 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | UNC A | UNC A×3 | Ace | UNC Asheville | +1.2 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +0.9 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | MORGAN | UNC A | Serve err | Morgan St. | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +0.9 |
| 9 | 6-3 | MORGAN | UNC A | Blocked | Azra Arslanoglu | blk Leah Okogbenin, Albertine van der Goot | +0.9 |
| 10 | 6-4 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +0.9 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | MORGAN | UNC A×7 | Kill | Maddie Connelly | set Elise Jensen | +0.9 |
| 12 | 8-4 | UNC A | UNC A×7 | Ace | UNC Asheville | aced Azra Arslanoglu | +1.1 |
| 13 | 9-4 | UNC A | UNC A×7 | Ball handling | Tre'Niya Miller | +0.8 | |
| 14 | 10-4 | UNC A | UNC A×7 | Blocked | Azra Arslanoglu | blk Lily Bannister, Leah Okogbenin | +0.6 |
| 15 | 11-4 | UNC A | UNC A×7 | Ace | UNC Asheville | aced Nathalia Morais | +0.5 |
| 16 | 12-4 | UNC A | UNC A×7 | Ace | UNC Asheville | aced Jada Williams | +0.3 |
| 17 | 13-4 | UNC A | UNC A×7 | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Elise Jensen | +0.2 |
| 18 | 13-5 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 13-6 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +0.2 |
| 20 | 13-7 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Blocked | Sarah Wadsworth | blk Chloe Scott, Jada Williams | +0.3 |
| 21 | 14-7 | MORGAN | UNC A | Serve err | Morgan St. | +0.3 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Azra Arslanoglu | set Isabelle Brown | +0.3 |
| 23 | 15-8 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Lily Bannister | set Elise Jensen | +0.3 |
| 24 | 15-9 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Attack err | Albertine van der Goot | set Catherine Hubiak | +0.2 |
| 25 | 15-10 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Attack err | Sarah Wadsworth | +0.5 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Ace | Morgan St. | aced Maddie Connelly | +0.8 |
| 27 | 16-11 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Olivia Callipo | +0.7 |
| 28 | 17-11 | UNC A | UNC A | Kill | Lydia Pate | set Olivia Callipo | +0.6 |
| 29 | 17-12 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Nathalia Morais | set Isabelle Brown | +0.3 |
| 30 | 17-13 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Attack err | Maddie Connelly | +0.7 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Lydia Pate | +0.7 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | UNC A | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Isabelle Brown | set Jada Williams | +0.5 |
| 33 | 18-15 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Attack err | Maddie Connelly | +1.1 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | MORGAN | MORGAN×3 | Kill | Isabelle Brown | set Nathalia Morais | +1.7 |
| 35 | 19-16 | MORGAN | UNC A | Attack err | Azra Arslanoglu | set Isabelle Brown | +1.4 |
| 36 | 19-17 | UNC A | MORGAN | Serve err | UNC Asheville | +1.3 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | MORGAN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.5 | |||
| 38 | 20-18 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Leah Okogbenin | set Elise Jensen | +2.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | UNC A | UNC A | Kill | Olivia Callipo | +2.3 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | UNC A | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +1.3 |
| 41 | 21-20 | MORGAN | MORGAN | Kill | Jada Williams | set Isabelle Brown | +2.8 |
| 42 | 22-20 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Sarah Wadsworth | set Elise Jensen | +2.5 |
| 43 | 23-20 | UNC A | UNC A | Ace | UNC Asheville | +2.5 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | UNC A | MORGAN | Attack err | Sarah Wadsworth | set Elise Jensen | +1.1 |
| 45 | 24-21 | MORGAN | UNC A | Kill | Lydia Pate | +1.7 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | UNC A | UNC A | Kill | Lydia Pate | set Olivia Callipo | +0.8 |
Score shown after each rally, UNC Asheville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).