Final · 5 setsWed, Sep 2, 2026

Wisconsin def. Florida 3–2

Wisconsin beat visiting Florida 3-2 (25-21, 20-25, 25-19, 24-26, 15-13) on Wed, Sep 2, 2026. Audrey Flanagan led Wisconsin with 18 kills; Florida's Kamryn Chaney had a match-high 22.

Data through · final Sep 2

Set12345Sets
FLA21251926132
WISC25202524153

Win probability

Wisconsin above 50 · Florida below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+27.2% WISCrally 213 · set 5

Biggest swing: 27.2% to Wisconsin — set 5, FLA 13-15 WISC. Attack error by Selena Leban. WISC win probability 73% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FLA 47.2%52.8% WISC

Florida wins

3-0
11.4%
3-1
17.6%
3-2
18.2%

Wisconsin wins

3-0
13.7%
3-1
19.9%
3-2
19.2%
FLA break %
37.6% vs this opp
WISC break %
38.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Selena LebanAttack error+27.2%

    Attack error by Selena Leban

    Set 5 · FLA 13-15 WISC · WISC 73% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kymora Scott stuffed by Selena Leban & Alec Rothe

    Set 5 · FLA 13-13 WISC · FLA 23% → 44%

  3. 03
    Audrey FlanaganKill+16.7%

    Kill by Audrey Flanagan (set by Kristen Simon)

    Set 5 · FLA 13-14 WISC · WISC 56% → 73%

  4. 04
    Kamryn ChaneyKill+13.6%

    Kill by Kamryn Chaney (set by Selena Leban)

    Set 4 · FLA 24-23 WISC · FLA 21% → 35%

  5. 05

    Audrey Flanagan stuffed by Alec Rothe & Jordyn Byrd

    Set 5 · FLA 11-12 WISC · FLA 15% → 27%

  6. 06
    Kristen SimonBad set+11.9%

    Bad set by Kristen Simon

    Set 4 · FLA 26-24 WISC · FLA 35% → 47%

  7. 07
    Audrey FlanaganKill+11.1%

    Kill by Audrey Flanagan (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 4 · FLA 22-23 WISC · WISC 74% → 85%

  8. 08
    Grace EganKill+11.0%

    Kill by Grace Egan (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 5 · FLA 11-13 WISC · WISC 73% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
510218.44400040110616
59643.07020710104211
56017.35300000132.58.5
56216.250011500218
5105.200461060010.52.5
21Bella LeeL/DS
5000–203600000
522549.3470004114325
5000–101100000
5000–2031810000
4000–011400001
3317.286000000214
1000–001000000
Team totals5716155.2655331758332616104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517635.3143257102120
518753.20810090031.519.5
516428.42900030052.518.5
57216.31300000031.58.5
5418.37555111500005
46623.000000110217
5000–2001910000
5000–001200000
5000–6041000000
3318.25000030010.53.5
3000–000000000
2000–104000000
Team totals7127171.257683156930168109

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 FLA · WISC 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 FLAWISC 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 FLAWISC 2

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 FLAWISC 3

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 5 FLAWISC 5

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 2 FLAWISC 4

Bars above the line = Wisconsin leads, below = Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
10%1/10
2
50%10/20
45%9/20
3
77%10/13
41%7/17
4
80%8/10
40%6/15
5
58%7/12
22%2/9
6
64%7/11
42%5/12
All
63%53/84
36%30/83

Wisconsin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
47%8/17
2
58%11/19
39%7/18
3
75%9/12
41%7/17
4
62%8/13
25%3/12
5
64%7/11
46%6/13
6
70%7/10
0%0/7
All
64%53/83
37%31/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

213 rallies

#FLA-WISCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FLAWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.7
21-1WISCFLABlockedLynney Tarnowblk Brooklyn Briscoe+1.7
31-2FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.7
42-2WISCFLA×3Serve errWisconsin+1.7
53-2FLAFLA×3Serve errFlorida+2.9
64-2FLAFLA×3KillKamryn Chaney+2.9
74-3FLAWISCServe errFlorida+1.7
85-3WISCFLAAttack errAudrey Flanagan+1.8
95-4FLAWISCAttack errAudrey Flanagan+1.7
105-5WISCWISCBad setSelena Leban+3.0
116-5WISCFLABlockedEva Travisblk Taylor Parks, Alec Rothe+1.9
127-5FLAFLABlockedKymora Scottblk Kamryn Chaney+3.1
137-6FLAWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Grace Egan+1.8
148-6WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+1.9
158-7FLAWISCAttack errSelena Leban+1.8
169-7WISCFLAAttack errGrace Egan+2.0
1710-7FLAFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+3.1
1810-8FLAWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.7
1910-9WISCWISCKillGrace Eganset Kristen Simon+3.1
2011-9WISCFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.1
2111-10FLAWISC×4KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.0
2211-11WISCWISC×4KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.5
2311-12WISCWISC×4Attack errSelena Leban+3.7
2411-13WISCWISC×4KillAudrey Flanaganset Grace Lopez+3.6
2512-13WISCFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.0
2612-14FLAWISCServe errFlorida+2.3
27–2813-15FLA · WISC
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.7
2913-16FLAWISCServe errFlorida+2.1
3014-16WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+1.8
3114-17FLAWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.2
3214-18WISCWISCAttack errKamryn Chaney+2.9
3315-18WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+1.3
3415-19FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.8
3516-19WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.2
3616-20FLAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.8
3717-20WISCFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.1
3817-21FLAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.8
3918-21WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+1.0
4018-22FLAWISCServe errFlorida+1.7
4119-22WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+0.9
4219-23FLAWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.6
4320-23WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+0.6
4420-24FLAWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.3
4521-24WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+0.3
4621-25FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
Set 2
10-1WISCWISCAceWisconsinaced Kamryn Chaney+2.7
21-1WISCFLA×3KillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.6
32-1FLAFLA×3KillKamryn Chaney+2.7
43-1FLAFLA×3Attack errEva Travis+2.7
53-2FLAWISCAttack errAlec Rothe+1.6
63-3WISCWISCBlockedSelena Lebanblk Lynney Tarnow, Audrey Flanagan+2.8
74-3WISCFLA×4Serve errWisconsin+1.7
85-3FLAFLA×4BlockedGrace Eganblk Alec Rothe, Kamryn Chaney+2.9
96-3FLAFLA×4BlockedAudrey Flanaganblk Logan King, Alec Rothe+2.7
107-3FLAFLA×4KillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.5
117-4FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Anna Bardaro+1.3
128-4WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+1.6
138-5FLAWISCServe errFlorida+1.3
148-6WISCWISCBlockedLogan Kingblk Kymora Scott, Audrey Flanagan+2.6
159-6WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.8
169-7FLAWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.6
179-8WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.0
1810-8WISCFLABlockedEva Travisblk Brooklyn Briscoe, Logan King+2.0
1910-9FLAWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Grace Egan+1.8
2011-9WISCFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+2.0
2112-9FLAFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+3.2
2212-10FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.7
2313-10WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.0
2413-11FLAWISCServe errFlorida+1.7
2514-11WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.0
2614-12FLAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Kristen Simon+1.7
2714-13WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.4
2815-13WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+2.4
2915-14FLAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.1
3016-14WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+2.5
3116-15FLAWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.2
3217-15WISCFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.6
3318-15FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Grace Egan+3.8
3418-16FLAWISCServe errFlorida+1.8
3519-16WISCFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.4
3619-17FLAWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.8
3720-17WISCFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.5
3820-18FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.8
3921-18WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.6
4022-18FLAFLAAceFloridaaced Anna Bardaro+2.9
4122-19FLAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
4223-19WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.6
4324-19FLAFLAKillTaylor Parksset Kristen Simon+1.1
4424-20FLAWISCServe errFlorida+0.1
4525-20WISCFLAAttack errAudrey Flanagan+0.3
Set 3
10-1FLAWISC×3KillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.2
20-2WISCWISC×3KillLynney Tarnow+3.6
30-3WISCWISC×3KillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.4
41-3WISCFLA×3Serve errWisconsin+1.9
52-3FLAFLA×3Attack errAudrey Flanagan+3.5
63-3FLAFLA×3BlockedGrace Eganblk Kamryn Chaney, Alec Rothe+3.8
73-4FLAWISCServe errFlorida+2.4
84-4WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.4
94-5FLAWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.4
105-5WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.4
116-5FLAFLAKillSelena Lebanset Lily Hayes+4.1
126-6FLAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.5
137-6WISCFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.6
147-7FLAWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.5
158-7WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+2.7
168-8FLAWISC×3BlockedLogan Kingblk Lynney Tarnow, Eva Travis+2.6
178-9WISCWISC×3KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+4.4
188-10WISCWISC×3KillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+4.4
199-10WISCFLABlockedGrace Eganblk Brooklyn Briscoe, Selena Leban+2.5
209-11FLAWISCServe errFlorida+2.7
2110-11WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Selena Leban+2.6
2210-12FLAWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.8
2310-13WISCWISCKillGrace Eganset Kristen Simon+4.3
2411-13WISCFLAAttack errAudrey Flanagan+2.3
2511-14FLAWISC×3KillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.7
2611-15WISCWISC×3AceWisconsinaced Selena Leban+3.7
2711-16WISCWISC×3BlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Kymora Scott, Audrey Flanagan+2.9
2812-16WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+1.3
2913-16FLAFLABlockedAudrey Flanaganblk Jordyn Byrd, Alec Rothe+2.9
3013-17FLAWISCAttack errSelena Leban+2.3
3114-17WISCFLAKillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+1.7
3214-18FLAWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.4
3315-18WISCFLA×3KillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks+1.7
3416-18FLAFLA×3AceFloridaaced Eva Travis+4.0
3517-18FLAFLA×3KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+5.3
3617-19FLAWISC×3KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.9
3717-20WISCWISC×3BlockedSelena Lebanblk Lynney Tarnow, Grace Egan+5.4
3817-21WISCWISC×3KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.9
3918-21WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+1.4
4018-22FLAWISCServe errFlorida+2.3
4119-22WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+1.2
4219-23FLAWISC×3KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.1
4319-24WISCWISC×3Attack errKamryn Chaney+1.4
4419-25WISCWISC×3KillAudrey Flanaganset Kristen Simon+0.3
Set 4
11-0WISCFLA×5Attack errLynney Tarnow+2.2
22-0FLAFLA×5Attack errEva Travis+3.6
33-0FLAFLA×5KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+3.5
44-0FLAFLA×5BlockedEva Travisblk Kamryn Chaney, Alec Rothe+3.2
55-0FLAFLA×5BlockedEva Travisblk Kamryn Chaney, Alec Rothe+2.9
65-1FLAWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.5
75-2WISCWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.9
86-2WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.0
96-3FLAWISCKillGrace Eganset Anna Bardaro+1.8
107-3WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.1
117-4FLAWISCKillGrace Eganset Anna Bardaro+1.8
128-4WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+2.1
138-5FLAWISCServe errFlorida+1.8
149-5WISCFLA×3KillSelena Lebanset Taylor Parks+2.1
1510-5FLAFLA×3Attack errGrace Egan+3.0
1611-5FLAFLA×3KillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+2.4
1711-6FLAWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Audrey Flanagan+1.1
1812-6WISCFLABlockedLynney Tarnowblk Selena Leban, Brooklyn Briscoe+1.5
1912-7FLAWISC×3KillMadison Questset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.1
2012-8WISCWISC×3KillMadison Questset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.4
2112-9WISCWISC×3KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.0
2213-9WISCFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+2.3
2314-9FLAFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+3.1
2414-10FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.4
2515-10WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.9
2616-10FLAFLABlockedLynney Tarnowblk Alec Rothe+2.2
2716-11FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
2817-11WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.3
2917-12FLAWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.8
3018-12WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+1.3
3119-12FLAFLAKillSelena Lebanset Emerson Hoyle+1.3
3219-13FLAWISC×5KillCharlie Fuerbringer+0.4
3319-14WISCWISC×5BlockedJordyn Byrdblk Madison Quest, Kymora Scott+1.1
3419-15WISCWISC×5KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.8
3519-16WISCWISC×5KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.7
3619-17WISCWISC×5KillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+4.0
3720-17WISCFLAKillJordyn Byrdset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.4
3820-18FLAWISCKillMadison Questset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.4
3921-18WISCFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+3.5
4021-19FLAWISCServe errFlorida+2.3
4121-20WISCWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+5.9
4222-20WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+4.9
4322-21FLAWISC×3KillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.7
4422-22WISCWISC×3Attack errAlec Rothe+9.0
4522-23WISCWISC×3KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+11.1
4623-23WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+6.3
4724-23FLAFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Selena Leban+13.6
4824-24FLAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+8.3
4925-24WISCFLAAttack errGrace Egan+8.3
5026-24FLAFLABad setKristen Simon+11.9
Set 5
10-1FLAWISCServe errFlorida+5.8
20-2WISCWISCBlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Lynney Tarnow, Grace Egan+9.3
31-2WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Bella Lee+5.3
41-3FLAWISC×4KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+5.8
51-4WISCWISC×4Attack errKamryn Chaney+8.8
61-5WISCWISC×4KillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+7.5
71-6WISCWISC×4KillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+5.8
82-6WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Lily Hayes+2.5
92-7FLAWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.5
103-7WISCFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.4
114-7FLAFLAKillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks+5.7
124-8FLAWISCServe errFlorida+4.7
135-8WISCFLABlockedCharlie Fuerbringerblk Alec Rothe, Selena Leban+3.4
146-8FLAFLAAttack errMadison Quest+7.9
156-9FLAWISCServe errFlorida+6.3
167-9WISCFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+4.8
177-10FLAWISCServe errFlorida+6.6
188-10WISCFLAKillSelena Lebanset Bella Lee+4.8
198-11FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+6.8
209-11WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+4.6
219-12FLAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+7.1
2210-12WISCFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+4.3
2311-12FLAFLABlockedAudrey Flanaganblk Alec Rothe, Jordyn Byrd+12.0
2411-13FLAWISCKillGrace Eganset Charlie Fuerbringer+11.0
2512-13WISCFLAServe errWisconsin+7.3
2613-13FLAFLABlockedKymora Scottblk Selena Leban, Alec Rothe+21.1
2713-14FLAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Kristen Simon+16.7
2813-15WISCWISCAttack errSelena Leban+27.2

Score shown after each rally, Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).