Missouri def. Bowling Green 3–1
Missouri won at Bowling Green 3-1 (25-16, 24-26, 25-20, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Lydia Stahley led Missouri with 11 kills; Bowling Green's Avery Hobson had a match-high 13.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIZZOU | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| BGSU | 16 | 26 | 20 | 23 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 8.5% to Missouri — set 4, MIZZOU 25-23 BGSU. Attack error by Cecily Waynar. BGSU win probability 8% → 0%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Missouri wins
Bowling Green wins
- MIZZOU break %
- 44.4% vs this opp
- BGSU break %
- 39.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Cecily WaynarAttack error+8.5%
Attack error by Cecily Waynar
Set 4 · MIZZOU 25-23 BGSU · MIZZOU 92% → 100%
- 02
- 03Cecily Waynar&Ava BuddelmeyerBlock+7.3%
Maizy Agnello stuffed by Cecily Waynar & Ava Buddelmeyer
Set 4 · MIZZOU 23-23 BGSU · BGSU 8% → 15%
- 04Anastasija BozicKill+6.9%
Kill by Anastasija Bozic (set by Molly Beatty)
Set 2 · MIZZOU 24-25 BGSU · BGSU 14% → 21%
- 05Paige FelderKill+6.8%
Kill by Paige Felder (set by Sierra Dudley)
Set 4 · MIZZOU 24-23 BGSU · MIZZOU 85% → 92%
- 06Karli MolnauKill+6.0%
Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Molly Beatty)
Set 2 · MIZZOU 24-24 BGSU · BGSU 8% → 14%
- 07Avery HobsonAttack error+5.7%
Attack error by Avery Hobson
Set 4 · MIZZOU 21-20 BGSU · MIZZOU 83% → 89%
- 08Eva SmithKill+5.1%
Kill by Eva Smith (set by Cecily Waynar)
Set 4 · MIZZOU 22-20 BGSU · MIZZOU 89% → 94%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 16 | .438 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 25 | .120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | .150 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | .222 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 7 | 0 | 13 | .538 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 11 | 2 | 22 | .409 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -.111 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 18 | 122 | .246 | 41 | 11 | 7 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 99 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 31 | .194 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 29 | .172 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 29 | .241 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 12 | .083 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 7 | .857 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 25 | 128 | .211 | 47 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 85 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-16
Set 2
24-26
Set 3
25-20
Set 4
25-23
Bars above the line = Bowling Green leads, below = Missouri leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Missouri
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89%8/9 | 63%10/16 |
| 2 | 44%8/18 | 27%3/11 |
| 3 | 60%6/10 | 59%10/17 |
| 4 | 75%6/8 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 25%2/8 |
| 6 | 75%6/8 | 50%6/12 |
| All | 63%40/63 | 47%34/73 |
Bowling Green
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 57%8/14 | 13%1/8 |
| 2 | 64%7/11 | 53%9/17 |
| 3 | 44%7/16 | 30%3/10 |
| 4 | 75%6/8 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 55%6/11 | 40%4/10 |
| 6 | 38%5/13 | 33%3/9 |
| All | 53%39/73 | 37%23/63 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
184 rallies
| # | MIZZOU-BGSU | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Ainoah Cruz | +1.3 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Attack err | Helen Wilford | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Amanda Otten | +1.3 |
| 4 | 3-1 | BGSU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +1.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Blocked | Karli Molnau | blk Paige Felder, Eva Smith | +1.6 |
| 6 | 5-1 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Kimani Johnson | set Amanda Otten | +1.4 |
| 7 | 5-2 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Amanda Otten | +1.0 |
| 8 | 6-2 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +1.0 | |
| 9 | 7-2 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Bad set | Amanda Otten | +1.2 | |
| 10 | 7-3 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Amanda Otten | +0.8 |
| 11 | 8-3 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +0.9 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | MIZZOU | BGSU×3 | Kill | Amanda Otten | set Sydnie Hernandez | +0.8 |
| 13 | 8-5 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Ace | Bowling Green | aced Paige Felder | +1.4 |
| 14 | 8-6 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Kill | Amanda Otten | +1.7 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | BGSU | MIZZOU×6 | Kill | Kimani Johnson | set Ainoah Cruz | +1.3 |
| 16 | 10-6 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×6 | Blocked | Avery Hobson | blk Grace O'Reilly, Lauren Larkin | +1.6 |
| 17 | 11-6 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×6 | Kill | Lauren Larkin | +1.3 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×6 | Ace | Missouri | +1.0 | |
| 19 | 13-6 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×6 | Blocked | Cecily Waynar | blk Grace O'Reilly, Lauren Larkin | +0.7 |
| 20 | 14-6 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×6 | Ace | Missouri | aced Cecily Waynar | +0.5 |
| 21 | 14-7 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Cecily Waynar | set Molly Beatty | +0.2 |
| 22 | 15-7 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Maizy Agnello | set Lauren Larkin | +0.3 |
| 23 | 16-7 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Blocked | Avery Hobson | blk Grace O'Reilly, Lauren Larkin | +0.3 |
| 24 | 16-8 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Sydnie Hernandez | +0.1 |
| 25 | 17-8 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +0.2 | |
| 26 | 17-9 | MIZZOU | BGSU×4 | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Sydnie Hernandez | +0.1 |
| 27 | 17-10 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Blocked | Grace O'Reilly | blk Helen Wilford, Anastasija Bozic | +0.3 |
| 28 | 17-11 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Ace | Bowling Green | aced Zoey Matias | +0.4 |
| 29 | 17-12 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Ace | Bowling Green | +0.7 | |
| 30 | 18-12 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Sierra Dudley | +0.6 |
| 31 | 18-13 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Attack err | Paige Felder | +0.4 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +0.6 | |
| 33 | 20-13 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Kill | Maizy Agnello | set Eva Smith | +0.5 |
| 34 | 20-14 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Cecily Waynar | set Molly Beatty | +0.2 |
| 35 | 21-14 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Blocked | Cecily Waynar | blk Eva Smith, Kimani Johnson | +0.3 |
| 36 | 21-15 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Amanda Otten | +0.1 |
| 37 | 22-15 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Kimani Johnson | set Piper Batie | +0.2 |
| 38 | 22-16 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Blocked | Maizy Agnello | blk Amanda Otten, Cecily Waynar | +0.1 |
| 39 | 23-16 | BGSU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Sierra Dudley | +0.2 |
| 40 | 24-16 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Avery Hobson | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 25-16 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Ace | Missouri | aced Alivia Brown | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Blocked | Paige Felder | blk Karli Molnau, Helen Wilford | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Sierra Dudley | +1.1 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MIZZOU | BGSU×3 | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Sydnie Hernandez | +1.2 |
| 4 | 1-3 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Attack err | Eva Smith | +1.8 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Kill | Karli Molnau | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Bad set | Amanda Otten | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Amanda Otten | +1.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Piper Batie | +1.2 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Cecily Waynar | set Amanda Otten | +1.4 |
| 10 | 3-7 | BGSU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Kimani Johnson | +1.9 |
| 11 | 4-7 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Piper Batie | +1.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | MIZZOU | BGSU×3 | Kill | Amanda Otten | +1.4 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Blocked | Maizy Agnello | blk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford | +1.8 |
| 14 | 4-10 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Ace | Bowling Green | aced Paige Felder | +1.6 |
| 15 | 5-10 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +0.9 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Amanda Otten | set Alivia Brown | +1.2 |
| 17 | 5-12 | BGSU | BGSU | Blocked | Lauren Larkin | blk Helen Wilford | +1.4 |
| 18 | 6-12 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Grace O'Reilly | +0.7 |
| 19 | 6-13 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Molly Beatty | +1.0 |
| 20 | 6-14 | BGSU | BGSU | Ace | Bowling Green | aced Maizy Agnello | +1.1 |
| 21 | 7-14 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +0.5 |
| 22 | 7-15 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Molly Beatty | +0.7 |
| 23 | 8-15 | BGSU | MIZZOU×4 | Attack err | Cecily Waynar | +0.5 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Ainoah Cruz | +0.9 |
| 25 | 10-15 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Kimani Johnson | set Piper Batie | +1.2 |
| 26 | 11-15 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Kimani Johnson | set Piper Batie | +1.5 |
| 27 | 11-16 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Molly Beatty | +1.4 |
| 28 | 12-16 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Piper Batie | +1.0 |
| 29 | 12-17 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Serve err | Missouri | +1.4 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | BGSU | BGSU | Kill | Amanda Otten | set Alivia Brown | +1.5 |
| 31 | 13-18 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Kimani Johnson | set Piper Batie | +0.7 |
| 32 | 13-19 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Sydnie Hernandez | +1.1 |
| 33 | 14-19 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +0.6 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Ace | Missouri | aced Alivia Brown | +1.3 |
| 35 | 15-20 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Attack err | Lauren Larkin | +1.4 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | BGSU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +0.8 |
| 37 | 17-20 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Attack err | Helen Wilford | +1.7 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Attack err | Karli Molnau | +2.3 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Attack err | Karli Molnau | +3.0 | |
| 40 | 19-21 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Molly Beatty | +2.8 |
| 41 | 20-21 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Attack err | Karli Molnau | +2.2 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Sydnie Hernandez | +3.1 |
| 43 | 21-22 | BGSU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Paige Felder | set Piper Batie | +2.3 |
| 44 | 22-22 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Ainoah Cruz | +4.4 |
| 45 | 23-22 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Lydia Stahley | +5.0 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Attack err | Anastasija Bozic | +4.3 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | MIZZOU | BGSU×4 | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Molly Beatty | +1.7 |
| 48 | 24-24 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Molly Beatty | +6.0 |
| 49 | 24-25 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Molly Beatty | +6.9 |
| 50 | 24-26 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Kill | Cecily Waynar | +7.8 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | BGSU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +2.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Blocked | Karli Molnau | blk Grace O'Reilly, Eva Smith | +2.6 |
| 3 | 3-0 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Avery Hobson | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | MIZZOU | BGSU×3 | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Amanda Otten | +1.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Attack err | Paige Felder | +2.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Attack err | Grace O'Reilly | +3.0 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | BGSU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +2.1 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Eva Smith | +2.8 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Ace | Missouri | +2.5 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Serve err | Missouri | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Piper Batie | +1.8 |
| 12 | 8-4 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | +2.2 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Avery Anders | +1.5 |
| 14 | 9-5 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Piper Batie | +1.6 |
| 15 | 10-5 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Blocked | Anastasija Bozic | blk Kimani Johnson, Lauren Larkin | +1.9 |
| 16 | 10-6 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Serve err | Missouri | +1.2 | |
| 17 | 11-6 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Lauren Larkin | set Piper Batie | +1.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Anastasija Bozic | +1.2 |
| 19 | 12-7 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +1.3 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Attack err | Paige Felder | +1.2 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Sierra Dudley | +1.4 |
| 22 | 13-9 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Molly Beatty | +1.2 |
| 23 | 14-9 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +1.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Serve err | Missouri | +1.1 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | BGSU | BGSU | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Sydnie Hernandez | +2.2 |
| 26 | 15-11 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Kimani Johnson | set Piper Batie | +1.8 |
| 27 | 15-12 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Molly Beatty | +1.6 |
| 28 | 16-12 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Piper Batie | +1.9 |
| 29 | 17-12 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Ace | Missouri | aced Sydnie Hernandez | +2.0 |
| 30 | 17-13 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Serve err | Missouri | +1.1 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Piper Batie | +1.4 |
| 32 | 18-14 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Amanda Otten | +1.0 |
| 33 | 18-15 | BGSU | BGSU | Ace | Bowling Green | aced Paige Felder | +2.1 |
| 34 | 19-15 | BGSU | MIZZOU×5 | Serve err | Bowling Green | +2.0 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×5 | Ace | Missouri | +1.9 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×5 | Ace | Missouri | +1.1 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×5 | Ace | Missouri | aced Anastasija Bozic | +0.5 |
| 38 | 23-15 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×5 | Attack err | Avery Hobson | +0.2 | |
| 39 | 23-16 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Serve err | Missouri | · | |
| 40 | 24-16 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Grace O'Reilly | set Sierra Dudley | +0.1 |
| 41 | 24-17 | MIZZOU | BGSU×4 | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Anastasija Bozic | · |
| 42 | 24-18 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Molly Beatty | · |
| 43 | 24-19 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Attack err | Eva Smith | +0.1 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Blocked | Grace O'Reilly | blk Ava Buddelmeyer, Helen Wilford | +0.3 |
| 45 | 25-20 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +0.4 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Ace | Missouri | aced Avery Hobson | +2.3 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Molly Beatty | +2.1 |
| 3 | 3-0 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Anastasija Bozic | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Molly Beatty | +1.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Eva Smith | set Sierra Dudley | +1.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Molly Beatty | +1.4 |
| 7 | 4-3 | BGSU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Karli Molnau | +2.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +1.6 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Avery Hobson | +1.6 |
| 10 | 6-4 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Piper Batie | +1.6 |
| 11 | 6-5 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Anastasija Bozic | set Amanda Otten | +1.7 |
| 12 | 7-5 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Piper Batie | +1.7 |
| 13 | 7-6 | MIZZOU | BGSU×3 | Serve err | Missouri | +1.7 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | BGSU | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.7 | |||
| 15 | 7-8 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Blocked | Lydia Stahley | blk Avery Hobson, Cecily Waynar | +3.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Ainoah Cruz | +2.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Cecily Waynar | set Amanda Otten | +2.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Sierra Dudley | +2.1 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Molly Beatty | +2.3 |
| 20 | 9-11 | BGSU | BGSU | Attack err | Grace O'Reilly | +3.4 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | BGSU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Paige Felder | set Sierra Dudley | +2.2 |
| 22 | 11-11 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Blocked | Anastasija Bozic | blk Eva Smith | +3.2 |
| 23 | 12-11 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Blocked | Anastasija Bozic | blk Eva Smith, Maca Lobaglio | +3.2 |
| 24 | 12-12 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Attack err | Paige Felder | +2.3 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Attack err | Anastasija Bozic | +2.3 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Karli Molnau | set Molly Beatty | +2.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | BGSU | BGSU | Kill | Helen Wilford | +3.8 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +2.6 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Blocked | Ava Buddelmeyer | blk Tia Phinezy, Maca Lobaglio | +3.6 |
| 30 | 15-15 | MIZZOU | BGSU×4 | Kill | Marija Tabak | set Amanda Otten | +2.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Blocked | Lydia Stahley | blk Helen Wilford, Marija Tabak | +4.2 |
| 32 | 15-17 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Ace | Bowling Green | aced Maca Lobaglio | +4.4 |
| 33 | 15-18 | BGSU | BGSU×4 | Kill | Amanda Otten | set Avery Hobson | +4.3 |
| 34 | 16-18 | BGSU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Piper Batie | +2.4 |
| 35 | 17-18 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Attack err | Avery Hobson | +4.1 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×3 | Kill | Lydia Stahley | set Tia Phinezy | +4.6 |
| 37 | 18-19 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Helen Wilford | set Amanda Otten | +3.7 |
| 38 | 19-19 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Serve err | Bowling Green | +3.5 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | MIZZOU | BGSU | Kill | Marija Tabak | set Amanda Otten | +4.1 |
| 40 | 20-20 | BGSU | MIZZOU×4 | Serve err | Bowling Green | +3.8 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Attack err | Avery Hobson | +5.7 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Kill | Eva Smith | set Cecily Waynar | +5.1 |
| 43 | 23-20 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU×4 | Ace | Missouri | aced Avery Hobson | +3.7 |
| 44 | 23-21 | MIZZOU | BGSU×3 | Kill | Avery Hobson | set Anastasija Bozic | +1.5 |
| 45 | 23-22 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Kill | Ava Buddelmeyer | set Molly Beatty | +4.1 |
| 46 | 23-23 | BGSU | BGSU×3 | Blocked | Maizy Agnello | blk Cecily Waynar, Ava Buddelmeyer | +7.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | BGSU | MIZZOU | Kill | Paige Felder | set Sierra Dudley | +6.8 |
| 48 | 25-23 | MIZZOU | MIZZOU | Attack err | Cecily Waynar | +8.5 | |
Score shown after each rally, Missouri first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).