FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayOVC

0:3

HomeMVC

Southern Ill. def. SIUE 3–0

(28-26, 26-24, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SIUE	26	24	22	0
SIU	28	26	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SIU above 50 · SIUE below

Biggest swing: 9.7% to SIUE — set 1, SIUE 25-24 SIU. SIUE ace on Isabella Del Real. SIU win probability 64% → 55%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SIUE 35.1%64.9% SIU

SIUE wins

3-0

7.2%

3-1

12.6%

3-2

15.3%

Southern Ill. wins

3-0

20.0%

3-1

24.9%

3-2

20.1%

SIUE break %: 41.4% vs this opp
SIU break %: 44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
SIUE serverAce+9.7%
SIUE ace on Isabella Del Real
Set 1 · SIUE 25-24 SIU · SIUE 36% → 45%
02
SIU serverAce+9.2%
Southern Ill. ace on Teagan Sullivan
Set 1 · SIUE 25-26 SIU · SIU 62% → 71%
03
Georgia BresnahanKill+9.1%
Kill by Georgia Bresnahan (set by Paige Bernstein)
Set 1 · SIUE 24-24 SIU · SIUE 26% → 36%
04
SIU serverAce+8.6%
Southern Ill. ace on Teagan Sullivan
Set 1 · SIUE 26-28 SIU · SIU 71% → 80%
05
SIUE serverAce+7.9%
SIUE ace on McKenzie Moeller
Set 2 · SIUE 24-24 SIU · SIUE 13% → 21%
06
McKenzie MoellerKill+7.5%
Kill by McKenzie Moeller (set by Ella McFarland)
Set 2 · SIUE 24-26 SIU · SIU 85% → 93%
07
Georgia BresnahanAttack error+7.3%
Attack error by Georgia Bresnahan
Set 1 · SIUE 25-25 SIU · SIU 55% → 62%
08
Kennedy PikeKill+6.9%
Kill by Kennedy Pike (set by Paige Bernstein)
Set 1 · SIUE 26-26 SIU · SIUE 29% → 36%

Official NCAA box

Box score

SIUEaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Kennedy PikeOH	3	11	1	23	.435	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	12
11Sophie RobinsonOH	3	11	2	23	.391	1	0	0	1	4	1	0	1	12
10Georgia BresnahanOH	3	8	8	27	.000	0	0	1	9	4	0	0	0	8
2Vienna ElliottMB	3	4	1	16	.188	0	0	3	1	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
16Jehireh WilliamsMB	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
9Paige BernsteinS	3	1	0	2	.500	18	3	2	6	0	0	0	0	4
3Kinley QuastDS	3	0	0	0	–	5	2	0	9	0	0	0	0	2
13Teagan SullivanOH	3	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	1
8Ally HughesS	3	0	0	1	.000	14	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	1
5Claire JonesDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
14Karli MannOH	2	4	2	8	.250	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
12Maddie DetermanOH	2	0	2	6	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
Team totals		44	17	121	.223	40	6	7	44	11	2	8	6	72

Southern Ill.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
3McKenzie MoellerOH	3	11	4	28	.250	0	5	2	7	4	0	2	1	17
8Alexandria ArringtonS	3	7	3	17	.235	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
13Beatriz PiaiaMB	3	4	2	7	.286	0	2	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
22Chloe AndersonMB	3	6	0	11	.545	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7
2Natalie VanceOPP	3	4	0	16	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
4Ella McFarlandOPP	3	1	0	4	.250	19	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	1
14Ella SwansigerOH	3	9	1	18	.444	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	9
9Lillian DempkeyS	3	1	0	1	1.000	15	2	1	3	0	0	0	0	3
11Jillian ShaneyfeltL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	23	0	0	0	0	1
21Isabella Del RealL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	5	2	0	0	0	0
17Julia LaidigDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		43	10	102	.324	37	11	8	47	6	1	6	4	79

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 SIUE · SIU 8

Set 1

26-28

Longest run 3 SIUESIU 5

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 4 SIUESIU 7

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 SIUESIU 8

Bars above the line = Southern Ill. leads, below = SIUE leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

SIUE

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	63%12/19
2	50%7/14	13%1/8
3	70%7/10	56%9/16
4	40%6/15	42%5/12
5	40%6/15	45%5/11
6	46%6/13	14%1/7
All	50%39/78	45%33/73

Southern Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	13%1/8
2	54%7/13	50%7/14
3	50%7/14	42%5/12
4	67%6/9	40%4/10
5	60%6/10	71%15/21
6	46%6/13	54%7/13
All	55%40/73	50%39/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

151 rallies

Rally log

#	SIUE-SIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+1.8
2	1-1	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+1.7
3	1-2	SIU	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+2.3
4	2-2	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+1.8
5	3-2	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Kinley Quast	+2.5
6	3-3	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+1.8
7	4-3	SIU	SIUE	Serve err	SIU server		+1.9
8	4-4	SIUE	SIU×3	Attack err	Maddie Determan	blk McKenzie Moeller, Beatriz Piaia	+1.8
9	4-5	SIU	SIU×3	Ace	SIU server	aced Georgia Bresnahan	+2.5
10	4-6	SIU	SIU×3	Ace	SIU server	aced Claire Jones	+2.4
11	5-6	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes	+1.7
12	5-7	SIUE	SIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+1.8
13	5-8	SIU	SIU	Ace	SIU server	aced Georgia Bresnahan	+2.2
14	6-8	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+1.6
15	6-9	SIUE	SIU×5	Serve err	SIUE server		+1.7
16	6-10	SIU	SIU×5	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.0
17	6-11	SIU	SIU×5	Ace	SIU server	aced Sophie Robinson	+1.7
18	6-12	SIU	SIU×5	Ace	SIU server	aced Sophie Robinson	+1.4
19	6-13	SIU	SIU×5	Kill	Alexandria Arrington		+1.1
20	7-13	SIU	SIUE	Serve err	SIU server		+0.6
21	8-13	SIUE	SIUE	Attack err	Alexandria Arrington		+1.1
22	8-14	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.0
23	9-14	SIU	SIUE	Serve err	SIU server		+0.8
24	9-15	SIUE	SIU×3	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Ella McFarland	+1.0
25	9-16	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+1.0
26	9-17	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+0.6
27	10-17	SIU	SIUE	Serve err	SIU server		+0.3
28	11-17	SIUE	SIUE	Ace	SIUE server	aced Isabella Del Real	+0.6
29	11-18	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+0.7
30	12-18	SIU	SIUE×3	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+0.4
31	13-18	SIUE	SIUE×3	Attack err	Beatriz Piaia	blk Vienna Elliott, Maddie Determan	+0.9
32	14-18	SIUE	SIUE×3	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+1.3
33	14-19	SIUE	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+1.3
34	15-19	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Ally Hughes	+0.9
35	16-19	SIUE	SIUE	Bad set	Lillian Dempkey		+1.8
36	16-20	SIUE	SIU	Attack err	Maddie Determan	blk Beatriz Piaia, McKenzie Moeller	+1.8
37	17-20	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Ally Hughes	+1.3
38	17-21	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.9
39	18-21	SIU	SIUE×3	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Claire Jones	+1.2
40	19-21	SIUE	SIUE×3	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Kinley Quast	+2.6
41	20-21	SIUE	SIUE×3	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Paige Bernstein	+3.9
42	20-22	SIUE	SIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+3.8
43	21-22	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Paige Bernstein	+3.1
44	22-22	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Kinley Quast	+6.0
45	22-23	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Ella McFarland	+5.4
46	22-24	SIU	SIU	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+6.6
47	23-24	SIU	SIUE×3	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+2.8
48	24-24	SIUE	SIUE×3	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Paige Bernstein	+9.1
49	25-24	SIUE	SIUE×3	Ace	SIUE server	aced Isabella Del Real	+9.7
50	25-25	SIUE	SIU	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+7.3
51	25-26	SIU	SIU	Ace	SIU server	aced Teagan Sullivan	+9.2
52	26-26	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+6.9
53	26-27	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Ella McFarland	+6.9
54	26-28	SIU	SIU	Ace	SIU server	aced Teagan Sullivan	+8.6
Set 2
1	0-1	SIUE	SIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+1.4
2	1-1	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+1.5
3	1-2	SIUE	SIU	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+1.5
4	1-3	SIU	SIU	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Paige Bernstein	+1.9
5	2-3	SIU	SIUE×4	Kill	Teagan Sullivan	set Paige Bernstein	+1.4
6	3-3	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Natalie Vance	+2.1
7	4-3	SIUE	SIUE×4	Bad set	Ella McFarland		+2.2
8	5-3	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan		+2.3
9	5-4	SIUE	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+1.6
10	6-4	SIU	SIUE	Serve err	SIU server		+1.8
11	7-4	SIUE	SIUE	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller	blk Vienna Elliott, Maddie Determan	+2.3
12	7-5	SIUE	SIU×7	Kill	Beatriz Piaia	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.6
13	7-6	SIU	SIU×7	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.2
14	7-7	SIU	SIU×7	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+2.3
15	7-8	SIU	SIU×7	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+2.3
16	7-9	SIU	SIU×7	Ace	SIU server	aced Georgia Bresnahan	+2.2
17	7-10	SIU	SIU×7	Attack err	Vienna Elliott		+2.0
18	7-11	SIU	SIU×7	Attack err	Karli Mann		+1.8
19	8-11	SIU	SIUE×3	Serve err	SIU server		+1.2
20	9-11	SIUE	SIUE×3	Kill	Karli Mann	set Ally Hughes	+1.9
21	10-11	SIUE	SIUE×3	Bad set	Lillian Dempkey		+2.3
22	10-12	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.8
23	11-12	SIU	SIUE	Bad set	Lillian Dempkey		+1.8
24	11-13	SIUE	SIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+1.9
25	12-13	SIU	SIUE×3	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+1.8
26	13-13	SIUE	SIUE×3	Attack err	Alexandria Arrington	blk Jehireh Williams, Kennedy Pike	+2.8
27	14-13	SIUE	SIUE×3	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Paige Bernstein	+3.0
28	14-14	SIUE	SIU×3	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+2.2
29	14-15	SIU	SIU×3	Attack err	Sophie Robinson		+3.0
30	14-16	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	Chloe Anderson		+2.9
31	15-16	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+2.0
32	15-17	SIUE	SIU×3	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+2.3
33	15-18	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	Beatriz Piaia		+2.7
34	15-19	SIU	SIU×3	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Isabella Del Real	+2.1
35	16-19	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+1.2
36	16-20	SIUE	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+1.6
37	16-21	SIU	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.4
38	17-21	SIU	SIUE	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller	blk Kennedy Pike, Vienna Elliott	+0.6
39	17-22	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.0
40	18-22	SIU	SIUE	Serve err	SIU server		+0.5
41	19-22	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes	+1.2
42	19-23	SIUE	SIU	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+1.5
43	20-23	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Karli Mann	set Ally Hughes	+0.7
44	20-24	SIUE	SIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+1.4
45	21-24	SIU	SIUE×4	Kill	Karli Mann	set Ally Hughes	+0.4
46	22-24	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Paige Bernstein	+1.3
47	23-24	SIUE	SIUE×4	Ace	SIUE server	aced McKenzie Moeller	+3.3
48	24-24	SIUE	SIUE×4	Ace	SIUE server	aced McKenzie Moeller	+7.9
49	24-25	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Natalie Vance	set Ella McFarland	+6.0
50	24-26	SIU	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+7.5
Set 3
1	0-1	SIU	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson		+1.1
2	1-1	SIU	SIUE	Serve err	SIU server		+0.9
3	1-2	SIUE	SIU	Attack err	Kennedy Pike		+0.8
4	2-2	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Paige Bernstein	+0.9
5	3-2	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott		+1.2
6	3-3	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Ella McFarland	set Paige Bernstein	+0.9
7	3-4	SIU	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Ella McFarland	+1.2
8	4-4	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Paige Bernstein	set Sophie Robinson	+0.9
9	5-4	SIUE	SIUE	Ace	SIUE server	aced McKenzie Moeller	+1.3
10	5-5	SIUE	SIU	Kill	McKenzie Moeller	set Jillian Shaneyfelt	+0.9
11	6-5	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Ally Hughes	+1.0
12	6-6	SIUE	SIU×8	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.0
13	6-7	SIU	SIU×8	Bad set	Ally Hughes		+1.3
14	6-8	SIU	SIU×8	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+1.2
15	6-9	SIU	SIU×8	Ace	SIU server	aced Sophie Robinson	+1.1
16	6-10	SIU	SIU×8	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+1.0
17	6-11	SIU	SIU×8	Attack err	Karli Mann	blk Beatriz Piaia, Alexandria Arrington	+0.9
18	6-12	SIU	SIU×8	Ace	SIU server	aced Sophie Robinson	+0.7
19	6-13	SIU	SIU×8	Ace	SIU server	aced Georgia Bresnahan	+0.5
20	7-13	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+0.3
21	8-13	SIUE	SIUE	Attack err	Ella Swansiger	blk Sophie Robinson	+0.5
22	8-14	SIUE	SIU×4	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+0.5
23	8-15	SIU	SIU×4	Attack err	Jehireh Williams	blk Chloe Anderson	+0.5
24	8-16	SIU	SIU×4	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+0.3
25	8-17	SIU	SIU×4	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+0.2
26	9-17	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+0.1
27	9-18	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Ella Swansiger	set Lillian Dempkey	+0.1
28	10-18	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+0.1
29	10-19	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Ella McFarland	+0.1
30	11-19	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Paige Bernstein	+0.1
31	12-19	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Kinley Quast	+0.1
32	12-20	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Chloe Anderson	set Ella McFarland	+0.2
33	13-20	SIU	SIUE	Attack err	McKenzie Moeller		+0.1
34	14-20	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Karli Mann	+0.2
35	14-21	SIUE	SIU	Serve err	SIUE server		+0.2
36	15-21	SIU	SIUE	Attack err	Beatriz Piaia	blk Vienna Elliott	+0.1
37	16-21	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+0.3
38	16-22	SIUE	SIU	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+0.3
39	16-23	SIU	SIU	Attack err	Sophie Robinson		+0.2
40	17-23	SIU	SIUE	Kill	Karli Mann	set Ally Hughes	+0.0
41	17-24	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Alexandria Arrington	set Lillian Dempkey	+0.1
42	18-24	SIU	SIUE×5	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+0.0
43	19-24	SIUE	SIUE×5	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Kinley Quast	+0.1
44	20-24	SIUE	SIUE×5	Attack err	Alexandria Arrington		+0.1
45	21-24	SIUE	SIUE×5	Ace	SIUE server	aced McKenzie Moeller	+0.3
46	22-24	SIUE	SIUE×5	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+0.8
47	22-25	SIUE	SIU	Kill	Lillian Dempkey	set Chloe Anderson	+1.3

Score shown after each rally, SIUE first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.