Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on BoxCast

Kent St. def. Bowling Green 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Bowling Green 94.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Kent St. beat visiting Bowling Green 3-2 (24-26, 25-22, 25-19, 13-25, 15-12) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Macie Moreland led Kent St. with 15 kills; Bowling Green's Avery Hobson had a match-high 23.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set12345Sets
BGSU26221925122
KENT24252513153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kent St. beat Bowling Green from a 6% pre-match call.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Kent St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Bowling Green was RallyIQ's 94% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Bowling Green 0–0 Kent St.

    Kent St. opened the set with 3 straight kills for a 3–0 lead.

    Kent St. 24% → 49%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Bowling Green 6–8 Kent St.

    Bowling Green scored 3 straight to turn a 6–8 deficit into a 9–8 lead. The match swung to Bowling Green.

    Kent St. 51% → 22%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Bowling Green 11–12 Kent St.

    Kent St. won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 15–12 and win the match 3–2.

    Kent St. 51% → >99%

Kent St. above 50Bowling Green belowMax swing 20.9%

Bowling GreenKent St.

Sideout %
Bowling Green 56.9·Kent St. 55.8
Break %
Bowling Green 44.2·Kent St. 43.1
Hitting
Bowling Green .199·Kent St. .229
Longest run
Bowling Green 7·Kent St. 7

Macie Moreland
15 kills on .271, 16.5 points; 5 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Kent St. above 50 · Bowling Green below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+20.9% KENTrally 206 · set 5

Biggest swing: 20.9% to Kent St. — set 5, BGSU 11-13 KENT. Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Christina Vigil). KENT win probability 51% → 72%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BGSU 89.1%10.9% KENT

Bowling Green wins

3-0
43.0%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%

Kent St. wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.1%
BGSU break %
48.2% vs this opp
KENT break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Macie MorelandKill+20.9%

    Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Christina Vigil)

    Set 5 · BGSU 11-13 KENT · KENT 51% → 72%

  2. 02
    Macie MorelandKill+18.6%

    Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Christina Vigil)

    Set 5 · BGSU 11-14 KENT · KENT 72% → 91%

  3. 03

    Avery Hobson stuffed by Vanessa Imoh & Adalynn Ginley

    Set 5 · BGSU 11-12 KENT · KENT 33% → 51%

  4. 04
    Macie MorelandKill+15.4%

    Kill by Macie Moreland (set by Christina Vigil)

    Set 5 · BGSU 12-15 KENT · KENT 85% → 100%

  5. 05

    Avery Hobson stuffed by Vanessa Imoh & Adalynn Ginley

    Set 5 · BGSU 9-10 KENT · KENT 31% → 45%

  6. 06
    Karli MolnauKill+12.5%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 5 · BGSU 11-10 KENT · BGSU 65% → 78%

  7. 07
    Karli MolnauAttack error+10.8%

    Attack error by Karli Molnau

    Set 5 · BGSU 11-11 KENT · KENT 22% → 33%

  8. 08
    Cecily WaynarKill+10.6%

    Kill by Cecily Waynar (set by Molly Beatty)

    Set 5 · BGSU 8-8 KENT · BGSU 57% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523959.237100173010.523.5
517552.23113116100020
515843.16300010010.515.5
5429.22210000153.57.5
5115.00049001600212
43310.000114300004
5000–3311410003
51011.0002101000002
3013-.333001100000
3000–1400900000
25111.36400010010.55.5
1214.250000000002
1114.000000000001
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals7232201.19972878951106104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515248.27110050111.516.5
512327.33300030052.514.5
510224.3331003014313
510443.140113221010.511.5
56214.28643011200428
54217.11800120073.57.5
5016-.1672221540002
5000–320620002
5000–2011500000
3000–000000000
Team totals5716179.229535883822213102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Bowling Green vs Kent St.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 BGSU · KENT 7

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 BGSUKENT 7

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 BGSUKENT 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 2 BGSUKENT 4

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 7 BGSUKENT 2

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 3 BGSUKENT 4

Bars above the line = Kent St. leads, below = Bowling Green leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%12/25
44%7/16
2
58%11/19
29%5/17
3
67%10/15
35%6/17
4
48%10/21
29%4/14
5
80%8/10
64%16/25
6
58%7/12
53%8/15
All
57%58/102
44%46/104

Kent St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
52%11/21
2
85%11/13
35%6/17
3
55%11/20
42%8/19
4
63%10/16
52%11/21
5
33%7/21
31%4/13
6
47%7/15
36%4/11
All
56%58/104
43%44/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

206 rallies

#BGSU-KENTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0KENTBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.5
22-0BGSUBGSU×3KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+0.5
33-0BGSUBGSU×3Attack errMacie Moreland+0.5
43-1BGSUKENTKillVanessa Imohset Lesley Furuta+0.4
53-2KENTKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.6
64-2KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.5
74-3BGSUKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+0.5
85-3KENTBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+0.5
96-3BGSUBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+0.5
107-3BGSUBGSU×3KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+0.4
117-4BGSUKENT×7KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.3
127-5KENTKENT×7KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.5
137-6KENTKENT×7AceKent St.aced Avery Hobson+0.7
147-7KENTKENT×7BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Christina Vigil, Nadia Miller+0.9
157-8KENTKENT×7KillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+1.0
167-9KENTKENT×7KillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+1.2
177-10KENTKENT×7Attack errKarli Molnau+1.3
188-10KENTBGSU×4Serve errKent St.+0.9
199-10BGSUBGSU×4KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.1
2010-10BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.0
2111-10BGSUBGSU×4AceBowling Greenaced Hailey Brenner+0.9
2211-11BGSUKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+0.8
2311-12KENTKENTAttack errAvery Hobson+1.2
2412-12KENTBGSUAttack errChristina Vigil+0.9
2512-13BGSUKENTKillChristina Vigilset Maggie Kachmarik+1.1
2612-14KENTKENTBlockedCecily Waynarblk Mercedez Brown, Adalynn Ginley+1.5
2713-14KENTBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.0
2814-14BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.3
2915-14BGSUBGSU×4BlockedMercedez Brownblk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford+1.2
3016-14BGSUBGSU×4KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.0
3116-15BGSUKENTServe errBowling Green+0.8
3216-16KENTKENTBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley+1.4
3317-16KENTBGSU×3Serve errKent St.+1.1
3418-16BGSUBGSU×3BlockedAdalynn Ginleyblk Karli Molnau, Helen Wilford+1.2
3519-16BGSUBGSU×3BlockedVanessa Imohblk Avery Hobson, Helen Wilford+0.9
3619-17BGSUKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.7
3719-18KENTKENTAttack errAvery Hobson+1.2
3820-18KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.1
3920-19BGSUKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+1.1
4020-20KENTKENT×3Bad setAmanda Otten+1.9
4120-21KENTKENT×3KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+2.5
4221-21KENTBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.8
4321-22BGSUKENTAttack errAnastasija Bozic+2.4
4421-23KENTKENTKillMercedez Brownset Maggie Kachmarik+3.3
4522-23KENTBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.9
4623-23BGSUBGSU×3KillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+3.3
4724-23BGSUBGSU×3Attack errNadia Miller+3.6
4824-24BGSUKENTKillChristina Vigilset Nadia Miller+2.8
4925-24KENTBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.8
5026-24BGSUBGSUKillAvery Andersset Cecily Waynar+2.8
Set 2
10-1BGSUKENTKillVanessa Imohset Macie Moreland+0.4
20-2KENTKENTBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Vanessa Imoh, Nadia Miller+0.6
31-2KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.4
41-3BGSUKENT×3KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.5
51-4KENTKENT×3Attack errAnastasija Bozic+0.7
61-5KENTKENT×3KillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.7
72-5KENTBGSUAttack errMacie Moreland+0.5
82-6BGSUKENTAttack errAva Buddelmeyer+0.6
92-7KENTKENTKillMercedez Brown+0.8
103-7KENTBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+0.5
113-8BGSUKENTAttack errCecily Waynar+0.7
123-9KENTKENTAttack errAmanda Otten+0.8
134-9KENTBGSU×3KillAva Buddelmeyerset Amanda Otten+0.5
145-9BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Greenaced Hailey Brenner+0.7
156-9BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+0.7
166-10BGSUKENTKillChristina Vigilset Hailey Brenner+0.7
177-10KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+0.6
187-11BGSUKENTServe errBowling Green+0.7
198-11KENTBGSU×3Serve errKent St.+0.6
209-11BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.8
2110-11BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+0.7
2210-12BGSUKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+0.7
2310-13KENTKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+1.0
2411-13KENTBGSUServe errKent St.+0.6
2511-14BGSUKENT×4KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.8
2611-15KENTKENT×4BlockedKarli Molnaublk Nadia Miller+1.1
2711-16KENTKENT×4Attack errKarli Molnau+1.0
2811-17KENTKENT×4AceKent St.aced Sydnie Hernandez+0.9
2912-17KENTBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+0.5
3012-18BGSUKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+0.8
3113-18KENTBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+0.5
3213-19BGSUKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+0.7
3314-19KENTBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.4
3415-19BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.7
3516-19BGSUBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Sydnie Hernandez+0.9
3616-20BGSUKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+1.1
3717-20KENTBGSU×3KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.7
3818-20BGSUBGSU×3BlockedMercedez Brownblk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford+1.1
3919-20BGSUBGSU×3Attack errVanessa Imoh+1.2
4019-21BGSUKENTServe errBowling Green+1.4
4119-22KENTKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+1.6
4220-22KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.8
4320-23BGSUKENTAttack errHelen Wilford+1.5
4421-23KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.8
4521-24BGSUKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+1.6
4622-24KENTBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.6
4722-25BGSUKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+1.6
Set 3
11-0KENTBGSUServe errKent St.+1.1
21-1BGSUKENTBlockedKarli Molnaublk Macie Moreland+1.2
32-1KENTBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.1
43-1BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.2
53-2BGSUKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+1.1
63-3KENTKENTAceKent St.aced Anastasija Bozic+1.6
74-3KENTBGSUAttack errMercedez Brown+1.2
84-4BGSUKENTKillNadia Millerset Lesley Furuta+1.3
95-4KENTBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+1.2
106-4BGSUBGSUAttack errNadia Miller+1.4
116-5BGSUKENTKillNadia Millerset Christina Vigil+1.2
127-5KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Molly Beatty+1.1
137-6BGSUKENT×3BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Adalynn Ginley, Christina Vigil+1.2
147-7KENTKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+1.8
157-8KENTKENT×3BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley+2.2
168-8KENTBGSUKillMarija Tabakset Molly Beatty+1.6
178-9BGSUKENT×4Attack errKarli Molnau+1.9
188-10KENTKENT×4Attack errKendall Williams+2.7
198-11KENTKENT×4KillChristina Vigilset Mercedez Brown+3.0
208-12KENTKENT×4AceKent St.aced Avery Hobson+3.1
219-12KENTBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.0
229-13BGSUKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+2.7
2310-13KENTBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.0
2410-14BGSUKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+2.8
2511-14KENTBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.1
2611-15BGSUKENTBlockedMarija Tabakblk Macie Moreland, Nadia Miller+2.9
2712-15KENTBGSUServe errKent St.+2.1
2812-16BGSUKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+3.0
2913-16KENTBGSUKillMarija Tabakset Molly Beatty+2.2
3014-16BGSUBGSUAceBowling Greenaced Maggie Kachmarik+3.1
3114-17BGSUKENTKillChristina Vigilset Maggie Kachmarik+3.3
3215-17KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Molly Beatty+2.5
3315-18BGSUKENTKillAdalynn Ginleyset Christina Vigil+3.5
3416-18KENTBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.6
3516-19BGSUKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+3.7
3617-19KENTBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.7
3717-20BGSUKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+3.9
3818-20KENTBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.8
3918-21BGSUKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+4.2
4018-22KENTKENT×3Attack errHelen Wilford+4.5
4118-23KENTKENT×3BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Nadia Miller, Christina Vigil+3.2
4219-23KENTBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.0
4319-24BGSUKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+2.2
4419-25KENTKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+0.8
Set 4
10-1BGSUKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+3.0
21-1KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Anastasija Bozic+2.7
32-1BGSUBGSUAttack errVanessa Imoh+3.1
42-2BGSUKENTAttack errKarli Molnau+2.7
53-2KENTBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.5
63-3BGSUKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+2.8
74-3KENTBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.6
84-4BGSUKENTKillMercedez Brownset Christina Vigil+3.0
94-5KENTKENTBlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Adalynn Ginley, Christina Vigil+4.3
105-5KENTBGSUAttack errChristina Vigil+3.1
115-6BGSUKENTAttack errAvery Hobson+3.7
126-6KENTBGSU×3Serve errKent St.+3.2
137-6BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Greenaced Hailey Brenner+3.7
148-6BGSUBGSU×3KillFetia Roviraset Avery Hobson+3.2
158-7BGSUKENTServe errBowling Green+2.8
169-7KENTBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Molly Beatty+2.6
1710-7BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.8
1810-8BGSUKENTAttack errCecily Waynar+2.3
1910-9KENTKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+3.7
2011-9KENTBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.9
2111-10BGSUKENTKillVanessa Imohset Christina Vigil+3.2
2212-10KENTBGSU×6KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+3.0
2313-10BGSUBGSU×6KillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+3.2
2414-10BGSUBGSU×6KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.5
2515-10BGSUBGSU×6AceBowling Green+1.9
2616-10BGSUBGSU×6KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.3
2717-10BGSUBGSU×6KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.8
2817-11BGSUKENTServe errBowling Green+0.5
2917-12KENTKENTAceKent St.aced Avery Hobson+1.0
3018-12KENTBGSUBlockedHailey Brennerblk Helen Wilford+1.0
3118-13BGSUKENTAttack errFetia Rovira+0.8
3219-13KENTBGSU×7KillAnastasija Bozicset Molly Beatty+1.0
3320-13BGSUBGSU×7AceBowling Greenaced Maggie Kachmarik+0.7
3421-13BGSUBGSU×7BlockedMercedez Brownblk Fetia Rovira, Helen Wilford+0.3
3522-13BGSUBGSU×7KillHelen Wilfordset Molly Beatty+0.1
3623-13BGSUBGSU×7KillAvery Hobsonset Molly Beatty·
3724-13BGSUBGSU×7AceBowling Greenaced Mercedez Brown·
3825-13BGSUBGSU×7KillAvery Hobsonset Molly Beatty+0.6
Set 5
10-1KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+7.4
20-2KENTKENT×3KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+8.5
30-3KENTKENT×3KillVanessa Imohset Lesley Furuta+9.4
41-3KENTBGSUAttack errAdalynn Ginley+6.2
51-4BGSUKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+8.1
61-5KENTKENTAttack errKarli Molnau+10.2
72-5KENTBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+6.2
82-6BGSUKENTServe errBowling Green+8.7
93-6KENTBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+6.4
104-6BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Helen Wilford+8.9
115-6BGSUBGSU×3KillFetia Roviraset Molly Beatty+9.2
125-7BGSUKENTKillNadia Millerset Avery Anders+9.4
136-7KENTBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Molly Beatty+7.6
146-8BGSUKENTServe errBowling Green+10.1
157-8KENTBGSU×3Serve errKent St.+8.1
168-8BGSUBGSU×3KillCecily Waynarset Molly Beatty+10.6
179-8BGSUBGSU×3AceBowling Greenaced Hailey Brenner+10.0
189-9BGSUKENTKillChristina Vigilset Hailey Brenner+8.8
199-10KENTKENTBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley+13.8
2010-10KENTBGSUKillFetia Roviraset Molly Beatty+10.0
2111-10BGSUBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+12.5
2211-11BGSUKENT×4Attack errKarli Molnau+10.8
2311-12KENTKENT×4BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Vanessa Imoh, Adalynn Ginley+17.9
2411-13KENTKENT×4KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+20.9
2511-14KENTKENT×4KillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+18.6
2612-14KENTBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+5.9
2712-15BGSUKENTKillMacie Morelandset Christina Vigil+15.4

Score shown after each rally, Bowling Green first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).