Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Bowling Green def. Akron 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Bowling Green 70.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Bowling Green won at Akron 3-1 (15-25, 25-17, 25-16, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Bowling Green's Anastasija Bozic led with 14 kills, and Avery Anders added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
BGSU152525253
AKRON251716191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

On its own serve, Bowling Green won 45 of 89 points.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.3 points. Akron peaked at 56% in Set 2. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave Bowling Green 70% before first serve.

Bowling GreenAkron
  • Break %+8.3 pts
    50.642.3

    On serve: 45/89 against 33/78 (Akron sideout 49.4%).

  • Hitting+.132
    .259.127

    Kills and errors: 47–17 vs 44–27.

  • Longest run+2
    75

    7 straight Bowling Green points in the third set stretched a 7–6 lead to 14–6. Final score of the set: 25–16.

Akron above 50Bowling Green belowMax swing 4.3%

Bowling GreenAkron

Aces
Bowling Green 5·Akron 10
Serve err
Bowling Green 5·Akron 8
Blocks
Bowling Green 9·Akron 111 BS · 16 BA vs 1 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Bowling Green 52·Akron 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Akron above 50 · Bowling Green below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.3% AKRONrally 167 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.3% to Akron — set 2, BGSU 13-14 AKRON. Anastasija Bozic stuffed by Lyndi Wolf. AKRON win probability 52% → 56%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BGSU 72.9%27.1% AKRON

Bowling Green wins

3-0
25.4%
3-1
27.9%
3-2
19.6%

Akron wins

3-0
4.9%
3-1
9.4%
3-2
12.8%
BGSU break %
44.4% vs this opp
AKRON break %
39.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lyndi WolfBlock+4.3%

    Anastasija Bozic stuffed by Lyndi Wolf

    Set 2 · BGSU 13-14 AKRON · AKRON 52% → 56%

  2. 02
    Jordyn AeschlimanAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Jordyn Aeschliman

    Set 2 · BGSU 15-14 AKRON · BGSU 47% → 51%

  3. 03
    Karli MolnauKill+3.9%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Lyndi Wolf)

    Set 2 · BGSU 16-14 AKRON · BGSU 51% → 55%

  4. 04
    AkronAce+3.9%

    Akron ace on Avery Anders

    Set 2 · BGSU 13-13 AKRON · AKRON 48% → 52%

  5. 05
    Karli MolnauKill+3.5%

    Kill by Karli Molnau (set by Amanda Otten)

    Set 2 · BGSU 17-14 AKRON · BGSU 55% → 59%

  6. 06

    Anastasija Bozic stuffed by Noelle Aprati & Lyndi Wolf

    Set 2 · BGSU 13-12 AKRON · AKRON 44% → 48%

  7. 07

    Karli Molnau stuffed by Lauren Wilson & Chidera Ozoh

    Set 3 · BGSU 5-5 AKRON · AKRON 31% → 34%

  8. 08
    Helen WilfordKill+3.1%

    Kill by Helen Wilford

    Set 3 · BGSU 7-5 AKRON · BGSU 68% → 71%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414531.29002193010.516.5
413746.1301022002114
4428.250000101226
4307.429100100636
4305.60035011300214
4000–100900000
410319.36800020031.511.5
4000–3201460002
4000–111100001
Team totals4717116.25942555210116990
Akronhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411430.23301232010.512.5
410317.41200010052.512.5
44211.18212320153.59.5
44518-.056000100426
4000–2130900003
4000–000500000
48526.115000120219
44520-.050000100215
4022-1.000321900002
4001.0001512700001
2000–110300001
1319.22200020010.53.5
Team totals4427134.127411084451201177

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 BGSU · AKRON 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 BGSUAKRON 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 6 BGSUAKRON 5

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 7 BGSUAKRON 5

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 6 BGSUAKRON 5

Bars above the line = Akron leads, below = Bowling Green leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Bowling Green

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%9/18
53%8/15
2
73%8/11
61%14/23
3
89%8/9
50%8/16
4
57%8/14
53%9/17
5
55%6/11
14%1/7
6
40%6/15
45%5/11
All
58%45/78
51%45/89

Akron

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
50%7/14
2
42%8/19
47%7/15
3
47%8/17
20%2/10
4
53%8/15
27%3/11
5
67%6/9
33%4/12
6
36%5/14
63%10/16
All
49%44/89
42%33/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

167 rallies

#BGSU-AKRONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1AKRONAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Clara Christensen+2.2
20-2AKRONAKRONAttack errHelen Wilford+2.3
31-2AKRONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.6
41-3BGSUAKRONKillLyndi Wolfset Clara Christensen+1.8
51-4AKRONAKRONAceAkronaced Avery Anders+2.4
62-4AKRONBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Vanessa Del Real+1.6
72-5BGSUAKRONKillChiara Gennariset Masa Prascevic+1.9
83-5AKRONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.7
93-6BGSUAKRONServe errBowling Green+1.9
103-7AKRONAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Masa Prascevic+2.5
114-7AKRONBGSUBlockedLauren Wilsonblk Cecily Waynar, Karli Molnau+1.6
124-8BGSUAKRONKillChiara Gennariset Masa Prascevic+1.9
135-8AKRONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.6
146-8BGSUBGSUAttack errJordyn Aeschliman+2.4
156-9BGSUAKRONKillLauren Wilsonset Clara Christensen+2.1
166-10AKRONAKRONAttack errHelen Wilford+2.6
177-10AKRONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.7
187-11BGSUAKRON×3KillChidera Ozohset Clara Christensen+2.0
197-12AKRONAKRON×3KillNoelle Apratiset Vanessa Del Real+2.5
207-13AKRONAKRON×3Bad setAmanda Otten+2.1
218-13AKRONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.2
228-14BGSUAKRONKillLyndi Wolfset Clara Christensen+1.6
238-15AKRONAKRONKillNoelle Aprati+1.7
249-15AKRONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.9
2510-15BGSUBGSUBlockedNoelle Apratiblk Cecily Waynar+1.5
2610-16BGSUAKRONServe errBowling Green+1.6
2710-17AKRONAKRONAceAkronaced Anastasija Bozic+1.6
2811-17AKRONBGSUServe errAkron+0.7
2911-18BGSUAKRON×3KillChiara Gennariset Masa Prascevic+1.1
3011-19AKRONAKRON×3BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Chidera Ozoh, Chiara Gennari+1.0
3111-20AKRONAKRON×3AceAkronaced Anastasija Bozic+0.6
3212-20AKRONBGSUBlockedChiara Gennariblk Cecily Waynar, Anastasija Bozic+0.2
3312-21BGSUAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Masa Prascevic+0.3
3413-21AKRONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+0.1
3513-22BGSUAKRONKillJordyn Aeschlimanset Clara Christensen+0.2
3613-23AKRONAKRONAttack errAvery Hobson+0.1
3714-23AKRONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten·
3814-24BGSUAKRONKillJordyn Aeschlimanset Clara Christensen·
3915-24AKRONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten·
4015-25BGSUAKRONKillNoelle Apratiset Clara Christensen·
Set 2
11-0BGSUBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+2.7
21-1BGSUAKRONAttack errAvery Hobson+2.1
32-1AKRONBGSU×4KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.0
43-1BGSUBGSU×4BlockedLyndi Wolfblk Karli Molnau, Cecily Waynar+2.6
54-1BGSUBGSU×4Attack errVanessa Del Real+2.4
65-1BGSUBGSU×4Attack errJordyn Aeschliman+2.1
75-2BGSUAKRONKillNoelle Apratiset Clara Christensen+1.5
86-2AKRONBGSUServe errAkron+1.6
97-2BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Hobson+1.9
107-3BGSUAKRONKillNoelle Apratiset Masa Prascevic+1.2
118-3AKRONBGSUAttack errChiara Gennari+1.4
128-4BGSUAKRON×3KillChiara Gennariset Masa Prascevic+1.2
138-5AKRONAKRON×3KillLauren Wilsonset Lyndi Wolf+2.0
148-6AKRONAKRON×3AceAkron+2.5
159-6AKRONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.0
169-7BGSUAKRONBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Chidera Ozoh, Lauren Wilson+1.9
1710-7AKRONBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.0
1811-7BGSUBGSU×3AceAnastasija Bozic+2.4
1912-7BGSUBGSU×3AceAnastasija Bozicaced Lauren Wilson+2.0
2012-8BGSUAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Clara Christensen+1.3
2112-9AKRONAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Clara Christensen+2.1
2213-9AKRONBGSUBlockedNoelle Apratiblk Amanda Otten, Helen Wilford+1.8
2313-10BGSUAKRON×5KillJordyn Aeschlimanset Clara Christensen+1.6
2413-11AKRONAKRON×5AceAkronaced Avery Anders+2.7
2513-12AKRONAKRON×5BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Noelle Aprati, Lyndi Wolf+3.3
2613-13AKRONAKRON×5AceAkronaced Avery Anders+3.9
2713-14AKRONAKRON×5BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Lyndi Wolf+4.3
2814-14AKRONBGSU×4Serve errAkron+3.1
2915-14BGSUBGSU×4Attack errJordyn Aeschliman+4.2
3016-14BGSUBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Lyndi Wolf+3.9
3117-14BGSUBGSU×4KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+3.5
3217-15BGSUAKRONKillLyndi Wolfset Clara Christensen+2.3
3318-15AKRONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.7
3418-16BGSUAKRONKillNoelle Apratiset Masa Prascevic+2.3
3519-16AKRONBGSU×6KillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.8
3620-16BGSUBGSU×6BlockedLyndi Wolfblk Helen Wilford+2.9
3721-16BGSUBGSU×6KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.9
3822-16BGSUBGSU×6KillAnastasija Bozicset Katherine Eigner+1.0
3923-16BGSUBGSU×6AceKatherine Eigneraced Noelle Aprati+0.4
4024-16BGSUBGSU×6Bad setChiara Gennari+0.1
4124-17BGSUAKRONServe errKatherine Eigner·
4225-17AKRONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Sydnie Hernandez·
Set 3
11-0AKRONBGSUAttack errNoelle Aprati+2.2
21-1BGSUAKRONBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Chidera Ozoh, Chiara Gennari+2.3
32-1AKRONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.2
42-2BGSUAKRONKillNoelle Apratiset Clara Christensen+2.3
53-2AKRONBGSUServe errAkron+2.3
64-2BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.9
74-3BGSUAKRONKillNoelle Apratiset Masa Prascevic+2.2
85-3AKRONBGSUServe errAkron+2.2
95-4BGSUAKRONServe errAvery Hobson+2.2
105-5AKRONAKRONBlockedKarli Molnaublk Lauren Wilson, Chidera Ozoh+3.3
116-5AKRONBGSUKillCecily Waynarset Amanda Otten+2.4
127-5BGSUBGSUKillHelen Wilford+3.1
137-6BGSUAKRONKillNoelle Aprati+2.3
148-6AKRONBGSU×7KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+2.4
159-6BGSUBGSU×7AceAvery Andersaced Noelle Aprati+2.9
1610-6BGSUBGSU×7KillAmanda Ottenset Vanessa Del Real+2.6
1711-6BGSUBGSU×7AceAvery Andersaced Lauren Wilson+2.1
1812-6BGSUBGSU×7Bad setClara Christensen+1.7
1913-6BGSUBGSU×7KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+1.3
2014-6BGSUBGSU×7Attack errChiara Gennari+0.9
2114-7BGSUAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Clara Christensen+0.5
2215-7AKRONBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Avery Anders+0.6
2316-7BGSUBGSU×5Attack errVanessa Del Real+0.5
2417-7BGSUBGSU×5Attack errChiara Gennari+0.3
2518-7BGSUBGSU×5BlockedNoelle Apratiblk Helen Wilford, Amanda Otten+0.2
2619-7BGSUBGSU×5KillAnastasija Bozicset Avery Anders+0.1
2719-8BGSUAKRONServe errAnastasija Bozic·
2820-8AKRONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten·
2920-9BGSUAKRONKillNoelle Apratiset Clara Christensen·
3021-9AKRONBGSUBlockedJordyn Aeschlimanblk Avery Hobson, Cecily Waynar·
3122-9BGSUBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten·
3222-10BGSUAKRONKillLyndi Wolfset Masa Prascevic·
3323-10AKRONBGSUKillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten·
3423-11BGSUAKRONKillLauren Wilsonset Masa Prascevic·
3524-11AKRONBGSUServe errAkron·
3624-12BGSUAKRON×5KillLauren Wilsonset Taylor Donovan·
3724-13AKRONAKRON×5AceAkronaced Anastasija Bozic·
3824-14AKRONAKRON×5KillLauren Wilsonset Amanda Otten·
3924-15AKRONAKRON×5Attack errKarli Molnau·
4024-16AKRONAKRON×5KillLauren Wilsonset Clara Christensen·
4125-16AKRONBGSUAttack errLauren Wilson·
Set 4
11-0BGSUBGSUKillAmanda Ottenset Avery Anders+2.5
21-1BGSUAKRONBlockedAvery Hobsonblk Jordyn Aeschliman, Lyndi Wolf+1.9
32-1AKRONBGSU×5Serve errAkron+1.9
43-1BGSUBGSU×5KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+2.4
54-1BGSUBGSU×5Attack errLauren Wilson+2.2
65-1BGSUBGSU×5KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+2.0
76-1BGSUBGSU×5Attack errJordyn Aeschliman+1.7
86-2BGSUAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Clara Christensen+1.2
97-2AKRONBGSU×6KillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+1.3
108-2BGSUBGSU×6KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+1.4
119-2BGSUBGSU×6Attack errChidera Ozoh+1.1
1210-2BGSUBGSU×6KillAvery Hobsonset Amanda Otten+0.8
1311-2BGSUBGSU×6Attack errChiara Gennari+0.6
1412-2BGSUBGSU×6BlockedLauren Wilsonblk Cecily Waynar, Karli Molnau+0.4
1512-3BGSUAKRONKillLauren Wilsonset Masa Prascevic+0.2
1613-3AKRONBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.3
1714-3BGSUBGSU×3Attack errJessie Musselman+0.2
1815-3BGSUBGSU×3KillAnastasija Bozicset Cecily Waynar+0.1
1915-4BGSUAKRONBlockedKarli Molnaublk Jessie Musselman, Chidera Ozoh+0.1
2016-4AKRONBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+0.1
2116-5BGSUAKRON×5KillJessie Musselmanset Masa Prascevic·
2216-6AKRONAKRON×5KillJessie Musselmanset Vanessa Del Real+0.1
2316-7AKRONAKRON×5AceAkronaced Avery Anders+0.2
2416-8AKRONAKRON×5AceAkronaced Avery Anders+0.3
2516-9AKRONAKRON×5BlockedAnastasija Bozicblk Jordyn Aeschliman+0.5
2617-9AKRONBGSUKillHelen Wilfordset Amanda Otten+0.5
2718-9BGSUBGSUBad setClara Christensen+0.4
2818-10BGSUAKRON×3BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Jordyn Aeschliman, Lyndi Wolf+0.2
2918-11AKRONAKRON×3AceAkronaced Avery Anders+0.3
3018-12AKRONAKRON×3BlockedAvery Hobsonblk Jordyn Aeschliman, Lyndi Wolf+0.6
3119-12AKRONBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.6
3219-13BGSUAKRONKillJordyn Aeschlimanset Clara Christensen+0.4
3319-14AKRONAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Clara Christensen+0.8
3420-14AKRONBGSUServe errAkron+0.9
3520-15BGSUAKRONKillLauren Wilsonset Clara Christensen+0.5
3620-16AKRONAKRONAttack errAnastasija Bozic+1.2
3721-16AKRONBGSUAttack errChidera Ozoh+1.3
3822-16BGSUBGSUAttack errLauren Wilson+1.0
3922-17BGSUAKRONKillChidera Ozohset Masa Prascevic+0.3
4023-17AKRONBGSUAttack errChidera Ozoh+0.6
4123-18BGSUAKRONKillJessie Musselmanset Vanessa Del Real+0.2
4223-19AKRONAKRONKillNoelle Apratiset Masa Prascevic+0.6
4324-19AKRONBGSUKillKarli Molnauset Amanda Otten+0.8
4425-19BGSUBGSUKillAnastasija Bozicset Amanda Otten+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Bowling Green first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).