Miami (OH) def. Kansas City 3–0
(25-18, 25-17, 26-24)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 18 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| MIA OH | 25 | 25 | 26 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.4% to Kansas City — set 3, KC 24-23 MIA OH. Attack error by Molly Creech. MIA OH win probability 98% → 97%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Kansas City wins
Miami (OH) wins
- KC break %
- 38.0% vs this opp
- MIA OH break %
- 49.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02Chelsea WilliamsAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Chelsea Williams
Set 1 · KC 8-4 MIA OH · KC 10% → 11%
- 03Ryanne WattreeAttack error+1.1%
Ryanne Wattree stuffed by Lindy Radaszewski & Lauren Coyne
Set 1 · KC 9-8 MIA OH · MIA OH 91% → 92%
- 04Emry BrownAttack error+1.1%
Emry Brown stuffed by Raegan Lantz & Sophia Stallworth
Set 3 · KC 24-25 MIA OH · MIA OH 98% → 99%
- 05MIA OH serverAce+1.1%
Miami (OH) ace on Dani Brey
Set 1 · KC 8-6 MIA OH · MIA OH 90% → 91%
- 06Raegan LantzKill+1.1%
Kill by Raegan Lantz (set by Madison Brown)
Set 3 · KC 24-24 MIA OH · MIA OH 97% → 98%
- 07Lindy RadaszewskiAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Lindy Radaszewski
Set 1 · KC 3-0 MIA OH · KC 8% → 9%
- 08Madelyn BahnsenKill+1.1%
Kill by Madelyn Bahnsen (set by Coco Buschhorn)
Set 1 · KC 9-6 MIA OH · KC 9% → 10%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 11 | 3 | 24 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 3 | 9 | 2 | 21 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 16 | .313 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 10 | 36 | -.194 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | .133 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 13 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 36 | 19 | 124 | .137 | 35 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 59 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 14 | 3 | 38 | .289 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 13 | .385 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .389 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | .833 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | .174 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 48 | 13 | 113 | .310 | 41 | 4 | 6 | 59 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 76 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
18-25
Set 2
17-25
Set 3
24-26
Bars above the line = Miami (OH) leads, below = Kansas City leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Kansas City
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39%7/18 | 50%6/12 |
| 2 | 88%7/8 | 42%5/12 |
| 3 | 64%7/11 | 13%1/8 |
| 4 | 47%7/15 | 13%1/8 |
| 5 | 55%6/11 | 30%3/10 |
| 6 | 42%5/12 | 40%4/10 |
| All | 52%39/75 | 33%20/60 |
Miami (OH)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47%7/15 | 70%14/20 |
| 2 | 88%7/8 | 13%1/8 |
| 3 | 100%7/7 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 42%5/12 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 54%7/13 |
| 6 | 60%6/10 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 67%40/60 | 48%36/75 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
135 rallies
Rally log
| # | KC-MIA OH | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MIA OH | KC×3 | Attack err | Lauren Coyne | blk Ryanne Wattree, Hannah Wayment | +0.7 |
| 2 | 2-0 | KC | KC×3 | Ace | KC server | aced Team | +1.0 |
| 3 | 3-0 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Lindy Radaszewski | +1.1 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | KC | MIA OH | Serve err | KC server | +0.7 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.9 |
| 6 | 4-2 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.7 |
| 7 | 5-2 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.9 |
| 8 | 5-3 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.8 |
| 9 | 6-3 | MIA OH | KC | Serve err | MIA OH server | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Sophia Stallworth | set Piper Willinger | +0.8 |
| 11 | 7-4 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Stella Smith | set Coco Buschhorn | +1.0 |
| 12 | 8-4 | KC | KC | Attack err | Chelsea Williams | +1.3 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | KC | MIA OH | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +0.8 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Ace | MIA OH server | aced Dani Brey | +1.1 |
| 15 | 9-6 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Madelyn Bahnsen | set Coco Buschhorn | +1.1 |
| 16 | 9-7 | KC | MIA OH×9 | Kill | Lindy Radaszewski | set Piper Willinger | +0.9 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MIA OH | MIA OH×9 | Attack err | Ryanne Wattree | blk Lindy Radaszewski, Lauren Coyne | +1.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MIA OH | MIA OH×9 | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.1 |
| 19 | 9-10 | MIA OH | MIA OH×9 | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Holland Van Deusen | +1.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | MIA OH | MIA OH×9 | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +0.8 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | MIA OH | MIA OH×9 | Kill | Lindy Radaszewski | set Rachel Morgan | +0.7 |
| 22 | 9-13 | MIA OH | MIA OH×9 | Kill | Lindy Radaszewski | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.6 |
| 23 | 9-14 | MIA OH | MIA OH×9 | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.4 |
| 24 | 9-15 | MIA OH | MIA OH×9 | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.3 |
| 25 | 10-15 | MIA OH | KC | Attack err | Chelsea Williams | +0.2 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.2 |
| 27 | 11-16 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.2 |
| 28 | 11-17 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Lindy Radaszewski | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.2 |
| 29 | 12-17 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +0.2 |
| 30 | 12-18 | KC | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.2 |
| 31 | 12-19 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Raegan Lantz | set Sophia Stallworth | +0.2 |
| 32 | 12-20 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Ace | MIA OH server | aced Chloe Kaminski | +0.1 |
| 33 | 13-20 | MIA OH | KC | Serve err | MIA OH server | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Piper Willinger | +0.1 |
| 35 | 14-21 | MIA OH | KC | Serve err | MIA OH server | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | KC | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Raegan Lantz | set Piper Willinger | +0.0 |
| 37 | 14-23 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Mia Weaver | blk Sophia Stallworth, Lindy Radaszewski | +0.0 |
| 38 | 14-24 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +0.0 | |
| 39 | 15-24 | MIA OH | KC×4 | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | KC | KC×4 | Attack err | Chelsea Williams | blk Ryanne Wattree, Hannah Wayment | +0.0 |
| 41 | 17-24 | KC | KC×4 | Attack err | Lindy Radaszewski | +0.0 | |
| 42 | 18-24 | KC | KC×4 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Chloe Kaminski | +0.0 |
| 43 | 18-25 | KC | MIA OH | Serve err | KC server | +0.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +0.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.6 |
| 3 | 3-0 | KC | KC×3 | Ace | KC server | aced Molly Creech | +0.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Grace Kreutz | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +0.6 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | MIA OH | KC | Serve err | MIA OH server | +0.5 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Lindy Radaszewski | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Ace | MIA OH server | aced Team | +0.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Stella Smith | set Savy Repinski | +0.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.4 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Attack err | Emry Brown | blk Raegan Lantz, Sophia Stallworth | +0.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MIA OH | KC | Serve err | MIA OH server | +0.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | KC | KC | Attack err | Grace Kreutz | +0.7 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | KC | MIA OH×5 | Kill | Molly Creech | set Piper Willinger | +0.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | MIA OH | MIA OH×5 | Kill | Raegan Lantz | set Piper Willinger | +0.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | MIA OH | MIA OH×5 | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +0.5 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | MIA OH | MIA OH×5 | Bad set | Coco Buschhorn | +0.4 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | MIA OH | MIA OH×5 | Attack err | Madelyn Bahnsen | +0.3 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Stella Smith | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.3 |
| 20 | 8-12 | KC | MIA OH | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +0.3 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Kill | Lindy Radaszewski | set Piper Willinger | +0.3 |
| 22 | 9-13 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Madelyn Bahnsen | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.2 |
| 23 | 9-14 | KC | MIA OH×5 | Serve err | KC server | +0.2 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | MIA OH | MIA OH×5 | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.2 |
| 25 | 9-16 | MIA OH | MIA OH×5 | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Rachel Morgan | +0.1 |
| 26 | 9-17 | MIA OH | MIA OH×5 | Attack err | Ryanne Wattree | +0.1 | |
| 27 | 9-18 | MIA OH | MIA OH×5 | Ace | MIA OH server | aced Dani Brey | +0.0 |
| 28 | 10-18 | MIA OH | KC | Serve err | MIA OH server | +0.0 | |
| 29 | 10-19 | KC | MIA OH | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +0.0 | |
| 30 | 11-19 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +0.0 |
| 31 | 11-20 | KC | MIA OH | Serve err | KC server | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 12-20 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +0.0 |
| 33 | 12-21 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.0 |
| 34 | 13-21 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.0 |
| 35 | 13-22 | KC | MIA OH | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Madelyn Bahnsen | set Stella Smith | +0.0 |
| 37 | 15-22 | KC | KC | Kill | Hannah Wayment | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.0 |
| 38 | 15-23 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Rachel Morgan | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Kill | Sophia Stallworth | set Madison Brown | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.0 |
| 41 | 17-24 | KC | KC | Kill | Hannah Wayment | set Savy Repinski | +0.0 |
| 42 | 17-25 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Sophia Stallworth | set Madison Brown | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Holland Van Deusen | +0.2 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | KC | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Stella Smith | +0.2 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Madelyn Bahnsen | +0.2 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Madelyn Bahnsen | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.2 |
| 8 | 3-5 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Madelyn Bahnsen | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Sophia Stallworth | set Madison Brown | +0.2 |
| 11 | 4-7 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Kill | Raegan Lantz | set Rachel Morgan | +0.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | MIA OH | KC | Attack err | Chelsea Williams | +0.1 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Madison Brown | +0.1 |
| 14 | 6-8 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +0.1 |
| 15 | 6-9 | KC | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Molly Creech | set Rachel Morgan | +0.1 |
| 16 | 6-10 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Ryanne Wattree | blk Chelsea Williams | +0.1 |
| 17 | 6-11 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Lindy Radaszewski | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.1 |
| 19 | 8-11 | KC | KC | Ace | KC server | aced Team | +0.1 |
| 20 | 8-12 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.1 |
| 21 | 9-12 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Mia Weaver | +0.1 |
| 22 | 10-12 | KC | KC | Kill | Mia Weaver | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.2 |
| 23 | 10-13 | KC | MIA OH | Attack err | Madelyn Bahnsen | +0.2 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Stella Smith | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.2 |
| 25 | 11-14 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.2 |
| 26 | 12-14 | MIA OH | KC | Attack err | Sophia Stallworth | +0.2 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Molly Creech | +0.2 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | MIA OH | KC×3 | Kill | Emry Brown | set Coco Buschhorn | +0.2 |
| 29 | 14-15 | KC | KC×3 | Ace | KC server | aced Chelsea Williams | +0.3 |
| 30 | 15-15 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Madison Brown | +0.4 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Madison Brown | +0.3 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.3 |
| 33 | 16-17 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Chelsea Williams | set Madison Brown | +0.3 |
| 34 | 17-17 | MIA OH | KC×3 | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +0.4 |
| 35 | 18-17 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Molly Creech | +0.6 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | KC | KC×3 | Kill | Ryanne Wattree | set Savy Repinski | +0.6 |
| 37 | 19-18 | KC | MIA OH | Attack err | Mia Weaver | +0.4 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Stella Smith | set Savy Repinski | +0.6 |
| 39 | 20-19 | KC | MIA OH | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.4 |
| 40 | 20-20 | MIA OH | MIA OH | Kill | Lauren Coyne | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.6 |
| 41 | 21-20 | MIA OH | KC | Kill | Stella Smith | set Savy Repinski | +0.6 |
| 42 | 21-21 | KC | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Molly Creech | set Holland Van Deusen | +0.5 |
| 43 | 21-22 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Molly Creech | set Savy Repinski | +0.7 |
| 44 | 21-23 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Molly Creech | set Madison Brown | +0.6 |
| 45 | 22-23 | MIA OH | KC×3 | Kill | Emry Brown | set Savy Repinski | +0.4 |
| 46 | 23-23 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Molly Creech | +0.8 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | KC | KC×3 | Attack err | Molly Creech | +1.4 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | KC | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Raegan Lantz | set Madison Brown | +1.1 |
| 49 | 24-25 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Attack err | Emry Brown | blk Raegan Lantz, Sophia Stallworth | +1.1 |
| 50 | 24-26 | MIA OH | MIA OH×3 | Kill | Molly Creech | set Madison Brown | +0.8 |
Score shown after each rally, Kansas City first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.