FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayAMERICAN

3:0

HomeASUN

Tulane def. North Florida 3–0

(25-17, 25-14, 25-11)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TULANE	25	25	25	3
NO FLA	17	14	11	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NO FLA above 50 · TULANE below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to North Florida — set 1, TULANE 2-2 NO FLA. Kill by Sasha Bespaly (set by Leah McDonald). NO FLA win probability 18% → 19%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TULANE 80.5%19.5% NO FLA

Tulane wins

3-0

32.0%

3-1

30.3%

3-2

18.1%

North Florida wins

3-0

3.2%

3-1

6.5%

3-2

9.9%

TULANE break %: 45.4% vs this opp
NO FLA break %: 38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sasha BespalyKill+1.7%
Kill by Sasha Bespaly (set by Leah McDonald)
Set 1 · TULANE 2-2 NO FLA · NO FLA 18% → 19%
02
Avery BurksKill+1.6%
Kill by Avery Burks
Set 1 · TULANE 1-0 NO FLA · TULANE 80% → 82%
03
Dakota SpurrierAttack error+1.6%
Dakota Spurrier stuffed by Lauryn Mack
Set 1 · TULANE 5-3 NO FLA · TULANE 82% → 84%
04
Dakota SpurrierKill+1.5%
Kill by Dakota Spurrier (set by Emma Pohlmann)
Set 1 · TULANE 11-9 NO FLA · NO FLA 14% → 16%
05
TULANE serverAce+1.5%
Tulane ace on Emma Pohlmann
Set 1 · TULANE 2-0 NO FLA · TULANE 82% → 84%
06
Madison McLinKill+1.5%
Kill by Madison McLin (set by Charlee Solomon)
Set 1 · TULANE 7-4 NO FLA · TULANE 84% → 85%
07
Avery BurksKill+1.4%
Kill by Avery Burks
Set 1 · TULANE 13-9 NO FLA · TULANE 85% → 87%
08
Sasha BespalyAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Sasha Bespaly
Set 1 · TULANE 10-6 NO FLA · TULANE 85% → 86%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Tulaneaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Lauryn MackOH	3	12	2	21	.476	0	0	1	8	0	1	1	1.5	13.5
1Avery BurksOH	3	11	0	25	.440	1	0	2	7	0	0	0	0	11
2Riley TuckerMB	3	8	0	18	.444	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	9
3Charlee SolomonS	3	0	1	8	-.125	33	4	0	9	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
12Kailey LeonardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
9Makena LimL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
11Madison McLinMB	3	9	0	12	.750	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	10
23Chloe ListOH	3	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
5Dayla OrtizL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	5	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	1
26Zoe RachowS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	4	95	.442	39	6	8	47	1	2	4	4	75

North Floridahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Dakota SpurrierOH	3	8	7	29	.034	1	0	2	9	1	1	0.5	8.5
15Sasha BespalyMB	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
11Yarimar Francis GarayMB	3	4	2	11	.182	1	0	1	3	0	1	0.5	4.5
9Haleina BowersMB	3	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	0	1	1	0.5	1.5
1Sofia DawsonS	3	1	0	3	.333	9	0	0	5	0	0	0	1
2Leah McDonaldOH	2	0	1	7	-.143	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
13Kaili DoctorOH	3	10	3	30	.233	1	0	0	5	2	0	0	10
19Emma PohlmannL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	6	2	0	0	1
18Julianna SantiagoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	5	0	0	0	0
12Haydin FroehlichS	2	0	0	1	.000	8	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
8Brooklyn StringfellowL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
4Lily RodgersOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	15	100	.140	26	1	6	36	6	4	2	42

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 TULANE · NO FLA 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 TULANENO FLA 4

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 3 TULANENO FLA 2

Set 3

25-11

Longest run 6 TULANENO FLA 3

Bars above the line = North Florida leads, below = Tulane leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Tulane

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	65%11/17
2	71%5/7	72%13/18
3	71%5/7	44%4/9
4	56%5/9	44%4/9
5	100%5/5	58%7/12
6	67%4/6	56%5/9
All	72%31/43	59%44/74

North Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	32%6/19	38%3/8
2	33%5/15	14%1/7
3	50%5/10	38%3/8
4	63%5/8	17%1/6
5	38%5/13	44%4/9
6	44%4/9	0%0/5
All	41%30/74	28%12/43

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

117 rallies

Rally log

#	TULANE-NO FLA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Avery Burks		+1.6
2	2-0	TULANE	TULANE	Ace	TULANE server	aced Emma Pohlmann	+1.5
3	2-1	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+1.1
4	2-2	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Sasha Bespaly	set Leah McDonald	+1.7
5	3-2	NO FLA	TULANE	Bad set	Sofia Dawson		+1.2
6	3-3	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Sasha Bespaly	set Sofia Dawson	+1.3
7	4-3	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Charlee Solomon	+1.3
8	5-3	TULANE	TULANE	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier	blk Lauryn Mack	+1.6
9	5-4	TULANE	NO FLA	Serve err	TULANE server		+1.2
10	6-4	NO FLA	TULANE	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+1.2
11	7-4	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Madison McLin	set Charlee Solomon	+1.5
12	7-5	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Haleina Bowers	set Sofia Dawson	+1.0
13	8-5	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Madison McLin	set Charlee Solomon	+1.1
14	8-6	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+1.1
15	9-6	NO FLA	TULANE×3	Kill	Chloe List	set Avery Burks	+1.1
16	10-6	TULANE	TULANE×3	Attack err	Sasha Bespaly		+1.3
17	11-6	TULANE	TULANE×3	Kill	Madison McLin	set Dayla Ortiz	+1.1
18	11-7	TULANE	NO FLA×3	Kill	Sofia Dawson	set Yarimar Francis Garay	+0.7
19	11-8	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Emma Pohlmann	+1.2
20	11-9	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Emma Pohlmann	+1.5
21	12-9	NO FLA	TULANE×4	Kill	Madison McLin	set Charlee Solomon	+1.2
22	13-9	TULANE	TULANE×4	Kill	Avery Burks		+1.4
23	14-9	TULANE	TULANE×4	Attack err	Sasha Bespaly		+1.1
24	15-9	TULANE	TULANE×4	Kill	Riley Tucker	set Charlee Solomon	+0.8
25	15-10	TULANE	NO FLA	Serve err	TULANE server		+0.5
26	16-10	NO FLA	TULANE×5	Kill	Riley Tucker	set Charlee Solomon	+0.6
27	17-10	TULANE	TULANE×5	Ace	TULANE server	aced Haleina Bowers	+0.5
28	18-10	TULANE	TULANE×5	Kill	Riley Tucker	set Dayla Ortiz	+0.3
29	19-10	TULANE	TULANE×5	Kill	Avery Burks	set Charlee Solomon	+0.2
30	20-10	TULANE	TULANE×5	Ace	TULANE server	aced Kaili Doctor	+0.1
31	20-11	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Sofia Dawson	+0.0
32	21-11	NO FLA	TULANE	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.0
33	21-12	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Emma Pohlmann	+0.0
34	22-12	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
35	22-13	TULANE	NO FLA×4	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+0.0
36	22-14	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Ace	NO FLA server	aced Madison McLin	+0.0
37	22-15	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay		+0.1
38	22-16	NO FLA	NO FLA×4	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Julianna Santiago	+0.1
39	23-16	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Chloe List	set Charlee Solomon	+0.2
40	24-16	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Chloe List	set Charlee Solomon	+0.1
41	24-17	TULANE	NO FLA	Serve err	TULANE server		+0.0
42	25-17	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Madison McLin	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Avery Burks	set Charlee Solomon	+0.9
2	2-0	TULANE	TULANE	Ace	TULANE server	aced Dakota Spurrier	+1.1
3	2-1	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Sofia Dawson	+0.8
4	3-1	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Charlee Solomon	+0.8
5	4-1	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Charlee Solomon	+1.0
6	4-2	TULANE	NO FLA	Serve err	TULANE server		+0.7
7	4-3	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay		+1.2
8	5-3	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Charlee Solomon	+0.9
9	6-3	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Dayla Ortiz	+1.1
10	6-4	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Yarimar Francis Garay	set Sofia Dawson	+0.8
11	7-4	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Charlee Solomon	+0.8
12	8-4	TULANE	TULANE	Bad set	Sofia Dawson		+1.0
13	8-5	TULANE	NO FLA	Serve err	TULANE server		+0.6
14	9-5	NO FLA	TULANE×3	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.7
15	10-5	TULANE	TULANE×3	Ace	TULANE server	aced Kaili Doctor	+0.8
16	11-5	TULANE	TULANE×3	Kill	Madison McLin	set Charlee Solomon	+0.6
17	11-6	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Sasha Bespaly	set Sofia Dawson	+0.4
18	12-6	NO FLA	TULANE×3	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.4
19	13-6	TULANE	TULANE×3	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+0.4
20	14-6	TULANE	TULANE×3	Attack err	Kaili Doctor		+0.3
21	14-7	TULANE	NO FLA	Attack err	Lauryn Mack	blk Dakota Spurrier, Haleina Bowers	+0.2
22	15-7	NO FLA	TULANE×3	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.2
23	16-7	TULANE	TULANE×3	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Dayla Ortiz	+0.2
24	17-7	TULANE	TULANE×3	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Charlee Solomon	+0.1
25	17-8	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Haydin Froehlich	+0.0
26	18-8	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Avery Burks	set Charlee Solomon	+0.1
27	18-9	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Haydin Froehlich	+0.0
28	19-9	NO FLA	TULANE	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.0
29	20-9	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Dayla Ortiz	+0.0
30	20-10	TULANE	NO FLA	Attack err	Chloe List	blk Yarimar Francis Garay, Sasha Bespaly	+0.0
31	21-10	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Chloe List	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
32	21-11	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Haydin Froehlich	+0.0
33	22-11	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Madison McLin	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
34	22-12	TULANE	NO FLA	Serve err	TULANE server		+0.0
35	23-12	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Avery Burks	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
36	23-13	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Kaili Doctor	+0.0
37	23-14	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Haydin Froehlich	+0.0
38	24-14	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
39	25-14	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Riley Tucker	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Avery Burks		+0.6
2	2-0	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Avery Burks	set Dayla Ortiz	+0.6
3	2-1	TULANE	NO FLA	Serve err	TULANE server		+0.4
4	3-1	NO FLA	TULANE×5	Kill	Riley Tucker	set Charlee Solomon	+0.4
5	4-1	TULANE	TULANE×5	Attack err	Kaili Doctor	blk Riley Tucker	+0.5
6	5-1	TULANE	TULANE×5	Attack err	Yarimar Francis Garay		+0.4
7	6-1	TULANE	TULANE×5	Kill	Avery Burks	set Dayla Ortiz	+0.4
8	7-1	TULANE	TULANE×5	Ace	TULANE server	aced Emma Pohlmann	+0.3
9	7-2	TULANE	NO FLA×3	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Julianna Santiago	+0.2
10	7-3	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Attack err	Lauryn Mack		+0.3
11	7-4	NO FLA	NO FLA×3	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Dakota Spurrier	+0.4
12	8-4	NO FLA	TULANE×3	Kill	Lauryn Mack	set Charlee Solomon	+0.3
13	9-4	TULANE	TULANE×3	Kill	Dayla Ortiz	set Haydin Froehlich	+0.4
14	10-4	TULANE	TULANE×3	Kill	Riley Tucker	set Charlee Solomon	+0.3
15	10-5	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Kaili Doctor	set Haydin Froehlich	+0.2
16	10-6	NO FLA	NO FLA	Attack err	Charlee Solomon		+0.3
17	11-6	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Chloe List	set Charlee Solomon	+0.3
18	12-6	TULANE	TULANE	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier	blk Lauryn Mack, Madison McLin	+0.3
19	12-7	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Julianna Santiago	+0.2
20	12-8	NO FLA	NO FLA	Kill	Dakota Spurrier	set Haydin Froehlich	+0.3
21	13-8	NO FLA	TULANE×6	Serve err	NO FLA server		+0.3
22	14-8	TULANE	TULANE×6	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+0.3
23	15-8	TULANE	TULANE×6	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier		+0.2
24	16-8	TULANE	TULANE×6	Kill	Madison McLin	set Charlee Solomon	+0.1
25	17-8	TULANE	TULANE×6	Attack err	Leah McDonald		+0.1
26	18-8	TULANE	TULANE×6	Attack err	Dakota Spurrier	blk Charlee Solomon, Madison McLin	+0.0
27	18-9	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Sasha Bespaly	set Haydin Froehlich	+0.0
28	19-9	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Madison McLin	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
29	20-9	TULANE	TULANE	Kill	Avery Burks	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
30	20-10	TULANE	NO FLA	Kill	Sasha Bespaly	set Haydin Froehlich	+0.0
31	21-10	NO FLA	TULANE×3	Attack err	Kaili Doctor		+0.0
32	22-10	TULANE	TULANE×3	Kill	Riley Tucker	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
33	23-10	TULANE	TULANE×3	Kill	Riley Tucker	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
34	23-11	TULANE	NO FLA	Serve err	TULANE server		+0.0
35	24-11	NO FLA	TULANE	Kill	Avery Burks	set Charlee Solomon	+0.0
36	25-11	TULANE	TULANE	Attack err	Yarimar Francis Garay		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Tulane first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.