CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026
3:2
App State logo

HomeSUN-BELT

North Florida def. App State 32

(16-25, 14-25, 26-24, 27-25, 15-11)
Set12345Sets
NO FLA16142627153
APP ST25252425112

RallyIQ model

Win probability

APP ST above 50 · NO FLA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100APP STNO FLABiggest swing +19.5% NO FLA · S5 13-11rally 208 · set 5

Biggest swing: 19.5% to North Florida — set 5, NO FLA 13-11 APP ST. Attack error by Nevaeh Hays. APP ST win probability 40%21%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NO FLA 25.5%74.5% APP ST

North Florida wins

3-0
4.5%
3-1
8.7%
3-2
12.2%

App State wins

3-0
26.6%
3-1
28.5%
3-2
19.4%
NO FLA break %
39.0% vs this opp
APP ST break %
44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Nevaeh HaysAttack error+19.5%

    Attack error by Nevaeh Hays

    Set 5 · NO FLA 13-11 APP ST · NO FLA 60%79%

  2. 02
    Charlotte ThompsonAttack error+18.7%

    Charlotte Thompson stuffed by Haleina Bowers & Leah McDonald

    Set 5 · NO FLA 12-11 APP ST · NO FLA 41%60%

  3. 03
    Leah McDonaldKill+14.9%

    Kill by Leah McDonald (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 14-11 APP ST · NO FLA 79%94%

  4. 04
    Nevaeh HaysAttack error+13.5%

    Nevaeh Hays stuffed by Leah McDonald & Yarimar Francis Garay

    Set 5 · NO FLA 10-10 APP ST · NO FLA 27%41%

  5. 05
    Bella HutchensAttack error+13.4%

    Bella Hutchens stuffed by Haleina Bowers & Sofia Dawson

    Set 4 · NO FLA 27-25 APP ST · NO FLA 26%40%

  6. 06
    Dakota SpurrierKill+10.8%

    Kill by Dakota Spurrier (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 4 · NO FLA 26-25 APP ST · NO FLA 16%26%

  7. 07
    Kaili DoctorKill+10.8%

    Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 11-11 APP ST · NO FLA 30%41%

  8. 08

    Kill by Delanie Grevengoed (set by Amelia Mancino)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 10-11 APP ST · APP ST 59%70%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517956.14300270111.518.5
513739.15402260031.516.5
56114.357000300639
5227.000000000635
5108.125421170111.53.5
4000000300000
5309.33300100010.53.5
5001.0003321910003
5000002000000
413432.28100260052.515.5
2226.00000010010.52.5
2000300300000
2000001000000
1000100000000
Team totals5725172.186496135542241498
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516738.237023170010.518.5
514533.27300040052.516.5
59315.4001000018514
57316.250000101229
56015.400501060031.58.5
32419-.10500021010.52.5
5115.000101400001
5002.0003113010001
5000002000000
4000000420000
26316.188000000006
1000000400000
Team totals6126159.220554772622012110

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 NO FLA · APP ST 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 NO FLAAPP ST 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 NO FLAAPP ST 6

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 3 NO FLAAPP ST 4

Set 4

27-25

Longest run 5 NO FLAAPP ST 5

Set 5

15-11

Longest run 5 NO FLAAPP ST 5

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = North Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

North Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%12/29
38%6/16
2
73%11/15
35%6/17
3
50%11/22
27%4/15
4
83%10/12
41%7/17
5
64%9/14
44%7/16
6
42%8/19
44%7/16
All
55%61/111
38%37/97

App State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
68%21/31
2
69%11/16
42%8/19
3
65%11/17
45%9/20
4
56%9/16
31%5/16
5
60%9/15
40%6/15
6
69%9/13
10%1/10
All
62%60/97
45%50/111

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

208 rallies

Rally log

#NO FLA-APP STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.9
21-1APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Raegan Richardson+1.4
31-2NO FLAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.4
42-2APP STNO FLAServe errAPP ST server+1.5
52-3NO FLAAPP ST×3Serve errNO FLA server+1.4
62-4APP STAPP ST×3KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+1.9
72-5APP STAPP ST×3Attack errKaili Doctor+1.7
83-5APP STNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.2
93-6NO FLAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.2
104-6APP STNO FLABad setBrooke Doherty+1.2
114-7NO FLAAPP ST×3Bad setKaili Doctor+1.3
124-8APP STAPP ST×3KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.6
134-9APP STAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.3
145-9APP STNO FLAAttack errBella Hutchens+0.8
155-10NO FLAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.9
166-10APP STNO FLAServe errAPP ST server+0.8
176-11NO FLAAPP ST×3Attack errDakota Spurrierblk Nevaeh Hays, Raegan Richardson+0.9
186-12APP STAPP ST×3Attack errDakota Spurrier+1.0
196-13APP STAPP ST×3KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.8
207-13APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.4
217-14NO FLAAPP ST×3Serve errNO FLA server+0.5
227-15APP STAPP ST×3AceAPP ST serveraced Team+0.5
237-16APP STAPP ST×3KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.3
248-16APP STNO FLAServe errAPP ST server+0.1
258-17NO FLAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.2
269-17APP STNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+0.1
2710-17NO FLANO FLAKillSasha Bespalyset Sofia Dawson+0.3
2810-18NO FLAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.3
2911-18APP STNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+0.2
3012-18NO FLANO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garay+0.4
3112-19NO FLAAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+0.4
3213-19APP STNO FLA×3KillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+0.2
3314-19NO FLANO FLA×3AceNO FLA serveraced Team+0.6
3415-19NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errBella Hutchensblk Sasha Bespaly, Haleina Bowers+0.9
3515-20NO FLAAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+0.9
3615-21APP STAPP STAttack errSasha Bespaly+0.8
3716-21APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.3
3816-22NO FLAAPP ST×4KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.5
3916-23APP STAPP ST×4KillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+0.3
4016-24APP STAPP ST×4AceAPP ST serveraced Team+0.1
4116-25APP STAPP ST×4Attack errDakota Spurrierblk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed+0.0
Set 2
10-1NO FLAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.1
21-1APP STNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.1
32-1NO FLANO FLAAttack errBrooke Dohertyblk Sofia Dawson+1.7
42-2NO FLAAPP STServe errNO FLA server+1.2
53-2APP STNO FLAKillSofia Dawson+1.3
63-3NO FLAAPP ST×4Bad setSofia Dawson+1.2
73-4APP STAPP ST×4KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+1.7
83-5APP STAPP ST×4KillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+1.6
93-6APP STAPP ST×4Attack errDakota Spurrier+1.4
104-6APP STNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.0
114-7NO FLAAPP STServe errNO FLA server+1.0
124-8APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.3
135-8APP STNO FLAAttack errBella Hutchensblk Katelyn Bowman, Yarimar Francis Garay+0.8
146-8NO FLANO FLAAttack errChelsea Gilmoreblk Haleina Bowers, Dakota Spurrier+1.4
156-9NO FLAAPP STServe errNO FLA server+1.1
167-9APP STNO FLAKillKatelyn Bowmanset Sofia Dawson+1.0
177-10NO FLAAPP STServe errNO FLA server+1.1
188-10APP STNO FLAAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+1.1
198-11NO FLAAPP ST×5KillDelanie Grevengoedset MeMe Davis+1.1
208-12APP STAPP ST×5Attack errKaili Doctorblk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed+1.4
218-13APP STAPP ST×5Attack errHaleina Bowersblk Brooke Doherty, Nevaeh Hays+1.1
228-14APP STAPP ST×5AceAPP ST serveraced Emma Pohlmann+0.8
238-15APP STAPP ST×5KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.6
249-15APP STNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset MeMe Davis+0.3
259-16NO FLAAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.4
2610-16APP STNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+0.3
2711-16NO FLANO FLAAceNO FLA serveraced Brooke Doherty+0.6
2811-17NO FLAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.5
2912-17APP STNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+0.4
3012-18NO FLAAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+0.5
3113-18APP STNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+0.4
3213-19NO FLAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.5
3314-19APP STNO FLAKillSasha Bespalyset Sofia Dawson+0.3
3414-20NO FLAAPP ST×6KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.5
3514-21APP STAPP ST×6Attack errSasha Bespalyblk Bella Hutchens, Nevaeh Hays+0.4
3614-22APP STAPP ST×6KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.2
3714-23APP STAPP ST×6Attack errLeah McDonaldblk Nevaeh Hays, Delanie Grevengoed+0.0
3814-24APP STAPP ST×6KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.0
3914-25APP STAPP ST×6KillBella Hutchensset Nevaeh Hays+0.0
Set 3
10-1APP STAPP ST×4KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.8
20-2APP STAPP ST×4KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.8
30-3APP STAPP ST×4KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.7
40-4APP STAPP ST×4KillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.6
51-4APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.4
61-5NO FLAAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+0.4
72-5APP STNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+0.4
82-6NO FLAAPP STAttack errKaili Doctor+0.4
92-7APP STAPP STAceAPP ST serveraced Team+0.5
103-7APP STNO FLA×3KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+0.3
114-7NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+0.6
125-7NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+0.7
135-8NO FLAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.5
145-9APP STAPP STBad setKaili Doctor+0.7
156-9APP STNO FLAAttack errChelsea Gilmore+0.4
166-10NO FLAAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+0.5
177-10APP STNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+0.4
187-11NO FLAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.5
198-11APP STNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+0.4
208-12NO FLAAPP STServe errNO FLA server+0.5
218-13APP STAPP STAttack errKaili Doctor+0.6
229-13APP STNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+0.3
239-14NO FLAAPP STServe errNO FLA server+0.4
2410-14APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.3
2510-15NO FLAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+0.4
2611-15APP STNO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.3
2712-15NO FLANO FLA×3KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+0.6
2813-15NO FLANO FLA×3KillYarimar Francis Garayset Yarimar Francis Garay+0.9
2913-16NO FLAAPP STAttack errKaili Doctorblk Delanie Grevengoed, Chelsea Gilmore+0.7
3014-16APP STNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+0.6
3115-16NO FLANO FLAAceNO FLA serveraced Bella Dafforn+1.1
3215-17NO FLAAPP ST×3Serve errNO FLA server+0.9
3315-18APP STAPP ST×3Attack errKaili Doctor+1.1
3415-19APP STAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.8
3516-19APP STNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+0.4
3617-19NO FLANO FLAAttack errChelsea Gilmoreblk Kaili Doctor, Haleina Bowers+0.9
3717-20NO FLAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.8
3818-20APP STNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Evelina Gerogianni+0.7
3918-21NO FLAAPP STAttack errKaili Doctor+0.9
4019-21APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+0.6
4119-22NO FLAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.9
4220-22APP STNO FLA×3Attack errBrooke Doherty+0.6
4321-22NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errBrooke Doherty+1.4
4422-22NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errDelanie Grevengoedblk Leah McDonald, Yarimar Francis Garay+2.2
4522-23NO FLAAPP STKillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+1.9
4623-23APP STNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+1.9
4723-24NO FLAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+2.4
4824-24APP STNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.4
4925-24NO FLANO FLA×3AceNO FLA serveraced Bella Dafforn+3.7
5026-24NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errBrooke Dohertyblk Haleina Bowers, Leah McDonald+4.2
Set 4
11-0NO FLANO FLA×5AceNO FLA serveraced MeMe Davis+2.6
22-0NO FLANO FLA×5AceNO FLA serveraced Team+2.7
33-0NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errDelanie Grevengoedblk Kaili Doctor+2.8
44-0NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errCharlotte Thompsonblk Yarimar Francis Garay, Leah McDonald+2.8
55-0NO FLANO FLA×5KillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+2.7
65-1NO FLAAPP STServe errNO FLA server+1.6
75-2APP STAPP STAttack errLeah McDonald+2.5
86-2APP STNO FLAServe errAPP ST server+2.1
96-3NO FLAAPP ST×3KillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.8
106-4APP STAPP ST×3Bad setSofia Dawson+2.7
116-5APP STAPP ST×3Attack errHaleina Bowersblk Chelsea Gilmore+2.8
127-5APP STNO FLAAttack errCharlotte Thompson+2.2
137-6NO FLAAPP STServe errNO FLA server+2.0
148-6APP STNO FLAServe errAPP ST server+2.3
158-7NO FLAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.1
169-7APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.4
1710-7NO FLANO FLAAttack errAmelia Mancino+3.3
1810-8NO FLAAPP STAttack errDakota Spurrierblk Raegan Richardson, Nevaeh Hays+2.1
1911-8APP STNO FLAAttack errBella Hutchens+2.5
2012-8NO FLANO FLAAttack errDelanie Grevengoedblk Dakota Spurrier, Yarimar Francis Garay+3.3
2112-9NO FLAAPP ST×5KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.9
2212-10APP STAPP ST×5Attack errYarimar Francis Garayblk Nevaeh Hays+3.1
2312-11APP STAPP ST×5Attack errDakota Spurrier+3.3
2412-12APP STAPP ST×5Attack errLeah McDonald+3.5
2512-13APP STAPP ST×5KillNevaeh Haysset Raegan Richardson+3.4
2613-13APP STNO FLAAttack errDelanie Grevengoed+2.5
2713-14NO FLAAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+2.5
2813-15APP STAPP STAttack errKaili Doctorblk Delanie Grevengoed, Chelsea Gilmore+3.3
2914-15APP STNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.3
3014-16NO FLAAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+2.4
3115-16APP STNO FLABad setMeMe Davis+2.3
3215-17NO FLAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.5
3316-17APP STNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Evelina Gerogianni+2.4
3416-18NO FLAAPP STBad setEvelina Gerogianni+2.7
3517-18APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+2.5
3617-19NO FLAAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+2.9
3718-19APP STNO FLA×3KillKatelyn Bowmanset Evelina Gerogianni+2.7
3819-19NO FLANO FLA×3KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+4.8
3920-19NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Raegan Richardson+5.7
4020-20NO FLAAPP STServe errNO FLA server+3.8
4120-21APP STAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset MeMe Davis+5.8
4221-21APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+4.2
4321-22NO FLAAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+4.6
4422-22APP STNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+4.7
4523-22NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+8.6
4623-23NO FLAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Raegan Richardson+5.7
4724-23APP STNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+7.8
4824-24NO FLAAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+7.8
4924-25APP STAPP STAttack errBella Hutchens+9.9
5025-25APP STNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+6.9
5126-25NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+10.8
5227-25NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errBella Hutchensblk Haleina Bowers, Sofia Dawson+13.4
Set 5
11-0APP STNO FLAServe errAPP ST server+6.4
21-1NO FLAAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+6.0
32-1APP STNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+6.6
43-1NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+9.7
53-2NO FLAAPP ST×5Serve errNO FLA server+6.2
63-3APP STAPP ST×5Attack errKaili Doctor+9.3
73-4APP STAPP ST×5Bad setHaleina Bowers+9.2
83-5APP STAPP ST×5Attack errLeah McDonald+8.6
93-6APP STAPP ST×5KillRaegan Richardsonset Sofia Dawson+7.4
104-6APP STNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+4.7
114-7NO FLAAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+5.4
125-7APP STNO FLAKillKatelyn Bowmanset Haydin Froehlich+4.8
136-7NO FLANO FLAAttack errBella Hutchens+8.7
146-8NO FLAAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+7.0
156-9APP STAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Haydin Froehlich+8.4
167-9APP STNO FLAServe errAPP ST server+4.9
178-9NO FLANO FLAAttack errNevaeh Haysblk Dakota Spurrier, Yarimar Francis Garay+9.5
188-10NO FLAAPP STAttack errDakota Spurrierblk Raegan Richardson, Nevaeh Hays+8.0
199-10APP STNO FLAAttack errBella Hutchens+7.2
2010-10NO FLANO FLAAttack errNevaeh Haysblk Leah McDonald, Yarimar Francis Garay+13.5
2110-11NO FLAAPP STKillDelanie Grevengoedset Amelia Mancino+10.5
2211-11APP STNO FLA×5KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+10.8
2312-11NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errCharlotte Thompsonblk Haleina Bowers, Leah McDonald+18.7
2413-11NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errNevaeh Hays+19.5
2514-11NO FLANO FLA×5KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+14.9
2615-11NO FLANO FLA×5KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+6.1

Score shown after each rally, North Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.