Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

North Florida def. Kennesaw St. 3–2

North Florida beat Kennesaw St. 3-2 (26-28, 25-22, 20-25, 25-19, 15-5) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Dakota Spurrier led North Florida with 19 kills; Kennesaw St.'s Haley Patterson had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set12345Sets
NO FLA26252025153
KENSAW2822251952

Win probability

Kennesaw St. above 50 · North Florida below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.1% NO FLArally 210 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.1% to North Florida — set 1, NO FLA 24-23 KENSAW. Attack error by Maggie Byrd. KENSAW win probability 54% → 44%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NO FLA 46.9%53.1% KENSAW

North Florida wins

3-0
11.3%
3-1
17.5%
3-2
18.2%

Kennesaw St. wins

3-0
13.8%
3-1
20.0%
3-2
19.2%
NO FLA break %
41.7% vs this opp
KENSAW break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maggie ByrdAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Maggie Byrd

    Set 1 · NO FLA 24-23 KENSAW · NO FLA 46% → 56%

  2. 02
    Dakota SpurrierAttack error+10.0%

    Attack error by Dakota Spurrier

    Set 1 · NO FLA 25-26 KENSAW · KENSAW 52% → 62%

  3. 03
    Ashley TheissKill+9.9%

    Kill by Ashley Theiss

    Set 1 · NO FLA 26-28 KENSAW · KENSAW 62% → 71%

  4. 04
    Kaili DoctorKill+8.8%

    Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 2-0 KENSAW · NO FLA 56% → 65%

  5. 05
    North FloridaAce+8.3%

    North Florida ace

    Set 5 · NO FLA 3-0 KENSAW · NO FLA 65% → 73%

  6. 06
    Olivia BurrageAttack error+7.8%

    Attack error by Olivia Burrage

    Set 5 · NO FLA 6-2 KENSAW · NO FLA 75% → 83%

  7. 07

    Kill by Haley Patterson

    Set 1 · NO FLA 24-24 KENSAW · KENSAW 44% → 52%

  8. 08
    Leah McdonaldKill+7.3%

    Kill by Leah Mcdonald

    Set 1 · NO FLA 25-24 KENSAW · NO FLA 48% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519539.359111100010.520.5
515637.24311115002117
513437.24300213010114
59524.1670003022312
55111.36400000010.55.5
5309.3335310700004
5000–4212210002
5113.000001000001
5000–012100001
5000–012200001
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
Team totals6522160.26959710732366111
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521860.21710370212.523.5
514429.34500000031.515.5
510128.32110110111.511.5
510529.172101140010.510.5
53310.000002501014
5005.0003412300001
53412-.083212100215
51011.0002001400001
5001.000000000000
5000–000320000
5000–1012110000
5000–000000000
5000–000000000
5000–000200000
5000–001000000
5000–000000000
Team totals6225175.2116021461748899

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NO FLA · KENSAW 4

Set 1

26-28

Longest run 3 NO FLAKENSAW 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 NO FLAKENSAW 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 NO FLAKENSAW 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 NO FLAKENSAW 3

Set 5

15-5

Longest run 4 NO FLAKENSAW 1

Bars above the line = Kennesaw St. leads, below = North Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
25%1/4
2
56%5/9
38%3/8
3
80%4/5
17%1/6
4
100%4/4
50%4/8
5
100%4/4
33%2/6
6
80%4/5
50%4/8
All
76%26/34
38%15/40

Kennesaw St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
29%2/7
2
83%5/6
44%4/9
3
50%4/8
20%1/5
4
67%4/6
0%0/4
5
50%4/8
0%0/4
6
75%3/4
20%1/5
All
63%25/40
24%8/34

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

210 rallies

#NO FLA-KENSAWSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+1.8
21-1NO FLAKENSAW×3KillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+1.8
31-2KENSAWKENSAW×3KillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+2.6
41-3KENSAWKENSAW×3KillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+2.5
52-3KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+1.8
62-4NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+1.9
73-4KENSAWNO FLAAttack errAshley Theissset Alexis Sowers+1.8
84-4NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Kaili Doctor+2.7
94-5NO FLAKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kourtney Brown+2.0
105-5KENSAWNO FLAKillSofia Dawson+2.0
115-6NO FLAKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kourtney Brown+2.0
126-6KENSAWNO FLA×3Serve errKennesaw St.+2.0
137-6NO FLANO FLA×3AceNorth Floridaaced Abby Kaminski+2.9
148-6NO FLANO FLA×3AceNorth Floridaaced Kennesaw St.+2.9
158-7NO FLAKENSAWKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.0
169-7KENSAWNO FLABlockedAva Garnerblk Yarimar Francis garay+2.2
179-8NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+2.1
1810-8KENSAWNO FLAKillYarimar Francis garayset Sofia Dawson+2.2
1911-8NO FLANO FLAAceNorth Florida+3.0
2011-9NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+1.9
2111-10KENSAWKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kourtney Brown+3.0
2212-10KENSAWNO FLAKillYarimar Francis garayset Sofia Dawson+2.4
2312-11NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+2.2
2413-11KENSAWNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.5
2513-12NO FLAKENSAWKillAshley Theiss+2.3
2614-12KENSAWNO FLAKillSofia Dawson+2.6
2714-13NO FLAKENSAWServe errNorth Florida+2.4
2815-13KENSAWNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.7
2915-14NO FLAKENSAWKillAva Garnerset Kaeley Walz+2.5
3015-15KENSAWKENSAWBlockedLeah Mcdonaldblk Maggie Byrd+3.8
3116-15KENSAWNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.0
3216-16NO FLAKENSAW×3KillHaley Pattersonset Ava Garner+2.9
3316-17KENSAWKENSAW×3BlockedKaili Doctorblk Olivia Burrage, Ava Garner+4.3
3416-18KENSAWKENSAW×3BlockedYarimar Francis garayblk Haley Patterson+4.2
3517-18KENSAWNO FLAAttack errAva Garnerset Gracie Pynes+2.7
3617-19NO FLAKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+3.2
3718-19KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+2.8
3819-19NO FLANO FLAKillSofia Dawson+4.8
3919-20NO FLAKENSAWServe errNorth Florida+3.8
4020-20KENSAWNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.8
4120-21NO FLAKENSAWAttack errDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+4.3
4221-21KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+4.2
4321-22NO FLAKENSAWKillAshley Theissset Kourtney Brown+4.8
4422-22KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+4.7
4522-23NO FLAKENSAWKillMaggie Byrdset Kourtney Brown+5.7
4623-23KENSAWNO FLAAttack errHaley Pattersonset Hannah Pearce+5.5
4724-23NO FLANO FLAAttack errMaggie Byrd+10.1
4824-24NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Patterson+7.3
4925-24KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonald+7.3
5025-25NO FLAKENSAWAttack errYarimar Francis garayset Ashley Theiss+7.3
5125-26KENSAWKENSAWAttack errDakota Spurrier+10.0
5226-26KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+7.2
5326-27NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+7.2
5426-28KENSAWKENSAWKillAshley Theiss+9.9
Set 2
10-1NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Ashlyn Anderson+1.8
21-1KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonald+1.8
31-2NO FLAKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+1.8
42-2KENSAWNO FLAKillYarimar Francis garayset Sofia Dawson+1.8
53-2NO FLANO FLAAceNorth Florida+2.6
63-3NO FLAKENSAWKillAshley Theiss+1.8
73-4KENSAWKENSAWAttack errLeah Mcdonald+2.6
84-4KENSAWNO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrier+1.9
95-4NO FLANO FLA×3KillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.7
106-4NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.7
116-5NO FLAKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kourtney Brown+1.9
127-5KENSAWNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.0
137-6NO FLAKENSAW×3KillMaggie Byrdset Kaeley Walz+1.9
147-7KENSAWKENSAW×3KillAshley Theissset Kaeley Walz+2.8
157-8KENSAWKENSAW×3KillMaggie Byrd+2.9
168-8KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+2.1
178-9NO FLAKENSAW×4Serve errNorth Florida+2.1
188-10KENSAWKENSAW×4KillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+2.9
198-11KENSAWKENSAW×4Attack errKaili Doctor+2.8
208-12KENSAWKENSAW×4Attack errLeah Mcdonald+2.5
219-12KENSAWNO FLA×5Serve errKennesaw St.+1.5
2210-12NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errAva Garner+2.5
2311-12NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errOlivia Burrage+2.9
2412-12NO FLANO FLA×5KillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+3.3
2513-12NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errOlivia Burrage+3.4
2613-13NO FLAKENSAWKillAshley Theissset Kaeley Walz+2.5
2713-14KENSAWKENSAWKillHaley Patterson+3.6
2814-14KENSAWNO FLABlockedHaley Pattersonblk Kaili Doctor, Yarimar Francis garay+2.6
2915-14NO FLANO FLAKillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+3.8
3015-15NO FLAKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+2.7
3116-15KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+2.9
3217-15NO FLANO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+3.9
3317-16NO FLAKENSAWKillAshley Theissset Kourtney Brown+2.6
3417-17KENSAWKENSAWKillAshley Theissset Kourtney Brown+4.1
3518-17KENSAWNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.2
3618-18NO FLAKENSAWServe errNorth Florida+3.2
3719-18KENSAWNO FLAAttack errAshley Theissset Kaeley Walz+3.5
3820-18NO FLA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.7
3920-19NO FLAKENSAWKillAva Garnerset Kaeley Walz+2.9
4021-19KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+3.7
4121-20NO FLAKENSAWAttack errKaili Doctorset Kacey Kazmierski+3.1
4222-20KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+4.1
4322-21NO FLAKENSAWKillAshley Theissset Kaeley Walz+3.2
4423-21KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+4.6
4524-21NO FLANO FLAAttack errHaley Patterson+4.6
4624-22NO FLAKENSAWServe errNorth Florida+1.3
4725-22KENSAWNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.0
Set 3
11-0KENSAWNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.4
21-1NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+2.4
32-1KENSAWNO FLAKillYarimar Francis garayset Sofia Dawson+2.5
42-2NO FLAKENSAW×4Bad setSofia Dawson+2.5
52-3KENSAWKENSAW×4KillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+3.5
62-4KENSAWKENSAW×4KillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+3.4
72-5KENSAW
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.3
83-5KENSAWNO FLAAttack errHaley Pattersonset Julianna Santiago+2.2
93-6NO FLAKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Ashley Theiss+2.4
104-6KENSAWNO FLAAttack errOlivia Burrageset Sofia Dawson+2.3
114-7NO FLAKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kourtney Brown+2.5
125-7KENSAWNO FLAAttack errMaggie Byrdset Ashley Theiss+2.3
135-8NO FLAKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kourtney Brown+2.5
146-8KENSAWNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.3
157-8NO FLANO FLAAttack errMaggie Byrd+3.6
167-9NO FLAKENSAWAttack errYarimar Francis garayset Sofia Dawson+2.8
178-9KENSAWNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.7
189-9NO FLANO FLAKillLeah Mcdonald+4.1
199-10NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+3.0
209-11KENSAWKENSAWAttack errKaili Doctor+4.1
2110-11KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+2.9
2211-11NO FLANO FLAAttack errHaley Patterson+4.3
2311-12NO FLAKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+3.3
2412-12KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+3.3
2512-13NO FLAKENSAWBlockedLily Rodgersblk Ashlyn Anderson, Olivia Burrage+3.4
2613-13KENSAWNO FLABlockedAshley Theissblk Leah Mcdonald+3.4
2714-13NO FLANO FLAKillLily Rodgersset Sofia Dawson+4.9
2814-14NO FLAKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+3.5
2915-14KENSAWNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+3.7
3015-15NO FLAKENSAWServe errNorth Florida+3.7
3115-16KENSAWKENSAWBlockedHaleina Bowersblk Ava Garner, Ashley Theiss+5.4
3216-16KENSAWNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.9
3316-17NO FLAKENSAWServe errNorth Florida+4.1
3417-17KENSAWNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Dakota Spurrier+4.1
3517-18NO FLAKENSAWKillAva Garnerset Kourtney Brown+4.4
3617-19KENSAWKENSAWAceKennesaw St.+5.9
3718-19KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+3.8
3819-19NO FLANO FLAKillHaleina Bowers+6.4
3919-20NO FLAKENSAW×4BlockedLeah Mcdonaldblk Olivia Burrage, Haley Patterson+5.1
4019-21KENSAWKENSAW×4AceKennesaw St.aced Emma Pohlmann+6.9
4119-22KENSAWKENSAW×4KillAshlyn Andersonset Kourtney Brown+5.7
42–4320-23NO FLA · KENSAW
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.5
4420-24NO FLAKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+2.4
4520-25KENSAWKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kourtney Brown+1.0
Set 4
10-1NO FLAKENSAWBlockedKaili Doctorblk Haley Patterson+2.3
21-1KENSAWNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.4
32-1NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+3.4
42-2NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+2.4
53-2KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+2.5
64-2NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+3.4
74-3NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kourtney Brown+2.4
85-3KENSAWNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.5
95-4NO FLAKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kourtney Brown+2.4
105-5KENSAWKENSAWAttack errKaili Doctor+3.6
116-5KENSAWNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.7
127-5NO FLANO FLA×3BlockedAva Garnerblk Kaili Doctor, Yarimar Francis garay+3.7
138-5NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.6
148-6NO FLAKENSAWAttack errYarimar Francis garayset Sofia Dawson+2.4
159-6KENSAWNO FLA×4KillYarimar Francis garayset Sofia Dawson+2.6
1610-6NO FLANO FLA×4KillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+3.4
1711-6NO FLANO FLA×4AceNorth Florida+2.9
1812-6NO FLANO FLA×4BlockedHaley Pattersonblk Yarimar Francis garay+2.5
1912-7NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+1.4
2012-8KENSAWKENSAWAttack errYarimar Francis garay+2.4
2113-8KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+2.2
2213-9NO FLAKENSAWAttack errDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.7
2314-9KENSAWNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.2
2415-9NO FLANO FLAAttack errAshley Theiss+2.4
2515-10NO FLAKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+1.3
2616-10KENSAWNO FLAServe errKennesaw St.+1.7
2717-10NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+1.7
2817-11NO FLAKENSAWAttack errDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.8
2918-11KENSAWNO FLABlockedNorth Floridablk Haleina Bowers, Dakota Spurrier+1.2
3019-11NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.0
3119-12NO FLAKENSAWKillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+0.4
3220-12KENSAWNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+0.6
3320-13NO FLAKENSAWKillKaeley Walz+0.3
3421-13KENSAWNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+0.5
3521-14NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+0.2
3621-15KENSAWKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Ava Garner+0.5
3722-15KENSAWNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+0.7
3823-15NO FLANO FLAAttack errHaley Patterson+0.4
3923-16NO FLAKENSAW×3KillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+0.1
4023-17KENSAWKENSAW×3BlockedNorth Floridablk Ashlyn Anderson+0.2
4123-18KENSAWKENSAW×3KillAshlyn Andersonset Kaeley Walz+0.4
4224-18KENSAWNO FLAKillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+0.6
4324-19NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+0.1
4424-20KENSAWKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+1.5
Set 5
11-0KENSAWNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+6.4
22-0NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+8.8
33-0NO FLANO FLA×3AceNorth Florida+8.3
43-1NO FLAKENSAWServe errNorth Florida+5.3
54-1KENSAWNO FLAKillYarimar Francis garayset Sofia Dawson+6.2
64-2NO FLAKENSAWKillHaley Pattersonset Kaeley Walz+5.5
75-2KENSAWNO FLA×4KillLeah Mcdonaldset Sofia Dawson+6.4
86-2NO FLANO FLA×4Attack errOlivia Burrage+7.8
97-2NO FLANO FLA×4KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+6.3
108-2NO FLANO FLA×4KillYarimar Francis garay+4.6
118-3NO FLAKENSAWKillOlivia Burrageset Kaeley Walz+2.2
129-3KENSAWNO FLA×3Serve errKennesaw St.+3.2
1310-3NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.7
1411-3NO FLANO FLA×3AceNorth Floridaaced Alexis Sowers+1.4
1511-4NO FLAKENSAWKillAshley Theissset Kaeley Walz+0.4
1612-4KENSAWNO FLA×3KillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+0.8
1713-4NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.4
1814-4NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errAshley Theiss+0.1
1914-5NO FLAKENSAWServe errNorth Florida·
2015-5KENSAWNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson·

Score shown after each rally, North Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).