Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

North Florida def. Queens (NC) 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: North Florida 61.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Florida won at Queens (NC) 3-1 (25-16, 23-25, 25-23, 26-24) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. North Florida's Dakota Spurrier led with 19 kills, and Emma Pohlmann added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
NO FLA252325263
QUENNC162523241

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Kaili Doctor, and North Florida needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are North Florida's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. North Florida went in as RallyIQ's 61% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · North Florida 22–23 Queens (NC)

    North Florida scored 3 straight to turn a 22–23 deficit into a 25–23 lead. The match swung to North Florida.

    North Florida 47% → 80%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · North Florida 18–19 Queens (NC)

    Queens (NC) scored 4 straight to stretch a 19–18 lead to 23–18.

    North Florida 73% → 56%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · North Florida 22–24 Queens (NC)

    North Florida won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 26–24 and win the match 3–1.

    North Florida 61% → >99%

Queens (NC) above 50North Florida belowMax swing 12.8%

North FloridaQueens (NC)

Sideout %
North Florida 56.2·Queens (NC) 50.0
Break %
North Florida 50.0·Queens (NC) 43.8
Hitting
North Florida .205·Queens (NC) .169
Longest run
North Florida 6·Queens (NC) 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Queens (NC) above 50 · North Florida below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+12.8% NO FLArally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.8% to North Florida — set 3, NO FLA 24-23 QUENNC. Kill by Haleina Bowers (set by Sofia Dawson). QUENNC win probability 45% → 32%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NO FLA 59.8%40.2% QUENNC

North Florida wins

3-0
17.1%
3-1
22.8%
3-2
19.9%

Queens (NC) wins

3-0
8.8%
3-1
14.7%
3-2
16.7%
NO FLA break %
44.1% vs this opp
QUENNC break %
42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Haleina BowersKill+12.8%

    Kill by Haleina Bowers (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 3 · NO FLA 24-23 QUENNC · NO FLA 55% → 68%

  2. 02
    North FloridaAce+12.3%

    North Florida ace on Destiny Wiggins

    Set 4 · NO FLA 24-24 QUENNC · NO FLA 65% → 77%

  3. 03
    North FloridaAce+12.2%

    North Florida ace on Elizabeth Layson

    Set 3 · NO FLA 25-23 QUENNC · NO FLA 68% → 80%

  4. 04

    Emma Norris stuffed by Dakota Spurrier & Yarimar Francis Garay

    Set 4 · NO FLA 25-24 QUENNC · NO FLA 77% → 89%

  5. 05
    Leah McDonaldKill+11.1%

    Kill by Leah McDonald (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 4 · NO FLA 26-24 QUENNC · NO FLA 89% → 100%

  6. 06
    Emma NorrisKill+10.5%

    Kill by Emma Norris

    Set 3 · NO FLA 22-23 QUENNC · QUENNC 42% → 53%

  7. 07

    Kill by Dakota Spurrier (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 3 · NO FLA 23-23 QUENNC · NO FLA 47% → 55%

  8. 08

    Kill by Callie DeSchryver (set by Marlee Cook)

    Set 4 · NO FLA 22-24 QUENNC · QUENNC 32% → 39%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415948.12504291031.520.5
4191147.170000180010.519.5
410217.47100020153.513.5
49227.25910020010.59.5
46231.1291231400219
4304.75047111200004
4001.0004022100000
4000–001100000
1001.000000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals6226176.2055379802112799
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419863.175110231010.520.5
413532.2500002006316
47227.185000320007
44115.20000000052.56.5
2114.000000100001
1000–600000000
4305.60035001300214
4102.500001300001
4001.0000011140000
4001.0002021800000
33312.000000100214
2000–011100001
2034-.750000000000
Team totals5123166.1694425767016888

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

North Florida vs Queens (NC)

Season series · North Florida leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NO FLA · QUENNC 6

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 6 NO FLAQUENNC 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 NO FLAQUENNC 6

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 NO FLAQUENNC 3

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 4 NO FLAQUENNC 4

Bars above the line = Queens (NC) leads, below = North Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
38%3/8
2
64%7/11
63%12/19
3
50%7/14
42%5/12
4
46%6/13
50%6/12
5
60%6/10
45%5/11
6
67%4/6
50%5/10
All
57%37/65
50%36/72

Queens (NC)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
33%3/9
2
39%7/18
36%4/11
3
60%6/10
36%4/11
4
50%6/12
45%5/11
5
56%5/9
60%9/15
6
56%5/9
38%3/8
All
50%36/72
43%28/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#NO FLA-QUENNCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0QUENNCNO FLA×6KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.8
22-0NO FLANO FLA×6KillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.2
33-0NO FLANO FLA×6Attack errElizabeth Layson+2.1
44-0NO FLANO FLA×6Attack errLayni Tobias+1.9
55-0NO FLANO FLA×6AceNorth Floridaaced Callie DeSchryver+1.7
66-0NO FLANO FLA×6KillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+1.5
76-1NO FLAQUENNCKillLayni Tobiasset Grace Hargis+1.0
87-1QUENNCNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.1
98-1NO FLANO FLA×3KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+1.2
109-1NO FLANO FLA×3AceNorth Floridaaced Elizabeth Layson+1.0
119-2NO FLAQUENNCAttack errKaili Doctor+0.6
1210-2QUENNCNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.7
1310-3NO FLAQUENNCAttack errDakota Spurrier+0.6
1411-3QUENNCNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.7
1511-4NO FLAQUENNCServe errNorth Florida+0.5
1612-4QUENNCNO FLA×3Attack errKyla Coffey+0.7
1713-4NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errEmma Norris+0.6
1814-4NO FLANO FLA×3BlockedKyla Coffeyblk Haleina Bowers, Kaili Doctor+0.4
1914-5NO FLAQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+0.2
2014-6QUENNCQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+0.4
2115-6QUENNCNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+0.4
2215-7NO FLAQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+0.3
2316-7QUENNCNO FLAKillSofia Dawson+0.4
2416-8NO FLAQUENNC×3KillNaomi Coleset Grace Hargis+0.3
2516-9QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errKaili Doctor+0.5
2616-10QUENNCQUENNC×3KillCallie DeSchryverset Grace Hargis+0.8
2717-10QUENNCNO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.8
2818-10NO FLANO FLA×3BlockedCallie DeSchryverblk Leah McDonald, Yarimar Francis Garay+0.7
2919-10NO FLANO FLA×3BlockedLayni Tobiasblk Yarimar Francis Garay, Leah McDonald+0.4
3019-11NO FLAQUENNC×3KillCallie DeSchryverset Grace Hargis+0.2
3119-12QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedDakota Spurrierblk Naomi Cole, Emma Norris+0.3
3219-13QUENNCQUENNC×3KillCallie DeSchryverset Grace Hargis+0.5
3320-13QUENNCNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+0.6
3420-14NO FLAQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Grace Hargis+0.4
3521-14QUENNCNO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.6
3622-14NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errCallie DeSchryver+0.3
3723-14NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errKyla Coffey+0.1
3823-15NO FLAQUENNCServe errNorth Florida·
3923-16QUENNCQUENNCAttack errDakota Spurrier+0.1
4024-16QUENNCNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.1
4125-16NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson·
Set 2
10-1NO FLAQUENNCKillNaomi Coleset Marlee Cook+1.7
21-1QUENNCNO FLA×4KillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+1.6
32-1NO FLANO FLA×4KillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.1
43-1NO FLANO FLA×4AceNorth Floridaaced Destiny Wiggins+2.0
54-1NO FLANO FLA×4AceNorth Floridaaced Destiny Wiggins+1.9
64-2NO FLAQUENNCKillNaomi Coleset Marlee Cook+1.4
74-3QUENNCQUENNCBlockedDakota Spurrierblk Naomi Cole, Emma Norris+2.1
85-3QUENNCNO FLAServe errQueens (NC)+1.6
95-4NO FLAQUENNC×3Serve errNorth Florida+1.6
105-5QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedHaleina Bowersblk Callie DeSchryver, Emma Norris+2.3
115-6QUENNCQUENNC×3KillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+2.4
126-6QUENNCNO FLAServe errQueens (NC)+1.8
137-6NO FLANO FLAAceNorth Floridaaced Destiny Wiggins+2.4
147-7NO FLAQUENNC×6Serve errNorth Florida+1.9
157-8QUENNCQUENNC×6KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+2.5
167-9QUENNCQUENNC×6Attack errDakota Spurrier+2.6
177-10QUENNCQUENNC×6KillEmma Norris+2.6
187-11QUENNCQUENNC×6AceQueens (NC)aced Kaili Doctor+2.4
197-12QUENNCQUENNC×6BlockedDakota Spurrierblk Emma Norris, Marlee Cook+2.1
208-12QUENNCNO FLAAttack errEmma Norris+1.3
218-13NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+1.7
229-13QUENNCNO FLAServe errQueens (NC)+1.3
239-14NO FLAQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+1.7
2410-14QUENNCNO FLABlockedNaomi Coleblk Yarimar Francis Garay, Kaili Doctor+1.3
2511-14NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.1
2611-15NO FLAQUENNCAttack errDakota Spurrier+2.0
2711-16QUENNCQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Tilley Collins+2.2
2812-16QUENNCNO FLA×4KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+1.3
2913-16NO FLANO FLA×4KillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+2.2
3014-16NO FLANO FLA×4KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.6
3115-16NO FLANO FLA×4KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.1
3215-17NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Tilley Collins+2.8
3316-17QUENNCNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+2.5
3416-18NO FLAQUENNC×3BlockedKaili Doctorblk Naomi Cole, Emma Norris+2.9
3516-19QUENNCQUENNC×3KillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+3.5
3616-20QUENNCQUENNC×3KillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+2.9
3717-20QUENNCNO FLAAttack errCallie DeSchryver+1.6
3818-20NO FLANO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.8
3918-21NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+3.0
4018-22QUENNCQUENNCAttack errDakota Spurrier+2.9
4119-22QUENNCNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.3
4220-22NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.7
4320-23NO FLAQUENNCKillMarlee Cookset Sofia Dawson+3.3
4420-24QUENNCQUENNCAttack errKaili Doctor+2.6
4521-24QUENNCNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+0.6
4622-24NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.8
4723-24NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errElizabeth Layson+4.0
4823-25NO FLAQUENNCKillMegan Kelly+7.2
Set 3
10-1QUENNCQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+3.2
20-2QUENNCQUENNCAttack errLeah McDonald+3.3
31-2QUENNCNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.4
41-3NO FLAQUENNCServe errNorth Florida+2.6
52-3QUENNCNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.5
63-3NO FLANO FLAAttack errCamryn Teasley+3.3
73-4NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+2.7
84-4QUENNCNO FLAServe errQueens (NC)+2.6
94-5NO FLAQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+2.8
105-5QUENNCNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.7
116-5NO FLANO FLAAttack errEmma Norris+3.5
126-6NO FLAQUENNC×3KillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+2.7
136-7QUENNCQUENNC×3Attack errHaleina Bowers+3.7
146-8QUENNCQUENNC×3BlockedKaili Doctorblk Marlee Cook, Emma Norris+3.8
157-8QUENNCNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Leah McDonald+2.8
167-9NO FLAQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+3.1
177-10QUENNCQUENNCAceQueens (NC)+3.9
188-10QUENNCNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.7
199-10NO FLANO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+3.8
209-11NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+3.3
2110-11QUENNCNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+3.0
2210-12NO FLAQUENNCKillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+3.4
2311-12QUENNCNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+3.1
2411-13NO FLAQUENNCKillMarlee Cook+3.5
2512-13QUENNCNO FLA×3KillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+3.2
2613-13NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+4.5
2714-13NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errCallie DeSchryver+4.6
2814-14NO FLAQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+3.6
2914-15QUENNCQUENNCAttack errDakota Spurrier+5.0
3015-15QUENNCNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.8
3116-15NO FLANO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+5.1
3216-16NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+4.0
3317-16QUENNCNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+4.1
3417-17NO FLAQUENNCServe errNorth Florida+4.2
3518-17QUENNCNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+4.4
3619-17NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+5.5
3719-18NO FLAQUENNCServe errNorth Florida+3.9
3819-19QUENNCQUENNCKillCamryn Teasleyset Marlee Cook+6.2
3920-19QUENNCNO FLABad setMarlee Cook+5.2
4021-19NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+6.4
4121-20NO FLAQUENNCServe errNorth Florida+4.2
4221-21QUENNCQUENNCKillCamryn Teasleyset Marlee Cook+7.4
4322-21QUENNCNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+6.5
4422-22NO FLAQUENNCKillNaomi Coleset Callie DeSchryver+6.5
4522-23QUENNCQUENNCKillEmma Norris+10.5
4623-23QUENNCNO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+7.7
4724-23NO FLANO FLA×3KillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+12.8
4825-23NO FLANO FLA×3AceNorth Floridaaced Elizabeth Layson+12.2
Set 4
11-0NO FLA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.8
21-1NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+2.2
31-2QUENNCQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Sofia Dawson+3.0
42-2QUENNCNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.3
52-3NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+2.4
63-3QUENNCNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.3
73-4NO FLAQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+2.5
84-4QUENNCNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Haleina Bowers+2.4
95-4NO FLANO FLAAttack errCallie DeSchryver+3.1
105-5NO FLAQUENNCAttack errDakota Spurrier+2.4
115-6QUENNCQUENNCKillMarlee Cookset Marlee Cook+3.3
126-6QUENNCNO FLAKillSofia Dawson+2.5
136-7NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+2.7
146-8QUENNCQUENNCBlockedKaili Doctorblk Camryn Teasley, Naomi Cole+3.5
157-8QUENNCNO FLAAttack errCamryn Teasley+2.5
167-9NO FLAQUENNCKillCamryn Teasleyset Marlee Cook+2.8
177-10QUENNCQUENNCAttack errYarimar Francis Garay+3.5
188-10QUENNCNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.4
198-11NO FLAQUENNCAttack errKaili Doctor+2.8
209-11QUENNCNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.5
2110-11NO FLANO FLA×3BlockedEmma Norrisblk Yarimar Francis Garay+3.6
2211-11NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.8
2311-12NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+3.1
2411-13QUENNCQUENNCAttack errDakota Spurrier+4.1
2512-13QUENNCNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.9
2612-14NO FLAQUENNC×4Serve errNorth Florida+3.3
2712-15QUENNCQUENNC×4KillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+4.1
2812-16QUENNCQUENNC×4KillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+3.7
2912-17QUENNCQUENNC×4Attack errLeah McDonald+3.1
3013-17QUENNCNO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+1.7
3113-18NO FLAQUENNCKillEmma Norrisset Marlee Cook+2.4
3214-18QUENNCNO FLA×4KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.7
3315-18NO FLANO FLA×4KillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.9
3416-18NO FLANO FLA×4KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.8
3517-18NO FLANO FLA×4Attack errCallie DeSchryver+4.6
3617-19NO FLAQUENNCAttack errKaili Doctor+4.3
3718-19QUENNCNO FLAKillSofia Dawson+3.7
3818-20NO FLAQUENNC×4KillElizabeth Laysonset Marlee Cook+4.6
3918-21QUENNCQUENNC×4Attack errYarimar Francis Garay+5.3
4018-22QUENNCQUENNC×4KillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+4.0
4118-23QUENNCQUENNC×4BlockedKaili Doctorblk Naomi Cole, Camryn Teasley+2.4
4219-23QUENNCNO FLA×4Serve errQueens (NC)+0.8
4320-23NO FLANO FLA×4KillYarimar Francis Garayset Tilley Collins+1.9
4421-23NO FLANO FLA×4Attack errCallie DeSchryver+3.4
4522-23NO FLANO FLA×4BlockedCamryn Teasleyblk Kaili Doctor, Yarimar Francis Garay+5.8
4622-24NO FLAQUENNCKillCallie DeSchryverset Marlee Cook+7.4
4723-24QUENNCNO FLA×4KillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+4.2
4824-24NO FLANO FLA×4AceNorth Floridaaced Destiny Wiggins+12.3
4925-24NO FLANO FLA×4BlockedEmma Norrisblk Dakota Spurrier, Yarimar Francis Garay+11.7
5026-24NO FLANO FLA×4KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+11.1

Score shown after each rally, North Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).