Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

Ole Miss def. Northern Ariz. 3–1

Ole Miss beat visiting Northern Ariz. 3-1 (23-25, 25-16, 25-22, 25-22) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Ole Miss' Shayla Meyer led with 18 kills, and Cameron Bradley added 19 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
NAU251622221
MISS232525253

Win probability

Ole Miss above 50 · Northern Ariz. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.2% MISSrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.2% to Ole Miss — set 3, NAU 22-24 MISS. Kill by Jaidyn Hartsfield (set by Vivianna Samaniego). MISS win probability 68% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAU 34.7%65.3% MISS

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0
7.0%
3-1
12.4%
3-2
15.2%

Ole Miss wins

3-0
20.2%
3-1
25.1%
3-2
20.1%
NAU break %
40.5% vs this opp
MISS break %
43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Jaidyn Hartsfield (set by Vivianna Samaniego)

    Set 3 · NAU 22-24 MISS · MISS 68% → 77%

  2. 02

    Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Taryn Davis)

    Set 3 · NAU 22-22 MISS · NAU 31% → 39%

  3. 03
    Ole MissAce+8.1%

    Ole Miss ace on Hanah Stoddard

    Set 4 · NAU 22-24 MISS · MISS 88% → 96%

  4. 04
    Vivianna SamaniegoBad set+7.8%

    Bad set by Vivianna Samaniego

    Set 1 · NAU 24-22 MISS · NAU 44% → 51%

  5. 05

    Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Taryn Davis)

    Set 1 · NAU 25-23 MISS · NAU 48% → 56%

  6. 06
    Northern Ariz.Ace+7.3%

    Northern Ariz. ace on Shayla Meyer

    Set 4 · NAU 22-22 MISS · NAU 11% → 19%

  7. 07
    Gigi GreenleeAttack error+7.3%

    Attack error by Gigi Greenlee

    Set 3 · NAU 22-23 MISS · MISS 61% → 68%

  8. 08
    Kate CampAttack error+6.4%

    Attack error by Kate Camp

    Set 4 · NAU 22-23 MISS · MISS 81% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417653.208113122010.518.5
49223.3041020006312
48541.073212170031.510.5
46211.36400050010.56.5
4329.11100000010.53.5
4001.0002401100000
4203.667000000213
4002.0001221710002
4000–0161650001
3000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4517143.19640515588014785
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418754.20401053010.519.5
411738.10501570031.513.5
410729.10322017102113
48013.6150000006311
4205.4004001160031.53.5
2112.00000000010.51.5
4000–022600002
4000–4221900002
2002.000100001011
1315.400000000003
Team totals5323148.20347810705116998

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NAU · MISS 8

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 NAUMISS 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 NAUMISS 8

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 5 NAUMISS 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 3 NAUMISS 3

Bars above the line = Ole Miss leads, below = Northern Ariz. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ariz.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
41%7/17
2
60%9/15
31%4/13
3
60%9/15
18%2/11
4
62%8/13
31%4/13
5
67%8/12
47%7/15
6
36%8/22
53%9/17
All
54%52/97
38%33/86

Ole Miss

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
55%11/20
2
82%9/11
44%8/18
3
75%9/12
47%8/17
4
67%8/12
43%6/14
5
50%8/16
27%3/11
6
57%8/14
53%9/17
All
62%53/86
46%45/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#NAU-MISSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.6
21-1MISSNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.7
31-2NAUMISS×4KillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+1.7
41-3MISSMISS×4KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
51-4MISSMISS×4BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Jorda Crook, Carly Paugh+2.1
61-5MISSMISS×4KillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+1.9
72-5MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.3
82-6NAUMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+1.4
92-7MISSMISSAceOle Missaced Lilly Holmes+1.6
103-7MISSNAUBad setVivianna Samaniego+1.1
113-8NAUMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+1.2
124-8MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+1.1
135-8NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+1.8
145-9NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.4
156-9MISSNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+1.3
167-9NAUNAU×3Attack errShayla Meyer+2.2
178-9NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Hanah Stoddard+2.5
188-10NAUMISSKillVivianna Samaniego+1.9
198-11MISSMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+2.5
209-11MISSNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.6
2110-11NAUNAU×3Attack errJorda Crook+2.7
2211-11NAUNAU×3AceNorthern Ariz.aced Jaidyn Hartsfield+3.0
2311-12NAUMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
2411-13MISSMISSKillShayla Meyer+3.0
2512-13MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.1
2612-14NAUMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
2712-15MISSMISSBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Jaidyn Hartsfield, Carly Paugh, Jorda Crook+2.8
2813-15MISSNAUKillLauren Edlundset Taryn Davis+1.8
2913-16NAUMISSAttack errHanah Stoddard+2.1
3013-17MISSMISSBlockedLaney Wilsonblk Jaidyn Hartsfield, Ryea Jackson+2.4
3114-17MISSNAU×3KillKate Campset Ella Hosfeld+1.4
3215-17NAUNAU×3KillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+2.5
3316-17NAUNAU×3Attack errJaidyn Hartsfield+3.3
3416-18NAUMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+2.7
3517-18MISSNAU×5KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.5
3618-18NAUNAU×5Attack errJorda Crook+4.2
3719-18NAUNAU×5AceNorthern Ariz.aced Shayla Meyer+4.8
3820-18NAUNAU×5BlockedJaidyn Hartsfieldblk Laney Wilson, Gigi Greenlee+4.9
3921-18NAUNAU×5KillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+4.4
4021-19NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.2
4121-20MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+4.4
4222-20MISSNAUBlockedJorda Crookblk Quincey Coyle, Gigi Greenlee+4.3
4322-21NAUMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+3.3
4422-22MISSMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+6.3
4523-22MISSNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+5.7
4624-22NAUNAUBad setVivianna Samaniego+7.8
4724-23NAUMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+3.1
4825-23MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+7.7
Set 2
11-0MISSNAUKillGigi Greenlee+2.1
21-1NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.0
31-2MISSMISSAceOle Missaced Lilly Holmes+2.8
42-2MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
52-3NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.0
63-3MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+2.1
73-4NAUMISS×3Serve errNorthern Ariz.+2.1
83-5MISSMISS×3KillJaidyn Hartsfield+2.8
93-6MISSMISS×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+2.6
104-6MISSNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+1.8
114-7NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.9
125-7MISSNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.8
136-7NAUNAUAttack errShayla Meyer+2.9
146-8NAUMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
157-8MISSNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+2.1
167-9NAUMISS×3KillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
177-10MISSMISS×3Bad setGigi Greenlee+2.8
187-11MISSMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Cameron Bradley+2.5
198-11MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Quincey Coyle+1.6
209-11NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Gigi Greenlee+2.7
219-12NAUMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
229-13MISSMISSAttack errHanah Stoddard+2.6
2310-13MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.6
2410-14NAUMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+1.9
2511-14MISSNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+1.6
2611-15NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.9
2712-15MISSNAU×3Serve errOle Miss+1.6
2813-15NAUNAU×3BlockedRyea Jacksonblk Gigi Greenlee, Quincey Coyle+2.9
2914-15NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+3.6
3014-16NAUMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.9
3115-16MISSNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.7
3215-17NAUMISS×8KillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+3.0
3315-18MISSMISS×8BlockedQuincey Coyleblk Vivianna Samaniego, Carly Paugh, Shayla Meyer+3.7
3415-19MISSMISS×8AceOle Missaced Taryn Davis+2.9
3515-20MISSMISS×8KillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+2.0
3615-21MISSMISS×8KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.2
3715-22MISSMISS×8Attack errGigi Greenlee+0.6
3815-23MISSMISS×8BlockedQuincey Coyleblk Carly Paugh, Vivianna Samaniego+0.2
3915-24MISSMISS×8KillShayla Meyer+0.1
4016-24MISSNAUAttack errJaidyn Hartsfield·
4116-25NAUMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego·
Set 3
10-1NAUMISS×4Serve errNorthern Ariz.+2.2
20-2MISSMISS×4Bad setElla Hosfeld+3.0
30-3MISSMISS×4KillJorda Crookset Cameron Bradley+2.8
40-4MISSMISS×4KillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.5
51-4MISSNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.7
61-5NAUMISSKillJorda Crookset Cameron Bradley+1.8
72-5MISSNAUKillKate Campset Ella Hosfeld+1.7
83-5NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.8
93-6NAUMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+2.1
104-6MISSNAUAttack errShayla Meyer+2.1
114-7NAUMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
124-8MISSMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.7
135-8MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+1.8
145-9NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.0
156-9MISSNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+1.8
166-10NAUMISS×4KillShayla Meyerset Nina Moorer+2.0
176-11MISSMISS×4KillShayla Meyerset Jaidyn Hartsfield+2.4
186-12MISSMISS×4AceOle Missaced Lilly Holmes+1.9
196-13MISSMISS×4Attack errQuincey Coyle+1.4
207-13MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+0.8
218-13NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.5
228-14NAUMISSKillCarly Paughset Vivianna Samaniego+1.3
239-14MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.0
2410-14NAUNAUAttack errJorda Crook+1.9
2510-15NAUMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+1.8
2611-15MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.4
2711-16NAUMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+1.8
2812-16MISSNAUKillKate Campset Ella Hosfeld+1.4
2912-17NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.8
3013-17MISSNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Quincey Coyle+1.3
3113-18NAUMISSAttack errLaney Wilson+1.8
3213-19MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+1.6
3314-19MISSNAU×5BlockedJorda Crookblk Gigi Greenlee, Quincey Coyle+0.8
3415-19NAUNAU×5KillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+1.6
3516-19NAUNAU×5AceNorthern Ariz.+2.5
3617-19NAUNAU×5Attack errJorda Crook+3.6
3718-19NAUNAU×5BlockedShayla Meyerblk Gigi Greenlee, Lauren Edlund+4.9
3818-20NAUMISS×3KillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+4.2
3918-21MISSMISS×3BlockedQuincey Coyleblk Vivianna Samaniego, Carly Paugh+4.9
4018-22MISSMISS×3KillShayla Meyer+3.4
4119-22MISSNAU×4KillLauren Edlundset Taryn Davis+1.4
4220-22NAUNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+3.4
4321-22NAUNAU×4BlockedShayla Meyerblk Lauren Edlund, Gigi Greenlee+5.6
4422-22NAUNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+8.3
4522-23NAUMISS×3Attack errGigi Greenlee+7.3
4622-24MISSMISS×3KillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+9.2
4722-25MISSMISS×3KillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+4.8
Set 4
10-1MISSMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.8
20-2MISSMISSBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Carly Paugh, Jorda Crook+2.6
31-2MISSNAU×3KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
42-2NAUNAU×3Attack errJaidyn Hartsfield+2.8
53-2NAUNAU×3Attack errShayla Meyer+3.0
63-3NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.1
74-3MISSNAUAttack errJaidyn Hartsfield+2.3
84-4NAUMISS×3KillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+2.2
94-5MISSMISS×3AceOle Missaced Lilly Holmes+3.0
104-6MISSMISS×3Bad setElla Hosfeld+2.9
115-6MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
126-6NAUNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+3.1
136-7NAUMISSKillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+2.3
147-7MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+2.4
157-8NAUMISS×3Serve errNorthern Ariz.+2.4
167-9MISSMISS×3AceOle Missaced Lilly Holmes+3.1
177-10MISSMISS×3AceOle Missaced Hanah Stoddard+2.9
188-10MISSNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.0
199-10NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Shayla Meyer+3.1
209-11NAUMISSAttack errQuincey Coyle+2.4
2110-11MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+2.4
2210-12NAUMISSKillVivianna Samaniegoset Jaidyn Hartsfield+2.5
2311-12MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+2.4
2411-13NAUMISSBad setKate Camp+2.6
2512-13MISSNAUBlockedJorda Crookblk Hanah Stoddard, Kate Camp+2.5
2613-13NAUNAUAttack errJaidyn Hartsfield+3.9
2713-14NAUMISS×3KillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+2.9
2813-15MISSMISS×3KillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+3.9
2913-16MISSMISS×3KillJaidyn Hartsfieldset Vivianna Samaniego+3.5
3014-16MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+2.2
3114-17NAUMISSBlockedKate Campblk Nina Moorer+2.6
3215-17MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+2.3
3315-18NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.7
3416-18MISSNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
3517-18NAUNAUAttack errShayla Meyer+4.1
3617-19NAUMISSServe errNorthern Ariz.+3.5
3718-19MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+3.2
3818-20NAUMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+3.7
3919-20MISSNAUServe errOle Miss+3.3
4019-21NAUMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+4.0
4120-21MISSNAUAttack errMelia Johnson+3.5
4220-22NAUMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Cameron Bradley+4.4
4321-22MISSNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+3.6
4422-22NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Shayla Meyer+7.3
4522-23NAUMISS×3Attack errKate Camp+6.4
4622-24MISSMISS×3AceOle Missaced Hanah Stoddard+8.1
4722-25MISSMISS×3Bad setElla Hosfeld+4.2

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ariz. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).