Final · 5 setsThu, Sep 3, 2026 · Neutral site

Washington def. Ole Miss 3–2

Washington beat Ole Miss 3-2 (25-14, 25-22, 26-28, 23-25, 15-5) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026 at a neutral site. Washington's Simona Mateska led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 3

Set12345Sets
MISS1422282552
WASH25252623153

Win probability

Washington above 50 · Ole Miss below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+7.7% MISSrally 208 · set 5

Biggest swing: 7.7% to Ole Miss — set 4, MISS 25-23 WASH. Kill by Cameron Bradley. WASH win probability 83% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISS 5.0%95.0% WASH

Ole Miss wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.0%

Washington wins

3-0
55.5%
3-1
29.7%
3-2
9.8%
MISS break %
35.5% vs this opp
WASH break %
48.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Cameron Bradley

    Set 4 · MISS 25-23 WASH · MISS 17% → 24%

  2. 02
    WashingtonAce+6.1%

    Washington ace on Melia Johnson

    Set 5 · MISS 0-1 WASH · WASH 76% → 82%

  3. 03

    Kylie Kleckner stuffed by Ryea Jackson & Jorda Crook

    Set 5 · MISS 3-4 WASH · MISS 12% → 18%

  4. 04

    Kill by Simona Mateska (set by Kaitlyn Nguyen)

    Set 5 · MISS 0-2 WASH · WASH 82% → 87%

  5. 05

    Melia Johnson stuffed by Maija Howse & Julia Hunt

    Set 5 · MISS 3-6 WASH · WASH 87% → 91%

  6. 06
    Shayla MeyerKill+4.5%

    Kill by Shayla Meyer (set by Rileigh Butler)

    Set 4 · MISS 24-21 WASH · MISS 17% → 21%

  7. 07
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+4.4%

    Point Washington (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 5 · MISS 1-4 WASH · WASH 87% → 91%

  8. 08
    Maija HowseKill+4.2%

    Kill by Maija Howse (set by Andrea Fabikovicova)

    Set 5 · MISS 3-5 WASH · WASH 82% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512852.07700311006315
510842.0483107002112
55012.4170124016410
51011.0002001800001
2001.000000000211
1026-.33300010010.50.5
510428.21420092010.510.5
5214.2503122310003
5116.000100050111.52.5
4407.57120000031.55.5
4000–001000000
1000–100000000
Team totals4524159.13241396862221394
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518450.280122191010.520.5
517947.1704158002119
514835.171103140052.516.5
59225.28010220174.513.5
59216.43800020031.510.5
5318.25052111200215
5000–11211500002
2000–001500000
2000–002000000
1304.750000000003
Team totals7326185.2547061777312011114

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MISS · WASH 8

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 MISSWASH 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 MISSWASH 3

Set 3

28-26

Longest run 4 MISSWASH 5

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 MISSWASH 3

Set 5

5-15

Longest run 2 MISSWASH 8

Bars above the line = Washington leads, below = Ole Miss leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ole Miss

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
33%3/9
2
67%6/9
33%3/9
3
63%5/8
45%5/11
4
71%5/7
0%0/5
5
71%5/7
29%2/7
6
71%5/7
29%2/7
All
68%32/47
31%15/48

Washington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
29%2/7
2
67%6/9
33%3/9
3
55%6/11
33%3/9
4
100%5/5
38%3/8
5
71%5/7
29%2/7
6
71%5/7
29%2/7
All
69%33/48
32%15/47

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

208 rallies

#MISS-WASHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.6
21-1WASHMISSKillVivianna Samaniegoset Shayla Meyer+0.5
31-2WASH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
41-3WASHWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.5
52-3WASHMISSServe errWashington+0.4
62-4MISSWASH×3KillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
72-5WASHWASH×3BlockedJorda Crookblk Julia Hunt, Kylie Kleckner+0.4
82-6WASHWASH×3Attack errJaidyn Hartsfield+0.4
93-6WASHMISS×3Attack errKylie Kleckner+0.2
104-6MISSMISS×3BlockedKylie Klecknerblk Jorda Crook, Nina Moorer+0.4
115-6MISSMISS×3BlockedMaija Howseblk Nina Moorer, Jaidyn Hartsfield+0.6
125-7MISSWASH×3KillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
135-8WASHWASH×3KillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
145-9WASHWASH×3KillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
156-9WASHMISSServe errWashington+0.3
166-10MISSWASH×3KillAndrea Fabikovicovaset Maija Howse+0.3
176-11WASHWASH×3Attack errJaidyn Hartsfield+0.3
186-12WASHWASH×3KillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.2
197-12WASHMISSKillNina Moorerset Tenesyn Frye+0.1
207-13MISSWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.1
217-14WASHWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Julia Hunt+0.1
227-15WASHWASH×3Attack errCameron Bradley+0.1
238-15WASHMISSServe errWashington·
248-16MISSWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.1
258-17WASHWASH×3KillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova·
268-18WASHWASH×3BlockedShayla Meyerblk Katy Wessels, Maija Howse·
279-18WASHMISSKillJorda Crookset Tenesyn Frye·
289-19MISSWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova·
299-20WASHWASHBad setVivianna Samaniego·
3010-20WASHMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego·
3110-21MISSWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova·
3211-21WASHMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego·
3311-22MISSWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova·
3412-22WASHMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego·
3512-23MISSWASHServe errOle Miss·
3612-24WASHWASHBlockedJorda Crookblk Julia Hunt, Simona Mateska·
3713-24WASHMISSServe errWashington·
3814-24MISSMISSAttack errJulia Hunt·
3914-25MISSWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova·
Set 2
10-1MISSWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.3
21-1WASHMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+0.3
32-1MISSMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+0.5
42-2MISSWASH×3KillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.3
52-3WASHWASH×3KillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
62-4WASHWASH×3Attack errJorda Crook+0.3
73-4WASHMISSBlockedJorda Crookblk Jorda Crook+0.3
83-5MISSWASHServe errOle Miss+0.2
93-6WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kylie Kleckner+0.3
104-6WASHMISSServe errWashington+0.2
114-7MISSWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.2
124-8WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kylie Kleckner+0.2
135-8WASHMISS×3Serve errWashington+0.2
146-8MISSMISS×3KillJorda Crookset Tenesyn Frye+0.3
157-8MISSMISS×3Bad setKylie Kleckner+0.4
167-9MISSWASHServe errOle Miss+0.3
178-9WASHMISSServe errWashington+0.3
188-10MISSWASHServe errOle Miss+0.3
199-10WASHMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+0.3
2010-10MISSMISSBad setAndrea Fabikovicova+0.6
2110-11MISSWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
2211-11WASHMISSServe errWashington+0.4
2312-11MISSMISSBlockedKylie Klecknerblk Carly Paugh, Jorda Crook+0.7
2412-12MISSWASHKillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
2513-12WASHMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.6
2613-13MISSWASH×3KillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
2713-14WASHWASH×3Attack errShayla Meyer+0.7
2813-15WASHWASH×3KillJulia Hunt+0.6
2914-15WASHMISSKillNina Moorerset Vivianna Samaniego+0.4
3014-16MISSWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
3114-17WASHWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
3215-17WASHMISSServe errWashington+0.3
3315-18MISSWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.3
3416-18WASHMISSKillTenesyn Fryeset Melia Johnson+0.3
3517-18MISSMISSAceOle Miss+0.7
3617-19MISSWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.5
3717-20WASHWASHBlockedShayla Meyerblk Katy Wessels, Maija Howse+0.6
3818-20WASHMISSKillCameron Bradleyset Shayla Meyer+0.3
3919-20MISSMISSAttack errSimona Mateska+0.7
4019-21MISSWASH×3KillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.6
4119-22WASHWASH×3KillKylie Klecknerset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.6
4219-23WASHWASH×3KillMaija Howseset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.3
4320-23WASHMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+0.1
4421-23MISSMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.4
4521-24MISSWASHKillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
4622-24WASHMISSAttack errSimona Mateska+0.2
4722-25MISSWASHKillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.4
Set 3
11-0WASHMISSBlockedMaija Howseblk Ryea Jackson, Shayla Meyer+0.1
21-1MISSWASH×4KillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.1
31-2WASHWASH×4AceWashingtonaced Melia Johnson+0.2
41-3WASHWASH×4KillKaty Wessels+0.1
51-4WASHWASH×4KillMaija Howseset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.1
62-4WASHMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.1
72-5MISSWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.1
83-5WASHMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.1
94-5MISSMISSBlockedMaija Howseblk Nina Moorer, Melia Johnson+0.2
104-6MISSWASHBlockedMelia Johnsonblk Maija Howse, Julia Hunt+0.1
115-6WASHMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.1
125-7MISSWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.1
135-8WASHWASHAceWashington+0.1
146-8WASHMISS×4Serve errWashington+0.1
157-8MISSMISS×4KillShayla Meyerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.2
168-8MISSMISS×4Bad setAndrea Fabikovicova+0.2
179-8MISSMISS×4KillJorda Crookset Tenesyn Frye+0.3
189-9MISSWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.2
1910-9WASHMISSAttack errKaty Wessels+0.2
2010-10MISSWASHServe errOle Miss+0.2
2111-10WASHMISSServe errWashington+0.2
2211-11MISSWASHAttack errJorda Crook+0.2
2312-11WASHMISSAttack errSimona Mateska+0.2
2412-12MISSWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.2
2513-12WASHMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+0.3
2613-13MISSWASHKillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.2
2714-13WASHMISSKillNina Moorerset Vivianna Samaniego+0.3
2814-14MISSWASHKillAndrea Fabikovicovaset Kylie Kleckner+0.2
2915-14WASHMISSServe errWashington+0.3
3016-14MISSMISSBlockedJulia Huntblk Nina Moorer, Shayla Meyer+0.4
3116-15MISSWASHBlockedShayla Meyerblk Andrea Fabikovicova, Julia Hunt+0.3
3216-16WASHWASHAttack errJorda Crook+0.4
3317-16WASHMISSKillNina Moorerset Tenesyn Frye+0.3
3417-17MISSWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.3
3517-18WASHWASHBlockedShayla Meyerblk Maija Howse, Katy Wessels+0.4
3618-18MISS
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
3719-18MISSMISS×3BlockedMaija Howseblk Ryea Jackson, Jorda Crook+0.5
3820-18MISSMISS×3Attack errKaty Wessels+0.6
3920-19MISSWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.3
4021-19WASHMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+0.5
4122-19MISSMISSAceOle Miss+0.7
4222-20MISSWASH×5KillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.3
4322-21WASHWASH×5KillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.6
4422-22WASHWASH×5Bad setVivianna Samaniego+0.7
4522-23WASHWASH×5KillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.7
4622-24WASHWASH×5KillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.6
4723-24WASHMISS×3Attack errKylie Kleckner+0.2
4824-24MISSMISS×3KillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.8
4925-24MISSMISS×3BlockedMaija Howseblk Nina Moorer+1.1
5025-25MISSWASHAttack errJorda Crook+0.9
5126-25WASHMISSKillNina Moorerset Vivianna Samaniego+0.9
5226-26MISSWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.9
5327-26WASHMISSServe errWashington+0.9
5428-26MISSMISSAttack errAndrea Fabikovicova+1.6
Set 4
11-0MISSMISSAttack errMaija Howse+1.2
21-1MISSWASHServe errOle Miss+0.7
31-2WASHWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Kaitlyn Nguyen+1.0
42-2WASHMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+0.8
52-3MISSWASHKillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.7
62-4WASHWASHAttack errMelia Johnson+0.9
73-4WASHMISS×5KillMelia Johnsonset Shayla Meyer+0.7
84-4MISSMISS×5AceOle Missaced Simona Mateska+1.1
95-4MISSMISS×5KillJorda Crook+1.4
106-4MISSMISS×5Attack errMaija Howse+1.6
117-4MISSMISS×5BlockedKylie Klecknerblk Nina Moorer, Jorda Crook+1.8
127-5MISSWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.1
138-5WASHMISSServe errWashington+1.4
148-6MISSWASHServe errOle Miss+1.1
159-6WASHMISSServe errWashington+1.4
169-7MISSWASHAttack errJorda Crook+1.2
1710-7WASHMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+1.5
1810-8MISSWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.2
1911-8WASHMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye+1.6
2011-9MISSWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.2
2112-9WASHMISSKillJorda Crookset Melia Johnson+1.6
2212-10MISSWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.3
2313-10WASHMISSServe errWashington+1.7
2414-10MISSMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Cameron Bradley+2.4
2514-11MISSWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.3
2615-11WASHMISSServe errWashington+1.9
2715-12MISSWASHServe errOle Miss+1.3
2816-12WASHMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Cameron Bradley+2.0
2916-13MISSWASH×3KillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.4
3016-14WASHWASH×3KillKylie Klecknerset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.2
3116-15WASHWASH×3Attack errShayla Meyer+2.3
3217-15WASHMISSAttack errKylie Kleckner+2.1
3317-16MISSWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+1.7
3418-16WASHMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Tenesyn Frye+2.2
3518-17MISSWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.8
3619-17WASHMISSKillShayla Meyerset Ryea Jackson+2.4
3719-18MISSWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.9
3820-18WASHMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego+2.7
3920-19MISSWASHServe errOle Miss+2.0
4021-19WASHMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego+2.9
4121-20MISSWASHKillKylie Klecknerset Simona Mateska+2.2
4222-20WASHMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Tenesyn Frye+3.3
4322-21MISSWASHBlockedShayla Meyerblk Julia Hunt, Andrea Fabikovicova+2.3
4423-21WASHMISSBlockedSimona Mateskablk Tenesyn Frye, Nina Moorer+3.8
4524-21MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Rileigh Butler+4.5
4624-22MISSWASHKillKaty Wesselsset Andrea Fabikovicova+1.1
4724-23WASHWASHKillAddie Kanouffset Andrea Fabikovicova+3.5
4825-23WASHMISSKillCameron Bradley+7.7
Set 5
10-1WASHWASHAceWashingtonaced Melia Johnson+6.1
20-2WASHWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Kaitlyn Nguyen+5.2
31-2WASHMISSKillShayla Meyerset Ryea Jackson+3.9
41-3MISSWASHKillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+3.8
51-4WASH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.4
62-4WASHMISSKillRyea Jacksonset Vivianna Samaniego+3.1
73-4MISSMISSBlockedKylie Klecknerblk Ryea Jackson, Jorda Crook+5.8
83-5MISSWASH×8KillMaija Howseset Andrea Fabikovicova+4.2
93-6WASHWASH×8BlockedMelia Johnsonblk Maija Howse, Julia Hunt+4.9
103-7WASHWASH×8AceWashingtonaced Cameron Bradley+3.6
113-8WASHWASH×8KillSimona Mateskaset Andrea Fabikovicova+2.4
123-9WASHWASH×8AceWashington+1.4
133-10WASHWASH×8KillMaija Howseset Kaitlyn Nguyen+0.7
143-11WASHWASH×8KillJulia Huntset Andrea Fabikovicova+0.3
153-12WASHWASH×8Attack errMelia Johnson+0.1
164-12WASHMISSAttack errKylie Kleckner·
174-13MISSWASHAttack errTenesyn Frye+0.1
184-14WASHWASHBlockedShayla Meyerblk Julia Hunt·
195-14WASHMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Cameron Bradley·
205-15MISSWASHBlockedJorda Crookblk Julia Hunt, Kylie Kleckner·

Score shown after each rally, Ole Miss first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).