Missouri vs Ole Miss Volleyball: Ole Miss Wins 3-1 (Oct 2)

Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 2, 2026SECN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Missouri 79.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Ole Miss beat visiting Missouri 3-1 (25-20, 25-22, 20-25, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Ole Miss' Jorda Crook and Melia Johnson led with 13 kills each, and Cameron Bradley added 17 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 10:40 PM CT · final Oct 2

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MIZZOU	20	22	25	20	1
MISS	25	25	20	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Ole Miss 21%. Ole Miss won anyway.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Ole Miss's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had Missouri at 79% before first serve.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Missouri 17–14 Ole Miss
Ole Miss scored 5 straight to turn a 14–17 deficit into a 19–17 lead. The match swung to Ole Miss.
Ole Miss 33% → 55%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · Missouri 18–20 Ole Miss
3 straight Ole Miss points stretched a 20–18 lead to 23–18.
Ole Miss 81% → 98%

Ole Miss above 50Missouri belowMax swing 8.2%

MissouriOle Miss

Sideout %: Missouri 60.6·Ole Miss 65.9
Break %: Missouri 34.1·Ole Miss 39.4
Hitting: Missouri .212·Ole Miss .216
Longest run: Missouri 5·Ole Miss 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ole Miss above 50 · Missouri below

Biggest swing: 8.2% to Ole Miss — set 4, MIZZOU 17-20 MISS. Attack error by Lauren Larkin. MISS win probability 77% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIZZOU 88.2%11.8% MISS

Missouri wins

3-0

41.5%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.1%

Ole Miss wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.5%

MIZZOU break %: 45.9% vs this opp
MISS break %: 36.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Lauren LarkinAttack error+8.2%
Attack error by Lauren Larkin
Set 4 · MIZZOU 17-20 MISS · MISS 77% → 85%
02
Shayla MeyerKill+8.0%
Kill by Shayla Meyer (set by Tenesyn Frye)
Set 4 · MIZZOU 16-18 MISS · MISS 67% → 76%
03
Jorda CrookKill+7.0%
Kill by Jorda Crook (set by Vivianna Samaniego)
Set 2 · MIZZOU 19-21 MISS · MISS 50% → 57%
04
Eva SmithAttack error+6.8%
Attack error by Eva Smith
Set 4 · MIZZOU 13-15 MISS · MISS 66% → 72%
05
Keirstyn Carlton&Jaidyn HartsfieldBlock+6.7%
Grace O'Reilly stuffed by Keirstyn Carlton & Jaidyn Hartsfield
Set 4 · MIZZOU 18-22 MISS · MISS 87% → 94%
06
Ryea Jackson&Melia JohnsonBlock+6.7%
Kimani Johnson stuffed by Ryea Jackson & Melia Johnson
Set 2 · MIZZOU 20-23 MISS · MISS 59% → 66%
07
Vivianna SamaniegoAttack error+6.5%
Attack error by Vivianna Samaniego
Set 4 · MIZZOU 15-15 MISS · MIZZOU 32% → 38%
08
MissouriService error+6.2%
Missouri service error
Set 4 · MIZZOU 18-21 MISS · MISS 81% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Missouriaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Paige FelderOH	4	13	4	28	.321	0	0	2	3	2	0	0	0	13
7Kimani JohnsonOH	4	7	2	19	.263	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
11Eva SmithMB	4	2	1	6	.167	0	0	1	0	0	2	3	3.5	5.5
0Nina MandovicS	4	0	0	0	–	21	1	4	4	0	0	0	0	1
12Lauren LarkinMB	3	5	2	10	.300	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	7
1Zoey MatiasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
40Grace O'ReillyOH	4	11	6	26	.192	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
21Lydia StahleyOH	4	7	3	26	.154	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
4Ainoah CruzDS	4	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	19	1	0	0	0	0
2Sierra DudleyS	4	0	0	0	–	20	0	3	5	0	0	0	0	0
18Claire MorrisseyOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0	1
23Tia PhinezyMB	2	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	20	118	.212	45	4	22	41	6	2	6	5	87

Ole Misshome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Jorda CrookOPP	4	13	5	32	.250	0	1	3	3	0	0	3	1.5	15.5
14Shayla MeyerOH	4	10	4	26	.231	1	2	3	7	2	1	0	1	13
12Keirstyn CarltonMB	4	4	4	9	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	6
2Ryea JacksonMB	4	3	1	7	.286	0	1	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
20Vivianna SamaniegoS	4	0	2	7	-.286	33	0	4	13	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
13Melia JohnsonOH	3	13	3	22	.455	0	0	0	5	0	1	1	1.5	14.5
21Cameron BradleyL/DS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	6	1	2	17	1	0	0	0	1
11Bella BonannoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
6Tenesyn FryeS	2	1	0	1	1.000	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Jaidyn HartsfieldOH	1	3	2	11	.091	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
Team totals		47	22	116	.216	43	6	14	51	4	2	14	9	95

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MIZZOU · MISS 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 MIZZOUMISS 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 MIZZOUMISS 5

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 MIZZOUMISS 3

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 2 MIZZOUMISS 4

Bars above the line = Ole Miss leads, below = Missouri leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Missouri

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%12/18	41%7/17
2	44%11/25	29%5/17
3	67%10/15	27%4/15
4	80%8/10	25%3/12
5	89%8/9	27%3/11
6	47%8/17	50%8/16
All	61%57/94	34%30/88

Ole Miss

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%12/20	44%8/18
2	71%12/17	48%11/23
3	90%9/10	52%11/21
4	64%9/14	18%2/11
5	53%8/15	11%1/9
6	67%8/12	33%4/12
All	66%58/88	39%37/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#	MIZZOU-MISS	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+1.2
2	2-0	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	Missouri	aced Shayla Meyer	+1.6
3	2-1	MIZZOU	MISS×4	Serve err	Missouri		+1.2
4	2-2	MISS	MISS×4	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.8
5	2-3	MISS	MISS×4	Ace	Ole Miss		+2.0
6	2-4	MISS	MISS×4	Blocked	Paige Felder	blk Keirstyn Carlton, Jorda Crook	+2.2
7	3-4	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+1.4
8	3-5	MIZZOU	MISS×3	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.6
9	3-6	MISS	MISS×3	Ace	Ole Miss		+2.4
10	3-7	MISS	MISS×3	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.4
11	4-7	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+1.4
12	4-8	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+1.7
13	4-9	MISS	MISS	Ace	Ole Miss	aced Paige Felder	+2.3
14	5-9	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+1.3
15	5-10	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+1.7
16	6-10	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+1.3
17	7-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+2.1
18	7-11	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+1.9
19	8-11	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Nina Mandovic	+1.5
20	9-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Vivianna Samaniego		+2.4
21	9-12	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.0
22	9-13	MISS	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Melia Johnson	+2.7
23	10-13	MISS	MIZZOU	Attack err	Keirstyn Carlton		+1.5
24	11-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Keirstyn Carlton	blk Eva Smith	+2.5
25	11-14	MIZZOU	MISS×3	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.2
26	11-15	MISS	MISS×3	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton		+2.8
27	11-16	MISS	MISS×3	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton		+2.5
28	12-16	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Zoey Matias	+1.3
29	12-17	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+1.8
30	13-17	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Sierra Dudley	+1.2
31	13-18	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.8
32	14-18	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+1.2
33	15-18	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+2.2
34	15-19	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Ryea Jackson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.2
35	16-19	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+1.5
36	16-20	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+2.3
37	16-21	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Lauren Larkin		+2.3
38	17-21	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Nina Mandovic	+0.9
39	17-22	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.6
40	18-22	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+0.7
41	18-23	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+1.4
42	19-23	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+0.5
43	20-23	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.4
44	20-24	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.0
45	20-25	MISS	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson		+0.9
Set 2
1	1-0	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+2.6
2	1-1	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+1.9
3	2-1	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+1.8
4	2-2	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.0
5	3-2	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+1.9
6	3-3	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.0
7	4-3	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Zoey Matias	+1.9
8	4-4	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+2.1
9	5-4	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+2.0
10	6-4	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Bad set	Melia Johnson		+2.7
11	6-5	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.9
12	7-5	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+1.9
13	8-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	Missouri		+2.4
14	8-6	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.7
15	9-6	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+1.7
16	9-7	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.7
17	9-8	MISS	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Cameron Bradley	+2.9
18	10-8	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+2.1
19	10-9	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.1
20	10-10	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Kimani Johnson		+3.5
21	11-10	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+2.4
22	11-11	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+2.6
23	12-11	MISS	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Paige Felder	set Ainoah Cruz	+2.5
24	13-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Bad set	Vivianna Samaniego		+3.4
25	14-11	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+2.9
26	14-12	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.9
27	14-13	MISS	MISS	Ace	Ole Miss	aced Paige Felder	+3.4
28	15-13	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Sierra Dudley	+2.5
29	15-14	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Ryea Jackson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.5
30	16-14	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+2.7
31	17-14	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Melia Johnson		+3.3
32	17-15	MIZZOU	MISS×5	Blocked	Lydia Stahley	blk Keirstyn Carlton, Vivianna Samaniego	+2.0
33	17-16	MISS	MISS×5	Attack err	Tia Phinezy		+3.8
34	17-17	MISS	MISS×5	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+4.8
35	17-18	MISS	MISS×5	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton	set Vivianna Samaniego	+5.6
36	17-19	MISS	MISS×5	Attack err	Tia Phinezy		+6.0
37	18-19	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+3.6
38	19-19	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Kimani Johnson	set Nina Mandovic	+5.8
39	19-20	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+4.8
40	19-21	MISS	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+7.0
41	20-21	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+4.0
42	20-22	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+5.6
43	20-23	MISS	MISS	Blocked	Kimani Johnson	blk Ryea Jackson, Melia Johnson	+6.7
44	21-23	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+2.5
45	21-24	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+5.0
46	22-24	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+1.8
47	22-25	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+4.7
Set 3
1	1-0	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+1.7
2	1-1	MIZZOU	MISS×3	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Cameron Bradley	+1.8
3	1-2	MISS	MISS×3	Attack err	Lydia Stahley		+2.8
4	1-3	MISS	MISS×3	Blocked	Grace O'Reilly	blk Melia Johnson	+3.0
5	2-3	MISS	MIZZOU×3	Serve err	Ole Miss		+2.0
6	3-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Attack err	Cameron Bradley		+2.8
7	4-3	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×3	Blocked	Jorda Crook	blk Eva Smith	+2.7
8	4-4	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.0
9	5-4	MISS	MIZZOU	Attack err	Ryea Jackson		+1.9
10	5-5	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+2.0
11	6-5	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+2.0
12	6-6	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+2.1
13	7-6	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+2.0
14	8-6	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Ainoah Cruz	+2.7
15	8-7	MIZZOU	MISS	Attack err	Grace O'Reilly		+1.9
16	9-7	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+1.9
17	10-7	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+2.5
18	10-8	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.7
19	10-9	MISS	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.8
20	11-9	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+2.1
21	11-10	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Keirstyn Carlton	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.1
22	12-10	MISS	MIZZOU	Attack err	Melia Johnson		+2.1
23	12-11	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+2.2
24	13-11	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+2.2
25	13-12	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+2.2
26	14-12	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+2.3
27	15-12	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+2.9
28	15-13	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Vivianna Samaniego	+1.8
29	16-13	MISS	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+2.1
30	17-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+2.4
31	18-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+1.7
32	19-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.1
33	20-13	MIZZOU	MIZZOU×5	Attack err	Shayla Meyer		+0.6
34	20-14	MIZZOU	MISS×3	Attack err	Lauren Larkin		+0.2
35	20-15	MISS	MISS×3	Blocked	Paige Felder	blk Keirstyn Carlton, Tenesyn Frye	+0.6
36	20-16	MISS	MISS×3	Ace	Ole Miss		+1.0
37	21-16	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+1.1
38	21-17	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Tenesyn Frye	+0.6
39	22-17	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+1.0
40	23-17	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	Missouri	aced Shayla Meyer	+0.6
41	23-18	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+0.2
42	24-18	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+0.3
43	24-19	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Melia Johnson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+0.1
44	24-20	MISS	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Cameron Bradley	+0.2
45	25-20	MISS	MIZZOU	Blocked	Melia Johnson	blk Kimani Johnson, Eva Smith	+0.4
Set 4
1	1-0	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Ace	Missouri	aced Cameron Bradley	+3.7
2	2-0	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+3.4
3	2-1	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+2.5
4	3-1	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+2.4
5	4-1	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Keirstyn Carlton		+3.2
6	4-2	MIZZOU	MISS×4	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Vivianna Samaniego	+2.2
7	4-3	MISS	MISS×4	Attack err	Grace O'Reilly		+3.6
8	4-4	MISS	MISS×4	Blocked	Grace O'Reilly	blk Ryea Jackson, Jorda Crook	+4.1
9	4-5	MISS	MISS×4	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+4.6
10	5-5	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+3.1
11	6-5	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Jorda Crook	blk Lydia Stahley, Eva Smith	+4.3
12	6-6	MIZZOU	MISS	Blocked	Lydia Stahley	blk Jorda Crook, Ryea Jackson	+3.2
13	7-6	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lydia Stahley	set Nina Mandovic	+3.0
14	7-7	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Ryea Jackson	set Vivianna Samaniego	+3.2
15	8-7	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+3.1
16	8-8	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Cameron Bradley	+3.4
17	9-8	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+3.2
18	9-9	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+3.5
19	9-10	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Paige Felder		+5.4
20	10-10	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+3.6
21	11-10	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Lydia Stahley		+5.0
22	11-11	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+3.7
23	12-11	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Grace O'Reilly	set Sierra Dudley	+3.6
24	12-12	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+3.9
25	12-13	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Grace O'Reilly		+6.1
26	13-13	MISS	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jorda Crook		+4.1
27	13-14	MIZZOU	MISS	Serve err	Missouri		+4.6
28	13-15	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Eva Smith		+6.8
29	14-15	MISS	MIZZOU	Attack err	Jaidyn Hartsfield		+4.3
30	15-15	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Attack err	Vivianna Samaniego		+6.5
31	15-16	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Shayla Meyer	+5.1
32	16-16	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Eva Smith	set Nina Mandovic	+4.7
33	16-17	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Tenesyn Frye	+5.4
34	16-18	MISS	MISS	Kill	Shayla Meyer	set Tenesyn Frye	+8.0
35	17-18	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Paige Felder	set Nina Mandovic	+4.9
36	17-19	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Tenesyn Frye	set Cameron Bradley	+6.2
37	17-20	MISS	MISS	Attack err	Lauren Larkin		+8.2
38	18-20	MISS	MIZZOU	Serve err	Ole Miss		+4.2
39	18-21	MIZZOU	MISS×3	Serve err	Missouri		+6.2
40	18-22	MISS	MISS×3	Blocked	Grace O'Reilly	blk Keirstyn Carlton, Jaidyn Hartsfield	+6.7
41	18-23	MISS	MISS×3	Ace	Ole Miss	aced Ainoah Cruz	+4.1
42	19-23	MISS	MIZZOU	Kill	Lauren Larkin	set Sierra Dudley	+1.1
43	20-23	MIZZOU	MIZZOU	Blocked	Jaidyn Hartsfield	blk Grace O'Reilly, Eva Smith	+2.9
44	20-24	MIZZOU	MISS	Kill	Jorda Crook	set Vivianna Samaniego	+4.2
45	20-25	MISS	MISS	Kill	Jaidyn Hartsfield	set Cameron Bradley	+1.8

Score shown after each rally, Missouri first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Ole Miss def. Missouri 3–1

RallyIQ gave Ole Miss 21%. Ole Miss won anyway.