Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

Nebraska def. North Carolina 3–1

Nebraska beat visiting North Carolina 3-1 (25-14, 20-25, 25-21, 25-10) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Harper Murray led Nebraska with 12 kills; North Carolina's Chelsea Thorpe had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
UNC142521101
NEB252025253

Win probability

Nebraska above 50 · North Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.4% UNCrally 165 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.4% to North Carolina — set 3, UNC 12-8 NEB. Attack error by Ryan Hunter. NEB win probability 89% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNC 1.8%98.2% NEB

North Carolina wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.4%
3-2
1.2%

Nebraska wins

3-0
68.5%
3-1
24.4%
3-2
5.4%
UNC break %
32.6% vs this opp
NEB break %
48.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ryan HunterAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Ryan Hunter

    Set 3 · UNC 12-8 NEB · UNC 11% → 14%

  2. 02
    Harper MurrayKill+2.0%

    Kill by Harper Murray (set by Andi Jackson)

    Set 3 · UNC 12-10 NEB · NEB 87% → 89%

  3. 03
    Ryan HunterKill+1.9%

    Kill by Ryan Hunter (set by Bergen Reilly)

    Set 3 · UNC 12-11 NEB · NEB 89% → 91%

  4. 04
    Harper MurrayKill+1.7%

    Kill by Harper Murray (set by Olivia Mauch)

    Set 3 · UNC 12-12 NEB · NEB 91% → 93%

  5. 05

    Virginia Adriano stuffed by Lauren Schutter & Safi Hampton

    Set 3 · UNC 6-3 NEB · UNC 8% → 9%

  6. 06

    Kill by Bridget Malone (set by Zoe Behrendt)

    Set 3 · UNC 11-8 NEB · UNC 10% → 11%

  7. 07
    Harper MurrayKill+1.6%

    Kill by Harper Murray

    Set 3 · UNC 13-14 NEB · NEB 93% → 94%

  8. 08
    Jackie TaylorKill+1.5%

    Kill by Jackie Taylor (set by Sienna Cozza)

    Set 3 · UNC 10-7 NEB · UNC 9% → 11%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414531.29000030010.514.5
49324.25000242031.510.5
42311-.09102201052.56.5
44312.083000130426
4126-.16700011052.53.5
4011-1.0002201600000
46318.167000000217
4000–320940002
4022-1.0001014510001
4000–100010000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals3623106.123365929130201070
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410214.5712201022315
412326.34602362010.514.5
47218.27813260111.511.5
47420.15000000132.59.5
44513-.077000300215
4315.400340180010.53.5
4001.000131720003
4000–7301010003
2617.714000000006
1011-1.000000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals4919105.28645138415410995

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UNC · NEB 8

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 UNCNEB 5

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 UNCNEB 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 UNCNEB 4

Set 4

10-25

Longest run 3 UNCNEB 8

Bars above the line = Nebraska leads, below = North Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
27%3/11
2
32%8/25
25%3/12
3
44%8/18
53%9/17
4
46%6/13
27%3/11
5
67%6/9
33%3/9
6
55%6/11
45%5/11
All
47%44/94
37%26/71

Nebraska

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
53%9/17
2
64%9/14
57%13/23
3
53%8/15
64%14/22
4
67%6/9
60%9/15
5
86%6/7
40%4/10
6
50%6/12
14%1/7
All
63%45/71
53%50/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

165 rallies

#UNC-NEBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NEBNEBAttack errChelsea Thorpe+0.2
21-1NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
31-2UNCNEB×3KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.2
41-3NEBNEB×3Attack errSafi Hampton+0.2
51-4NEBNEB×3AceNebraskaaced Bridget Malone+0.2
62-4NEBUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.1
73-4UNCUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
83-5UNCNEB×3KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.1
93-6NEBNEB×3BlockedChelsea Thorpeblk Andi Jackson, Harper Murray+0.2
103-7NEBNEB×3BlockedSafi Hamptonblk Andi Jackson, Bergen Reilly+0.1
114-7NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.1
124-8UNCNEB×5Serve errNorth Carolina+0.1
134-9NEBNEB×5AceNebraskaaced Sienna Cozza+0.1
144-10NEBNEB×5KillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.1
154-11NEBNEB×5AceNebraskaaced Safi Hampton·
164-12NEBNEB×5KillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly·
175-12NEBUNC×3Serve errNebraska·
186-12UNCUNC×3BlockedAndi Jacksonblk Bridget Malone, Lauren Schutter·
197-12UNCUNC×3Bad setAndi Jackson+0.1
207-13UNCNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly·
217-14NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Julia Bohlinger·
228-14NEBUNCBlockedManaia Ogbechieblk Laynie Smith, Lauren Schutter·
238-15UNCNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly·
249-15NEBUNCAttack errVirginia Adriano·
2510-15UNCUNCAttack errTeraya Sigler+0.1
2610-16UNCNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly·
2710-17NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Bridget Malone·
2811-17NEBUNCServe errNebraska·
2911-18UNCNEB×4KillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly·
3011-19NEBNEB×4BlockedJackie Taylorblk Andi Jackson·
3111-20NEBNEB×4KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly·
3211-21NEBNEB×4AceNebraskaaced Jackie Taylor·
3312-21NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Julia Bohlinger·
3412-22UNCNEB×3KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly·
3512-23NEBNEB×3BlockedLauren Schutterblk Andi Jackson·
3612-24NEBNEB×3KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly·
3713-24NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt·
3814-24UNCUNCAttack errHarper Murray·
3914-25UNCNEBServe errNorth Carolina·
Set 2
10-1UNCNEBBlockedJackie Taylorblk Manaia Ogbechie+0.1
21-1NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.1
32-1UNCUNCAttack errVirginia Adriano+0.2
42-2UNCNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Bergen Reilly+0.1
52-3NEBNEBAttack errChelsea Thorpe+0.2
63-3NEBUNC×3KillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.1
74-3UNCUNC×3AceNorth Carolinaaced Olivia Mauch+0.2
85-3UNCUNC×3Attack errBergen Reilly+0.3
95-4UNCNEB×3KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.2
105-5NEBNEB×3KillBergen Reillyset Olivia Mauch+0.2
115-6NEBNEB×3KillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+0.2
126-6NEBUNCKillLauren Schutterset Zoe Behrendt+0.1
136-7UNCNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.1
146-8NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Carly Markham+0.2
157-8NEBUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+0.1
167-9UNCNEBServe errNorth Carolina+0.1
178-9NEBUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.1
189-9UNCUNCAceNorth Carolinaaced Harper Murray+0.2
199-10UNCNEB×3KillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.1
209-11NEBNEB×3BlockedBridget Maloneblk Virginia Adriano, Manaia Ogbechie+0.2
219-12NEBNEB×3AceNebraskaaced Safi Hampton+0.1
2210-12NEBUNCServe errNebraska+0.1
2311-12UNCUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
2411-13UNCNEBBad setZoe Behrendt+0.1
2512-13NEBUNCBlockedHarper Murrayblk Jackie Taylor, Bridget Malone+0.2
2612-14UNCNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.1
2713-14NEBUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
2814-14UNCUNCAceNorth Carolinaaced Harper Murray+0.3
2914-15UNCNEBServe errNorth Carolina+0.2
3014-16NEBNEBAttack errChelsea Thorpe+0.3
3115-16NEBUNCServe errNebraska+0.2
3216-16UNCUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.4
3316-17UNCNEBServe errNorth Carolina+0.2
3417-17NEBUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+0.3
3517-18UNCNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.3
3618-18NEBUNC×5KillLaynie Smithset Julia Bohlinger+0.3
3719-18UNCUNC×5KillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.6
3820-18UNCUNC×5BlockedManaia Ogbechieblk Jackie Taylor, Bridget Malone+0.8
3921-18UNCUNC×5BlockedTeraya Siglerblk Laynie Smith, Jackie Taylor+0.8
4022-18UNCUNC×5Attack errSkyler Pierce+0.7
4122-19UNCNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.2
4223-19NEBUNCServe errNebraska+0.5
4324-19UNCUNCBlockedVirginia Adrianoblk Jackie Taylor, Bridget Malone+0.4
4424-20UNCNEBBlockedBridget Maloneblk Virginia Adriano, Manaia Ogbechie+0.1
4525-20NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
Set 3
10-1NEBNEBAttack errJackie Taylor+0.8
20-2NEBNEBKillVirginia Adrianoset Olivia Mauch+0.6
31-2NEBUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
42-2UNCUNCBlockedManaia Ogbechieblk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor+0.9
52-3UNCNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+0.5
63-3NEBUNC×4KillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.6
74-3UNCUNC×4Bad setBergen Reilly+1.1
85-3UNCUNC×4Attack errVirginia Adriano+1.4
96-3UNCUNC×4BlockedVirginia Adrianoblk Lauren Schutter, Safi Hampton+1.7
106-4UNCNEBKillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.9
117-4NEBUNCServe errNebraska+1.3
127-5UNCNEBAttack errLaynie Smith+1.0
138-5NEBUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+1.3
148-6UNCNEBKillBergen Reillyset Olivia Mauch+1.0
159-6NEBUNCAttack errManaia Ogbechie+1.4
169-7UNCNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Olivia Mauch+1.1
1710-7NEBUNCKillJackie Taylorset Sienna Cozza+1.5
1810-8UNCNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Bergen Reilly+1.1
1911-8NEBUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+1.6
2012-8UNCUNCAttack errRyan Hunter+2.4
2112-9UNCNEB×4KillRyan Hunterset Bergen Reilly+1.2
2212-10NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Andi Jackson+2.0
2312-11NEBNEB×4KillRyan Hunterset Bergen Reilly+1.9
2412-12NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Olivia Mauch+1.7
2513-12NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+1.4
2613-13UNCNEBServe errNorth Carolina+1.2
2713-14NEBNEBKillHarper Murray+1.6
2814-14NEBUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+1.2
2914-15UNCNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+1.1
3014-16NEBNEBAttack errLaynie Smith+1.4
3115-16NEBUNCAttack errHarper Murray+1.0
3215-17UNCNEBBlockedSienna Cozzablk Teraya Sigler+0.9
3315-18NEBNEBKillTeraya Siglerset Bergen Reilly+1.1
3416-18NEBUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.7
3516-19UNCNEBKillManaia Ogbechieset Laney Choboy+0.7
3617-19NEBUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.7
3717-20UNCNEBKillRyan Hunterset Bergen Reilly+0.8
3818-20NEBUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.7
3918-21UNCNEBKillRyan Hunterset Bergen Reilly+0.8
4018-22NEBNEBAceNebraskaaced Bridget Malone+0.7
4119-22NEBUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Julia Bohlinger+0.3
4219-23UNCNEBKillHarper Murrayset Andi Jackson+0.4
4319-24NEBNEBAttack errBridget Malone+0.2
4420-24NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt·
4521-24UNCUNCAceNorth Carolinaaced Laney Choboy+0.2
4621-25UNCNEBKillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
Set 4
10-1UNCNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.3
20-2NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Olivia Mauch+0.4
30-3NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.4
40-4NEBNEB×4KillHarper Murrayset Olivia Mauch+0.3
51-4NEBUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
61-5UNCNEB×8KillAndi Jacksonset Bergen Reilly+0.2
71-6NEBNEB×8KillHarper Murrayset Bergen Reilly+0.2
81-7NEBNEB×8AceNebraskaaced Lauren Schutter+0.1
91-8NEBNEB×8AceNebraskaaced Julia Bohlinger+0.1
101-9NEBNEB×8Attack errZoe Behrendt+0.1
111-10NEBNEB×8Attack errSafi Hampton·
121-11NEBNEB×8AceNebraskaaced Julia Bohlinger·
131-12NEBNEB×8Attack errChelsea Thorpe·
142-12NEBUNC×3KillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt·
153-12UNCUNC×3BlockedAndi Jacksonblk Lauren Schutter, Safi Hampton·
164-12UNCUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Carly Markham·
174-13UNCNEBServe errNorth Carolina·
184-14NEBNEBAttack errSienna Cozza·
195-14NEBUNCServe errNebraska·
205-15UNCNEBServe errNorth Carolina·
215-16NEBNEBKillManaia Ogbechie·
226-16NEBUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza·
237-16UNCUNCAceNorth Carolinaaced Laney Choboy·
247-17UNCNEBKillBergen Reillyset Teraya Sigler·
257-18NEBNEBBlockedLaynie Smithblk Teraya Sigler, Manaia Ogbechie·
268-18NEBUNCServe errNebraska·
278-19UNCNEB×4Serve errNorth Carolina·
288-20NEBNEB×4KillRyan Hunterset Bergen Reilly·
298-21NEBNEB×4Attack errAddison West·
308-22NEBNEB×4AceNebraskaaced Julia Bohlinger·
319-22NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt·
329-23UNCNEBKillRyan Hunterset Bergen Reilly·
339-24NEBNEBKillAndi Jackson·
3410-24NEBUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt·
3510-25UNCNEBServe errNorth Carolina·

Score shown after each rally, North Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).