Syracuse vs North Carolina: North Carolina Wins 3-0 (Oct 30)

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ACCNX

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: North Carolina 99.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Carolina beat visiting Syracuse 3-0 (25-11, 25-11, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026.

Data through Nov 3, 10:20 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SYR	11	11	20	0
UNC	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No. 22 North Carolina left no doubt against Syracuse.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.1 points, and Syracuse's high was 1% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. North Carolina went in as RallyIQ's >99% pick.

SyracuseNorth Carolina

Break %+33.5 pts
22.756.2
41 of 73 on serve vs 10 of 44, so Syracuse's sideout was 43.8%.
Hitting+.329
.056.385
45 kills, 8 errors vs 27 kills, 21 errors.
Longest run+3
36
North Carolina scored 6 straight in the first set to stretch a 9–8 lead to 15–8. The set finished 25–11.

North Carolina above 50Syracuse belowMax swing 0.1%

SyracuseNorth Carolina

Aces: Syracuse 5·North Carolina 5
Serve err: Syracuse 3·North Carolina 1
Blocks: Syracuse 4·North Carolina 110 BS · 8 BA vs 2 BS · 18 BA
Digs: Syracuse 37·North Carolina 52

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

North Carolina above 50 · Syracuse below

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: North Carolina stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SYR 0.3%99.7% UNC

Syracuse wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.2%

North Carolina wins

3-0

83.0%

3-1

15.0%

3-2

1.7%

SYR break %: 31.7% vs this opp
UNC break %: 52.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

Syracuseaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
23Abby NicholsonMB	3	6	4	16	.125	1	1	1	2	0	3	1.5	8.5
8Kiernan StameyOH	3	4	7	22	-.136	1	0	1	10	1	3	1.5	5.5
19Emma WilliamsOH	3	5	1	17	.235	0	0	0	5	0	1	0.5	5.5
6Marie LaurioOH	3	4	6	32	-.063	2	0	0	4	0	0	0	4
10Bo NijenhuisMB	3	2	3	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
1Charis BurgeS	3	1	0	1	1.000	14	0	0	3	0	0	0	1
12Keila GabrielOPP	3	5	0	15	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
18Yuka UranoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	0	7	1	0	0	3
22Mira LedermuellerS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	1	6	0	0	0	1
Team totals		27	21	108	.056	26	5	3	37	5	8	4	42

North Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Laynie SmithOPP	3	5	2	17	.176	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
8Sienna CozzaS	3	0	0	0	–	18	3	1	8	0	0	0	0	3
21Jackie TaylorMB	2	7	0	12	.583	0	0	0	1	0	1	7	4.5	11.5
24Addison WestOH	2	7	2	17	.294	0	0	0	5	1	0	2	1	8
22Safi HamptonOH	2	7	0	11	.636	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	7
5Meghan CliffordMB	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
18Carly MarkhamL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
6Julia BohlingerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	14	1	0	0	0	1
1Zoe BehrendtS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
20Lindley MillerOH	2	5	1	11	.364	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
0Mackenzie BoyerMB	2	5	1	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
4Erin CurtisOH	2	3	0	8	.375	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	3
7Sadie SwiftMB	2	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
77Chelsea ThorpeOPP	1	3	1	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	5
Team totals		45	8	96	.385	44	5	1	52	5	2	18	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 SYR · UNC 6

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 SYRUNC 6

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 SYRUNC 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 SYRUNC 3

Bars above the line = North Carolina leads, below = Syracuse leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Syracuse

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	45%5/11
2	43%6/14	13%1/8
3	46%6/13	25%2/8
4	63%5/8	25%2/8
5	33%4/12	0%0/5
6	57%4/7	0%0/4
All	44%32/73	23%10/44

North Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	50%5/10
2	88%7/8	53%8/15
3	67%6/9	67%12/18
4	86%6/7	33%3/9
5	100%4/4	67%8/12
6	100%4/4	56%5/9
All	77%34/44	56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

117 rallies

#	SYR-UNC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer
Set 1
1	1-0	SYR	SYR	Ace	Syracuse	aced Addison West
2	2-0	SYR	SYR	Ace	Syracuse	aced Julia Bohlinger
3	2-1	SYR	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza
4	3-1	UNC	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge
5	3-2	SYR	UNC	Kill	Addison West	set Sienna Cozza
6	4-2	UNC	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge
7	4-3	SYR	UNC×3	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt
8	4-4	UNC	UNC×3	Blocked	Kiernan Stamey	blk Chelsea Thorpe
9	4-5	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt
10	5-5	UNC	SYR	Kill	Charis Burge	set Marie Laurio
11	5-6	SYR	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt
12	6-6	UNC	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge
13	6-7	SYR	UNC	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey
14	6-8	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Bo Nijenhuis
15	7-8	UNC	SYR	Serve err	Sienna Cozza
16	7-9	SYR	UNC	Serve err	Syracuse
17	8-9	UNC	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge
18	8-10	SYR	UNC×6	Kill	Addison West	set Julia Bohlinger
19	8-11	UNC	UNC×6	Kill	Addison West	set Sienna Cozza
20	8-12	UNC	UNC×6	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Sienna Cozza
21	8-13	UNC	UNC×6	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Sienna Cozza
22	8-14	UNC	UNC×6	Kill	Addison West	set Sienna Cozza
23	8-15	UNC	UNC×6	Blocked	Marie Laurio	blk Jackie Taylor
24	9-15	UNC	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Kiernan Stamey
25	9-16	SYR	UNC×5	Blocked	Abby Nicholson	blk Jackie Taylor, Addison West
26	9-17	UNC	UNC×5	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Julia Bohlinger
27	9-18	UNC	UNC×5	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt
28	9-19	UNC	UNC×5	Bad set	Charis Burge
29	9-20	UNC	UNC×5	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt
30	10-20	UNC	SYR	Bad set	Julia Bohlinger
31	10-21	SYR	UNC	Kill	Addison West	set Julia Bohlinger
32	10-22	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Kiernan Stamey	blk Jackie Taylor, Chelsea Thorpe
33	11-22	UNC	SYR	Blocked	Chelsea Thorpe	blk Abby Nicholson, Kiernan Stamey
34	11-23	SYR	UNC×3	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt
35	11-24	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey
36	11-25	UNC	UNC×3	Blocked	Kiernan Stamey	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Meghan Clifford
Set 2
1	0-1	UNC	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt
2	0-2	UNC	UNC	Blocked	Marie Laurio	blk Lindley Miller, Jackie Taylor
3	1-2	UNC	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge
4	1-3	SYR	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt
5	2-3	UNC	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge
6	2-4	SYR	UNC×5	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Julia Bohlinger
7	2-5	UNC	UNC×5	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Sienna Cozza
8	2-6	UNC	UNC×5	Ace	North Carolina	aced Kiernan Stamey
9	2-7	UNC	UNC×5	Attack err	Abby Nicholson
10	2-8	UNC	UNC×5	Ace	North Carolina
11	3-8	UNC	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Mira Ledermueller
12	4-8	SYR	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Mira Ledermueller
13	4-9	SYR	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Sienna Cozza
14	5-9	UNC	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Abby Nicholson
15	5-10	SYR	UNC×6	Kill	Meghan Clifford	set Sienna Cozza
16	5-11	UNC	UNC×6	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Sienna Cozza
17	5-12	UNC	UNC×6	Ace	North Carolina
18	5-13	UNC	UNC×6	Blocked	Kiernan Stamey	blk Laynie Smith, Jackie Taylor
19	5-14	UNC	UNC×6	Blocked	Marie Laurio	blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith
20	5-15	UNC	UNC×6	Kill	Erin Curtis	set Julia Bohlinger
21	6-15	UNC	SYR	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Mira Ledermueller
22	6-16	SYR	UNC×3	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Sienna Cozza
23	6-17	UNC	UNC×3	Blocked	Bo Nijenhuis	blk Lindley Miller, Jackie Taylor
24	6-18	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Marie Laurio
25	7-18	UNC	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge
26	7-19	SYR	UNC×3	Kill	Lindley Miller	set Zoe Behrendt
27	7-20	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt
28	7-21	UNC	UNC×3	Blocked	Marie Laurio	blk Lindley Miller, Jackie Taylor
29	8-21	UNC	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Charis Burge
30	8-22	SYR	UNC	Kill	Mackenzie Boyer	set Zoe Behrendt
31	9-22	UNC	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge
32	9-23	SYR	UNC	Serve err	Syracuse
33	10-23	UNC	SYR	Attack err	Sadie Swift
34	10-24	SYR	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza
35	11-24	UNC	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Marie Laurio
36	11-25	SYR	UNC	Serve err	Syracuse
Set 3
1	0-1	SYR	UNC	Kill	Lindley Miller	set Carly Markham
2	1-1	UNC	SYR	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge
3	2-1	SYR	SYR	Ace	Syracuse
4	2-2	SYR	UNC	Kill	Mackenzie Boyer	set Sienna Cozza
5	2-3	UNC	UNC	Kill	Erin Curtis	set Zoe Behrendt
6	3-3	UNC	SYR×3	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Mira Ledermueller
7	4-3	SYR	SYR×3	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Mira Ledermueller
8	5-3	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Mackenzie Boyer
9	5-4	SYR	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Zoe Behrendt
10	6-4	UNC	SYR	Blocked	Laynie Smith	blk Abby Nicholson, Kiernan Stamey
11	7-4	SYR	SYR	Ace	Syracuse
12	7-5	SYR	UNC	Kill	Sadie Swift	set Zoe Behrendt
13	8-5	UNC	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Mira Ledermueller
14	8-6	SYR	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Zoe Behrendt
15	8-7	UNC	UNC	Ace	North Carolina	aced Yuka Urano
16	9-7	UNC	SYR	Kill	Bo Nijenhuis	set Charis Burge
17	9-8	SYR	UNC	Kill	Addison West	set Sienna Cozza
18	9-9	UNC	UNC	Ace	North Carolina
19	10-9	UNC	SYR	Attack err	Addison West
20	11-9	SYR	SYR	Blocked	Addison West	blk Abby Nicholson, Emma Williams
21	11-10	SYR	UNC	Kill	Lindley Miller	set Sienna Cozza
22	11-11	UNC	UNC	Kill	Mackenzie Boyer	set Sienna Cozza
23	12-11	UNC	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge
24	12-12	SYR	UNC	Kill	Lindley Miller	set Sienna Cozza
25	12-13	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Abby Nicholson
26	13-13	UNC	SYR	Kill	Keila Gabriel	set Mira Ledermueller
27	13-14	SYR	UNC	Kill	Mackenzie Boyer	set Zoe Behrendt
28	14-14	UNC	SYR	Kill	Marie Laurio	set Mira Ledermueller
29	14-15	SYR	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Zoe Behrendt
30	14-16	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Kiernan Stamey
31	15-16	UNC	SYR	Blocked	Laynie Smith	blk Kiernan Stamey, Bo Nijenhuis
32	15-17	SYR	UNC	Blocked	Emma Williams	blk Addison West, Sadie Swift
33	15-18	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Bo Nijenhuis
34	16-18	UNC	SYR	Kill	Kiernan Stamey	set Charis Burge
35	16-19	SYR	UNC	Kill	Addison West	set Carly Markham
36	17-19	UNC	SYR×3	Kill	Emma Williams	set Charis Burge
37	18-19	SYR	SYR×3	Ace	Syracuse	aced Erin Curtis
38	19-19	SYR	SYR×3	Attack err	Lindley Miller
39	19-20	SYR	UNC×3	Kill	Mackenzie Boyer	set Sienna Cozza
40	19-21	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Marie Laurio
41	19-22	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Abby Nicholson
42	20-22	UNC	SYR	Kill	Abby Nicholson	set Charis Burge
43	20-23	SYR	UNC×3	Kill	Lindley Miller	set Sienna Cozza
44	20-24	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Erin Curtis	set Julia Bohlinger
45	20-25	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Erin Curtis

Score shown after each rally, Syracuse first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

North Carolina def. Syracuse 3–0

No. 22 North Carolina left no doubt against Syracuse.