Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UC San Diego def. CSUN 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: CSUN 62.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 7:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UC San Diego won at CSUN 3-1 (29-27, 23-25, 25-19, 27-25) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Ireland McNees led UC San Diego with 16 kills; CSUN's Hailey Brockway had a match-high 24.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
UCSD292325273
CSUN272519251

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UC San Diego won both sets that went to extra points.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are UC San Diego's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had CSUN at 62% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · UC San Diego 7–8 CSUN

    Down 7–8, UC San Diego scored 6 straight to lead 13–8. The match swung to UC San Diego.

    UC San Diego 37% → 59%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · UC San Diego 16–18 CSUN

    UC San Diego had 4 straight kills to turn a 16–18 deficit into a 20–18 lead.

    UC San Diego 59% → 84%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · UC San Diego 24–24 CSUN

    UC San Diego closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and win the match 3–1.

    UC San Diego 69% → >99%

CSUN above 50UC San Diego belowMax swing 15.9%

UC San DiegoCSUN

Sideout %
UC San Diego 64.9·CSUN 60.2
Break %
UC San Diego 39.8·CSUN 35.1
Hitting
UC San Diego .288·CSUN .264
Longest run
UC San Diego 7·CSUN 4

Ireland McNees
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 16 K, .256, 20 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

CSUN above 50 · UC San Diego below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+15.9% UCSDrally 200 · set 4

Biggest swing: 15.9% to UC San Diego — set 4, UCSD 27-25 CSUN. Annie Gilmore stuffed by Molly McCluskey & Madison Johnson. CSUN win probability 16% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UCSD 41.7%58.3% CSUN

UC San Diego wins

3-0
9.3%
3-1
15.3%
3-2
17.1%

CSUN wins

3-0
16.3%
3-1
22.2%
3-2
19.8%
UCSD break %
42.3% vs this opp
CSUN break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Annie Gilmore stuffed by Molly McCluskey & Madison Johnson

    Set 4 · UCSD 27-25 CSUN · UCSD 84% → 100%

  2. 02
    Julia BazylevychAttack error+15.0%

    Attack error by Julia Bazylevych

    Set 4 · UCSD 26-25 CSUN · UCSD 69% → 84%

  3. 03

    Gia Rivera stuffed by Fallyn Blotzer & Iye Okolo

    Set 4 · UCSD 23-24 CSUN · CSUN 27% → 42%

  4. 04

    Fallyn Blotzer stuffed by Lucia Barroso & Gia Rivera

    Set 4 · UCSD 24-24 CSUN · UCSD 58% → 69%

  5. 05
    Fallyn BlotzerKill+11.0%

    Kill by Fallyn Blotzer (set by Taylor Dunlap)

    Set 4 · UCSD 24-25 CSUN · CSUN 31% → 42%

  6. 06
    Katie KolarService error+11.0%

    Service error by Katie Kolar

    Set 4 · UCSD 25-25 CSUN · UCSD 58% → 69%

  7. 07
    Gia RiveraKill+10.3%

    Kill by Gia Rivera (set by Marleena Catalan)

    Set 1 · UCSD 29-27 CSUN · UCSD 48% → 58%

  8. 08
    Katie KolarKill+9.9%

    Kill by Katie Kolar (set by Paige Sentes)

    Set 1 · UCSD 24-24 CSUN · CSUN 50% → 60%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416543.2560359002120
415434.3243036114318
410220.40000010031.511.5
43112.16700000153.56.5
41011.00030321000004
2000–300210000
414639.2050002012216
4000–012000001
4000–2131700001
2203.667700000002
21011.0001100000001
2000–110500001
Team totals6218153.2885791552331611104
CSUNhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424856.2860039104226
49113.6150112004212
47625.04031075010.58.5
46014.429000100428
4102.5003701600001
35412.08301110010.56.5
4000–000200000
4000–3021130000
4000–1401600000
3217.143000200213
25211.27300010010.55.5
Team totals5922140.26457394890178.596

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UC San Diego vs CSUN

Season series · UC San Diego leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 UCSD · CSUN 4

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 7 UCSDCSUN 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 UCSDCSUN 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 6 UCSDCSUN 4

Set 4

27-25

Longest run 4 UCSDCSUN 3

Bars above the line = CSUN leads, below = UC San Diego leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
58%14/24
2
60%12/20
40%8/20
3
71%10/14
15%2/13
4
53%10/19
52%11/21
5
67%10/15
23%3/13
6
75%9/12
25%3/12
All
65%63/97
40%41/103

CSUN

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%12/22
21%3/14
2
61%11/18
43%9/21
3
58%11/19
21%3/14
4
71%10/14
38%6/16
5
69%9/13
47%9/19
6
53%9/17
31%4/13
All
60%62/103
35%34/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

200 rallies

#UCSD-CSUNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CSUNCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+2.3
21-1CSUNUCSD×3KillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.8
32-1UCSDUCSD×3Attack errJulia Bazylevych+2.4
43-1UCSDUCSD×3KillMolly McCluskeyset Dillyn Griffin+2.5
53-2UCSDCSUNKillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+1.8
63-3CSUNCSUNBlockedIreland McNeesblk Hailey Brockway, Iye Okolo, Audrey Nuckols+2.4
74-3CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+2.0
84-4UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.9
95-4CSUNUCSD×7KillMolly McCluskeyset Dillyn Griffin+2.0
106-4UCSDUCSD×7AceUC San Diegoaced Julia Bazylevych+2.7
117-4UCSDUCSD×7Attack errHailey Brockway+2.6
128-4UCSDUCSD×7KillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+2.5
139-4UCSDUCSD×7AceUC San Diegoaced Paige Sentes+2.3
1410-4UCSDUCSD×7AceUC San Diegoaced Julia Bazylevych+2.0
1511-4UCSDUCSD×7Attack errHailey Brockway+1.7
1611-5UCSDCSUN×3KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.0
1711-6CSUNCSUN×3Attack errGia Rivera+1.6
1811-7CSUNCSUN×3KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.0
1912-7CSUNUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Brynne McGhie+1.9
2013-7UCSDUCSDKillLucia Barroso+2.0
2113-8UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.2
2214-8CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+1.6
2315-8UCSDUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.6
2415-9UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+0.8
2516-9CSUNUCSDServe errPaige Sentes+1.2
2617-9UCSDUCSDBlockedJulia Bazylevychblk Molly McCluskey, Lucia Barroso+1.1
2717-10UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.5
2817-11CSUNCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+1.0
2918-11CSUNUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+1.1
3018-12UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+0.7
3118-13CSUNCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Julia Bazylevych+1.3
3219-13CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+1.4
3319-14UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+0.9
3419-15CSUNCSUNBlockedMadison Johnsonblk Tatiana Turgeon, Hailey Brockway+1.7
3520-15CSUNUCSDAttack errHailey Brockway+1.9
3620-16UCSDCSUNKillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+1.2
3720-17CSUNCSUNAceCSUN+2.3
3821-17CSUNUCSDAttack errHailey Brockway+2.5
3921-18UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+1.6
4022-18CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+2.5
4122-19UCSDCSUN×3KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+1.4
4222-20CSUNCSUN×3Attack errMolly McCluskey+3.0
4322-21CSUNCSUN×3KillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+4.6
4423-21CSUNUCSDAttack errJulia Bazylevych+5.0
4523-22UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+3.6
4624-22CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+5.9
4724-23UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+3.4
4824-24CSUNCSUNKillKatie Kolarset Paige Sentes+9.9
4925-24CSUNUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Marleena Catalan+7.5
5025-25UCSDCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+7.5
5126-25CSUNUCSDKillBrynne McGhieset Dillyn Griffin+7.5
5226-26UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+7.5
5327-26CSUNUCSDServe errAudrey Nuckols+7.5
5427-27UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+7.5
5528-27CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+7.5
5629-27UCSDUCSDKillGia Riveraset Marleena Catalan+10.3
Set 2
11-0UCSDUCSDKillLucia Barrososet Marleena Catalan+2.7
21-1UCSDCSUNKillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+2.0
32-1CSUNUCSD×3KillMadison Johnsonset Marleena Catalan+2.2
43-1UCSDUCSD×3Attack errHailey Brockway+2.9
54-1UCSDUCSD×3Attack errHailey Brockway+2.9
64-2UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+2.0
75-2CSUNUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Brynne McGhie+2.3
85-3UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+2.0
96-3CSUNUCSD×4KillMadison Johnsonset Brynne McGhie+2.3
107-3UCSDUCSD×4Attack errTatiana Turgeon+2.9
118-3UCSDUCSD×4AceUC San Diegoaced Julia Bazylevych+2.6
129-3UCSDUCSD×4KillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+2.3
139-4UCSDCSUN×4Serve errUC San Diego+1.4
149-5CSUNCSUN×4BlockedGia Riverablk Tatiana Turgeon, Annie Gilmore+2.3
159-6CSUNCSUN×4Attack errGia Rivera+2.6
169-7CSUNCSUN×4Attack errMolly McCluskey+2.9
1710-7CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Brynne McGhie+2.5
1810-8UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+2.3
1911-8CSUNUCSDServe errTatiana Turgeon+2.6
2011-9UCSDCSUNKillAnnie Gilmoreset Taylor Dunlap+2.3
2112-9CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Molly McCluskey+2.7
2213-9UCSDUCSDAceUC San Diegoaced Hailey Brockway+3.2
2313-10UCSDCSUN×4KillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.1
2413-11CSUNCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Paige Sentes+3.2
2513-12CSUNCSUN×4KillAudrey Nuckolsset Molly McCluskey+3.5
2613-13CSUNCSUN×4AceCSUNaced Dillyn Griffin+3.8
2714-13CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+3.1
2814-14UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+3.0
2915-14CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Brynne McGhie+3.3
3015-15UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+3.2
3115-16CSUNCSUNBlockedGia Riverablk Annie Gilmore, Tatiana Turgeon+4.3
3216-16CSUNUCSDServe errTaylor Dunlap+3.3
3316-17UCSDCSUN×3KillTatiana Turgeonset Taylor Dunlap+3.4
3416-18CSUNCSUN×3KillHailey Brockwayset Julia Bazylevych+4.3
3516-19CSUNCSUN×3KillJulia Bazylevychset Paige Sentes+3.8
3617-19CSUNUCSDServe errHailey Brockway+2.4
3718-19UCSDUCSDBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Lucia Barroso+4.2
3818-20UCSDCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Taylor Dunlap+3.8
3918-21CSUNCSUNAttack errLucia Barroso+4.2
4019-21CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Marleena Catalan+2.4
4119-22UCSDCSUNKillIye Okoloset Taylor Dunlap+3.3
4220-22CSUNUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+2.3
4321-22UCSDUCSDBlockedJulia Bazylevychblk Molly McCluskey+4.8
4421-23UCSDCSUNKillAudrey Nuckolsset Katie Kolar+5.1
4522-23CSUNUCSDKillMarleena Catalanset Iye Okolo+3.8
4622-24UCSDCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+6.0
4723-24CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Brynne McGhie+3.5
4823-25UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+7.8
Set 3
11-0CSUNUCSDBlockedAudrey Nuckolsblk Lucia Barroso, Ireland McNees+2.5
21-1UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.4
32-1CSUNUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+2.5
43-1UCSDUCSDBlockedAudrey Nuckolsblk Ireland McNees, Madison Johnson+3.4
53-2UCSDCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+2.5
64-2CSUNUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+2.7
75-2UCSDUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Maija Nepszy+3.4
85-3UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Taylor Dunlap+2.4
96-3CSUNUCSDServe errHailey Brockway+2.7
106-4UCSDCSUN×4Serve errUC San Diego+2.5
116-5CSUNCSUN×4AceCSUNaced Molly McCluskey+3.5
126-6CSUNCSUN×4BlockedMadison Johnsonblk Iye Okolo, Julia Bazylevych+3.6
136-7CSUNCSUN×4Attack errIreland McNees+3.6
147-7CSUNUCSDKillMaija Nepszyset Molly McCluskey+2.8
157-8UCSDCSUNKillIye Okoloset Taylor Dunlap+2.8
168-8CSUNUCSD×6BlockedHailey Brockwayblk Lucia Barroso, Gia Rivera+2.9
179-8UCSDUCSD×6AceUC San Diegoaced Paige Sentes+4.0
1810-8UCSDUCSD×6AceUC San Diegoaced Julia Bazylevych+4.1
1911-8UCSDUCSD×6Attack errAudrey Nuckols+4.0
2012-8UCSDUCSD×6AceUC San Diegoaced Julia Bazylevych+3.7
2113-8UCSDUCSD×6Attack errAudrey Nuckols+3.3
2213-9UCSDCSUNKillIye Okoloset Katie Kolar+2.0
2314-9CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Marleena Catalan+2.6
2414-10UCSDCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+2.0
2514-11CSUNCSUN×4KillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+3.2
2614-12CSUNCSUN×4Attack errMolly McCluskey+3.8
2714-13CSUNCSUN×4BlockedMolly McCluskeyblk Tatiana Turgeon, Hailey Brockway+4.3
2815-13CSUNUCSDServe errPaige Sentes+3.8
2915-14UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+3.4
3016-14CSUNUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Marleena Catalan+3.9
3117-14UCSDUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Molly McCluskey+4.9
3217-15UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+3.1
3318-15CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Maija Nepszy+3.9
3418-16UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+3.2
3519-16CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Maija Nepszy+4.1
3619-17UCSDCSUNBad setLucia Barroso+3.2
3720-17CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Maija Nepszy+4.3
3821-17UCSDUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Paulina Baillie+4.5
3921-18UCSDCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Katie Kolar+2.2
4022-18CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Marleena Catalan+3.4
4123-18UCSDUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Paulina Baillie+2.7
4223-19UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+0.8
4324-19CSUNUCSDKillLucia Barrososet Marleena Catalan+1.6
4425-19UCSDUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+0.6
Set 4
11-0UCSDUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+3.6
22-0UCSDUCSDAttack errJulia Bazylevych+3.7
32-1UCSDCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+2.7
43-1CSUNUCSDBlockedHailey Brockwayblk Madison Johnson, Molly McCluskey+2.9
53-2UCSDCSUN×3KillHailey Brockwayset Julia Bazylevych+2.8
63-3CSUNCSUN×3KillAnnie Gilmoreset Katie Kolar+3.7
73-4CSUNCSUN×3KillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+3.7
84-4CSUNUCSDAttack errMolly McCluskey+2.9
94-5UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+2.9
104-6CSUNCSUNAttack errGia Rivera+3.7
115-6CSUNUCSDBlockedFallyn Blotzerblk Gia Rivera+2.8
125-7UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+2.9
136-7CSUNUCSDKillMaija Nepszy+2.9
146-8UCSDCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Taylor Dunlap+3.0
157-8CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Marleena Catalan+2.9
168-8UCSDUCSDAceUC San Diegoaced Paige Sentes+4.2
178-9UCSDCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Taylor Dunlap+3.3
189-9CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Jaedyn Houston+3.3
199-10UCSDCSUNKillJulia Bazylevychset Katie Kolar+3.4
2010-10CSUNUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+3.4
2110-11UCSDCSUNBlockedIreland McNeesblk Hailey Brockway, Iye Okolo+3.5
2211-11CSUNUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Maija Nepszy+3.6
2311-12UCSDCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Katie Kolar+3.6
2411-13CSUNCSUNAttack errIreland McNees+4.6
2512-13CSUNUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Maija Nepszy+3.4
2612-14UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Taylor Dunlap+3.6
2713-14CSUNUCSDKillIreland McNeesset Maija Nepszy+3.5
2814-14UCSDUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+5.2
2914-15UCSDCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Taylor Dunlap+4.1
3015-15CSUNUCSDKillGia Riveraset Marleena Catalan+4.2
3115-16UCSDCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Taylor Dunlap+4.3
3215-17CSUNCSUNAttack errIreland McNees+5.5
3316-17CSUNUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+3.9
3416-18UCSDCSUNServe errUC San Diego+4.4
3517-18CSUNUCSD×4KillMadison Johnsonset Marleena Catalan+4.1
3618-18UCSDUCSD×4KillIreland McNees+6.4
3719-18UCSDUCSD×4KillIreland McNeesset Marleena Catalan+7.2
3820-18UCSDUCSD×4KillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+7.3
3920-19UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+4.8
4021-19CSUNUCSDKillMadison Johnsonset Marleena Catalan+6.2
4121-20UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Katie Kolar+5.1
4222-20CSUNUCSDKillMolly McCluskeyset Marleena Catalan+6.8
4322-21UCSDCSUNKillHailey Brockwayset Taylor Dunlap+5.3
4422-22CSUNCSUNKillTatiana Turgeonset Taylor Dunlap+9.6
4523-22CSUNUCSDServe errHailey Brockway+9.1
4623-23UCSDCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Taylor Dunlap+8.6
4723-24CSUNCSUNBlockedGia Riverablk Fallyn Blotzer, Iye Okolo+14.4
4824-24CSUNUCSDBlockedFallyn Blotzerblk Lucia Barroso, Gia Rivera+11.0
4924-25UCSDCSUNKillFallyn Blotzerset Taylor Dunlap+11.0
5025-25CSUNUCSD×3Serve errKatie Kolar+11.0
5126-25UCSDUCSD×3Attack errJulia Bazylevych+15.0
5227-25UCSDUCSD×3BlockedAnnie Gilmoreblk Molly McCluskey, Madison Johnson+15.9

Score shown after each rally, UC San Diego first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).