FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026

AwaySEC

#17FLAFlorida

3:0

HomeAMERICAN

NO TEXNorth Texas

Florida def. North Texas 3–0

(25-17, 28-26, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FLA	25	28	25	3
NO TEX	17	26	16	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NO TEX above 50 · FLA below

Biggest swing: 1.4% to North Texas — set 2, FLA 21-22 NO TEX. Attack error by Alec Rothe. NO TEX win probability 3% → 4%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FLA 96.3%3.7% NO TEX

Florida wins

3-0

59.6%

3-1

28.3%

3-2

8.4%

North Texas wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.0%

3-2

2.3%

FLA break %: 48.2% vs this opp
NO TEX break %: 34.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alec RotheAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Alec Rothe
Set 2 · FLA 21-22 NO TEX · NO TEX 3% → 4%
02
Jordyn ByrdKill+1.4%
Kill by Jordyn Byrd (set by Taylor Parks)
Set 2 · FLA 23-22 NO TEX · FLA 97% → 98%
03
Loredana FouonjiAttack error+1.3%
Loredana Fouonji stuffed by Amaya Thomas
Set 2 · FLA 28-26 NO TEX · FLA 98% → 99%
04
Kamryn ChaneyAttack error+1.2%
Kamryn Chaney stuffed by Jocelyn Jourdan & Addison Achilles
Set 2 · FLA 18-20 NO TEX · NO TEX 4% → 5%
05
Alec RotheKill+1.2%
Kill by Alec Rothe (set by Taylor Parks)
Set 2 · FLA 24-23 NO TEX · FLA 97% → 98%
06
FLA serverService error+1.2%
Florida service error
Set 2 · FLA 24-24 NO TEX · NO TEX 2% → 3%
07
Alec RotheKill+1.2%
Kill by Alec Rothe (set by Taylor Parks)
Set 2 · FLA 25-24 NO TEX · FLA 97% → 98%
08
Jahniya JacksonKill+1.2%
Kill by Jahniya Jackson (set by Sidney Soria)
Set 2 · FLA 25-25 NO TEX · NO TEX 2% → 3%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Floridaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
25Alec RotheMB	3	10	3	13	.538	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	12.5
5Selena LebanOH	3	7	4	21	.143	2	1	3	10	3	1	0	1	9
20Taylor ParksS	3	5	0	6	.833	30	0	2	10	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
14Jordyn ByrdOH	2	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	7
7Kamryn ChaneyOH	2	6	3	19	.158	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	6
4Brooklyn BriscoeMB	2	2	1	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
21Bella LeeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
13Lily HayesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	2	12	0	0	0	0	1
3Emerson HoyleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
55Amaya ThomasMB	2	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	6
8Logan KingOPP	1	4	1	6	.500	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
9Aniya MadkinOH	1	2	4	7	-.286	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	4
12Kira HutsonOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	17	98	.276	39	4	8	47	7	3	18	12	78

North Texashome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Jahniya JacksonOH	3	9	4	28	.179	0	1	0	6	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
3Addison AchillesMB	3	4	1	11	.273	0	3	1	0	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
20Loredana FouonjiMB	3	4	4	13	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
15Lillian CroshawOH	3	1	4	13	-.231	3	2	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
23Sidney SoriaS	3	0	0	1	.000	10	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
1Dakota MitchellL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
5Alessandra RomoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	2	14	0	0	0	0	1
7Olivia BranumS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
13Alexa HayesOPP	2	2	3	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
19Jocelyn JourdanOH	2	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
6Reagan BedellOH	2	2	3	18	-.056	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	2
10Madeline SmithOH	2	2	2	6	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
14Alyssa YoungL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Reese WattersOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Ryann VikMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	22	106	.038	25	7	6	32	4	1	8	5	59

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 FLA · NO TEX 3

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 5 FLANO TEX 2

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 FLANO TEX 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 7 FLANO TEX 2

Bars above the line = North Texas leads, below = Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Florida

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	61%11/18
2	78%7/9	30%3/10
3	78%7/9	42%5/12
4	78%7/9	36%4/11
5	78%7/9	56%9/16
6	67%6/9	40%4/10
All	70%42/60	47%36/77

North Texas

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	36%4/11
2	78%7/9	27%3/11
3	50%7/14	30%3/10
4	58%7/12	22%2/9
5	40%6/15	22%2/9
6	67%6/9	40%4/10
All	53%41/77	30%18/60

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	FLA-NO TEX	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Jahniya Jackson		+0.4
2	2-0	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Addison Achilles	blk Alec Rothe, Jordyn Byrd	+0.4
3	3-0	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Jahniya Jackson	blk Alec Rothe, Jordyn Byrd	+0.3
4	3-1	FLA	NO TEX	Serve err	FLA server		+0.2
5	3-2	NO TEX	NO TEX	Ace	NO TEX server	aced Kamryn Chaney	+0.4
6	4-2	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Lily Hayes	+0.3
7	4-3	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Loredana Fouonji	set Sidney Soria	+0.3
8	4-4	NO TEX	NO TEX	Kill	Jahniya Jackson	set Lillian Croshaw	+0.5
9	5-4	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.4
10	6-4	FLA	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+0.4
11	6-5	FLA	NO TEX	Serve err	FLA server		+0.3
12	7-5	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
13	7-6	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Selena Leban	blk Alexa Hayes, Loredana Fouonji	+0.4
14	8-6	NO TEX	FLA	Attack err	Alexa Hayes		+0.3
15	8-7	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Addison Achilles	set Olivia Branum	+0.4
16	9-7	NO TEX	FLA	Attack err	Reagan Bedell		+0.3
17	10-7	FLA	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.4
18	10-8	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Reagan Bedell	set Sidney Soria	+0.3
19	11-8	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
20	11-9	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Addison Achilles	set Sidney Soria	+0.3
21	11-10	NO TEX	NO TEX	Ace	NO TEX server	aced Kamryn Chaney	+0.6
22	12-10	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.4
23	12-11	FLA	NO TEX	Bad set	Alec Rothe		+0.4
24	12-12	NO TEX	NO TEX	Ace	NO TEX server	aced Kamryn Chaney	+0.8
25	13-12	NO TEX	FLA×4	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Lily Hayes	+0.5
26	14-12	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Loredana Fouonji	blk Brooklyn Briscoe, Jordyn Byrd	+0.7
27	15-12	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Jahniya Jackson	blk Jordyn Byrd, Brooklyn Briscoe	+0.5
28	16-12	FLA	FLA×4	Attack err	Loredana Fouonji		+0.4
29	16-13	FLA	NO TEX	Serve err	FLA server		+0.2
30	17-13	NO TEX	FLA	Attack err	Alexa Hayes		+0.3
31	18-13	FLA	FLA	Kill	Taylor Parks		+0.3
32	18-14	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Alexa Hayes	set Olivia Branum	+0.1
33	18-15	NO TEX	NO TEX	Kill	Alexa Hayes	set Reagan Bedell	+0.3
34	19-15	NO TEX	FLA×5	Kill	Taylor Parks		+0.3
35	20-15	FLA	FLA×5	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
36	21-15	FLA	FLA×5	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Selena Leban	+0.1
37	22-15	FLA	FLA×5	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Selena Leban	+0.1
38	23-15	FLA	FLA×5	Attack err	Reagan Bedell		+0.0
39	23-16	FLA	NO TEX	Serve err	FLA server		+0.0
40	24-16	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Taylor Parks		+0.0
41	24-17	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Lillian Croshaw	set Sidney Soria	+0.0
42	25-17	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Taylor Parks		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	NO TEX	NO TEX	Attack err	Kamryn Chaney		+0.4
2	0-2	NO TEX	NO TEX	Attack err	Alec Rothe	blk Addison Achilles	+0.4
3	1-2	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
4	1-3	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Jahniya Jackson	set Sidney Soria	+0.3
5	2-3	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
6	2-4	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Addison Achilles	set Sidney Soria	+0.3
7	3-4	NO TEX	FLA	Serve err	NO TEX server		+0.3
8	4-4	FLA	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+0.4
9	4-5	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Kamryn Chaney		+0.3
10	4-6	NO TEX	NO TEX	Ace	NO TEX server	aced Selena Leban	+0.5
11	5-6	NO TEX	FLA×4	Serve err	NO TEX server		+0.3
12	6-6	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.4
13	7-6	FLA	FLA×4	Kill	Taylor Parks	set Bella Lee	+0.4
14	8-6	FLA	FLA×4	Ace	FLA server	aced Dakota Mitchell	+0.3
15	8-7	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Brooklyn Briscoe	blk Jahniya Jackson, Loredana Fouonji	+0.2
16	9-7	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Brooklyn Briscoe	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
17	9-8	FLA	NO TEX	Serve err	FLA server		+0.2
18	9-9	NO TEX	NO TEX	Attack err	Selena Leban		+0.4
19	10-9	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Taylor Parks	+0.3
20	10-10	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Jahniya Jackson	set Olivia Branum	+0.3
21	10-11	NO TEX	NO TEX	Attack err	Alec Rothe		+0.6
22	11-11	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.4
23	11-12	FLA	NO TEX	Serve err	FLA server		+0.4
24	12-12	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Lily Hayes	+0.4
25	12-13	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Jordyn Byrd		+0.5
26	12-14	NO TEX	NO TEX	Ace	NO TEX server	aced Team	+0.8
27	13-14	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+0.5
28	14-14	FLA	FLA	Ace	FLA server	aced Reagan Bedell	+0.6
29	14-15	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Jahniya Jackson	set Alessandra Romo	+0.5
30	15-15	NO TEX	FLA	Serve err	NO TEX server		+0.5
31	15-16	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Loredana Fouonji	set Olivia Branum	+0.6
32	15-17	NO TEX	NO TEX	Ace	NO TEX server	aced Selena Leban	+0.9
33	16-17	NO TEX	FLA×3	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.5
34	17-17	FLA	FLA×3	Kill	Kamryn Chaney	set Bella Lee	+0.8
35	18-17	FLA	FLA×3	Ace	FLA server	aced Team	+0.7
36	18-18	FLA	NO TEX×3	Kill	Loredana Fouonji	set Olivia Branum	+0.6
37	18-19	NO TEX	NO TEX×3	Kill	Jocelyn Jourdan	set Olivia Branum	+1.0
38	18-20	NO TEX	NO TEX×3	Attack err	Kamryn Chaney	blk Jocelyn Jourdan, Addison Achilles	+1.2
39	19-20	NO TEX	FLA×3	Kill	Amaya Thomas	set Taylor Parks	+0.7
40	20-20	FLA	FLA×3	Attack err	Jocelyn Jourdan		+1.0
41	21-20	FLA	FLA×3	Bad set	Reagan Bedell		+1.0
42	21-21	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Addison Achilles	set Olivia Branum	+0.7
43	21-22	NO TEX	NO TEX	Attack err	Alec Rothe		+1.4
44	22-22	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Taylor Parks	+0.9
45	23-22	FLA	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+1.4
46	23-23	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Reagan Bedell	set Lillian Croshaw	+1.0
47	24-23	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+1.2
48	24-24	FLA	NO TEX	Serve err	FLA server		+1.2
49	25-24	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe	set Taylor Parks	+1.2
50	25-25	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Jahniya Jackson	set Sidney Soria	+1.2
51	26-25	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Jordyn Byrd	set Taylor Parks	+1.2
52	26-26	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Selena Leban		+1.2
53	27-26	NO TEX	FLA	Attack err	Reagan Bedell	blk Amaya Thomas, Taylor Parks	+1.2
54	28-26	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Loredana Fouonji	blk Amaya Thomas	+1.3
Set 3
1	0-1	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Loredana Fouonji	set Sidney Soria	+0.1
2	0-2	NO TEX	NO TEX	Ace	NO TEX server	aced Selena Leban	+0.2
3	1-2	NO TEX	FLA	Serve err	NO TEX server		+0.1
4	2-2	FLA	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
5	2-3	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Jahniya Jackson	set Sidney Soria	+0.1
6	3-3	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
7	3-4	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Jahniya Jackson	set Lily Hayes	+0.1
8	4-4	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Amaya Thomas	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
9	4-5	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Jocelyn Jourdan	set Dakota Mitchell	+0.1
10	5-5	NO TEX	FLA	Attack err	Loredana Fouonji	blk Amaya Thomas	+0.1
11	6-5	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Madeline Smith		+0.2
12	6-6	FLA	NO TEX	Serve err	FLA server		+0.1
13	6-7	NO TEX	NO TEX	Kill	Madeline Smith	set Lillian Croshaw	+0.2
14	7-7	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Aniya Madkin	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
15	7-8	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Lillian Croshaw		+0.2
16	8-8	NO TEX	FLA×7	Attack err	Lillian Croshaw	blk Aniya Madkin, Alec Rothe	+0.1
17	9-8	FLA	FLA×7	Kill	Aniya Madkin	set Taylor Parks	+0.2
18	10-8	FLA	FLA×7	Attack err	Lillian Croshaw	blk Aniya Madkin, Alec Rothe	+0.1
19	11-8	FLA	FLA×7	Attack err	Lillian Croshaw		+0.1
20	12-8	FLA	FLA×7	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.1
21	13-8	FLA	FLA×7	Attack err	Alexa Hayes	blk Alec Rothe, Aniya Madkin	+0.1
22	14-8	FLA	FLA×7	Attack err	Jahniya Jackson		+0.0
23	14-9	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Aniya Madkin		+0.0
24	15-9	NO TEX	FLA	Serve err	NO TEX server		+0.0
25	15-10	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Jahniya Jackson	set Dakota Mitchell	+0.0
26	16-10	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Lily Hayes	+0.0
27	17-10	FLA	FLA	Kill	Selena Leban	set Lily Hayes	+0.0
28	17-11	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Logan King		+0.0
29	17-12	NO TEX	NO TEX	Attack err	Selena Leban		+0.0
30	18-12	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Logan King	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
31	19-12	FLA	FLA	Ace	FLA server	aced Jahniya Jackson	+0.0
32	19-13	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Madeline Smith	set Alyssa Young	+0.0
33	20-13	NO TEX	FLA	Kill	Amaya Thomas	set Taylor Parks	+0.0
34	21-13	FLA	FLA	Attack err	Madeline Smith		+0.0
35	21-14	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Aniya Madkin		+0.0
36	22-14	NO TEX	FLA	Attack err	Lillian Croshaw	blk Aniya Madkin, Amaya Thomas	+0.0
37	22-15	FLA	NO TEX	Attack err	Aniya Madkin		+0.0
38	23-15	NO TEX	FLA	Serve err	NO TEX server		+0.0
39	23-16	FLA	NO TEX	Kill	Jahniya Jackson	set Sidney Soria	+0.0
40	24-16	NO TEX	FLA	Bad set	Jahniya Jackson		+0.0
41	25-16	FLA	FLA	Kill	Alec Rothe		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.