Final · 5 setsSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Charlotte def. North Texas 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: North Texas 77.3% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Charlotte beat visiting North Texas 3-2 (25-22, 25-14, 23-25, 18-25, 15-9) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Gia McGrew led Charlotte with 12 kills; North Texas' Jahniya Jackson had a match-high 21.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set12345Sets
NO TEX2214252592
CHAR25252318153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

16 blocks, led by Sofia Locadia: Charlotte won it at the net.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Charlotte's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. North Texas went in at 77% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · North Texas 13–12 Charlotte

    6 straight Charlotte points turned a 12–13 deficit into an 18–13 lead. The match swung to Charlotte.

    Charlotte 42% → 66%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · North Texas 5–2 Charlotte

    Charlotte scored 7 straight to turn a 2–5 deficit into a 9–5 lead. The match swung to Charlotte.

    Charlotte 16% → 82%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · North Texas 8–10 Charlotte

    Up 10–8, Charlotte scored 4 straight to make it 14–8.

    Charlotte 70% → 99%

Charlotte above 50North Texas belowMax swing 11.5%

North TexasCharlotte

Sideout %
North Texas 50.0·Charlotte 55.8
Break %
North Texas 44.2·Charlotte 50.0
Hitting
North Texas .120·Charlotte .199
Longest run
North Texas 5·Charlotte 7
Blocks
North Texas 7·Charlotte 165 BS · 4 BA vs 10 BS · 12 BA

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Charlotte above 50 · North Texas below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+11.5% CHARrally 201 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.5% to Charlotte — set 5, NO TEX 5-7 CHAR. Kill by Sara Marinkovic (set by Harper Hall). CHAR win probability 49% → 60%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NO TEX 74.9%25.1% CHAR

North Texas wins

3-0
27.0%
3-1
28.6%
3-2
19.3%

Charlotte wins

3-0
4.4%
3-1
8.6%
3-2
12.0%
NO TEX break %
44.9% vs this opp
CHAR break %
39.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sara MarinkovicKill+11.5%

    Kill by Sara Marinkovic (set by Harper Hall)

    Set 5 · NO TEX 5-7 CHAR · CHAR 49% → 60%

  2. 02
    Addison AchillesAttack error+11.3%

    Attack error by Addison Achilles

    Set 5 · NO TEX 5-8 CHAR · CHAR 60% → 72%

  3. 03
    Sofia LocadiaKill+10.8%

    Kill by Sofia Locadia (set by Harper Hall)

    Set 5 · NO TEX 5-6 CHAR · CHAR 38% → 49%

  4. 04

    Reagan Bedell stuffed by Cassidy Flakes & Jovana Antic

    Set 5 · NO TEX 8-12 CHAR · CHAR 80% → 90%

  5. 05
    Lillian CroshawAttack error+10.1%

    Attack error by Lillian Croshaw

    Set 5 · NO TEX 5-9 CHAR · CHAR 72% → 82%

  6. 06
    North TexasService error+10.0%

    North Texas service error

    Set 5 · NO TEX 8-11 CHAR · CHAR 70% → 80%

  7. 07
    Sofia LocadiaKill+9.5%

    Kill by Sofia Locadia (set by Harper Hall)

    Set 5 · NO TEX 7-10 CHAR · CHAR 67% → 77%

  8. 08
    CharlotteService error+9.5%

    Charlotte service error

    Set 5 · NO TEX 5-5 CHAR · CHAR 28% → 38%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5211266.13600060111.522.5
515633.2730002000015
57518.11110240313.510.5
5102.50027121000002
46426.0771201821019
2127-.143000000001
56721-.04800020010.56.5
5000–0241000002
5000–3131010001
4000–901700000
34010.40010120010.54.5
3000–1700100000
2011-1.000000000000
1125-.200100000001
1112.000000000001
Team totals6340191.1206061372454795
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
512246.2170002032416
510428.21410020435.515.5
59432.156101203010.59.5
53310.00002100334.59.5
55218.16700130031.56.5
5225.00038021600002
5000–3101100001
5000–011930001
5000–100800000
23031.000000000003
2000–200000000
1309.333000000003
Team totals4717151.1994646716101216106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NO TEX · CHAR 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 NO TEXCHAR 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 3 NO TEXCHAR 7

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 NO TEXCHAR 5

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 5 NO TEXCHAR 3

Set 5

9-15

Longest run 2 NO TEXCHAR 7

Bars above the line = Charlotte leads, below = North Texas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%11/15
36%5/14
2
43%10/23
44%8/18
3
47%8/17
33%5/15
4
40%8/20
47%7/15
5
57%8/14
58%11/19
6
47%8/17
43%6/14
All
50%53/106
44%42/95

Charlotte

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
33%5/15
2
71%10/14
47%9/19
3
60%9/15
47%8/17
4
36%8/22
69%18/26
5
57%8/14
33%4/12
6
67%8/12
53%9/17
All
56%53/95
50%53/106

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

201 rallies

#NO TEX-CHARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CHARCHARBlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Cassidy Flakes, Jovana Antic+2.0
21-1CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.4
31-2NO TEXCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+1.5
42-2CHARNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+1.4
52-3NO TEXCHARServe errNorth Texas+1.6
63-3CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.5
73-4NO TEXCHARServe errNorth Texas+1.6
84-4CHARNO TEX×3KillAddison Achillesset Olivia Branum+1.5
95-4NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+2.0
106-4NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errSara Marinkovic+1.8
116-5NO TEXCHAR×4KillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+1.4
126-6CHARCHAR×4Attack errJocelyn Jourdan+2.1
136-7CHARCHAR×4KillHarper Hall+2.3
146-8CHARCHAR×4AceCharlotteaced Dakota Mitchell+2.5
157-8CHARNO TEXKillAddison Achillesset Olivia Branum+1.7
167-9NO TEXCHAR×4Serve errNorth Texas+1.9
177-10CHARCHAR×4Attack errJocelyn Jourdan+2.6
187-11CHARCHAR×4Attack errJahniya Jackson+2.6
197-12CHARCHAR×4BlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Cassidy Flakes, Jovana Antic+2.4
208-12CHARNO TEXServe errCharlotte+1.4
219-12NO TEXNO TEXAceNorth Texasaced Erin Lehman+2.2
229-13NO TEXCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+2.0
2310-13CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.6
2411-13NO TEXNO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Sidney Soria+2.5
2511-14NO TEXCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+2.3
2611-15CHARCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+2.8
2712-15CHARNO TEXAttack errGia McGrew+1.7
2813-15NO TEXNO TEXKillAddison Achilles+2.6
2913-16NO TEXCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+2.4
3014-16CHARNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.0
3114-17NO TEXCHARAttack errReagan Bedell+2.5
3214-18CHARCHARBlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Sofia Locadia+3.1
3315-18CHARNO TEX×3KillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+1.7
3416-18NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errSofia Locadia+2.8
3517-18NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Dakota Mitchell+3.3
3617-19NO TEXCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+3.1
3718-19CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Olivia Branum+2.6
3819-19NO TEXNO TEXKillLoredana Fouonjiset Olivia Branum+3.9
3919-20NO TEXCHARBlockedJocelyn Jourdanblk Cassidy Flakes+3.4
4020-20CHARNO TEXServe errCharlotte+3.2
4120-21NO TEXCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+3.8
4221-21CHARNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+3.5
4321-22NO TEXCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+4.3
4421-23CHARCHARAttack errReagan Bedell+6.0
4522-23CHARNO TEXServe errCharlotte+3.1
4622-24NO TEXCHARServe errNorth Texas+5.4
4722-25CHARCHARKillGia McGrewset Sara Marinkovic+4.5
Set 2
10-1NO TEXCHARAttack errJahniya Jackson+2.2
21-1CHARNO TEXKillAlexa Hayesset Olivia Branum+2.0
31-2NO TEXCHARServe errNorth Texas+2.2
42-2CHARNO TEX×3BlockedHarper Hallblk Jahniya Jackson+2.1
53-2NO TEXNO TEX×3Bad setHarper Hall+2.7
64-2NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+2.5
74-3NO TEXCHARBlockedLillian Croshawblk Gia McGrew+1.9
85-3CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.9
96-3NO TEXNO TEXAttack errSara Marinkovic+2.3
106-4NO TEXCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+1.7
117-4CHARNO TEXAttack errHarper Hall+1.7
128-4NO TEXNO TEXAceNorth Texasaced Erin Lehman+2.1
138-5NO TEXCHAR×3Serve errNorth Texas+1.4
148-6CHARCHAR×3BlockedLillian Croshawblk Cassidy Flakes+2.3
158-7CHARCHAR×3Attack errLillian Croshaw+2.8
169-7CHARNO TEXKillAddison Achillesset Sidney Soria+2.1
179-8NO TEXCHARKillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+2.2
189-9CHARCHARAttack errMadeline Smith+3.3
1910-9CHARNO TEX×3KillMadeline Smithset Alexa Hayes+2.4
2011-9NO TEXNO TEX×3AceNorth Texasaced Sara Marinkovic+3.1
2112-9NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Olivia Branum+2.7
2212-10NO TEXCHAR×3Serve errNorth Texas+1.9
2312-11CHARCHAR×3BlockedAlexa Hayesblk Gia McGrew, Sofia Locadia+3.1
2412-12CHARCHAR×3KillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+3.7
2513-12CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Olivia Branum+2.8
2613-13NO TEXCHAR×6Bad setOlivia Branum+2.9
2713-14CHARCHAR×6BlockedAlexa Hayesblk Gia McGrew+4.3
2813-15CHARCHAR×6BlockedLoredana Fouonjiblk Sofia Locadia, Gia McGrew+4.6
2913-16CHARCHAR×6BlockedLoredana Fouonjiblk Sofia Locadia+4.6
3013-17CHARCHAR×6BlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Sofia Locadia+4.3
3113-18CHARCHAR×6Attack errJahniya Jackson+3.6
3214-18CHARNO TEXServe errCharlotte+1.8
3314-19NO TEXCHAR×7KillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+2.7
3414-20CHARCHAR×7Attack errJahniya Jackson+2.6
3514-21CHARCHAR×7KillHarper Hallset Sofia Locadia+1.6
3614-22CHARCHAR×7BlockedLillian Croshawblk Sofia Locadia, Sara Marinkovic+0.8
3714-23CHARCHAR×7KillMariam Mushkudianiset Milena Lopez+0.3
3814-24CHARCHAR×7KillMariam Mushkudianiset Milena Lopez+0.1
3914-25CHARCHAR×7KillMariam Mushkudianiset Chloe Maughan·
Set 3
11-0CHARNO TEX×4KillJocelyn Jourdanset Sidney Soria+1.7
22-0NO TEXNO TEX×4AceNorth Texasaced Sara Marinkovic+2.2
33-0NO TEXNO TEX×4Bad setHarper Hall+2.0
44-0NO TEXNO TEX×4KillJahniya Jacksonset Addison Achilles+1.8
54-1NO TEXCHAR×3Attack errAddison Achilles+1.3
64-2CHARCHAR×3AceCharlotteaced Reagan Bedell+2.0
74-3CHARCHAR×3BlockedJocelyn Jourdanblk Gia McGrew+2.3
85-3CHARNO TEXKillAddison Achillesset Sidney Soria+1.8
95-4NO TEXCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+1.8
105-5CHARCHARAttack errJocelyn Jourdan+2.7
116-5CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+2.0
126-6NO TEXCHAR×5KillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+2.1
136-7CHARCHAR×5Attack errJahniya Jackson+3.1
146-8CHARCHAR×5KillSara Marinkovicset Chloe Maughan+3.3
156-9CHARCHAR×5KillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+3.4
166-10CHARCHAR×5Attack errKennedy Cooper+3.3
177-10CHARNO TEX×3KillRyann Vikset Paige Hawkinson+2.1
188-10NO TEXNO TEX×3AceNorth Texasaced Erin Lehman+3.1
199-10NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+3.3
209-11NO TEXCHARServe errNorth Texas+2.8
2110-11CHARNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+2.5
2211-11NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+3.4
2312-11NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errCassidy Flakes+3.3
2412-12NO TEXCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+2.6
2513-12CHARNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+2.5
2613-13NO TEXCHARServe errNorth Texas+2.7
2714-13CHARNO TEXKillAddison Achillesset Sidney Soria+2.7
2814-14NO TEXCHAR×4KillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+2.8
2914-15CHARCHAR×4BlockedJocelyn Jourdanblk Sofia Locadia+4.2
3014-16CHARCHAR×4Attack errJahniya Jackson+4.5
3114-17CHARCHAR×4KillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+4.5
3215-17CHARNO TEXBad setHarper Hall+2.7
3315-18NO TEXCHARServe errNorth Texas+3.5
3416-18CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+2.8
3517-18NO TEXNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+4.4
3617-19NO TEXCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+4.1
3718-19CHARNO TEX×3KillRyann Vikset Paige Hawkinson+3.4
3819-19NO TEXNO TEX×3KillRyann Vikset Paige Hawkinson+5.3
3920-19NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+5.4
4020-20NO TEXCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+4.1
4121-20CHARNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Paige Hawkinson+4.4
4222-20NO TEXNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+5.4
4322-21NO TEXCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+3.3
4423-21CHARNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+4.5
4524-21NO TEXNO TEXBlockedSara Marinkovicblk Jocelyn Jourdan+4.0
4624-22NO TEXCHARAttack errAddison Achilles+1.2
4724-23CHARCHARBlockedAddison Achillesblk Cassidy Flakes+4.0
4825-23CHARNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+6.6
Set 4
11-0NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Dakota Mitchell+3.6
21-1NO TEXCHARKillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+2.8
32-1CHARNO TEX×3Serve errCharlotte+2.7
43-1NO TEXNO TEX×3KillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+3.5
54-1NO TEXNO TEX×3AceNorth Texasaced Sara Marinkovic+3.1
64-2NO TEXCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+2.3
74-3CHARCHARAceCharlotte+3.5
85-3CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+2.7
95-4NO TEXCHARServe errNorth Texas+2.8
106-4CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Dakota Mitchell+2.7
116-5NO TEXCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+2.8
127-5CHARNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+2.8
137-6NO TEXCHARKillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+2.9
148-6CHARNO TEXAttack errSara Marinkovic+2.9
158-7NO TEXCHARKillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+3.0
169-7CHARNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+3.0
179-8NO TEXCHARServe errNorth Texas+3.1
1810-8CHARNO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Sidney Soria+3.1
1911-8NO TEXNO TEXBlockedJovana Anticblk Jahniya Jackson, Ryann Vik+3.8
2011-9NO TEXCHARAttack errJahniya Jackson+2.7
2112-9CHARNO TEX×3Attack errGia McGrew+2.8
2213-9NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+3.3
2314-9NO TEXNO TEX×3KillJahniya Jacksonset Ryann Vik+2.6
2414-10NO TEXCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+1.6
2514-11CHARCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+2.9
2615-11CHARNO TEX×5KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+2.5
2716-11NO TEXNO TEX×5BlockedSofia Locadiablk Addison Achilles+2.6
2817-11NO TEXNO TEX×5KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.9
2918-11NO TEXNO TEX×5KillSidney Soriaset Reagan Bedell+1.2
3019-11NO TEXNO TEX×5KillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+0.7
3119-12NO TEXCHARKillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+0.3
3219-13CHARCHARAceCharlotteaced Reagan Bedell+0.7
3320-13CHARNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+0.7
3421-13NO TEXNO TEXKillAddison Achillesset Paige Hawkinson+0.5
3521-14NO TEXCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+0.2
3621-15CHARCHARAttack errAddison Achilles+0.4
3722-15CHARNO TEX×3BlockedCassidy Flakesblk Addison Achilles+0.5
3823-15NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errCassidy Flakes+0.3
3924-15NO TEXNO TEX×3KillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+0.1
4024-16NO TEXCHAR×3KillClara Brileyset Kennedy Earls·
4124-17CHARCHAR×3KillClara Brileyset Chloe Maughan·
4224-18CHARCHAR×3KillClara Brileyset Harper Hall+0.1
4325-18CHARNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Paige Hawkinson+1.1
Set 5
11-0CHARNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+5.7
22-0NO TEXNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+7.2
32-1NO TEXCHARAttack errJocelyn Jourdan+5.3
43-1CHARNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+5.5
53-2NO TEXCHARAttack errJahniya Jackson+5.5
64-2CHARNO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Sidney Soria+5.7
75-2NO TEXNO TEXBlockedSofia Locadiablk Addison Achilles+6.8
85-3NO TEXCHAR×7KillGia McGrewset Harper Hall+4.7
95-4CHARCHAR×7Attack errLillian Croshaw+7.8
105-5CHARCHAR×7Serve errCharlotte+9.5
115-6CHARCHAR×7KillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+10.8
125-7CHARCHAR×7KillSara Marinkovicset Harper Hall+11.5
135-8CHARCHAR×7Attack errAddison Achilles+11.3
145-9CHARCHAR×7Attack errLillian Croshaw+10.1
156-9CHARNO TEXServe errCharlotte+5.3
167-9NO TEXNO TEXAttack errSofia Locadia+9.3
177-10NO TEXCHARKillSofia Locadiaset Harper Hall+9.5
188-10CHARNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Olivia Branum+6.9
198-11NO TEXCHAR×4Serve errNorth Texas+10.0
208-12CHARCHAR×4BlockedReagan Bedellblk Cassidy Flakes, Jovana Antic+10.4
218-13CHARCHAR×4Attack errReagan Bedell+6.5
228-14CHARCHAR×4KillJovana Anticset Harper Hall+2.8
239-14CHARNO TEXBlockedJovana Anticblk Reagan Bedell+0.4
249-15NO TEXCHARKillCassidy Flakesset Harper Hall+1.0

Score shown after each rally, North Texas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).