FinalWed, Oct 14, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UTSA def. North Texas 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: UTSA 61.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 14, 5:10 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UTSA beat visiting North Texas 3-0 (25-19, 25-10, 25-21) on Wed, Oct 14, 2026. UTSA's Ally Tribe led with 8 kills, and Alyssa Manitzas added 18 digs.

Data through · final Oct 14

Set123Sets
NO TEX1910210
UTSA2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

UTSA broke it open with a 7–0 run in the second set.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.4 points. North Texas peaked at 41% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UTSA at 62%.

North TexasUTSA
  • Break %+20.8 pts
    37.358.1

    On serve: 43/74 against 19/51 (North Texas sideout 41.9%).

  • Hitting+.268
    -.010.258

    36 K / 13 E against 27 K / 28 E.

  • Longest run+4
    37

    7 straight UTSA points in the second set stretched a 10–8 lead to 17–8. Final score of the set: 25–10.

UTSA above 50North Texas belowMax swing 3.4%

North TexasUTSA

Aces
North Texas 3·UTSA 5
Serve err
North Texas 4·UTSA 7
Blocks
North Texas 6·UTSA 131 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 24 BA
Digs
North Texas 38·UTSA 44

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UTSA above 50 · North Texas below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.4% UTSArally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.4% to UTSA — set 3, NO TEX 21-22 UTSA. Attack error by Addison Achilles. UTSA win probability 91% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NO TEX 42.8%57.2% UTSA

North Texas wins

3-0
9.7%
3-1
15.8%
3-2
17.3%

UTSA wins

3-0
15.8%
3-1
21.7%
3-2
19.7%
NO TEX break %
40.5% vs this opp
UTSA break %
41.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Addison AchillesAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Addison Achilles

    Set 3 · NO TEX 21-22 UTSA · UTSA 91% → 94%

  2. 02

    Jahniya Jackson stuffed by Caroline Tredwell & Sydney Bryant

    Set 3 · NO TEX 21-23 UTSA · UTSA 94% → 97%

  3. 03

    Kill by Addison Achilles (set by Sidney Soria)

    Set 3 · NO TEX 21-20 UTSA · NO TEX 8% → 11%

  4. 04

    Kill by Caroline Tredwell (set by Valeria Ortiz)

    Set 1 · NO TEX 8-9 UTSA · UTSA 61% → 64%

  5. 05

    Ace by Addison Achilles on Alyssa Manitzas

    Set 1 · NO TEX 7-6 UTSA · NO TEX 38% → 40%

  6. 06
    UTSAAce+2.8%

    UTSA ace on Jahniya Jackson

    Set 1 · NO TEX 8-10 UTSA · UTSA 64% → 67%

  7. 07
    Ledisi KpeaKill+2.6%

    Kill by Ledisi Kpea (set by Ally Tribe)

    Set 1 · NO TEX 4-5 UTSA · UTSA 62% → 64%

  8. 08
    Reagan BedellAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Reagan Bedell

    Set 1 · NO TEX 8-11 UTSA · UTSA 67% → 70%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37418.16710020010.57.5
35311.182010300217
35624-.042000430216
3339.000000100214
3105.2001500701012
3000–002220000
33719-.211012500004
3327.143000100214
3000–3101000001
3000–500100000
2001.00000000010.50.5
2000–000100000
1024-.500000000000
1011-1.000000100000
Team totals272899-.0102434385110650
UTSAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37216.31301100052.510.5
36111.4550001016410
38217.35311282010.59.5
36321.14310010052.58.5
33310.00000030052.55.5
3001.0001112600001
35211.273100100216
3000–3201810002
3102.5001500200001
3000–102400000
Team totals361389.25833574431241375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

North Texas vs UTSA

Season series · UTSA leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 NO TEX · UTSA 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 NO TEXUTSA 5

Set 2

10-25

Longest run 2 NO TEXUTSA 7

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 NO TEXUTSA 5

Bars above the line = UTSA leads, below = North Texas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Texas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
29%6/21
45%5/11
2
56%5/9
45%5/11
3
50%5/10
29%2/7
4
63%5/8
29%2/7
5
29%5/17
44%4/9
6
56%5/9
17%1/6
All
42%31/74
37%19/51

UTSA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
54%7/13
2
63%5/8
69%11/16
3
83%5/6
38%3/8
4
50%5/10
55%6/11
5
83%5/6
55%6/11
6
63%5/8
67%10/15
All
63%32/51
58%43/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#NO TEX-UTSASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UTSAUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+2.4
20-2UTSAUTSAAttack errJahniya Jackson+2.3
31-2UTSANO TEX×3KillRyann Vikset Sidney Soria+1.6
42-2NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errAlly Tribe+2.5
53-2NO TEXNO TEX×3KillAddison Achilles+2.6
63-3NO TEXUTSAAttack errAddison Achilles+1.8
74-3UTSANO TEXServe errUTSA+1.9
84-4NO TEXUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins+1.8
94-5UTSAUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Ally Tribe+2.6
105-5UTSANO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+1.9
115-6NO TEXUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Sydney Bryant+1.9
126-6UTSANO TEXKillAddison Achillesset Olivia Branum+1.9
137-6NO TEXNO TEXAceAddison Achillesaced Alyssa Manitzas+2.9
147-7NO TEXUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+2.0
158-7UTSANO TEXKillRyann Vikset Olivia Branum+2.1
168-8NO TEXUTSA×5KillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+2.0
178-9UTSAUTSA×5KillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+2.9
188-10UTSAUTSA×5AceUTSAaced Jahniya Jackson+2.8
198-11UTSAUTSA×5Attack errReagan Bedell+2.6
208-12UTSAUTSA×5AceUTSAaced Jahniya Jackson+2.3
219-12UTSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.4
229-13NO TEXUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+1.6
239-14UTSAUTSABad setSidney Soria+1.9
2410-14UTSANO TEXServe errUTSA+1.1
2510-15NO TEXUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Alyssa Manitzas+1.3
2611-15UTSANO TEXServe errUTSA+1.0
2712-15NO TEXNO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Olivia Branum+2.0
2812-16NO TEXUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+1.7
2913-16UTSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Dakota Mitchell+1.4
3013-17NO TEXUTSA×4Attack errJahniya Jackson+1.7
3113-18UTSAUTSA×4KillSydney Bryantset Valeria Ortiz+1.9
3213-19UTSAUTSA×4BlockedJocelyn Jourdanblk Isabella Arroyave, Ledisi Kpea+1.3
3313-20UTSAUTSA×4KillMakinsey Jonesset Valeria Ortiz+0.7
3414-20UTSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Dakota Mitchell+0.3
3515-20NO TEXNO TEXBlockedIsabella Arroyaveblk Jocelyn Jourdan, Ryann Vik+0.7
3615-21NO TEXUTSABlockedReagan Bedellblk Ledisi Kpea, Makinsey Jones+0.7
3716-21UTSANO TEXKillRyann Vikset Olivia Branum+0.4
3816-22NO TEXUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+0.6
3917-22UTSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+0.3
4017-23NO TEXUTSAServe errNorth Texas+0.5
4118-23UTSANO TEXAttack errCaroline Tredwell+0.2
4219-23NO TEXNO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+0.5
4319-24NO TEXUTSAKillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+0.7
4419-25UTSAUTSAAttack errLillian Croshaw+0.2
Set 2
11-0NO TEXNO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Dakota Mitchell+2.2
22-0NO TEXNO TEXAttack errSydney Bryant+2.3
32-1NO TEXUTSA×3KillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+1.5
42-2UTSAUTSA×3KillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+2.2
52-3UTSAUTSA×3Attack errAddison Achilles+2.2
63-3UTSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.6
74-3NO TEXNO TEXKillAddison Achilles+2.4
84-4NO TEXUTSAServe errNorth Texas+1.6
94-5UTSAUTSABlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Isabella Arroyave, Sydney Bryant+2.3
105-5UTSANO TEXKillAddison Achillesset Sidney Soria+1.7
115-6NO TEXUTSA×4BlockedLillian Croshawblk Isabella Arroyave, Ledisi Kpea+1.7
125-7UTSAUTSA×4KillMakinsey Jonesset Alyssa Manitzas+2.3
135-8UTSAUTSA×4BlockedLillian Croshawblk Isabella Arroyave, Ledisi Kpea+2.2
145-9UTSAUTSA×4BlockedRyann Vikblk Ledisi Kpea+1.9
156-9UTSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.2
167-9NO TEXNO TEXBlockedLedisi Kpeablk Ryann Vik, Jocelyn Jourdan+2.0
177-10NO TEXUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+1.6
188-10UTSANO TEXServe errUTSA+1.5
198-11NO TEXUTSA×7Serve errNorth Texas+1.6
208-12UTSAUTSA×7KillAlly Tribeset Valeria Ortiz+2.0
218-13UTSAUTSA×7KillValeria Ortizset Makinsey Jones+1.7
228-14UTSAUTSA×7Attack errRyann Vik+1.3
238-15UTSAUTSA×7Attack errReagan Bedell+0.9
248-16UTSAUTSA×7BlockedReagan Bedellblk Caroline Tredwell, Makinsey Jones+0.6
258-17UTSAUTSA×7Attack errJocelyn Jourdan+0.4
269-17UTSANO TEXKillJocelyn Jourdanset Valeria Ortiz+0.2
279-18NO TEXUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+0.2
2810-18UTSANO TEXServe errUTSA+0.1
2910-19NO TEXUTSA×7KillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins+0.2
3010-20UTSAUTSA×7Bad setSidney Soria+0.1
3110-21UTSAUTSA×7KillSydney Bryantset Alyssa Manitzas+0.1
3210-22UTSAUTSA×7AceUTSAaced Alessandra Romo·
3310-23UTSAUTSA×7Attack errAlexa Hayes·
3410-24UTSAUTSA×7BlockedMadeline Smithblk Isabella Arroyave, Caroline Tredwell·
3510-25UTSAUTSA×7Attack errMadeline Smith·
Set 3
11-0UTSANO TEXBlockedSydney Bryantblk Addison Achilles, Jahniya Jackson+0.9
21-1NO TEXUTSA×3KillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+0.9
31-2UTSAUTSA×3BlockedLillian Croshawblk Caroline Tredwell, Sydney Bryant+1.3
41-3UTSAUTSA×3KillSydney Bryantset Megan Hawkins+1.2
52-3UTSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+0.9
62-4NO TEXUTSABlockedReagan Bedellblk Caroline Tredwell, Sydney Bryant+0.9
72-5UTSAUTSAAceUTSAaced Jahniya Jackson+1.2
83-5UTSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+0.8
93-6NO TEXUTSAKillIsabella Arroyaveset Megan Hawkins+0.8
104-6UTSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+0.8
115-6NO TEXNO TEXKillSidney Soriaset Lillian Croshaw+1.3
125-7NO TEXUTSA×3KillMakinsey Jonesset Valeria Ortiz+0.9
135-8UTSAUTSA×3KillLedisi Kpeaset Valeria Ortiz+1.3
145-9UTSAUTSA×3KillMakinsey Jonesset Valeria Ortiz+1.1
156-9UTSANO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+0.7
166-10NO TEXUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Valeria Ortiz+0.8
177-10UTSANO TEX×3BlockedMakinsey Jonesblk Kennedy Cooper, Jahniya Jackson+0.7
188-10NO TEXNO TEX×3AceDakota Mitchellaced Ally Tribe+1.2
199-10NO TEXNO TEX×3Attack errCaroline Tredwell+1.4
209-11NO TEXUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Valeria Ortiz+1.1
2110-11UTSANO TEXKillJahniya Jacksonset Sidney Soria+1.0
2211-11NO TEXNO TEXBlockedSydney Bryantblk Addison Achilles, Lillian Croshaw+1.6
2311-12NO TEXUTSAKillAlly Tribeset Megan Hawkins+1.2
2412-12UTSANO TEXAttack errIsabella Arroyave+1.2
2513-12NO TEXNO TEXKillReagan Bedellset Sidney Soria+1.8
2613-13NO TEXUTSAKillCaroline Tredwellset Megan Hawkins+1.3
2714-13UTSANO TEXServe errCaroline Tredwell+1.4
2815-13NO TEXNO TEXAttack errIsabella Arroyave+2.0
2915-14NO TEXUTSAKillLedisi Kpeaset Jahniya Jackson+1.2
3016-14UTSANO TEXKillLillian Croshawset Sidney Soria+1.4
3117-14NO TEXNO TEXAttack errMakinsey Jones+1.9
3217-15NO TEXUTSA×5KillIsabella Arroyaveset Valeria Ortiz+1.1
3317-16UTSAUTSA×5BlockedReagan Bedellblk Ledisi Kpea, Sydney Bryant+1.9
3417-17UTSAUTSA×5KillMakinsey Jonesset Giada Obregon+2.2
3517-18UTSAUTSA×5BlockedRyann Vikblk Ledisi Kpea, Ally Tribe+2.3
3617-19UTSAUTSA×5Attack errReagan Bedell+2.2
3718-19UTSANO TEXServe errGiada Obregon+1.4
3819-19NO TEXNO TEXAceReagan Bedellaced Ally Tribe+2.4
3919-20NO TEXUTSAServe errReagan Bedell+1.9
4020-20UTSANO TEXBlockedAlly Tribeblk Sidney Soria+1.9
4121-20NO TEXNO TEXKillAddison Achillesset Sidney Soria+3.1
4221-21NO TEXUTSA×5Attack errJahniya Jackson+2.1
4321-22UTSAUTSA×5Attack errAddison Achilles+3.4
4421-23UTSAUTSA×5BlockedJahniya Jacksonblk Caroline Tredwell, Sydney Bryant+3.1
4521-24UTSAUTSA×5Attack errJahniya Jackson+2.1
4621-25UTSAUTSA×5AceMegan Hawkinsaced Alessandra Romo+0.8

Score shown after each rally, North Texas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).