FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on Midco Sports+

St. Thomas (MN) def. Oral Roberts 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: St. Thomas (MN) 98.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

St. Thomas (MN) won at Oral Roberts 3-0 (25-19, 25-9, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. St. Thomas (MN)'s Anya Schmidt led with 14 kills, and Taylor McNear added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
STTHOM2525253
ORU199170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.435 and 14 kills for Anya Schmidt as St. Thomas (MN) rolled past Oral Roberts.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.5 points, and Oral Roberts's high was 2% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave St. Thomas (MN) 98% before first serve.

St. Thomas (MN)Oral Roberts
  • Break %+27.7 pts
    57.529.8

    Points won on own serve: 42 of 73 vs 14 of 47. Oral Roberts sided out 42.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.321
    .321.000

    49 kills, 13 errors vs 17 kills, 17 errors.

  • Longest run+10
    155

    Up 4–3 in the second set, St. Thomas (MN) scored 15 straight to make it 19–3. The set finished 25–9.

Oral Roberts above 50St. Thomas (MN) belowMax swing 0.5%

St. Thomas (MN)Oral Roberts

Aces
St. Thomas (MN) 4·Oral Roberts 4
Serve err
St. Thomas (MN) 10·Oral Roberts 4
Blocks
St. Thomas (MN) 8·Oral Roberts 31 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs
St. Thomas (MN) 49·Oral Roberts 38

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Oral Roberts above 50 · St. Thomas (MN) below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 120 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: St. Thomas (MN) stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STTHOM 98.7%1.3% ORU

St. Thomas (MN) wins

3-0
71.6%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
4.5%

Oral Roberts wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.3%
3-2
0.9%
STTHOM break %
54.5% vs this opp
ORU break %
37.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314423.4351036000014
37015.4670000014310
38226.2311101010009
35112.333352380010.57.5
3419.33300010031.55.5
2206.33300020031.53.5
3001.0007001210000
3000–000000000
26211.36400140010.56.5
2000–011200001
2000–002310000
1215.200000000002
1124-.250000000001
1000–000000211
1000–200100000
1000–000000000
Team totals4913112.32146410494114875
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36119.263000200006
3417.429000100215
32722-.22700051010.52.5
21412-.250000300001
21011.000000100001
2000–502100000
3000–0101310001
3000–700400000
2000–320000002
2000–011101012
21113.00000151010.51.5
2127-.143000000001
2001.000000110000
1117.000000100001
Team totals171789.000154438414345

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

St. Thomas (MN) vs Oral Roberts

Season series · St. Thomas (MN) leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 15 STTHOM · ORU 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 STTHOMORU 3

Set 2

25-9

Longest run 15 STTHOMORU 2

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 8 STTHOMORU 5

Bars above the line = Oral Roberts leads, below = St. Thomas (MN) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

St. Thomas (MN)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
0%0/5
2
75%6/8
54%7/13
3
86%6/7
25%2/8
4
50%5/10
76%16/21
5
100%5/5
55%6/11
6
67%4/6
73%11/15
All
70%33/47
58%42/73

Oral Roberts

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
40%4/10
2
75%6/8
30%3/10
3
63%5/8
14%1/7
4
21%5/24
50%5/10
5
27%4/15
0%0/5
6
80%4/5
20%1/5
All
42%31/73
30%14/47

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#STTHOM-ORUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1ORUORUAttack errReilly Kurth
21-1ORUSTTHOM×3KillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy
32-1STTHOMSTTHOM×3BlockedCiara Cunninghamblk Emory Brosnahan, Heidi Wingate
43-1STTHOMSTTHOM×3KillHeidi Wingateset Morgan Kealy
53-2STTHOMORUBlockedEllie Gustafsonblk Cortnee Smith, Molly Felkins
64-2ORUSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy
74-3STTHOMORUServe errKira Brundage
85-3ORUSTTHOMKillHeidi Wingateset Morgan Kealy
95-4STTHOMORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ava Ewald
106-4ORUSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Taylor McNear
116-5STTHOMORUKillSienna Wnetrzakset Ashlyn Aseltine
127-5ORUSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
138-5STTHOMSTTHOMAceMorgan Kealyaced Olivia Burns
148-6STTHOMORUServe errMorgan Kealy
159-6ORUSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
169-7STTHOMORUKillMolly Felkinsset Ashlyn Aseltine
1710-7ORUSTTHOMServe errAva Ewald
1811-7STTHOMSTTHOMAceBryn Lunskiaced Cortnee Smith
1911-8STTHOMORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ava Ewald
2012-8ORUSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy
2112-9STTHOMORUKillMolly Felkinsset Ava Ewald
2213-9ORUSTTHOMKillMorgan Kealyset Anya Schmidt
2313-10STTHOMORUKillJaya Tarverset Ava Ewald
2413-11ORUORUKillLibby Ryanset Ashlyn Aseltine
2514-11ORUSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
2615-11STTHOMSTTHOMKillMorgan Kealyset Sienna Wnetrzak
2715-12STTHOMORUAttack errAnya Schmidt
2816-12ORUSTTHOMAttack errSienna Wnetrzak
2917-12STTHOMSTTHOMBlockedCortnee Smithblk Miriam Unongo, Reilly Kurth
3017-13STTHOMORUServe errMorgan Kealy
3117-14ORUORUAceOlivia Burnsaced Taylor McNear
3218-14ORUSTTHOMKillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy
3318-15STTHOMORU×3Serve errAnya Schmidt
3418-16ORUORU×3KillCortnee Smithset Ava Ewald
3518-17ORUORU×3Attack errAnya Schmidt
3619-17ORUSTTHOM×4Serve errAva Ewald
3720-17STTHOMSTTHOM×4Attack errLibby Ryan
3821-17STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillHeidi Wingateset Morgan Kealy
3922-17STTHOMSTTHOM×4KillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy
4022-18STTHOMORUServe errSt. Thomas (MN)
4123-18ORUSTTHOMBlockedLibby Ryanblk Miriam Unongo, Heidi Wingate
4223-19STTHOMORUServe errSt. Thomas (MN)
4324-19ORUSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy
4425-19STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errCortnee Smith
Set 2
10-1STTHOMORUServe errAnya Schmidt
21-1ORUSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy
32-1STTHOMSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Morgan Kealy
42-2STTHOMORUAttack errEllie Gustafson
53-2ORUSTTHOMBlockedLibby Ryanblk Audrey Kocon, Heidi Wingate
64-2STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errLibby Ryan
74-3STTHOMORUServe errAudrey Kocon
85-3ORUSTTHOM×15KillHeidi Wingateset Morgan Kealy
96-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillAnya Schmidtset Taylor McNear
107-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillMorgan Kealyset Ashlyn Aseltine
118-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
129-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15BlockedSienna Wnetrzakblk Morgan Kealy, Heidi Wingate
1310-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillAudrey Koconset Ashlyn Aseltine
1411-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
1512-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15Bad setSienna Wnetrzak
1613-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillHeidi Wingateset Morgan Kealy
1714-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15AceEllie Gustafsonaced Ana Stojicic
1815-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillMorgan Kealyset Taylor McNear
1916-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillHeidi Wingateset Morgan Kealy
2017-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15Attack errCortnee Smith
2118-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
2219-3STTHOMSTTHOM×15KillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy
2319-4STTHOMORUAttack errAddison Menefee
2420-4ORUSTTHOMKillAddison Menefeeset Morgan Kealy
2521-4STTHOMSTTHOMKillMadison Jonesset Morgan Kealy
2621-5STTHOMORUKillCortnee Smithset Khylie Remmenga
2722-5ORUSTTHOMKillAddison Menefeeset Ellie Gustafson
2823-5STTHOMSTTHOMAttack errCortnee Smith
2923-6STTHOMORUAttack errAudrey Kocon
3023-7ORUORUAttack errMadison Jones
3124-7ORUSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Ella Thorson
3224-8STTHOMORUServe errAnya Schmidt
3324-9ORUORUBlockedMadison Jonesblk Tarcy Mayah
3425-9ORUSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Ella Thorson
Set 3
11-0ORUSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Taylor McNear
21-1STTHOMORU×3KillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine
31-2ORUORU×3Bad setEllie Gustafson
41-3ORUORU×3KillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine
52-3ORUSTTHOMKillAudrey Koconset Morgan Kealy
63-3STTHOMSTTHOMKillEllie Gustafsonset Taylor McNear
73-4STTHOMORUAttack errMorgan Kealy
84-4ORUSTTHOMBlockedMolly Felkinsblk Heidi Wingate
94-5STTHOMORUAttack errAudrey Kocon
105-5ORUSTTHOMKillMorgan Kealyset Taylor McNear
115-6STTHOMORUBlockedAnya Schmidtblk Molly Felkins, Ana Stojicic
126-6ORUSTTHOM×8KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
137-6STTHOMSTTHOM×8BlockedCortnee Smithblk Reilly Kurth, Emory Brosnahan
148-6STTHOMSTTHOM×8KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
159-6STTHOMSTTHOM×8KillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy
1610-6STTHOMSTTHOM×8AceMorgan Kealyaced Mackenzie Murphy
1711-6STTHOMSTTHOM×8KillEmory Brosnahanset Morgan Kealy
1812-6STTHOMSTTHOM×8BlockedCortnee Smithblk Reilly Kurth, Emory Brosnahan
1913-6STTHOMSTTHOM×8KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
2013-7STTHOMORUServe errMorgan Kealy
2114-7ORUSTTHOMKillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
2214-8STTHOMORUKillElyse Dubeset Khylie Remmenga
2315-8ORUSTTHOMAttack errCortnee Smith
2415-9STTHOMORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine
2516-9ORUSTTHOMAttack errAna Stojicic
2616-10STTHOMORUKillAna Stojicicset Ashlyn Aseltine
2716-11ORUORUAceTarcy Mayah
2817-11ORUSTTHOMServe errTarcy Mayah
2918-11STTHOMSTTHOMKillHeidi Wingateset Morgan Kealy
3018-12STTHOMORU×5KillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine
3118-13ORUORU×5AceKhylie Remmengaaced Ellie Gustafson
3218-14ORUORU×5AceKhylie Remmengaaced Kira Brundage
3318-15ORUORU×5Attack errAnya Schmidt
3418-16ORUORU×5KillMolly Felkins
3519-16ORUSTTHOM×5KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
3620-16STTHOMSTTHOM×5KillAnya Schmidtset Morgan Kealy
3721-16STTHOMSTTHOM×5KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy
3822-16STTHOMSTTHOM×5Attack errElyse Dube
3923-16STTHOMSTTHOM×5KillReilly Kurthset Morgan Kealy
4023-17STTHOMORUKillMolly Felkinsset Khylie Remmenga
4124-17ORUSTTHOMServe errAna Stojicic
4225-17STTHOMSTTHOMKillReilly Kurth

Score shown after each rally, St. Thomas (MN) first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).