FinalThu, Sep 10, 2026

AwayASUN

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Washington def. Lipscomb 3–0

(25-14, 25-16, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIPSCO	14	16	21	0
WASH	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WASH above 50 · LIPSCO below

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Lipscomb — set 2, LIPSCO 10-7 WASH. Maija Howse stuffed by Anna Claire Brown & Brooklyn Fuchs. WASH win probability 94% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LIPSCO 7.5%92.5% WASH

Lipscomb wins

3-0

0.9%

3-1

2.2%

3-2

4.4%

Washington wins

3-0

49.1%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

12.2%

LIPSCO break %: 34.6% vs this opp
WASH break %: 45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Maija HowseAttack error+1.1%
Maija Howse stuffed by Anna Claire Brown & Brooklyn Fuchs
Set 2 · LIPSCO 10-7 WASH · LIPSCO 6% → 7%
02
Simona MateskaKill+1.0%
Kill by Simona Mateska (set by Andrea Fabikovicova)
Set 2 · LIPSCO 12-12 WASH · WASH 94% → 95%
03
Lexi GuinnAttack error+1.0%
Lexi Guinn stuffed by Maija Howse & Julia Hunt
Set 2 · LIPSCO 11-10 WASH · WASH 93% → 94%
04
Ella DurhamKill+0.9%
Kill by Ella Durham (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 2 · LIPSCO 7-5 WASH · LIPSCO 5% → 6%
05
WASH serverAce+0.9%
Washington ace on Lexi Guinn
Set 2 · LIPSCO 12-13 WASH · WASH 95% → 96%
06
Maija HowseKill+0.8%
Kill by Maija Howse (set by Andrea Fabikovicova)
Set 1 · LIPSCO 0-1 WASH · WASH 92% → 93%
07
LIPSCO serverAce+0.8%
Lipscomb ace on Kylie Kleckner
Set 2 · LIPSCO 4-2 WASH · LIPSCO 4% → 5%
08
Anna Claire BrownKill+0.8%
Kill by Anna Claire Brown (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 2 · LIPSCO 11-8 WASH · LIPSCO 6% → 7%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Lipscombaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Ella DurhamOH	3	9	6	36	.083	1	2	0	5	2	0	0	11
11Brooklyn FuchsMB	3	5	3	15	.133	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
3Sydney StrengerMB	3	4	2	15	.133	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	5
10Kelsey SchenckS	3	1	0	7	.143	26	0	2	3	0	2	1	2
8Kenzie KucksL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	7	1	0	0	0
13Makenna KirlinS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
7Anna Claire BrownOH	3	5	4	17	.059	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	6
5Lexi GuinnOH	3	4	5	20	-.050	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	4
15Grace JonesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	1
Team totals		28	20	112	.071	27	3	7	30	6	8	4	51

Washingtonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Simona MateskaOH	3	16	3	29	.448	1	0	1	7	1	0	1	0.5	16.5
7Kylie KlecknerOH	3	10	4	24	.250	2	2	1	8	1	0	4	2	14
2Julia HuntMB	3	6	2	9	.444	0	1	1	5	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
31Maija HowseOH	3	5	4	12	.083	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
6Andrea FabikovicovaS	3	2	1	6	.167	31	1	0	10	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
12Katy WesselsMB	3	2	2	10	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	4
1Addy AzavedoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	2
23Kaitlyn NguyenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	15	0	0	0	0	0
10Addie KanouffOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Lily Mae BuerkleS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	16	90	.278	39	6	4	51	3	1	18	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 LIPSCO · WASH 8

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 LIPSCOWASH 5

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 LIPSCOWASH 8

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 LIPSCOWASH 4

Bars above the line = Washington leads, below = Lipscomb leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Lipscomb

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	14%1/7
2	55%6/11	13%1/8
3	33%6/18	45%5/11
4	50%6/12	25%2/8
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	36%5/14	40%4/10
All	49%36/74	29%15/52

Washington

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	33%3/9
2	67%6/9	40%4/10
3	60%6/10	50%6/12
4	86%6/7	63%10/16
5	60%6/10	50%6/12
6	86%6/7	60%9/15
All	71%37/52	51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	LIPSCO-WASH	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WASH	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
2	1-1	WASH	LIPSCO	Attack err	Maija Howse		+0.6
3	1-2	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.5
4	1-3	WASH	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.8
5	2-3	WASH	LIPSCO	Serve err	WASH server		+0.5
6	2-4	LIPSCO	WASH×3	Attack err	Ella Durham		+0.5
7	2-5	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.7
8	2-6	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
9	3-6	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
10	3-7	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.3
11	3-8	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Lexi Guinn	blk Andrea Fabikovicova, Katy Wessels	+0.4
12	4-8	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
13	4-9	LIPSCO	WASH	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.3
14	5-9	WASH	LIPSCO	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+0.3
15	5-10	LIPSCO	WASH×3	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.3
16	5-11	WASH	WASH×3	Bad set	Grace Jones		+0.3
17	5-12	WASH	WASH×3	Attack err	Sydney Strenger	blk Simona Mateska, Julia Hunt	+0.2
18	6-12	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Kelsey Schenck	set Ella Durham	+0.1
19	6-13	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Andrea Fabikovicova	set Simona Mateska	+0.1
20	7-13	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
21	7-14	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.1
22	7-15	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Ella Durham		+0.1
23	8-15	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
24	9-15	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner	blk Anna Claire Brown, Brooklyn Fuchs	+0.1
25	9-16	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.1
26	10-16	WASH	LIPSCO	Attack err	Maija Howse		+0.1
27	11-16	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Ace	LIPSCO server	aced Simona Mateska	+0.2
28	11-17	LIPSCO	WASH	Attack err	Brooklyn Fuchs		+0.2
29	11-18	WASH	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
30	12-18	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
31	12-19	LIPSCO	WASH	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.1
32	13-19	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
33	13-20	LIPSCO	WASH×5	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.1
34	13-21	WASH	WASH×5	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.1
35	13-22	WASH	WASH×5	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.0
36	13-23	WASH	WASH×5	Attack err	Lexi Guinn		+0.0
37	13-24	WASH	WASH×5	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.0
38	14-24	WASH	LIPSCO	Serve err	WASH server		+0.0
39	14-25	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.4
2	1-1	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
3	1-2	LIPSCO	WASH	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown	blk Katy Wessels, Kylie Kleckner	+0.4
4	2-2	WASH	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
5	3-2	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
6	4-2	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Ace	LIPSCO server	aced Kylie Kleckner	+0.8
7	4-3	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.5
8	5-3	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.6
9	5-4	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Kylie Kleckner	+0.5
10	5-5	WASH	WASH	Ace	WASH server	aced Ella Durham	+0.7
11	6-5	WASH	LIPSCO	Attack err	Simona Mateska		+0.6
12	7-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.9
13	7-6	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.5
14	8-6	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
15	8-7	LIPSCO	WASH	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.6
16	9-7	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
17	10-7	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Maija Howse	blk Anna Claire Brown, Brooklyn Fuchs	+1.1
18	10-8	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Katy Wessels	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.6
19	11-8	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.8
20	11-9	LIPSCO	WASH	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown	blk Katy Wessels, Kylie Kleckner	+0.6
21	11-10	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Lexi Guinn	blk Maija Howse, Julia Hunt	+1.0
22	12-10	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.8
23	12-11	LIPSCO	WASH×8	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.7
24	12-12	WASH	WASH×8	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+1.0
25	12-13	WASH	WASH×8	Ace	WASH server	aced Lexi Guinn	+0.9
26	12-14	WASH	WASH×8	Ace	WASH server	aced Team	+0.8
27	12-15	WASH	WASH×8	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.6
28	12-16	WASH	WASH×8	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.5
29	12-17	WASH	WASH×8	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.3
30	12-18	WASH	WASH×8	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
31	13-18	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
32	13-19	LIPSCO	WASH×3	Kill	Andrea Fabikovicova	set Kaitlyn Nguyen	+0.1
33	13-20	WASH	WASH×3	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.1
34	13-21	WASH	WASH×3	Attack err	Lexi Guinn	blk Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.0
35	14-21	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.0
36	14-22	LIPSCO	WASH	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.0
37	14-23	WASH	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Addy Azavedo	+0.0
38	15-23	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.0
39	16-23	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Andrea Fabikovicova		+0.0
40	16-24	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.0
41	16-25	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Brooklyn Fuchs		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	WASH	WASH	Ace	WASH server	aced Ella Durham	+0.2
2	1-1	WASH	LIPSCO	Attack err	Maija Howse		+0.2
3	2-1	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Katy Wessels		+0.3
4	2-2	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
5	2-3	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Ella Durham	blk Maija Howse, Katy Wessels	+0.3
6	3-3	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.2
7	4-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Katy Wessels		+0.3
8	4-4	LIPSCO	WASH×4	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
9	4-5	WASH	WASH×4	Attack err	Brooklyn Fuchs	blk Julia Hunt, Kylie Kleckner	+0.3
10	4-6	WASH	WASH×4	Attack err	Lexi Guinn	blk Julia Hunt, Maija Howse	+0.2
11	4-7	WASH	WASH×4	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
12	5-7	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
13	6-7	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Julia Hunt		+0.3
14	6-8	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Maija Howse	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
15	6-9	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown		+0.2
16	7-9	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.1
17	7-10	LIPSCO	WASH	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.1
18	8-10	WASH	LIPSCO	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+0.1
19	9-10	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
20	9-11	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
21	9-12	WASH	WASH	Ace	WASH server	aced Kenzie Kucks	+0.2
22	10-12	WASH	LIPSCO	Serve err	WASH server		+0.2
23	10-13	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Kylie Kleckner	+0.2
24	11-13	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.2
25	11-14	LIPSCO	WASH	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.2
26	12-14	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.2
27	13-14	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Ace	LIPSCO server	aced Team	+0.3
28	13-15	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Kylie Kleckner	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.2
29	14-15	WASH	LIPSCO	Attack err	Julia Hunt		+0.2
30	14-16	LIPSCO	WASH	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown	blk Kylie Kleckner, Julia Hunt	+0.2
31	15-16	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
32	16-16	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Attack err	Kylie Kleckner		+0.5
33	16-17	LIPSCO	WASH×4	Kill	Julia Hunt	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.3
34	16-18	WASH	WASH×4	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Andrea Fabikovicova	+0.4
35	16-19	WASH	WASH×4	Ace	WASH server	aced Lexi Guinn	+0.3
36	16-20	WASH	WASH×4	Attack err	Ella Durham		+0.2
37	17-20	WASH	LIPSCO×3	Serve err	WASH server		+0.1
38	18-20	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Simona Mateska	blk Sydney Strenger, Kelsey Schenck	+0.3
39	19-20	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Simona Mateska	blk Sydney Strenger, Kelsey Schenck	+0.4
40	19-21	LIPSCO	WASH	Kill	Simona Mateska	set Lily Mae Buerkle	+0.4
41	19-22	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Sydney Strenger		+0.4
42	20-22	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.2
43	20-23	LIPSCO	WASH	Attack err	Ella Durham		+0.3
44	21-23	WASH	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham		+0.1
45	21-24	LIPSCO	WASH	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.2
46	21-25	WASH	WASH	Attack err	Ella Durham		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Lipscomb first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.