FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwaySOCON

0:3

HomeUAC-

Little Rock def. Tennessee Tech 3–0

(26-24, 25-20, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TNTECH	24	20	23	0
UALR	26	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UALR above 50 · TNTECH below

Biggest swing: 7.6% to Little Rock — set 1, TNTECH 24-25 UALR. Little Rock ace on Team. UALR win probability 74% → 81%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TNTECH 22.8%77.2% UALR

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0

3.9%

3-1

7.7%

3-2

11.2%

Little Rock wins

3-0

28.9%

3-1

29.4%

3-2

18.9%

TNTECH break %: 42.4% vs this opp
UALR break %: 48.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
UALR serverAce+7.6%
Little Rock ace on Team
Set 1 · TNTECH 24-25 UALR · UALR 74% → 81%
02
Alayna PierceKill+7.0%
Kill by Alayna Pierce (set by Morgan Petelin)
Set 1 · TNTECH 24-23 UALR · TNTECH 26% → 33%
03
Tuva FalkAttack error+7.0%
Attack error by Tuva Falk
Set 1 · TNTECH 24-24 UALR · UALR 67% → 74%
04
Kamya MahornAttack error+6.7%
Kamya Mahorn stuffed by Morgan Creer
Set 1 · TNTECH 24-26 UALR · UALR 81% → 88%
05
Bella CherryAttack error+5.4%
Attack error by Bella Cherry
Set 1 · TNTECH 23-22 UALR · TNTECH 26% → 32%
06
UALR serverAce+5.2%
Little Rock ace on Caroline Fruge
Set 1 · TNTECH 22-22 UALR · UALR 69% → 74%
07
Avery FearnleyKill+5.1%
Kill by Avery Fearnley (set by Victoria Fontenot)
Set 1 · TNTECH 23-23 UALR · UALR 68% → 74%
08
Alayna PierceAttack error+4.0%
Attack error by Alayna Pierce
Set 1 · TNTECH 22-21 UALR · UALR 65% → 69%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Tennessee Techaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Jordyn MilhouseMB	3	10	0	23	.435	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
14Ashlyn GambleOH	3	8	3	16	.313	0	0	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
24Alayna PierceOH	3	7	5	23	.087	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	7
21Tuva FalkMB	3	4	5	15	-.067	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
11Morgan PetelinS	3	1	1	4	.000	31	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
5Kamya MahornOH	2	3	5	15	-.133	2	2	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
4Bella PotempaOH	3	2	2	7	.000	0	0	3	9	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
13Caroline FrugeL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	0	1
6Ella WatfordL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	2	16	0	0	0	0	0
7Audrey BerkebileOH	2	5	4	13	.077	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	5
22Shelby HannahL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Ava SchubertOH	1	1	1	6	.000	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
3Brooklyn RappL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	26	124	.129	38	4	9	53	7	1	6	4	67

Little Rockhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Morgan CreerOH	3	10	3	21	.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	12
14Avery FearnleyOH	3	8	5	38	.079	0	1	1	11	2	1	2	2	11
17Lorena KeseljMB	3	3	1	5	.400	0	2	1	1	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
12Alyssa BoyteMB	3	1	1	8	.000	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	4	5
7Lovina TeelOH	3	3	2	14	.071	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3
5Lily KingS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
8Bella CherryOH	3	7	3	23	.174	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
1Miranda BledsoeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
4Alayna VaethS	3	1	0	2	.500	9	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
2Skyler PerezL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	12	1	0	0	0	0
6Victoria FontenotL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	15	113	.159	31	7	5	43	4	5	14	12	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 TNTECH · UALR 7

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 TNTECHUALR 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 TNTECHUALR 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 TNTECHUALR 7

Bars above the line = Little Rock leads, below = Tennessee Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Tennessee Tech

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%7/12	45%5/11
2	60%6/10	46%6/13
3	60%6/10	54%7/13
4	40%6/15	14%1/7
5	46%6/13	57%8/14
6	33%5/15	40%4/10
All	48%36/75	46%31/68

Little Rock

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	46%6/13
2	46%6/13	50%6/12
3	75%6/8	45%5/11
4	43%6/14	60%9/15
5	67%6/9	33%3/9
6	42%5/12	67%10/15
All	54%37/68	52%39/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

143 rallies

Rally log

#	TNTECH-UALR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UALR	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+1.7
2	1-1	UALR	TNTECH	Serve err	UALR server		+1.5
3	2-1	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Avery Fearnley	blk Tuva Falk, Ashlyn Gamble	+1.9
4	2-2	TNTECH	UALR	Attack err	Kamya Mahorn		+1.5
5	2-3	UALR	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer		+1.8
6	3-3	UALR	TNTECH×3	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+1.5
7	4-3	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Morgan Creer	blk Kamya Mahorn, Jordyn Milhouse	+2.0
8	5-3	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Bad set	Lily King		+2.2
9	5-4	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Lily King	+1.6
10	6-4	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+1.9
11	6-5	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Lily King	+1.7
12	7-5	UALR	TNTECH×4	Kill	Kamya Mahorn	set Morgan Petelin	+1.9
13	8-5	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Attack err	Lovina Teel		+2.3
14	9-5	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Attack err	Lovina Teel		+2.3
15	10-5	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+2.2
16	10-6	TNTECH	UALR	Serve err	TNTECH server		+1.5
17	11-6	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+1.9
18	12-6	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce		+2.1
19	12-7	TNTECH	UALR	Serve err	TNTECH server		+1.3
20	12-8	UALR	UALR	Attack err	Tuva Falk	blk Avery Fearnley	+1.9
21	13-8	UALR	TNTECH×4	Kill	Morgan Petelin	set Kamya Mahorn	+2.0
22	14-8	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Kill	Tuva Falk	set Morgan Petelin	+2.1
23	15-8	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Attack err	Avery Fearnley		+1.7
24	16-8	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+1.3
25	16-9	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Lorena Keselj	set Alayna Vaeth	+0.7
26	17-9	UALR	TNTECH	Serve err	UALR server		+1.1
27	17-10	TNTECH	UALR	Serve err	TNTECH server		+0.6
28	18-10	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+1.0
29	18-11	TNTECH	UALR×3	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+0.6
30	18-12	UALR	UALR×3	Ace	UALR server	aced Bella Potempa	+1.0
31	18-13	UALR	UALR×3	Ace	UALR server	aced Team	+1.3
32	19-13	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+1.6
33	19-14	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lovina Teel	+1.0
34	19-15	UALR	UALR	Attack err	Kamya Mahorn		+1.7
35	20-15	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+2.1
36	21-15	TNTECH	TNTECH	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Avery Fearnley	+1.8
37	21-16	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Alayna Vaeth	+0.8
38	21-17	UALR	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Skyler Perez	+1.4
39	22-17	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+1.9
40	22-18	TNTECH	UALR×5	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Alayna Vaeth	+1.0
41	22-19	UALR	UALR×5	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Miranda Bledsoe	+1.9
42	22-20	UALR	UALR×5	Attack err	Alayna Pierce	blk Lorena Keselj	+2.8
43	22-21	UALR	UALR×5	Attack err	Alayna Pierce		+4.0
44	22-22	UALR	UALR×5	Ace	UALR server	aced Caroline Fruge	+5.2
45	23-22	UALR	TNTECH	Attack err	Bella Cherry		+5.4
46	23-23	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Victoria Fontenot	+5.1
47	24-23	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+7.0
48	24-24	TNTECH	UALR×3	Attack err	Tuva Falk		+7.0
49	24-25	UALR	UALR×3	Ace	UALR server	aced Team	+7.6
50	24-26	UALR	UALR×3	Attack err	Kamya Mahorn	blk Morgan Creer	+6.7
Set 2
1	0-1	TNTECH	UALR	Attack err	Kamya Mahorn	blk Avery Fearnley, Lorena Keselj	+1.1
2	0-2	UALR	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+1.2
3	1-2	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+1.0
4	1-3	TNTECH	UALR	Serve err	TNTECH server		+1.0
5	2-3	UALR	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Morgan Creer		+1.1
6	3-3	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Avery Fearnley		+1.4
7	4-3	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Skyler Perez	+1.6
8	4-4	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+1.2
9	5-4	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+1.3
10	5-5	TNTECH	UALR	Serve err	TNTECH server		+1.3
11	6-5	UALR	TNTECH	Attack err	Bella Cherry		+1.4
12	7-5	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Avery Fearnley		+1.8
13	7-6	TNTECH	UALR×5	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Alayna Vaeth	+1.3
14	7-7	UALR	UALR×5	Ace	UALR server	aced Alayna Pierce	+1.6
15	7-8	UALR	UALR×5	Kill	Alayna Vaeth	set Miranda Bledsoe	+1.6
16	7-9	UALR	UALR×5	Ace	UALR server	aced Alayna Pierce	+1.5
17	7-10	UALR	UALR×5	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Miranda Bledsoe	+1.3
18	8-10	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Tuva Falk	set Morgan Petelin	+1.1
19	9-10	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Tuva Falk	set Morgan Petelin	+1.5
20	9-11	TNTECH	UALR×3	Attack err	Ashlyn Gamble		+1.3
21	9-12	UALR	UALR×3	Attack err	Ashlyn Gamble	blk Lorena Keselj, Avery Fearnley	+1.4
22	9-13	UALR	UALR×3	Attack err	Kamya Mahorn		+1.2
23	10-13	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Ava Schubert	set Kamya Mahorn	+0.9
24	10-14	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Lorena Keselj	set Lily King	+1.0
25	10-15	UALR	UALR	Kill	Lorena Keselj	set Skyler Perez	+1.0
26	11-15	UALR	TNTECH×3	Serve err	UALR server		+0.7
27	12-15	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Avery Fearnley	+1.1
28	13-15	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Kamya Mahorn	set Ella Watford	+1.5
29	13-16	TNTECH	UALR	Serve err	TNTECH server		+1.3
30	13-17	UALR	UALR	Bad set	Morgan Petelin		+1.3
31	14-17	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Kamya Mahorn	set Morgan Petelin	+0.9
32	14-18	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Lily King	+1.1
33	15-18	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+0.9
34	16-18	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Bella Potempa	set Ella Watford	+1.6
35	16-19	TNTECH	UALR	Attack err	Tuva Falk		+1.5
36	17-19	UALR	TNTECH	Attack err	Bella Cherry	blk Tuva Falk, Bella Potempa	+1.3
37	17-20	TNTECH	UALR	Attack err	Bella Potempa	blk Alyssa Boyte, Bella Cherry	+1.6
38	18-20	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Bella Potempa	set Ella Watford	+1.4
39	19-20	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Lorena Keselj		+2.3
40	19-21	TNTECH	UALR×3	Serve err	TNTECH server		+2.3
41	19-22	UALR	UALR×3	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+2.2
42	19-23	UALR	UALR×3	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Lily King	+1.4
43	20-23	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.6
44	20-24	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Lily King	+1.0
45	20-25	UALR	UALR	Attack err	Ava Schubert		+0.4
Set 3
1	1-0	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Morgan Petelin	+0.6
2	2-0	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Ella Watford	+0.8
3	2-1	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+0.6
4	3-1	UALR	TNTECH×3	Kill	Alayna Pierce	set Ella Watford	+0.7
5	4-1	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Ace	TNTECH server	aced Lovina Teel	+0.9
6	5-1	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble		+0.9
7	5-2	TNTECH	UALR×3	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Lily King	+0.6
8	5-3	UALR	UALR×3	Attack err	Morgan Petelin		+0.8
9	5-4	UALR	UALR×3	Attack err	Ashlyn Gamble	blk Alyssa Boyte, Morgan Creer	+0.8
10	6-4	UALR	TNTECH	Serve err	UALR server		+0.7
11	6-5	TNTECH	UALR×7	Kill	Morgan Creer	set Skyler Perez	+0.7
12	6-6	UALR	UALR×7	Attack err	Alayna Pierce	blk Alyssa Boyte, Bella Cherry	+0.8
13	6-7	UALR	UALR×7	Attack err	Alayna Pierce	blk Alyssa Boyte, Bella Cherry	+0.8
14	6-8	UALR	UALR×7	Attack err	Alayna Pierce	blk Alyssa Boyte	+0.7
15	6-9	UALR	UALR×7	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile		+0.7
16	6-10	UALR	UALR×7	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile		+0.6
17	6-11	UALR	UALR×7	Kill	Alyssa Boyte	set Alayna Vaeth	+0.5
18	7-11	UALR	TNTECH×4	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+0.4
19	8-11	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+0.6
20	9-11	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+0.7
21	10-11	TNTECH	TNTECH×4	Attack err	Alyssa Boyte	blk Jordyn Milhouse	+0.8
22	10-12	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Alayna Vaeth	+0.7
23	11-12	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.7
24	11-13	TNTECH	UALR	Attack err	Tuva Falk	blk Alyssa Boyte	+0.7
25	11-14	UALR	UALR	Attack err	Tuva Falk		+0.8
26	12-14	UALR	TNTECH×3	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.6
27	13-14	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+0.9
28	14-14	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+1.1
29	14-15	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Alayna Vaeth	+0.9
30	14-16	UALR	UALR	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile	blk Morgan Creer, Lorena Keselj	+1.0
31	15-16	UALR	TNTECH×3	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+0.8
32	16-16	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Attack err	Avery Fearnley		+1.2
33	17-16	TNTECH	TNTECH×3	Kill	Ashlyn Gamble	set Morgan Petelin	+1.4
34	17-17	TNTECH	UALR	Serve err	TNTECH server		+1.1
35	18-17	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Tuva Falk	set Morgan Petelin	+1.2
36	19-17	TNTECH	TNTECH	Attack err	Morgan Creer		+1.6
37	19-18	TNTECH	UALR	Attack err	Bella Potempa		+1.1
38	20-18	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Jordyn Milhouse	set Morgan Petelin	+1.4
39	20-19	TNTECH	UALR×3	Kill	Lovina Teel	set Skyler Perez	+1.2
40	20-20	UALR	UALR×3	Attack err	Audrey Berkebile		+1.7
41	20-21	UALR	UALR×3	Ace	UALR server	aced Caroline Fruge	+1.7
42	21-21	UALR	TNTECH	Serve err	UALR server		+1.5
43	21-22	TNTECH	UALR×3	Serve err	TNTECH server		+1.6
44	21-23	UALR	UALR×3	Kill	Bella Cherry	set Alayna Vaeth	+1.8
45	21-24	UALR	UALR×3	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Lovina Teel	+1.2
46	22-24	UALR	TNTECH	Kill	Caroline Fruge		+0.4
47	23-24	TNTECH	TNTECH	Kill	Audrey Berkebile	set Morgan Petelin	+1.3
48	23-25	TNTECH	UALR	Kill	Avery Fearnley	set Alayna Vaeth	+2.2

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.