CollegeVolleyball
FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

North Ala. def. Alabama St. 30

(25-20, 25-14, 25-23)
Set12*3Sets
ALA ST2014230
N ALA2525253
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

N ALA above 50 · ALA ST below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100N ALAALA STBiggest swing +0.2% N ALA · S3 23-23rally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 0.2% to North Ala. — set 3, ALA ST 23-23 N ALA. Kill by Phoebe Reyes Fortunato (set by Ava Martindale). N ALA win probability 100%100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ALA ST 0.5%99.5% N ALA

Alabama St. wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.3%

North Ala. wins

3-0
80.2%
3-1
17.0%
3-2
2.3%
ALA ST break %
33.3% vs this opp
N ALA break %
53.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01

    Kill by Phoebe Reyes Fortunato (set by Ava Martindale)

    Set 3 · ALA ST 23-23 N ALA · N ALA 100%100%

  2. 02
    N ALA serverAce+0.2%

    North Ala. ace on Mirra Riddle

    Set 3 · ALA ST 23-24 N ALA · N ALA 100%100%

  3. 03

    Kill by Makeda Edwards (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 1 · ALA ST 4-2 N ALA · ALA ST 1%1%

  4. 04
    Dylann GarnerKill+0.1%

    Kill by Dylann Garner (set by Kinslee McGowan)

    Set 3 · ALA ST 23-22 N ALA · N ALA 99%100%

  5. 05

    Kill by Makeda Edwards (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 3 · ALA ST 21-17 N ALA · ALA ST 0%1%

  6. 06
    ALA ST serverAce+0.1%

    Alabama St. ace on Kaylee Maikranz

    Set 3 · ALA ST 20-17 N ALA · ALA ST 0%0%

  7. 07
    Jenna KolostaAttack error+0.1%

    Attack error by Jenna Kolosta

    Set 1 · ALA ST 2-0 N ALA · ALA ST 1%1%

  8. 08

    Kill by Makeda Edwards (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 3 · ALA ST 23-19 N ALA · ALA ST 1%1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310224.3330111000011
38321.238000100008
35421.048000100005
3003.0002610700001
2206.333000020002
2003.000000100000
33420-.050122600005
34312.083000100004
3001.0001001010000
2001.000001100000
2000300300000
2000102400000
1000000200000
1000000000000
1000000100000
Team totals3216112.143324639400057
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315938.1581008110116
310120.4501003004212
311122.45500320010.511.5
34110.30000010052.56.5
34311.09100010111.55.5
3104.2503311130010.52.5
30008201100002
3113.000100900001
3000010000001
3000101630000
Team totals4616108.2784545544212875

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 ALA ST · N ALA 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 ALA STN ALA 5

Set 2*

14-25

Longest run 3 ALA STN ALA 7

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 4 ALA STN ALA 6

Bars above the line = North Ala. leads, below = Alabama St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Alabama St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
56%5/9
2
71%5/7
33%3/9
3
31%4/13
38%3/8
4
36%4/11
0%0/4
5
100%4/4
0%0/4
6
67%4/6
56%5/9
All
54%27/50
37%16/43

North Ala.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
33%3/9
2
63%5/8
29%2/7
3
100%4/4
69%9/13
4
100%4/4
64%7/11
5
44%4/9
0%0/4
6
44%4/9
33%2/6
All
63%27/43
46%23/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#ALA ST-N ALASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0N ALAALA STServe errN ALA server+0.1
22-0ALA STALA STAttack errJenna Kolosta+0.1
32-1ALA STN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
42-2N ALAN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Ava Martindale+0.1
53-2N ALAALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
64-2ALA STALA STKillMakeda Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
74-3ALA STN ALA×4KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
84-4N ALAN ALA×4Attack errMakeda Edwardsblk Anna Hoffmayer, Phoebe Reyes Fortunato+0.1
94-5N ALAN ALA×4KillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
104-6N ALAN ALA×4Attack errKaylen Hines+0.1
115-6N ALAALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
125-7ALA STN ALA×5KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
135-8N ALAN ALA×5KillDylann Garnerset Ava Martindale+0.1
145-9N ALAN ALA×5KillDylann Garner+0.0
155-10N ALAN ALA×5Attack errAnna Hoffmayer+0.0
165-11N ALAN ALA×5KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
176-11N ALAALA STServe errN ALA server+0.0
186-12ALA STN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
197-12N ALAALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Mirra Riddle+0.0
207-13ALA STN ALAKillAlly Greenwellset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
218-13N ALAALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Jaci Moore+0.0
228-14ALA STN ALAKillJenna Kolostaset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
238-15N ALAN ALAAceN ALA serveraced Team+0.0
249-15N ALAALA STServe errN ALA server+0.0
259-16ALA STN ALAKillJenna Kolostaset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
2610-16N ALAALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
2711-16ALA STALA ST×3Attack errPhoebe Reyes Fortunato+0.0
2812-16ALA STALA ST×3AceALA ST serveraced Reese Ricketts+0.0
2912-17ALA STN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Ava Martindale+0.0
3012-18N ALAN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Ava Martindale+0.0
3113-18N ALAALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
3213-19ALA STN ALAKillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
3314-19N ALAALA STServe errN ALA server+0.0
3414-20ALA STN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
3515-20N ALAALA ST×3Serve errN ALA server+0.0
3616-20ALA STALA ST×3Attack errAnna Hoffmayer+0.0
3717-20ALA STALA ST×3Attack errReese Ricketts+0.1
3817-21ALA STN ALA×3Attack errMikalah Davis+0.1
3917-22N ALAN ALA×3AceN ALA serveraced Alexis Williams+0.0
4017-23N ALAN ALA×3Attack errEmani Green+0.0
4118-23N ALAALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Jaci Moore+0.0
4218-24ALA STN ALAServe errALA ST server+0.0
4319-24N ALAALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Jaci Moore+0.0
4420-24ALA STALA STAceALA ST serveraced Kaylee Maikranz+0.0
4520-25ALA STN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
Set 2
10-1ALA STN ALAFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
20-2N ALAN ALAFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
31-2N ALAALA STFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+0.0
41-3ALA STN ALAAttack errAmaya Robinsonblk Jenna Kolosta, Dylann Garner+0.0
52-3N ALAALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
63-3ALA STALA STAttack errJenna Kolosta+0.1
73-4ALA STN ALA×4Serve errALA ST server+0.0
83-5N ALAN ALA×4AceN ALA serveraced Alexis Williams+0.0
93-6N ALAN ALA×4Attack errAmaya Robinsonblk Anna Hoffmayer, Dylann Garner+0.0
103-7N ALAN ALA×4KillAnna Hoffmayerset Dylann Garner+0.0
114-7N ALAALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
124-8ALA STN ALA×3KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
134-9N ALAN ALA×3KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
144-10N ALAN ALA×3Attack errLyric Edwards+0.0
155-10N ALAALA STKillMakeda Edwardsset Mikalah Davis+0.0
165-11ALA STN ALA×7KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
175-12N ALAN ALA×7KillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
185-13N ALAN ALA×7KillReese Rickettsset Kaylee Maikranz+0.0
195-14N ALAN ALA×7KillReese Rickettsset Ava Martindale+0.0
205-15N ALAN ALA×7Attack errLyric Edwards+0.0
215-16N ALAN ALA×7Attack errMikalah Davisblk Anna Hoffmayer, Kinslee McGowan+0.0
225-17N ALAN ALA×7KillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
236-17N ALAALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
246-18ALA STN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Ally Greenwell+0.0
256-19N ALAN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
267-19N ALAALA STAttack errReese Ricketts+0.0
277-20ALA STN ALAKillJenna Kolostaset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
287-21N ALAN ALAAttack errKaylen Hinesblk Reese Ricketts+0.0
298-21N ALAALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
309-21ALA STALA STAceALA ST serveraced Kaylee Maikranz+0.0
319-22ALA STN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
3210-22N ALAALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
3310-23ALA STN ALABad setKamrynn Clay+0.0
3411-23N ALAALA STKillMakeda Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
3511-24ALA STN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
3612-24N ALAALA ST×3Serve errN ALA server+0.0
3713-24ALA STALA ST×3KillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
3814-24ALA STALA ST×3Attack errAlly Greenwell+0.0
3914-25ALA STN ALAServe errALA ST server+0.0
Set 3
11-0N ALAALA STAttack errLyric Edwards+0.0
22-0ALA STALA STAttack errJenna Kolosta+0.0
32-1ALA STN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
43-1N ALAALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
53-2ALA STN ALAKillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
64-2N ALAALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
74-3ALA STN ALA×4KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
84-4N ALAN ALA×4Attack errKinslee McGowan+0.0
94-5N ALAN ALA×4Attack errAmaya Robinsonblk Anna Hoffmayer, Dylann Garner+0.0
104-6N ALAN ALA×4KillAnna Hoffmayerset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
115-6N ALAALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
125-7ALA STN ALAKillKinslee McGowanset Reese Ricketts+0.0
136-7N ALAALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
146-8ALA STN ALAServe errALA ST server+0.0
157-8N ALAALA ST×4KillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
168-8ALA STALA ST×4Attack errReese Ricketts+0.0
179-8ALA STALA ST×4KillMakeda Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
1810-8ALA STALA ST×4Attack errReese Ricketts+0.1
1910-9ALA STN ALA×3Attack errMakeda Edwards+0.0
2010-10N ALAN ALA×3KillReese Rickettsset Ava Martindale+0.0
2110-11N ALAN ALA×3Attack errMakeda Edwards+0.0
2211-11N ALAALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
2311-12ALA STN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
2411-13N ALAN ALAAttack errLyric Edwardsblk Jenna Kolosta+0.0
2512-13N ALAALA STAttack errDylann Garner+0.0
2612-14ALA STN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
2713-14N ALAALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
2813-15ALA STN ALAKillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Ava Martindale+0.0
2914-15N ALAALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.0
3014-16ALA STN ALAServe errALA ST server+0.0
3115-16N ALAALA ST×4Attack errReese Ricketts+0.0
3216-16ALA STALA ST×4KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
3317-16ALA STALA ST×4Attack errReese Ricketts+0.1
3418-16ALA STALA ST×4Attack errReese Ricketts+0.1
3518-17ALA STN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
3619-17N ALAALA ST×3KillMakeda Edwardsset Taylor Williams+0.1
3720-17ALA STALA ST×3AceALA ST serveraced Kaylee Maikranz+0.1
3821-17ALA STALA ST×3KillMakeda Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
3921-18ALA STN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
4022-18N ALAALA STKillMakeda Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
4122-19ALA STN ALAKillReese Rickettsset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
4223-19N ALAALA STKillMakeda Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
4323-20ALA STN ALA×6KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Kinslee McGowan+0.0
4423-21N ALAN ALA×6Attack errMikalah Davis+0.1
4523-22N ALAN ALA×6KillDylann Garnerset Kinslee McGowan+0.1
4623-23N ALAN ALA×6KillPhoebe Reyes Fortunatoset Ava Martindale+0.2
4723-24N ALAN ALA×6AceN ALA serveraced Mirra Riddle+0.2
4823-25N ALAN ALA×6Attack errLyric Edwardsblk Dylann Garner, Anna Hoffmayer+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Alabama St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.