Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

Alabama St. def. Nicholls 3–1

Alabama St. beat visiting Nicholls 3-1 (25-21, 12-25, 25-19, 25-19) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Alabama St.'s Kaylen Hines led with 20 kills, and Taylor Williams added 14 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
NICHST212519191
ALA ST251225253

Win probability

Alabama St. above 50 · Nicholls below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.9% ALA STrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.9% to Alabama St. — set 4, NICHST 17-18 ALA ST. Kill by Alexis Williams (set by Kamrynn Clay). ALA ST win probability 74% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NICHST 52.4%47.6% ALA ST

Nicholls wins

3-0
13.5%
3-1
19.7%
3-2
19.1%

Alabama St. wins

3-0
11.5%
3-1
17.8%
3-2
18.3%
NICHST break %
45.4% vs this opp
ALA ST break %
44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Alexis Williams (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 4 · NICHST 17-18 ALA ST · ALA ST 74% → 79%

  2. 02
    Kaylen HinesKill+5.9%

    Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 4 · NICHST 17-19 ALA ST · ALA ST 79% → 85%

  3. 03

    Denver Watkins stuffed by Maya Schirmer & Madison Smith

    Set 4 · NICHST 17-16 ALA ST · NICHST 25% → 31%

  4. 04

    Kill by Denver Watkins (set by Mirra Riddle)

    Set 4 · NICHST 17-20 ALA ST · ALA ST 85% → 91%

  5. 05
    Maya SchirmerAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Maya Schirmer

    Set 4 · NICHST 15-16 ALA ST · ALA ST 74% → 79%

  6. 06

    Mckenzie Mitchell stuffed by Lyric Edwards & Alexis Williams

    Set 4 · NICHST 15-15 ALA ST · ALA ST 69% → 74%

  7. 07
    Kaylen HinesKill+4.9%

    Kill by Kaylen Hines (set by Kamrynn Clay)

    Set 4 · NICHST 19-22 ALA ST · ALA ST 88% → 93%

  8. 08
    Maya SchirmerKill+4.7%

    Kill by Maya Schirmer (set by Isabella Padilla)

    Set 4 · NICHST 15-13 ALA ST · NICHST 30% → 35%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412733.15200110200012
48113.5380331010112
47218.278000001229
46420.100000100006
4115.0004023701014
4000–000100000
410640.10001280010.511.5
4002.000022910002
4112.0002001620001
1001.00000100010.50.5
Team totals4522134.1724281253634584
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420139.4870014026525
410320.3500000002111
45318.11110030132.57.5
46519.053000200006
4026-.3333810130031.52.5
34420.00000131010.54.5
4002.0000241410002
4000–011210001
4000–3101340001
3001.000011200001
2127-.14300120010.51.5
2000–001110000
Team totals4620132.197426105983161187

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 NICHST · ALA ST 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 NICHSTALA ST 4

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 8 NICHSTALA ST 3

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 NICHSTALA ST 4

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 3 NICHSTALA ST 4

Bars above the line = Alabama St. leads, below = Nicholls leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Nicholls

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
53%9/17
2
56%10/18
52%11/21
3
43%9/21
47%9/19
4
62%8/13
31%4/13
5
67%6/9
13%1/8
6
86%6/7
14%1/7
All
57%49/86
41%35/85

Alabama St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
20%2/10
2
48%10/21
52%11/21
3
63%10/16
50%10/20
4
89%8/9
53%10/19
5
86%6/7
40%4/10
6
38%6/16
0%0/6
All
59%50/85
43%37/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#NICHST-ALA STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NICHSTALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+2.0
21-1ALA STNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.9
32-1NICHSTNICHST×3KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+2.4
43-1NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Mirra Riddle+2.4
53-2NICHSTALA STServe errNicholls+1.9
64-2ALA STNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.0
74-3NICHSTALA STServe errNicholls+1.9
84-4ALA STALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+2.5
95-4ALA STNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.1
106-4NICHSTNICHSTBlockedMikalah Davisblk Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie, Maya Schirmer+2.6
116-5NICHSTALA STBlockedMckenzie Mitchellblk Kaylen Hines, Kamrynn Clay+2.0
127-5ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+2.2
137-6NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.1
148-6ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+2.2
158-7NICHSTALA STServe errNicholls+2.1
169-7ALA STNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.3
179-8NICHSTALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+2.2
189-9ALA STALA STAttack errKera Arrington+2.9
1910-9ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+2.4
2011-9NICHSTNICHSTAceNichollsaced Mirra Riddle+2.9
2111-10NICHSTALA STServe errNicholls+2.3
2211-11ALA STALA STAttack errIsabella Padilla+3.1
2312-11ALA STNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.6
2413-11NICHSTNICHSTAceNichollsaced Mirra Riddle+3.1
2513-12NICHSTALA ST×4KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.5
2613-13ALA STALA ST×4BlockedKera Arringtonblk Kaylen Hines, Mikalah Davis+3.3
2713-14ALA STALA ST×4AceAlabama St.aced Natalia Navarro+3.5
2813-15ALA STALA ST×4BlockedMadison Smithblk Kamrynn Clay, Kaylen Hines+3.5
2914-15ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+2.7
3014-16NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.0
3115-16ALA STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+2.8
3215-17NICHSTALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+3.2
3316-17ALA STNICHSTAttack errKamrynn Clay+2.9
3417-17NICHSTNICHSTAceNichollsaced Mikalah Davis+4.0
3517-18NICHSTALA STServe errNicholls+3.6
3618-18ALA STNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+3.5
3718-19NICHSTALA ST×3Serve errNicholls+3.8
3818-20ALA STALA ST×3BlockedKera Arringtonblk Alexis Williams+4.6
3918-21ALA STALA ST×3Attack errMckenzie Mitchell+4.1
4019-21ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+2.5
4119-22NICHSTALA STServe errNicholls+3.6
4220-22ALA STNICHSTKillIsabella Padillaset Natalia Navarro+2.5
4320-23NICHSTALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+3.8
4421-23ALA STNICHSTKillNatalia Navarro+2.3
4521-24NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.9
4621-25ALA STALA STAttack errMadison Smith+2.0
Set 2
11-0ALA STNICHST×3BlockedAmaya Robinsonblk Isabella Padilla+2.0
22-0NICHSTNICHST×3KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+2.4
33-0NICHSTNICHST×3Bad setKamrynn Clay+2.3
43-1NICHSTALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+1.8
54-1ALA STNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+1.9
65-1NICHSTNICHST×4KillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+2.2
76-1NICHSTNICHST×4KillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+2.0
87-1NICHSTNICHST×4BlockedAlexis Williamsblk Maya Schirmer+1.8
97-2NICHSTALA STServe errNicholls+1.2
108-2ALA STNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+1.5
119-2NICHSTNICHSTAttack errKaylen Hines+1.5
129-3NICHSTALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.0
139-4ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.5
149-5ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.8
1510-5ALA STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+1.7
1610-6NICHSTALA STBlockedMadison Smithblk Kaylen Hines+1.5
1711-6ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+1.8
1811-7NICHSTALA STServe errNicholls+1.5
1912-7ALA STNICHST×8KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+1.8
2013-7NICHSTNICHST×8Attack errAmaya Robinson+1.8
2114-7NICHSTNICHST×8Attack errAmaya Robinson+1.4
2215-7NICHSTNICHST×8Attack errLyric Edwards+1.1
2316-7NICHSTNICHST×8Attack errAmaya Robinson+0.7
2417-7NICHSTNICHST×8KillHarper Holden+0.5
2518-7NICHSTNICHST×8AceNichollsaced Aliyah Pooler+0.3
2619-7NICHSTNICHST×8KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+0.1
2719-8NICHSTALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Mirra Riddle+0.1
2820-8ALA STNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+0.1
2921-8NICHSTNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla·
3021-9NICHSTALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
3121-10ALA STALA STBlockedMckenzie Mitchellblk Lyric Edwards, Alexis Williams·
3222-10ALA STNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
3322-11NICHSTALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
3423-11ALA STNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla·
3524-11NICHSTNICHSTAttack errKamrynn Clay·
3624-12NICHSTALA STKillMikalah Davisset Isabella Padilla·
3725-12ALA STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla·
Set 3
10-1NICHSTALA ST×4Serve errNicholls+2.6
20-2ALA STALA ST×4KillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+3.2
30-3ALA STALA ST×4AceAlabama St.aced Natalia Navarro+3.1
40-4ALA STALA ST×4KillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+2.9
51-4ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+2.2
61-5NICHSTALA STAttack errMckenzie Mitchell+2.5
71-6ALA STALA STAceAlabama St.aced Lizzie Kraft+2.8
82-6ALA STNICHSTAttack errMikalah Davis+2.0
92-7NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.3
103-7ALA STNICHSTAttack errMikalah Davis+2.0
113-8NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.3
124-8ALA STNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.0
135-8NICHSTNICHSTKillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+2.8
145-9NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.7
156-9ALA STNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+2.4
166-10NICHSTALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+2.7
177-10ALA STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+2.4
187-11NICHSTALA STAttack errNatalia Navarro+2.8
198-11ALA STNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+2.4
209-11NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errMikalah Davis+3.4
2110-11NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errLyric Edwards+3.8
2210-12NICHSTALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+3.4
2311-12ALA STNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+3.2
2412-12NICHSTNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+4.2
2512-13NICHSTALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.7
2612-14ALA STALA ST×3Attack errMadison Smith+4.5
2712-15ALA STALA ST×3BlockedMadison Smithblk Kamrynn Clay, Kaylen Hines+4.2
2813-15ALA STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+3.1
2913-16NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.6
3014-16ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+3.1
3114-17NICHSTALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+3.7
3215-17ALA STNICHSTAttack errAmaya Robinson+3.2
3315-18NICHSTALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Mirra Riddle+3.9
3415-19ALA STALA STAceAlabama St.+4.0
3516-19ALA STNICHSTAttack errAlexis Williams+2.5
3616-20NICHSTALA STServe errNicholls+3.4
3716-21ALA STALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+3.0
3817-21ALA STNICHSTKillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+1.5
3917-22NICHSTALA ST×3KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+2.3
4017-23ALA STALA ST×3Bad setMckenzie Mitchell+1.5
4117-24ALA STALA ST×3Attack errMckenzie Mitchell+0.6
4218-24ALA STNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+0.1
4319-24NICHSTNICHSTAceNichollsaced Taylor Williams+0.3
4419-25NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Alexis Williams+0.5
Set 4
11-0ALA STNICHST×3KillHarper Holdenset Isabella Padilla+2.6
22-0NICHSTNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchell+3.2
33-0NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Mirra Riddle+3.1
43-1NICHSTALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+2.4
53-2ALA STALA STAceAlabama St.aced Mckenzie Mitchell+3.2
64-2ALA STNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Natalia Navarro+2.7
75-2NICHSTNICHST×3Attack errAlexis Williams+3.2
86-2NICHSTNICHST×3KillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+3.0
96-3NICHSTALA ST×4KillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+2.2
106-4ALA STALA ST×4BlockedMadison Smithblk Alexis Williams, Kaylen Hines+3.1
116-5ALA STALA ST×4KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.4
126-6ALA STALA ST×4BlockedMckenzie Mitchellblk Kaylen Hines, Denver Watkins+3.6
137-6ALA STNICHSTKillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+3.0
148-6NICHSTNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+3.7
158-7NICHSTALA ST×3KillKaylen Hines+2.9
168-8ALA STALA ST×3Attack errMaya Schirmer+3.8
178-9ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.9
189-9ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+3.2
199-10NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.4
2010-10ALA STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+3.3
2110-11NICHSTALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+3.5
2211-11ALA STNICHST×3KillKera Arringtonset Isabella Padilla+3.4
2312-11NICHSTNICHST×3KillMckenzie Mitchellset Isabella Padilla+4.3
2413-11NICHSTNICHST×3AceNichollsaced Julia Slaughter+4.3
2513-12NICHSTALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+3.4
2613-13ALA STALA STKillLyric Edwards+4.5
2714-13ALA STNICHSTBlockedLyric Edwardsblk Harper Holden+3.9
2815-13NICHSTNICHSTKillMaya Schirmerset Isabella Padilla+4.7
2915-14NICHSTALA ST×3KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+3.6
3015-15ALA STALA ST×3BlockedMckenzie Mitchellblk Lyric Edwards, Alexis Williams+4.9
3115-16ALA STALA ST×3Attack errMaya Schirmer+5.2
3216-16ALA STNICHSTServe errAlabama St.+4.3
3317-16NICHSTNICHSTBlockedDenver Watkinsblk Maya Schirmer, Madison Smith+5.5
3417-17NICHSTALA ST×4Serve errNicholls+4.5
3517-18ALA STALA ST×4KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+5.9
3617-19ALA STALA ST×4KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+5.9
3717-20ALA STALA ST×4KillDenver Watkinsset Mirra Riddle+5.3
3818-20ALA STNICHSTAttack errDenver Watkins+3.5
3918-21NICHSTALA STAttack errKera Arrington+4.6
4019-21ALA STNICHSTKillMadison Smithset Isabella Padilla+3.5
4119-22NICHSTALA ST×4KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+4.9
4219-23ALA STALA ST×4BlockedHarper Holdenblk Kaylen Hines+4.1
4319-24ALA STALA ST×4KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+2.1
4419-25ALA STALA ST×4AceAlabama St.aced Mckenzie Mitchell+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Nicholls first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).