FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

3:0

HomeSWAC

ULM def. Texas Southern 3–0

(25-14, 25-23, 25-12)

Set	1*	2	3	Sets
LA MON	25	25	25	3
TX SOU	14	23	12	0

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TX SOU above 50 · LA MON below

Biggest swing: 4.1% to ULM — set 2, LA MON 24-23 TX SOU. Attack error by Lauren Battle. TX SOU win probability 10% → 6%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LA MON 86.6%13.4% TX SOU

ULM wins

3-0

39.2%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

15.9%

Texas Southern wins

3-0

1.9%

3-1

4.2%

3-2

7.3%

LA MON break %: 49.0% vs this opp
TX SOU break %: 40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lauren BattleAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Lauren Battle
Set 2 · LA MON 24-23 TX SOU · LA MON 90% → 94%
02
Grace TroxellKill+3.4%
Kill by Grace Troxell (set by Bre Perrin)
Set 2 · LA MON 25-23 TX SOU · LA MON 94% → 98%
03
Kenzie BehlAttack error+3.1%
Kenzie Behl stuffed by Selana Morales & Aaliyah Brown
Set 2 · LA MON 21-22 TX SOU · TX SOU 9% → 12%
04
Aaliyah BrownKill+3.1%
Kill by Aaliyah Brown (set by Ava Ray)
Set 2 · LA MON 22-23 TX SOU · TX SOU 10% → 13%
05
Lauren BattleAttack error+2.8%
Attack error by Lauren Battle
Set 2 · LA MON 23-23 TX SOU · LA MON 87% → 90%
06
Myla MatavaoAttack error+2.4%
Attack error by Myla Matavao
Set 2 · LA MON 18-20 TX SOU · TX SOU 11% → 13%
07
Aniya HallKill+2.3%
Kill by Aniya Hall (set by Morgan Howard)
Set 2 · LA MON 22-22 TX SOU · LA MON 88% → 90%
08
Ava HoustonAttack error+2.3%
Ava Houston stuffed by Aniya Hall & Zharia Alleyne
Set 2 · LA MON 21-20 TX SOU · LA MON 91% → 93%

Official NCAA box

Box score

ULMaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Aniya HallOH	3	11	1	32	.313	1	2	0	9	1	1	2	2	15
14Tatum ClayMB	3	8	1	16	.438	0	1	2	3	0	0	2	1	10
7Kenzie BehlMB	3	6	1	14	.357	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	7
11Zharia AlleyneMB	3	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	2	0	1	4	3	6
15Morgan HowardS	3	1	1	2	.000	18	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
16Eden PietrzakL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	0	1
10Grace TroxellOH	3	7	1	21	.286	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
20Myla MatavaoOH	3	6	1	16	.313	0	0	1	2	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
9Bre PerrinS	3	0	0	0	–	14	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
4Briana RaneyDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	14	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	8	109	.312	37	6	6	48	2	2	12	8	75

Texas Southernhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
4Selana MoralesOH	3	12	5	26	.269	0	0	1	6	2	1	0.5	12.5
7Morgynne McQueenMB	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	6.5
20Aaliyah BrownMB	3	3	2	8	.125	1	0	1	0	0	2	1	4
3Gracie LeeOH	3	3	2	15	.067	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
11Ava RayS	3	0	0	2	.000	15	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
2Lacey KusnierOH	1	0	2	8	-.250	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0
14Lauren BattleOH	3	5	2	17	.176	1	1	0	10	1	0	0	6
17Lauanna Pino WatanabeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	2	17	2	0	0	1
16Kadence DavisonS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	9	0	0	0	0
6Ava HoustonMB	2	4	5	17	-.059	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
10Emory HarperOPP	2	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		33	22	108	.102	33	2	4	54	6	6	3	49

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 LA MON · TX SOU 4

Set 1*

25-14

Longest run 6 LA MONTX SOU 2

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 LA MONTX SOU 4

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 5 LA MONTX SOU 2

Bars above the line = Texas Southern leads, below = ULM leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

ULM

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	45%5/11	64%7/11
2	100%5/5	44%4/9
3	80%4/5	56%5/9
4	67%4/6	43%3/7
5	80%4/5	43%3/7
6	75%3/4	50%3/6
All	69%25/36	51%25/49

Texas Southern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	56%5/9
2	44%4/9	17%1/6
3	44%4/9	20%1/5
4	57%4/7	33%2/6
5	67%4/6	20%1/5
6	38%3/8	20%1/5
All	49%24/49	31%11/36

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

124 rallies

Rally log

#	LA MON-TX SOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Ava Ray	+1.1
2	1-1	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Morgan Howard	+1.0
3	1-2	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Lacey Kusnier	+1.2
4	2-2	TX SOU	LA MON×4	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+1.1
5	3-2	LA MON	LA MON×4	Ace	LA MON server	aced Lacey Kusnier	+1.3
6	4-2	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Morgynne McQueen		+1.1
7	5-2	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Selana Morales		+1.0
8	5-3	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Ava Ray	+0.8
9	5-4	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+1.2
10	6-4	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	+1.0
11	6-5	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Kadence Davison	+1.0
12	7-5	TX SOU	LA MON×5	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Bre Perrin	+1.0
13	8-5	LA MON	LA MON×5	Attack err	Emory Harper	blk Zharia Alleyne, Myla Matavao	+1.1
14	9-5	LA MON	LA MON×5	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.9
15	10-5	LA MON	LA MON×5	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.7
16	11-5	LA MON	LA MON×5	Ace	LA MON server	aced Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+0.6
17	11-6	LA MON	TX SOU	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.4
18	11-7	TX SOU	TX SOU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.7
19	12-7	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Bre Perrin	+0.6
20	12-8	LA MON	TX SOU	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.6
21	13-8	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Morgan Howard	+0.6
22	14-8	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Briana Raney	+0.6
23	14-9	LA MON	TX SOU	Attack err	Morgan Howard		+0.4
24	15-9	TX SOU	LA MON×6	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.5
25	16-9	LA MON	LA MON×6	Attack err	Gracie Lee		+0.4
26	17-9	LA MON	LA MON×6	Attack err	Selana Morales		+0.3
27	18-9	LA MON	LA MON×6	Attack err	Selana Morales	blk Kenzie Behl, Tatum Clay	+0.1
28	19-9	LA MON	LA MON×6	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
29	20-9	LA MON	LA MON×6	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
30	20-10	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Ava Ray	+0.0
31	21-10	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
32	21-11	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Ava Ray	+0.0
33	22-11	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Briana Raney	+0.0
34	23-11	LA MON	LA MON	Ace	LA MON server	aced Selana Morales	+0.0
35	23-12	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
36	24-12	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
37	24-13	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
38	24-14	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Zharia Alleyne	blk Aaliyah Brown	+0.0
39	25-14	TX SOU	LA MON	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+1.0
2	1-1	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.7
3	1-2	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Ava Ray	+0.8
4	2-2	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+0.8
5	2-3	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Aaliyah Brown	+0.9
6	3-3	TX SOU	LA MON×3	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.8
7	4-3	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Morgynne McQueen		+0.9
8	5-3	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Briana Raney	+0.8
9	5-4	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Ava Ray	+0.7
10	5-5	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+1.0
11	6-5	TX SOU	LA MON×3	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+0.8
12	7-5	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.9
13	8-5	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+0.8
14	8-6	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+0.6
15	8-7	TX SOU	TX SOU	Ace	TX SOU server	aced Aniya Hall	+0.9
16	9-7	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.8
17	10-7	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Ava Houston		+0.8
18	10-8	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Kadence Davison	+0.7
19	11-8	TX SOU	LA MON	Attack err	Ava Houston	blk Zharia Alleyne, Kenzie Behl	+0.7
20	12-8	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Morgan Howard	set Briana Raney	+0.7
21	12-9	LA MON	TX SOU×4	Kill	Selana Morales	set Kadence Davison	+0.5
22	12-10	TX SOU	TX SOU×4	Kill	Selana Morales	set Ava Ray	+0.9
23	12-11	TX SOU	TX SOU×4	Attack err	Zharia Alleyne		+1.1
24	12-12	TX SOU	TX SOU×4	Kill	Selana Morales	set Lauren Battle	+1.3
25	13-12	TX SOU	LA MON	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown	blk Zharia Alleyne	+1.0
26	14-12	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Selana Morales		+1.2
27	14-13	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Ava Ray	+1.0
28	15-13	TX SOU	LA MON	Serve err	TX SOU server		+1.0
29	15-14	LA MON	TX SOU	Serve err	LA MON server		+1.0
30	15-15	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Grace Troxell	blk Morgynne McQueen, Gracie Lee	+1.5
31	16-15	TX SOU	LA MON	Serve err	TX SOU server		+1.2
32	16-16	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Ava Ray	+1.3
33	16-17	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Tatum Clay		+1.9
34	17-17	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Bre Perrin	+1.4
35	17-18	LA MON	TX SOU	Serve err	LA MON server		+1.7
36	18-18	TX SOU	LA MON	Attack err	Selana Morales	blk Zharia Alleyne, Grace Troxell	+1.5
37	18-19	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Kadence Davison	+1.8
38	18-20	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+2.4
39	19-20	TX SOU	LA MON×3	Serve err	TX SOU server		+1.6
40	20-20	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Ava Houston		+2.3
41	21-20	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Ava Houston	blk Aniya Hall, Zharia Alleyne	+2.3
42	21-21	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+2.0
43	21-22	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Kenzie Behl	blk Selana Morales, Aaliyah Brown	+3.1
44	22-22	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+2.3
45	22-23	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Aaliyah Brown	set Ava Ray	+3.1
46	23-23	TX SOU	LA MON×3	Attack err	Lauren Battle		+2.8
47	24-23	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Lauren Battle		+4.1
48	25-23	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+3.4
Set 3
1	0-1	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Ava Ray	+0.4
2	1-1	TX SOU	LA MON×3	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.4
3	2-1	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Gracie Lee	blk Aniya Hall, Tatum Clay	+0.4
4	3-1	LA MON	LA MON×3	Ace	LA MON server	aced Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+0.4
5	3-2	LA MON	TX SOU	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.3
6	4-2	TX SOU	LA MON×4	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.3
7	5-2	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+0.3
8	6-2	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Tatum Clay		+0.3
9	7-2	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Tatum Clay		+0.2
10	7-3	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Ava Ray	+0.2
11	8-3	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Bre Perrin	+0.2
12	8-4	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Kadence Davison	+0.2
13	9-4	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Bre Perrin	+0.2
14	9-5	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Kadence Davison	+0.2
15	10-5	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Bre Perrin	+0.2
16	10-6	LA MON	TX SOU	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.2
17	11-6	TX SOU	LA MON×5	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Morgan Howard	+0.2
18	12-6	LA MON	LA MON×5	Ace	LA MON server	aced Selana Morales	+0.2
19	13-6	LA MON	LA MON×5	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown	blk Aniya Hall	+0.1
20	14-6	LA MON	LA MON×5	Kill	Zharia Alleyne	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
21	15-6	LA MON	LA MON×5	Attack err	Kenzie Behl		+0.1
22	15-7	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Aaliyah Brown	set Ava Ray	+0.0
23	15-8	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Aniya Hall		+0.1
24	16-8	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
25	17-8	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+0.1
26	17-9	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Aaliyah Brown	set Ava Ray	+0.0
27	18-9	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Aniya Hall	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
28	18-10	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Ava Ray	+0.0
29	19-10	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
30	20-10	LA MON	LA MON	Ace	LA MON server	aced Lauren Battle	+0.0
31	20-11	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
32	21-11	TX SOU	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Bre Perrin	+0.0
33	22-11	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Ava Houston		+0.0
34	22-12	LA MON	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Lauanna Pino Watanabe	+0.0
35	23-12	TX SOU	LA MON×3	Attack err	Ava Houston		+0.0
36	24-12	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
37	25-12	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Aniya Hall	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, ULM first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.