FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayACC

3:0

HomeATLANTIC-10

Virginia def. VCU 3–0

(25-13, 25-17, 25-22)

Set	1	2*	3*	Sets
UVA	25	25	25	3
VCU	13	17	22	0

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

VCU above 50 · UVA below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to VCU — set 2, UVA 7-10 VCU. Attack error by Reese Wuebker. VCU win probability 19% → 21%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UVA 74.2%25.8% VCU

Virginia wins

3-0

26.4%

3-1

28.4%

3-2

19.4%

VCU wins

3-0

4.6%

3-1

8.9%

3-2

12.3%

UVA break %: 45.5% vs this opp
VCU break %: 40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Reese WuebkerAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Reese Wuebker
Set 2 · UVA 7-10 VCU · VCU 19% → 21%
02
Reagan EnnistKill+2.1%
Kill by Reagan Ennist (set by Hannah Scott)
Set 2 · UVA 11-11 VCU · UVA 83% → 85%
03
Nina BoledovicovaKill+2.1%
Kill by Nina Boledovicova
Set 1 · UVA 1-2 VCU · VCU 25% → 28%
04
VCU serverAce+2.1%
VCU ace on Meredith Reeg
Set 1 · UVA 9-8 VCU · VCU 22% → 24%
05
Lauryn BowieKill+2.1%
Kill by Lauryn Bowie (set by Hannah Scott)
Set 2 · UVA 12-11 VCU · UVA 85% → 87%
06
Reagan EnnistKill+2.1%
Kill by Reagan Ennist (set by Katie Barrier)
Set 2 · UVA 14-12 VCU · UVA 87% → 89%
07
Caroline LangKill+2.0%
Kill by Caroline Lang
Set 2 · UVA 9-10 VCU · UVA 81% → 83%
08
VCU serverAce+2.0%
VCU ace on Meredith Reeg
Set 1 · UVA 7-6 VCU · VCU 22% → 24%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Virginiaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Reagan EnnistOH	3	12	2	25	.400	0	0	0	5	0	1	0.5	12.5
17Reese WuebkerOH	3	9	2	29	.241	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	10
16Emily FowlerMB	3	5	0	10	.500	0	1	2	4	0	5	2.5	8.5
5Caroline LangOH	3	6	4	13	.154	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	7.5
33Lauryn BowieOH	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	0	3	0	4	2	7
11Hannah ScottS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
30Becca WightOH	3	8	3	16	.313	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	9.5
3Katie BarrierDS	3	0	0	0	–	7	3	1	7	0	0	0	3
6Ella BrodnerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Marygrace GonyeauOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Meredith ReegL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	8	2	0	0	0
14Olivia SiskinS	3	0	0	0	–	16	0	1	5	0	0	0	0
8Ruby McdermottL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24Sarah BrodnerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Skyler GatesMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Teagan HoganL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
9Vivian MillerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Zoey DoodS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	13	107	.299	41	5	7	48	3	16	8	75

VCUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Letizia GalliMB	3	7	1	12	.500	0	0	2	2	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
7Sarah Dibbs-frantzMB	3	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
16Nina BoledovicovaMB	3	5	2	14	.214	0	0	2	4	0	0	2	1	6
4Lannah PriceOH	3	2	5	16	-.188	0	1	0	7	2	0	2	1	4
24Cansin SendirS	3	0	0	1	.000	19	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
6Dominika KasinskaOH	3	0	4	13	-.308	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
5Molly MccallOH	3	7	3	15	.267	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	7
2Gabby LapataOH	3	2	2	12	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
20Dunja MarticOH	3	1	1	3	.000	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	1
9Julieta PortilloOH	3	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1
10Kayla FoleyDS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	0	8	2	0	0	0	1
17Akire JonesMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Jordan BakshL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
12Lara Del coreOPP	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Maddalena FioloS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
3Meghan TouheyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	19	102	.088	27	3	5	40	5	2	8	6	52

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 UVA · VCU 3

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 6 UVAVCU 2

Set 2*

25-17

Longest run 4 UVAVCU 2

Set 3*

25-22

Longest run 4 UVAVCU 3

Bars above the line = VCU leads, below = Virginia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Virginia

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%2/4	33%1/3
2	100%2/2	75%6/8
3	100%2/2	0%0/2
4	50%1/2	83%5/6
5	50%1/2	50%1/2
6	100%1/1	75%3/4
All	69%9/13	64%16/25

VCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%2/3	0%0/1
2	25%2/8	50%2/4
3	100%2/2	0%0/2
4	17%1/6	0%0/2
5	50%1/2	50%1/2
6	25%1/4	50%1/2
All	36%9/25	31%4/13

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

127 rallies

Rally log

#	UVA-VCU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Dominika Kasinska	blk Lauryn Bowie, Caroline Lang	+1.9
2	1-1	UVA	VCU	Kill	Nina Boledovicova	set Cansin Sendir	+1.5
3	1-2	VCU	VCU	Kill	Nina Boledovicova		+2.1
4	2-2	VCU	UVA×4	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Teagan Hogan	+1.5
5	3-2	UVA	UVA×4	Attack err	Nina Boledovicova		+2.0
6	4-2	UVA	UVA×4	Ace	UVA server	aced Dunja Martic	+1.9
7	5-2	UVA	UVA×4	Ace	UVA server	aced Kayla Foley	+1.7
8	5-3	UVA	VCU	Kill	Letizia Galli	set Cansin Sendir	+1.3
9	6-3	VCU	UVA	Serve err	VCU server		+1.3
10	6-4	UVA	VCU	Attack err	Becca Wight	blk Sarah Dibbs-frantz, Lannah Price	+1.3
11	7-4	VCU	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Olivia Siskin	+1.3
12	7-5	UVA	VCU	Kill	Lannah Price	set Maddalena Fiolo	+1.3
13	7-6	VCU	VCU	Ace	VCU server	aced Meredith Reeg	+2.0
14	8-6	VCU	UVA	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Olivia Siskin	+1.6
15	9-6	UVA	UVA	Ace	UVA server	aced Lannah Price	+1.9
16	9-7	UVA	VCU	Attack err	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+1.4
17	9-8	VCU	VCU	Ace	VCU server	aced Meredith Reeg	+2.1
18	10-8	VCU	UVA×4	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+1.6
19	11-8	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Lauryn Bowie		+2.0
20	12-8	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Katie Barrier	+1.7
21	13-8	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+1.4
22	13-9	UVA	VCU	Attack err	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+0.9
23	14-9	VCU	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+1.0
24	14-10	UVA	VCU	Serve err	UVA server		+0.9
25	14-11	VCU	VCU	Attack err	Lauryn Bowie	blk Lannah Price, Letizia Galli	+1.5
26	15-11	VCU	UVA×4	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+1.4
27	16-11	UVA	UVA×4	Ace	UVA server	aced Kayla Foley	+1.4
28	17-11	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Katie Barrier	+1.0
29	18-11	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Katie Barrier	+0.7
30	18-12	UVA	VCU	Kill	Letizia Galli	set Cansin Sendir	+0.3
31	19-12	VCU	UVA	Attack err	Lannah Price	set Dunja Martic	+0.5
32	19-13	UVA	VCU	Serve err	UVA server		+0.3
33	20-13	VCU	UVA×6	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Olivia Siskin	+0.4
34	21-13	UVA	UVA×6	Kill	Becca Wight	set Katie Barrier	+0.3
35	22-13	UVA	UVA×6	Kill	Emily Fowler	set Olivia Siskin	+0.1
36	23-13	UVA	UVA×6	Kill	Reese Wuebker		+0.0
37	24-13	UVA	UVA×6	Attack err	Lannah Price		+0.0
38	25-13	UVA	UVA×6	Kill	Emily Fowler		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	VCU	VCU	Attack err	Lauryn Bowie		+1.7
2	0-2	VCU	VCU	Kill	Letizia Galli		+1.8
3	1-2	VCU	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+1.2
4	1-3	UVA	VCU	Kill	Nina Boledovicova	set Cansin Sendir	+1.4
5	2-3	VCU	UVA	Serve err	VCU server		+1.3
6	2-4	UVA	VCU	Kill	Lannah Price	set Cansin Sendir	+1.4
7	2-5	VCU	VCU	Attack err	Reagan Ennist	blk Sarah Dibbs-frantz, Nina Boledovicova	+1.9
8	3-5	VCU	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+1.3
9	3-6	UVA	VCU	Serve err	UVA server		+1.5
10	3-7	VCU	VCU	Kill	Dunja Martic	set Cansin Sendir	+1.9
11	4-7	VCU	UVA	Serve err	VCU server		+1.2
12	4-8	UVA	VCU	Serve err	UVA server		+1.5
13	5-8	VCU	UVA×3	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Olivia Siskin	+1.3
14	6-8	UVA	UVA×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
15	7-8	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Dominika Kasinska		+1.9
16	7-9	UVA	VCU	Kill	Sarah Dibbs-frantz	set Maddalena Fiolo	+1.6
17	7-10	VCU	VCU	Attack err	Reese Wuebker		+2.1
18	8-10	VCU	UVA	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Teagan Hogan	+1.4
19	9-10	UVA	UVA	Kill	Caroline Lang		+2.0
20	9-11	UVA	VCU	Kill	Letizia Galli	set Maddalena Fiolo	+1.7
21	10-11	VCU	UVA×3	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Hannah Scott	+1.6
22	11-11	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+2.1
23	12-11	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+2.1
24	12-12	UVA	VCU	Kill	Nina Boledovicova	set Cansin Sendir	+1.6
25	13-12	VCU	UVA×3	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+1.6
26	14-12	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Katie Barrier	+2.1
27	15-12	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+1.8
28	15-13	UVA	VCU	Kill	Nina Boledovicova	set Cansin Sendir	+1.2
29	16-13	VCU	UVA	Attack err	Lannah Price	blk Becca Wight, Emily Fowler	+1.4
30	16-14	UVA	VCU	Attack err	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+1.3
31	17-14	VCU	UVA	Attack err	Dunja Martic	blk Becca Wight, Emily Fowler	+1.5
32	18-14	UVA	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+1.6
33	18-15	UVA	VCU	Serve err	UVA server		+0.9
34	19-15	VCU	UVA×3	Kill	Caroline Lang	set Olivia Siskin	+1.2
35	20-15	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Dominika Kasinska	blk Lauryn Bowie, Caroline Lang	+1.1
36	21-15	UVA	UVA×3	Kill	Lauryn Bowie	set Hannah Scott	+0.7
37	21-16	UVA	VCU	Attack err	Caroline Lang	blk Sarah Dibbs-frantz	+0.3
38	21-17	VCU	VCU	Attack err	Caroline Lang		+0.6
39	22-17	VCU	UVA×4	Attack err	Dominika Kasinska	blk Lauryn Bowie, Caroline Lang	+0.7
40	23-17	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+0.5
41	24-17	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+0.2
42	25-17	UVA	UVA×4	Ace	UVA server	aced Lannah Price	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	UVA	VCU	Kill	Molly Mccall	set Cansin Sendir	+0.7
2	1-1	VCU	UVA	Attack err	Molly Mccall	set Letizia Galli	+0.6
3	2-1	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Molly Mccall	blk Emily Fowler, Lauryn Bowie	+0.8
4	2-2	UVA	VCU	Serve err	UVA server		+0.6
5	2-3	VCU	VCU	Kill	Sarah Dibbs-frantz		+0.9
6	3-3	VCU	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+0.7
7	3-4	UVA	VCU	Kill	Gabby Lapata	set Kayla Foley	+0.7
8	4-4	VCU	UVA×4	Attack err	Gabby Lapata	blk Reagan Ennist, Emily Fowler	+0.7
9	5-4	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+0.9
10	6-4	UVA	UVA×4	Attack err	Sarah Dibbs-frantz		+0.8
11	7-4	UVA	UVA×4	Attack err	Lannah Price		+0.8
12	7-5	UVA	VCU	Serve err	UVA server		+0.6
13	8-5	VCU	UVA	Attack err	Lannah Price	blk Becca Wight, Emily Fowler	+0.6
14	9-5	UVA	UVA	Attack err	Gabby Lapata		+0.7
15	9-6	UVA	VCU	Kill	Gabby Lapata	set Kayla Foley	+0.5
16	9-7	VCU	VCU	Ace	VCU server	aced TEAM	+0.8
17	10-7	VCU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Olivia Siskin	+0.6
18	10-8	UVA	VCU	Kill	Letizia Galli	set Cansin Sendir	+0.6
19	11-8	VCU	UVA	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+0.6
20	11-9	UVA	VCU	Kill	Letizia Galli	set Cansin Sendir	+0.6
21	12-9	VCU	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Hannah Scott	+0.6
22	12-10	UVA	VCU	Kill	Sarah Dibbs-frantz	set Cansin Sendir	+0.6
23	13-10	VCU	UVA	Attack err	Molly Mccall	set Kayla Foley	+0.7
24	13-11	UVA	VCU	Kill	Molly Mccall	set Maddalena Fiolo	+0.6
25	14-11	VCU	UVA×4	Kill	Becca Wight	set Teagan Hogan	+0.7
26	15-11	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Katie Barrier	+0.8
27	16-11	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Becca Wight	set Katie Barrier	+0.6
28	17-11	UVA	UVA×4	Kill	Emily Fowler		+0.4
29	17-12	UVA	VCU	Kill	Sarah Dibbs-frantz	set Cansin Sendir	+0.2
30	18-12	VCU	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+0.3
31	18-13	UVA	VCU	Attack err	Caroline Lang	set Olivia Siskin	+0.2
32	19-13	VCU	UVA	Kill	Becca Wight	set Olivia Siskin	+0.3
33	19-14	UVA	VCU	Kill	Letizia Galli	set Cansin Sendir	+0.2
34	19-15	VCU	VCU	Kill	Molly Mccall	set Cansin Sendir	+0.4
35	20-15	VCU	UVA×3	Kill	Reese Wuebker	set Hannah Scott	+0.4
36	21-15	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Letizia Galli		+0.3
37	22-15	UVA	UVA×3	Attack err	Nina Boledovicova		+0.2
38	22-16	UVA	VCU×3	Kill	Molly Mccall	set Cansin Sendir	+0.1
39	22-17	VCU	VCU×3	Attack err	Reagan Ennist	blk Nina Boledovicova, Sarah Dibbs-frantz	+0.1
40	22-18	VCU	VCU×3	Kill	Molly Mccall	set Cansin Sendir	+0.3
41	23-18	VCU	UVA	Serve err	VCU server		+0.3
42	23-19	UVA	VCU	Kill	Molly Mccall	set Kayla Foley	+0.1
43	23-20	VCU	VCU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
44	24-20	VCU	UVA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
45	24-21	UVA	VCU	Kill	Molly Mccall	set Cansin Sendir	+0.2
46	24-22	VCU	VCU	Attack err	Becca Wight	blk Julieta Portillo	+0.5
47	25-22	VCU	UVA	Kill	Reagan Ennist	set Olivia Siskin	+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Virginia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.