Southern California def. San Diego 3–0
Southern California won at San Diego 3-0 (25-23, 25-13, 25-21) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. Southern California's Abigail Mullen and London Wijay led with 9 kills each, and Taylor Deckert added 15 digs.
Data through · final Sep 6
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| USD | 23 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 7.7% to Southern California — set 1, USC 25-23 USD. Kill by London Wijay (set by Abigail Mullen). USD win probability 53% → 45%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Southern California wins
San Diego wins
- USC break %
- 40.8% vs this opp
- USD break %
- 43.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01London WijayKill+7.7%
Kill by London Wijay (set by Abigail Mullen)
Set 1 · USC 25-23 USD · USC 47% → 55%
- 02Kierstyn BartonAttack error+4.7%
Attack error by Kierstyn Barton
Set 3 · USC 24-21 USD · USC 93% → 98%
- 03
- 04
- 05
- 06
- 07Abigail MullenKill+3.9%
Kill by Abigail Mullen (set by Milly McGee)
Set 2 · USC 14-11 USD · USC 63% → 67%
- 08
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 29 | .103 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 32 | .125 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 2 | 12 | .417 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 38 | 16 | 107 | .206 | 36 | 3 | 10 | 49 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 8.5 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 31 | .065 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 28 | .071 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 27 | -.037 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 28 | 21 | 115 | .061 | 26 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 57 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-23
Set 2
25-13
Set 3
25-21
Bars above the line = San Diego leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Southern California
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46%6/13 | 20%1/5 |
| 2 | 71%5/7 | 38%3/8 |
| 3 | 63%5/8 | 38%3/8 |
| 4 | 71%5/7 | 64%9/14 |
| 5 | 80%4/5 | 43%3/7 |
| 6 | 67%4/6 | 33%2/6 |
| All | 63%29/46 | 44%21/48 |
San Diego
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63%5/8 | 54%7/13 |
| 2 | 63%5/8 | 29%2/7 |
| 3 | 36%5/14 | 38%3/8 |
| 4 | 57%4/7 | 29%2/7 |
| 5 | 67%4/6 | 20%1/5 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 33%2/6 |
| All | 56%27/48 | 37%17/46 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
132 rallies
| # | USC-USD | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | USD | USC | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | USC | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Lauren Lynch | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | USD | USD | Ace | San Diego | aced Taylor Deckert | +2.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | USD | USC×4 | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | USC | USC×4 | Blocked | Ryann Knuth | blk Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy | +2.5 |
| 6 | 4-2 | USC | USC×4 | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +2.6 |
| 7 | 5-2 | USC | USC×4 | Blocked | Ryann Knuth | blk London Wijay, Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy | +2.6 |
| 8 | 5-3 | USC | USD | Attack err | Mia Tvrdy | +1.7 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | USD | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +1.9 |
| 10 | 7-3 | USC | USC | Ace | Southern California | aced Ryann Knuth | +2.5 |
| 11 | 7-4 | USC | USD | Kill | Ryann Knuth | set Kylie Munday | +1.6 |
| 12 | 8-4 | USD | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +1.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | USC | USD | Kill | Ryann Knuth | set Kylie Munday | +1.6 |
| 14 | 9-5 | USD | USC | Kill | Abigail Mullen | set Lilli Etter | +1.9 |
| 15 | 9-6 | USC | USD×3 | Kill | Ella Fulton | set Kylie Munday | +1.6 |
| 16 | 9-7 | USD | USD×3 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Lilli Etter | +2.5 |
| 17 | 9-8 | USD | USD×3 | Attack err | Adonia Faumuina | +2.7 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | USD | USC | Serve err | San Diego | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | USC | USC | Attack err | Nemo Beach | +3.0 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | USC | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Lauren Lynch | +1.9 |
| 21 | 11-10 | USD | USD | Attack err | Abigail Mullen | +2.9 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | USD | USC | Attack err | BayLea Sparks | +2.4 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +2.2 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | USD | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +2.5 |
| 25 | 13-12 | USC | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | USD | USC | Kill | Abigail Mullen | set Lilli Etter | +2.6 |
| 27 | 14-13 | USC | USD | Kill | Ryann Knuth | set Kylie Munday | +2.3 |
| 28 | 15-13 | USD | USC×4 | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +2.7 |
| 29 | 16-13 | USC | USC×4 | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +3.5 |
| 30 | 17-13 | USC | USC×4 | Kill | Abigail Mullen | set Lilli Etter | +3.1 |
| 31 | 18-13 | USC | USC×4 | Attack err | Ryann Knuth | +2.5 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | USC | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +1.3 |
| 33 | 19-14 | USD | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +1.9 |
| 34 | 19-15 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +1.2 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | USD | USC | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +1.8 |
| 36 | 20-16 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +1.1 | |
| 37 | 21-16 | USD | USC | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +1.7 |
| 38 | 21-17 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +1.0 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | USD | USC | Serve err | San Diego | +1.6 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | USC | USD×3 | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.8 |
| 41 | 22-19 | USD | USD×3 | Attack err | Abigail Mullen | +1.8 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | USD | USD×3 | Attack err | London Wijay | +3.0 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | USD | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +3.5 |
| 44 | 24-20 | USC | USC | Bad set | Kylie Munday | +2.8 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | USC | USD×3 | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +0.6 |
| 46 | 24-22 | USD | USD×3 | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Nemo Beach | +1.9 |
| 47 | 24-23 | USD | USD×3 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +4.3 |
| 48 | 25-23 | USD | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Abigail Mullen | +7.7 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | USC | USD | Kill | Ella Fulton | set Kylie Munday | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | USD | USC | Kill | Abigail Mullen | set Lilli Etter | +2.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | USC | USC | Attack err | Ryann Knuth | +2.9 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | USC | USD | Attack err | London Wijay | +2.1 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | USD | USC | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +2.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +2.1 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | USD | USC | Serve err | San Diego | +2.3 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | USC | USD | Kill | Ryann Knuth | set Kylie Munday | +2.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | USD | USD | Bad set | Lilli Etter | +3.0 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | USD | USC×3 | Serve err | San Diego | +2.2 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set London Wijay | +3.2 |
| 12 | 7-5 | USC | USC×3 | Attack err | Meghan Scholz | +3.3 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | USC | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +2.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | USD | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +3.2 |
| 15 | 8-7 | USD | USC | Serve err | San Diego | +2.5 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | USC | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +3.5 |
| 17 | 9-8 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +2.4 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | USC | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.7 | |||
| 19 | 10-9 | USC | USD | Attack err | Abigail Mullen | +2.5 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | USD | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +3.5 |
| 21 | 11-10 | USD | USC | Kill | Leah Ford | set Kylie Munday | +2.8 |
| 22 | 11-11 | USC | USD | Kill | Ella Fulton | set Milly McGee | +2.7 |
| 23 | 12-11 | USD | USC×3 | Serve err | San Diego | +2.9 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | USC | USC×3 | Blocked | Kierstyn Barton | blk Mia Tvrdy | +4.0 |
| 25 | 14-11 | USC | USC×3 | Kill | Abigail Mullen | set Milly McGee | +3.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | USC | USD | Blocked | Mia Tvrdy | blk Meghan Scholz, Emma Brewer | +2.5 |
| 27 | 15-12 | USD | USC | Kill | Abigail Mullen | set London Wijay | +3.0 |
| 28 | 15-13 | USC | USD | Attack err | London Wijay | +2.5 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | USD | USC×10 | Bad set | Lauren Lynch | +3.1 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | USC | USC×10 | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +3.7 |
| 31 | 18-13 | USC | USC×10 | Attack err | Nemo Beach | +3.1 | |
| 32 | 19-13 | USC | USC×10 | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Taylor Deckert | +2.2 |
| 33 | 20-13 | USC | USC×10 | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set Lilli Etter | +1.4 |
| 34 | 21-13 | USC | USC×10 | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +0.8 |
| 35 | 22-13 | USC | USC×10 | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | +0.4 | |
| 36 | 23-13 | USC | USC×10 | Ace | Southern California | aced Ryann Knuth | +0.1 |
| 37 | 24-13 | USC | USC×10 | Blocked | Nemo Beach | blk Mia Tvrdy, Lilli Etter | · |
| 38 | 25-13 | USC | USC×10 | Blocked | Nemo Beach | blk Mia Tvrdy, Lilli Etter | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | USD | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +2.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | USD | USD | Attack err | Leah Ford | +2.1 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | USD | USC | Kill | Abigail Mullen | set Lilli Etter | +1.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | USC | USD | Kill | BayLea Sparks | set Kylie Munday | +1.5 |
| 5 | 1-4 | USD | USD | Kill | BayLea Sparks | set Kylie Munday | +2.0 |
| 6 | 2-4 | USD | USC | Attack err | Kierstyn Barton | +1.4 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | USC | USD | Kill | Ryann Knuth | set Kylie Munday | +1.5 |
| 8 | 2-6 | USD | USD | Attack err | Abigail Mullen | +1.8 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | USD | USC×5 | Serve err | San Diego | +1.2 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | USC | USC×5 | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +1.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | USC | USC×5 | Attack err | Kierstyn Barton | +2.2 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | USC | USC×5 | Ace | Southern California | +2.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | USC | USC×5 | Blocked | Ryann Knuth | blk Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy | +2.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | USC | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +1.9 |
| 15 | 8-7 | USD | USC | Kill | London Wijay | set Taylor Deckert | +2.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +1.9 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | USD | USD | Ace | San Diego | aced London Wijay | +2.7 |
| 18 | 9-9 | USD | USC | Serve err | San Diego | +2.0 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | USC | USC | Attack err | Emma Brewer | +2.9 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +2.1 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | USD | USC | Serve err | San Diego | +2.2 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | USC | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +2.1 |
| 23 | 12-11 | USD | USC | Serve err | San Diego | +2.3 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | USC | USC | Attack err | Kierstyn Barton | +3.2 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | USC | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | USD | USC | Kill | Adonia Faumuina | set London Wijay | +2.5 |
| 27 | 14-13 | USC | USD | Attack err | Abigail Mullen | +2.2 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | USD | USC×4 | Kill | London Wijay | set Lilli Etter | +2.6 |
| 29 | 16-13 | USC | USC×4 | Kill | Mia Tvrdy | set Lilli Etter | +3.4 |
| 30 | 17-13 | USC | USC×4 | Kill | Abigail Mullen | set Mia Tvrdy | +3.0 |
| 31 | 18-13 | USC | USC×4 | Attack err | Emma Brewer | +2.5 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +1.2 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | USD | USC | Kill | Abigail Mullen | set Lilli Etter | +1.8 |
| 34 | 19-15 | USC | USD | Serve err | Southern California | +1.2 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | USD | USC | Attack err | Ryann Knuth | +1.8 | |
| 36 | 21-15 | USC | USC | Blocked | Meghan Scholz | blk Adonia Faumuina | +1.5 |
| 37 | 21-16 | USC | USD | Attack err | London Wijay | +0.6 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | USD | USC | Serve err | San Diego | +1.0 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | USC | USD×5 | Kill | BayLea Sparks | set Kylie Munday | +0.4 |
| 40 | 22-18 | USD | USD×5 | Attack err | Leah Ford | +1.0 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | USD | USD×5 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +1.8 |
| 42 | 22-20 | USD | USD×5 | Attack err | Abigail Mullen | +2.9 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | USD | USD×5 | Attack err | London Wijay | +4.4 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | USD | USC×3 | Kill | Leah Ford | set Lilli Etter | +4.7 |
| 45 | 24-21 | USC | USC×3 | Attack err | Kierstyn Barton | +4.7 | |
| 46 | 25-21 | USC | USC×3 | Blocked | Nemo Beach | blk Leah Ford, Adonia Faumuina | +1.9 |
Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).