FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026

Southern California def. San Diego 3–0

Southern California won at San Diego 3-0 (25-23, 25-13, 25-21) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. Southern California's Abigail Mullen and London Wijay led with 9 kills each, and Taylor Deckert added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 6

Set123Sets
USC2525253
USD2313210

Win probability

San Diego above 50 · Southern California below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.7% USCrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.7% to Southern California — set 1, USC 25-23 USD. Kill by London Wijay (set by Abigail Mullen). USD win probability 53% → 45%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USC 34.2%65.8% USD

Southern California wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
15.1%

San Diego wins

3-0
20.5%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
20.0%
USC break %
40.8% vs this opp
USD break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    London WijayKill+7.7%

    Kill by London Wijay (set by Abigail Mullen)

    Set 1 · USC 25-23 USD · USC 47% → 55%

  2. 02
    Kierstyn BartonAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Kierstyn Barton

    Set 3 · USC 24-21 USD · USC 93% → 98%

  3. 03
    Leah FordKill+4.7%

    Kill by Leah Ford (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 3 · USC 23-21 USD · USC 89% → 93%

  4. 04
    London WijayAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by London Wijay

    Set 3 · USC 22-21 USD · USD 7% → 11%

  5. 05
    Nemo BeachKill+4.3%

    Kill by Nemo Beach (set by Kylie Munday)

    Set 1 · USC 24-23 USD · USD 49% → 53%

  6. 06
    Mia TvrdyBlock+4.0%

    Kierstyn Barton stuffed by Mia Tvrdy

    Set 2 · USC 13-11 USD · USC 59% → 63%

  7. 07

    Kill by Abigail Mullen (set by Milly McGee)

    Set 2 · USC 14-11 USD · USC 63% → 67%

  8. 08
    Mia TvrdyKill+3.7%

    Kill by Mia Tvrdy (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 2 · USC 17-13 USD · USC 68% → 72%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39629.10311260031.511.5
39532.1253116102111
37118.33310240111.58.5
37212.41701270010.58.5
35212.250100300638
3103.3332701600212
3001.000000200000
3000–2021510000
1000–100000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3816107.206363104921158.575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37531.065111400008
37528.071001400007
35627-.037012720006
3306.500000200003
3002.0002301900000
2317.286000000003
33210.10000020010.53.5
3000–2021400000
2024-.50000200010.50.5
1000–001000000
1000–001000000
Team totals2821115.0612621142302157

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 USC · USD 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 USCUSD 3

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 10 USCUSD 2

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 USCUSD 5

Bars above the line = San Diego leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
20%1/5
2
71%5/7
38%3/8
3
63%5/8
38%3/8
4
71%5/7
64%9/14
5
80%4/5
43%3/7
6
67%4/6
33%2/6
All
63%29/46
44%21/48

San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
54%7/13
2
63%5/8
29%2/7
3
36%5/14
38%3/8
4
57%4/7
29%2/7
5
67%4/6
20%1/5
6
80%4/5
33%2/6
All
56%27/48
37%17/46

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#USC-USDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0USDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.7
21-1USCUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Lauren Lynch+1.7
31-2USDUSDAceSan Diegoaced Taylor Deckert+2.3
42-2USDUSC×4KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.7
53-2USCUSC×4BlockedRyann Knuthblk Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy+2.5
64-2USCUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.6
75-2USCUSC×4BlockedRyann Knuthblk London Wijay, Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy+2.6
85-3USCUSDAttack errMia Tvrdy+1.7
96-3USDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.9
107-3USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Ryann Knuth+2.5
117-4USCUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday+1.6
128-4USDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.9
138-5USCUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday+1.6
149-5USDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.9
159-6USCUSD×3KillElla Fultonset Kylie Munday+1.6
169-7USDUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Lilli Etter+2.5
179-8USDUSD×3Attack errAdonia Faumuina+2.7
1810-8USDUSCServe errSan Diego+2.2
1911-8USCUSCAttack errNemo Beach+3.0
2011-9USCUSDKillNemo Beachset Lauren Lynch+1.9
2111-10USDUSDAttack errAbigail Mullen+2.9
2212-10USDUSCAttack errBayLea Sparks+2.4
2312-11USCUSDServe errSouthern California+2.2
2413-11USDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.5
2513-12USCUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.2
2614-12USDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.6
2714-13USCUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday+2.3
2815-13USDUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.7
2916-13USCUSC×4KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+3.5
3017-13USCUSC×4KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+3.1
3118-13USCUSC×4Attack errRyann Knuth+2.5
3218-14USCUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.3
3319-14USDUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.9
3419-15USCUSDServe errSouthern California+1.2
3520-15USDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.8
3620-16USCUSDServe errSouthern California+1.1
3721-16USDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.7
3821-17USCUSDServe errSouthern California+1.0
3922-17USDUSCServe errSan Diego+1.6
4022-18USCUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.8
4122-19USDUSD×3Attack errAbigail Mullen+1.8
4222-20USDUSD×3Attack errLondon Wijay+3.0
4323-20USDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+3.5
4424-20USCUSCBad setKylie Munday+2.8
4524-21USCUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.6
4624-22USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Nemo Beach+1.9
4724-23USDUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+4.3
4825-23USDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Abigail Mullen+7.7
Set 2
10-1USCUSDKillElla Fultonset Kylie Munday+2.0
21-1USDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.0
32-1USCUSCAttack errRyann Knuth+2.9
42-2USCUSDAttack errLondon Wijay+2.1
53-2USDUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.2
63-3USCUSDServe errSouthern California+2.1
74-3USDUSCServe errSan Diego+2.3
84-4USCUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday+2.2
94-5USDUSDBad setLilli Etter+3.0
105-5USDUSC×3Serve errSan Diego+2.2
116-5USCUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset London Wijay+3.2
127-5USCUSC×3Attack errMeghan Scholz+3.3
137-6USCUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+2.3
147-7USDUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+3.2
158-7USDUSCServe errSan Diego+2.5
169-7USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+3.5
179-8USCUSDServe errSouthern California+2.4
1810-8USC
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.7
1910-9USCUSDAttack errAbigail Mullen+2.5
2010-10USDUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+3.5
2111-10USDUSCKillLeah Fordset Kylie Munday+2.8
2211-11USCUSDKillElla Fultonset Milly McGee+2.7
2312-11USDUSC×3Serve errSan Diego+2.9
2413-11USCUSC×3BlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Mia Tvrdy+4.0
2514-11USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+3.9
2614-12USCUSDBlockedMia Tvrdyblk Meghan Scholz, Emma Brewer+2.5
2715-12USDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset London Wijay+3.0
2815-13USCUSDAttack errLondon Wijay+2.5
2916-13USDUSC×10Bad setLauren Lynch+3.1
3017-13USCUSC×10KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+3.7
3118-13USCUSC×10Attack errNemo Beach+3.1
3219-13USCUSC×10KillAdonia Faumuinaset Taylor Deckert+2.2
3320-13USCUSC×10KillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.4
3421-13USCUSC×10KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.8
3522-13USCUSC×10KillAdonia Faumuina+0.4
3623-13USCUSC×10AceSouthern Californiaaced Ryann Knuth+0.1
3724-13USCUSC×10BlockedNemo Beachblk Mia Tvrdy, Lilli Etter·
3825-13USCUSC×10BlockedNemo Beachblk Mia Tvrdy, Lilli Etter·
Set 3
10-1USDUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.2
20-2USDUSDAttack errLeah Ford+2.1
31-2USDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.5
41-3USCUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+1.5
51-4USDUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+2.0
62-4USDUSCAttack errKierstyn Barton+1.4
72-5USCUSDKillRyann Knuthset Kylie Munday+1.5
82-6USDUSDAttack errAbigail Mullen+1.8
93-6USDUSC×5Serve errSan Diego+1.2
104-6USCUSC×5KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.9
115-6USCUSC×5Attack errKierstyn Barton+2.2
126-6USCUSC×5AceSouthern California+2.5
137-6USCUSC×5BlockedRyann Knuthblk Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy+2.6
147-7USCUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.9
158-7USDUSCKillLondon Wijayset Taylor Deckert+2.0
168-8USCUSDServe errSouthern California+1.9
178-9USDUSDAceSan Diegoaced London Wijay+2.7
189-9USDUSCServe errSan Diego+2.0
1910-9USCUSCAttack errEmma Brewer+2.9
2010-10USCUSDServe errSouthern California+2.1
2111-10USDUSCServe errSan Diego+2.2
2211-11USCUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.1
2312-11USDUSCServe errSan Diego+2.3
2413-11USCUSCAttack errKierstyn Barton+3.2
2513-12USCUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+2.2
2614-12USDUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset London Wijay+2.5
2714-13USCUSDAttack errAbigail Mullen+2.2
2815-13USDUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.6
2916-13USCUSC×4KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+3.4
3017-13USCUSC×4KillAbigail Mullenset Mia Tvrdy+3.0
3118-13USCUSC×4Attack errEmma Brewer+2.5
3218-14USCUSDServe errSouthern California+1.2
3319-14USDUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.8
3419-15USCUSDServe errSouthern California+1.2
3520-15USDUSCAttack errRyann Knuth+1.8
3621-15USCUSCBlockedMeghan Scholzblk Adonia Faumuina+1.5
3721-16USCUSDAttack errLondon Wijay+0.6
3822-16USDUSCServe errSan Diego+1.0
3922-17USCUSD×5KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.4
4022-18USDUSD×5Attack errLeah Ford+1.0
4122-19USDUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.8
4222-20USDUSD×5Attack errAbigail Mullen+2.9
4322-21USDUSD×5Attack errLondon Wijay+4.4
4423-21USDUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+4.7
4524-21USCUSC×3Attack errKierstyn Barton+4.7
4625-21USCUSC×3BlockedNemo Beachblk Leah Ford, Adonia Faumuina+1.9

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).