FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on B1G+

Southern California def. Rutgers 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Southern California 65.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southern California won at Rutgers 3-0 (25-23, 25-16, 25-13) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Southern California's Mia Tvrdy led with 11 kills, and Taylor Deckert added 14 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
USC2525253
RUTGER2316130

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.733 and 11 kills for Mia Tvrdy as Southern California rolled past Rutgers.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.7 points, and Rutgers's high was 44% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Southern California at 65%.

Southern CaliforniaRutgers
  • Break %+23.8 pts
    44.620.8

    33 of 74 on serve vs 11 of 53, so Rutgers's sideout was 55.4%.

  • Hitting+.218
    .351.133

    Kills and errors: 42–9 vs 33–19.

  • Longest run+2
    53

    5 straight Southern California points in the third set stretched a 6–3 lead to 11–3. The set finished 25–13.

Rutgers above 50Southern California belowMax swing 5.7%

Southern CaliforniaRutgers

Aces
Southern California 6·Rutgers 1
Serve err
Southern California 9·Rutgers 7
Blocks
Southern California 12·Rutgers 43 BS · 18 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Southern California 41·Rutgers 37

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Rutgers above 50 · Southern California below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.7% USCrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Southern California — set 1, USC 25-23 RUTGER. Kill by Abigail Mullen (set by Milly McGee). RUTGER win probability 26% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USC 69.6%30.4% RUTGER

Southern California wins

3-0
23.0%
3-1
26.7%
3-2
19.9%

Rutgers wins

3-0
5.8%
3-1
10.7%
3-2
13.9%
USC break %
41.7% vs this opp
RUTGER break %
37.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Abigail Mullen (set by Milly McGee)

    Set 1 · USC 25-23 RUTGER · USC 74% → 80%

  2. 02

    Kill by Adonia Faumuina (set by Milly McGee)

    Set 1 · USC 24-22 RUTGER · USC 72% → 77%

  3. 03
    Leah FordBlock+4.1%

    Natalie Robinson stuffed by Leah Ford

    Set 1 · USC 17-16 RUTGER · USC 64% → 68%

  4. 04

    London Wijay stuffed by Karis Willow & Mira McCool

    Set 1 · USC 22-21 RUTGER · RUTGER 25% → 29%

  5. 05

    Malia Romes stuffed by Leah Ford & London Wijay

    Set 1 · USC 18-16 RUTGER · USC 68% → 72%

  6. 06
    RutgersService error+3.9%

    Rutgers service error

    Set 1 · USC 23-21 RUTGER · USC 71% → 75%

  7. 07

    Ace by Brooke Baldwin on Taylor Deckert

    Set 1 · USC 20-19 RUTGER · RUTGER 26% → 30%

  8. 08

    Mira McCool stuffed by Mia Tvrdy & Milly McGee

    Set 1 · USC 22-19 RUTGER · USC 73% → 77%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311015.73300000153.514.5
38427.14801180031.510.5
37117.35331170031.59.5
36014.429000001439
38419.211000000008
32021.000301030132.55.5
3000–032000003
3000–002100000
3000–003800000
3000–2001410000
Team totals42994.35135694113181275
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38421.190001100219
37530.067103420007
36318.167001200006
3227.000000000002
31011.000170070010.51.5
1305.600001000003
36320.150001200217
3000–000610000
3000–3001110000
2012-.50000000111.51.5
2000–810200001
2000–000200000
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals3319105.133291737616452

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 USC · RUTGER 3

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 USCRUTGER 3

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 3 USCRUTGER 2

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 5 USCRUTGER 2

Bars above the line = Rutgers leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
45%5/11
2
78%7/9
42%5/12
3
78%7/9
46%6/13
4
64%7/11
53%8/15
5
100%7/7
46%6/13
6
88%7/8
30%3/10
All
79%42/53
45%33/74

Rutgers

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%7/11
30%3/10
2
47%7/15
13%1/8
3
64%7/11
22%2/9
4
47%7/15
22%2/9
5
54%7/13
30%3/10
6
67%6/9
0%0/7
All
55%41/74
21%11/53

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#USC-RUTGERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1USCRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.7
21-1RUTGERUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.6
31-2USCRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.7
42-2RUTGERUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+1.6
52-3USCRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitz+1.7
63-3RUTGERUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+1.7
74-3USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+2.5
84-4USCRUTGER×3KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+1.7
94-5RUTGERRUTGER×3KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+2.7
104-6RUTGERRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+2.8
115-6RUTGERUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+1.7
125-7USCRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Skylar George+1.9
136-7RUTGERUSCBlockedSkylar Georgeblk Mia Tvrdy, Milly McGee+1.8
146-8USCRUTGERServe errSouthern California+2.0
157-8RUTGERUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Abigail Mullen+1.8
167-9USCRUTGERAttack errAbigail Mullen+2.1
178-9RUTGERUSCServe errRutgers+1.9
188-10USCRUTGERServe errSouthern California+2.1
198-11RUTGERRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+3.1
209-11RUTGERUSCAttack errMalia Romes+1.8
219-12USCRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+2.1
2210-12RUTGERUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+1.8
2310-13USCRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Brooke Baldwin+2.2
2411-13RUTGERUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+1.9
2512-13USCUSC×3BlockedSkylar Georgeblk Milly McGee+3.2
2613-13USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+3.5
2713-14USCRUTGERAttack errAdonia Faumuina+2.5
2814-14RUTGERUSCServe errRutgers+2.4
2914-15USCRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Kenzie Dyrstad+2.6
3015-15RUTGERUSCAttack errSkylar George+2.5
3115-16USCRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+2.7
3216-16RUTGERUSC×3Attack errAvery Jesewitz+2.6
3317-16USCUSC×3BlockedNatalie Robinsonblk Leah Ford+4.1
3418-16USCUSC×3BlockedMalia Romesblk Leah Ford, London Wijay+3.9
3518-17USCRUTGERServe errSouthern California+2.3
3619-17RUTGERUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+2.7
3720-17USCUSCAceSouthern California+3.4
3820-18USCRUTGERServe errSouthern California+1.7
3920-19RUTGERRUTGERAceBrooke Baldwinaced Taylor Deckert+3.8
4021-19RUTGERUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+3.1
4122-19USCUSCBlockedMira McCoolblk Mia Tvrdy, Milly McGee+3.7
4222-20USCRUTGERServe errSouthern California+1.6
4322-21RUTGERRUTGERBlockedLondon Wijayblk Karis Willow, Mira McCool+4.0
4423-21RUTGERUSCServe errRutgers+3.9
4523-22USCRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+2.7
4624-22RUTGERUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+4.4
4724-23USCRUTGERAttack errAdonia Faumuina+2.4
4825-23RUTGERUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+5.7
Set 2
10-1RUTGERRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Kenzie Dyrstad+2.2
20-2RUTGERRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Kenzie Dyrstad+2.2
31-2RUTGERUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+1.4
41-3USCRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+1.5
51-4RUTGERRUTGERAttack errLondon Wijay+2.3
62-4RUTGERUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+1.4
73-4USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdy+2.2
84-4USCUSC×3BlockedSkylar Georgeblk Abigail Mullen, Mia Tvrdy+2.3
94-5USCRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+1.6
104-6RUTGERRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+2.4
115-6RUTGERUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+1.5
126-6USCUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+2.4
136-7USCRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+1.7
147-7RUTGERUSC×3Serve errRutgers+1.6
158-7USCUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+2.4
169-7USCUSC×3Attack errMalia Romes+2.3
179-8USCRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+1.5
1810-8RUTGERUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.6
1910-9USCRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.5
2011-9RUTGERUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+1.6
2112-9USCUSCBad setLily Bolen+2.2
2212-10USCRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+1.4
2313-10RUTGERUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+1.5
2414-10USCUSCKillLondon Wijay+2.0
2514-11USCRUTGERServe errSouthern California+1.1
2615-11RUTGERUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.3
2716-11USCUSC×3BlockedKaris Willowblk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy+1.5
2817-11USCUSC×3AceSouthern California+1.1
2917-12USCRUTGERServe errSouthern California+0.5
3018-12RUTGERUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+0.7
3119-12USCUSCBlockedMalia Romesblk Mia Tvrdy, London Wijay+0.6
3219-13USCRUTGERBlockedLondon Wijayblk Karis Willow, Malia Romes+0.2
3319-14RUTGERRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+0.6
3420-14RUTGERUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+0.6
3520-15USCRUTGERBlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Malia Romes, Lily Bolen+0.3
3621-15RUTGERUSC×3Serve errRutgers+0.5
3722-15USCUSC×3Attack errAvery Jesewitz+0.4
3823-15USCUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuina+0.1
3923-16USCRUTGERServe errSouthern California·
4024-16RUTGERUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee·
4125-16USCUSCBlockedAddison Wiemannblk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen·
Set 3
11-0USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuina+1.2
21-1USCRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+0.8
32-1RUTGERUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+0.8
43-1USCUSC×3Attack errKaris Willow+1.1
54-1USCUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Taylor Deckert+1.1
64-2USCRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.7
75-2RUTGERUSCKillLondon Wijayset Abigail Mullen+0.7
86-2USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Skylar George+1.0
96-3USCRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Lily Bolen+0.6
107-3RUTGERUSC×5KillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+0.6
118-3USCUSC×5KillMilly McGeeset Abigail Mullen+0.8
129-3USCUSC×5KillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+0.7
1310-3USCUSC×5AceSouthern Californiaaced Skylar George+0.5
1411-3USCUSC×5KillMilly McGeeset Milly McGee+0.4
1511-4USCRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
1612-4RUTGERUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+0.2
1712-5USCRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
1813-5RUTGERUSCAttack errKaris Willow+0.2
1913-6USCRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+0.2
2014-6RUTGERUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+0.2
2115-6USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+0.2
2216-6USCUSC×3AceSouthern Californiaaced Kenzie Dyrstad+0.1
2316-7USCRUTGERKillAvery Jesewitzset Lily Bolen·
2417-7RUTGERUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+0.1
2517-8USCRUTGERKillLily Bolenset Lily Bolen·
2618-8RUTGERUSCBlockedAvery Jesewitzblk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen+0.1
2718-9USCRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin·
2819-9RUTGERUSCKillLondon Wijayset Taylor Deckert·
2919-10USCRUTGERBlockedLondon Wijayblk Mira McCool·
3020-10RUTGERUSC×3Serve errRutgers·
3121-10USCUSC×3BlockedNatalie Robinsonblk Mia Tvrdy·
3222-10USCUSC×3AceSouthern Californiaaced Jenna DeLaMater·
3322-11USCRUTGERServe errSouthern California·
3423-11RUTGERUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee·
3524-11USCUSCBlockedSkylar Georgeblk Leah Ford, Milly McGee·
3624-12USCRUTGERAttack errAdonia Faumuina·
3724-13RUTGERRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen·
3825-13RUTGERUSCServe errRutgers·

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).