CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026
Rutgers logo

AwayBIG-TEN

3:1

Rutgers def. Bellarmine 31

(25-15, 22-25, 25-21, 25-19)
Set12*34Sets
RUTGER252225253
BELLAR152521191
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BELLAR above 50 · RUTGER below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100BELLARRUTGERBiggest swing +5.4% BELLAR · S2 22-24rally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.4% to Bellarmine — set 2, RUTGER 22-24 BELLAR. Aspen Maxwell stuffed by Mary Herman & Natalie Bland. BELLAR win probability 18%23%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

RUTGER 78.9%21.1% BELLAR

Rutgers wins

3-0
30.4%
3-1
29.9%
3-2
18.5%

Bellarmine wins

3-0
3.5%
3-1
7.1%
3-2
10.5%
RUTGER break %
44.9% vs this opp
BELLAR break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Aspen MaxwellAttack error+5.4%

    Aspen Maxwell stuffed by Mary Herman & Natalie Bland

    Set 2 · RUTGER 22-24 BELLAR · BELLAR 18%23%

  2. 02
    Mady YadenKill+4.4%

    Kill by Mady Yaden

    Set 3 · RUTGER 20-19 BELLAR · BELLAR 19%23%

  3. 03
    Aspen MaxwellAttack error+4.3%

    Attack error by Aspen Maxwell

    Set 2 · RUTGER 21-22 BELLAR · BELLAR 13%17%

  4. 04
    RUTGER serverAce+4.3%

    Rutgers ace on Mya White

    Set 3 · RUTGER 23-20 BELLAR · RUTGER 81%86%

  5. 05
    Malia RomesKill+4.2%

    Kill by Malia Romes (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 3 · RUTGER 22-20 BELLAR · RUTGER 77%81%

  6. 06

    Kill by Natalie Robinson (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 3 · RUTGER 21-19 BELLAR · RUTGER 77%81%

  7. 07
    Mya WhiteKill+3.7%

    Kill by Mya White (set by Maddie Carnes)

    Set 2 · RUTGER 22-23 BELLAR · BELLAR 14%18%

  8. 08
    Erika SmithKill+3.4%

    Kill by Erika Smith

    Set 3 · RUTGER 1-5 BELLAR · BELLAR 36%39%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410118.5000031034515
47317.2350724000014
48519.15810020111.59.5
47412.25000000010.57.5
45125.160103620005
40001712300001
411520.3000000014314
41011.0002153700006
4000100600000
4000000000000
40003021300000
Team totals4919112.2684413154235101097
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414327.40700110010.514.5
412222.45501301010.513.5
47523.0872116212210
42213.000012201436
4005.000280070010.50.5
4000101320000
47930-.06700010010.57.5
4011-1.000001300000
40004001330000
3000001000000
1001.000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals4222122.164353103613210780

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 RUTGER · BELLAR 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 7 RUTGERBELLAR 4

Set 2*

22-25

Longest run 5 RUTGERBELLAR 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 7 RUTGERBELLAR 5

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 RUTGERBELLAR 3

Bars above the line = Bellarmine leads, below = Rutgers leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Rutgers

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
25%2/8
2
58%7/12
36%4/11
3
70%7/10
61%11/18
4
56%5/9
64%9/14
5
83%5/6
58%7/12
6
50%5/10
55%6/11
All
64%36/56
53%39/74

Bellarmine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
50%6/12
2
58%7/12
0%0/7
3
38%6/16
46%6/13
4
33%5/15
33%3/9
5
38%5/13
38%3/8
6
56%5/9
29%2/7
All
47%35/74
36%20/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

177 rallies

Rally log

#RUTGER-BELLARSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+1.4
21-1BELLARRUTGER×3KillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+1.3
32-1RUTGERRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.8
43-1RUTGERRUTGER×3KillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.6
53-2RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.2
64-2BELLARRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.2
75-2RUTGERRUTGERAceRUTGER serveraced Abbie Lyttle+1.5
85-3RUTGERBELLARAttack errNatalie Robinson+1.1
96-3BELLARRUTGER×7KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.1
107-3RUTGERRUTGER×7KillLily Bolenset Maddie Carnes+1.3
118-3RUTGERRUTGER×7Attack errMya White+1.1
129-3RUTGERRUTGER×7AceRUTGER serveraced Team+0.9
1310-3RUTGERRUTGER×7AceRUTGER serveraced Team+0.7
1411-3RUTGERRUTGER×7AceRUTGER serveraced Team+0.5
1512-3RUTGERRUTGER×7AceRUTGER serveraced Payton Parsons+0.3
1612-4RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.2
1712-5BELLARBELLARAttack errMalia Romes+0.3
1813-5BELLARRUTGER×3Serve errBELLAR server+0.3
1914-5RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errMady Yadenblk Malia Romes, Imani Howell+0.3
2015-5RUTGERRUTGER×3KillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.2
2115-6RUTGERBELLARKillMady Yadenset Payton Parsons+0.1
2215-7BELLARBELLARAttack errMalia Romes+0.2
2316-7BELLARRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+0.2
2417-7RUTGERRUTGERAttack errMya White+0.1
2517-8RUTGERBELLAR×4KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+0.1
2617-9BELLARBELLAR×4KillNatalie Blandset Payton Parsons+0.1
2717-10BELLARBELLAR×4KillMya Whiteset Payton Parsons+0.2
2817-11BELLARBELLAR×4KillMya Whiteset Natalie Bland+0.4
2918-11BELLARRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+0.4
3019-11RUTGERRUTGERAttack errNatalie Blandblk Aspen Maxwell, Imani Howell+0.3
3119-12RUTGERBELLARAttack errKaris Willowblk Mary Herman, Mya White+0.1
3220-12BELLARRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
3321-12RUTGERRUTGERAttack errErika Smith+0.1
3421-13RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+0.0
3521-14BELLARBELLARAttack errNatalie Robinson+0.1
3622-14BELLARRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Brooke Baldwin+0.1
3723-14RUTGERRUTGERBad setEmily Cook+0.1
3823-15RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+0.0
3924-15BELLARRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+0.0
4025-15RUTGERRUTGERAttack errEmily Cook+0.0
Set 2
11-0BELLARRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+0.9
21-1RUTGERBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+1.0
32-1BELLARRUTGERServe errBELLAR server+1.0
43-1RUTGERRUTGERAttack errMary Herman+1.3
53-2RUTGERBELLAR×5Attack errMalia Romes+0.9
63-3BELLARBELLAR×5KillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+1.4
73-4BELLARBELLAR×5AceBELLAR serveraced Skylar George+1.6
83-5BELLARBELLAR×5KillNatalie Blandset Abbie Lyttle+1.7
93-6BELLARBELLAR×5Attack errMalia Romesblk Erika Smith, Natalie Bland+1.8
104-6BELLARRUTGER×3KillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+1.1
115-6RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errErika Smith+1.6
126-6RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romes+1.6
136-7RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+1.3
147-7BELLARRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+1.2
158-7RUTGERRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+1.6
168-8RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.2
179-8BELLARRUTGERAttack errMady Yadenblk Malia Romes, Imani Howell+1.2
1810-8RUTGERRUTGERAttack errMady Yaden+1.5
1910-9RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.1
2011-9BELLARRUTGERAttack errMady Yaden+1.1
2111-10RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+1.1
2212-10BELLARRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.2
2312-11RUTGERBELLARKillMya Whiteset Payton Parsons+1.2
2412-12BELLARBELLARAttack errAspen Maxwell+1.9
2513-12BELLARRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+1.4
2613-13RUTGERBELLARAttack errNatalie Robinson+1.5
2713-14BELLARBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+2.3
2814-14BELLARRUTGER×5Serve errBELLAR server+1.5
2915-14RUTGERRUTGER×5KillSkylar George+2.1
3016-14RUTGERRUTGER×5KillMalia Romesset Kenzie Dyrstad+2.0
3117-14RUTGERRUTGER×5AceRUTGER serveraced Team+1.7
3218-14RUTGERRUTGER×5KillNatalie Robinson+1.3
3318-15RUTGERBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+0.7
3419-15BELLARRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+0.9
3519-16RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+0.7
3619-17BELLARBELLARFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.5
3720-17BELLARRUTGERFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.3
3820-18RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.1
3921-18BELLARRUTGERServe errBELLAR server+1.4
4021-19RUTGERBELLAR×4Attack errAspen Maxwellblk Mary Herman, Mady Yaden+1.1
4121-20BELLARBELLAR×4KillMady Yadenset Payton Parsons+2.3
4221-21BELLARBELLAR×4Bad setSkylar George+3.3
4321-22BELLARBELLAR×4Attack errAspen Maxwell+4.3
4422-22BELLARRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+2.9
4522-23RUTGERBELLAR×3KillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+3.7
4622-24BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errAspen Maxwellblk Mary Herman, Natalie Bland+5.4
4722-25BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errAspen Maxwell+3.3
Set 3
10-1RUTGERBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+2.1
21-1BELLARRUTGERKillKaris Willow+2.0
31-2RUTGERBELLAR×5KillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+2.2
41-3BELLARBELLAR×5Attack errKaris Willow+3.2
51-4BELLARBELLAR×5KillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+3.3
61-5BELLARBELLAR×5KillErika Smith+3.4
71-6BELLARBELLAR×5AceBELLAR serveraced Skylar George+3.3
82-6BELLARRUTGER×7Serve errBELLAR server+1.9
93-6RUTGERRUTGER×7AceRUTGER serveraced Natalie Bland+3.0
104-6RUTGERRUTGER×7Attack errErika Smith+3.2
115-6RUTGERRUTGER×7Attack errNatalie Blandblk Malia Romes+3.2
126-6RUTGERRUTGER×7AceRUTGER serveraced Natalie Bland+3.2
137-6RUTGERRUTGER×7AceRUTGER serveraced Abbie Lyttle+3.1
148-6RUTGERRUTGER×7KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+2.8
158-7RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+2.1
169-7BELLARRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Kenzie Dyrstad+2.1
1710-7RUTGERRUTGERAceRUTGER serveraced Payton Parsons+2.6
1810-8RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.8
1910-9BELLARBELLARAttack errNatalie Robinson+3.0
2011-9BELLARRUTGER×4KillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+2.2
2112-9RUTGERRUTGER×4Attack errMady Yaden+2.8
2213-9RUTGERRUTGER×4KillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+2.3
2314-9RUTGERRUTGER×4Attack errAva Longblk Imani Howell+1.8
2414-10RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+1.1
2515-10BELLARRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.3
2615-11RUTGERBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+1.0
2715-12BELLARBELLARKillMya Whiteset Natalie Bland+2.0
2816-12BELLARRUTGERBad setMaddie Carnes+1.7
2916-13RUTGERBELLARKillMary Hermanset Abbie Lyttle+1.5
3017-13BELLARRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Skylar George+1.8
3117-14RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+1.5
3218-14BELLARRUTGERServe errBELLAR server+1.8
3319-14RUTGERRUTGERAttack errNatalie Blandblk Natalie Robinson, Malia Romes+1.8
3419-15RUTGERBELLAR×3Serve errRUTGER server+0.9
3519-16BELLARBELLAR×3KillErika Smithset Kenzie Dyrstad+1.9
3619-17BELLARBELLAR×3KillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+2.9
3720-17BELLARRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+2.6
3820-18RUTGERBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.1
3920-19BELLARBELLARKillMady Yaden+4.4
4021-19BELLARRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+3.8
4121-20RUTGERBELLARKillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+3.3
4222-20BELLARRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+4.2
4323-20RUTGERRUTGER×3AceRUTGER serveraced Mya White+4.3
4424-20RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errNatalie Blandblk Imani Howell+2.2
4524-21RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+0.5
4625-21BELLARRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
Set 4
11-0BELLARRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.5
21-1RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+1.6
32-1BELLARRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.5
43-1RUTGERRUTGERKillNatalie Robinsonset Lily Bolen+2.0
53-2RUTGERBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+1.5
63-3BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.3
74-3BELLARRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+1.6
84-4RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.7
95-4BELLARRUTGERServe errBELLAR server+1.6
105-5RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.8
116-5BELLARRUTGER×3KillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+1.7
127-5RUTGERRUTGER×3KillAspen Maxwellset Kenzie Dyrstad+2.2
138-5RUTGERRUTGER×3KillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+2.0
148-6RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+1.4
158-7BELLARBELLARKillMady Yaden+2.3
169-7BELLARRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Kaila Kalama-Bajet+1.7
179-8RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+1.7
1810-8BELLARRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.7
1910-9RUTGERBELLARKillMary Hermanset Maddie Carnes+1.8
2011-9BELLARRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Aspen Maxwell+1.8
2112-9RUTGERRUTGERAceRUTGER serveraced Payton Parsons+2.2
2212-10RUTGERBELLARAttack errMalia Romesblk Natalie Bland+1.5
2313-10BELLARRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+1.6
2413-11RUTGERBELLARServe errRUTGER server+1.5
2513-12BELLARBELLARKillNatalie Blandset Maddie Carnes+2.6
2614-12BELLARRUTGER×3Serve errBELLAR server+2.0
2715-12RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errNatalie Blandblk Malia Romes, Imani Howell+2.5
2816-12RUTGERRUTGER×3KillMalia Romesset Lily Bolen+2.0
2916-13RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+1.2
3017-13BELLARRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+1.4
3118-13RUTGERRUTGERAttack errMady Yadenblk Aspen Maxwell+1.5
3218-14RUTGERBELLARKillErika Smithset Maddie Carnes+0.8
3319-14BELLARRUTGERAttack errMady Yadenblk Imani Howell+1.0
3420-14RUTGERRUTGERAttack errMady Yaden+0.9
3520-15RUTGERBELLAR×3Attack errKaris Willowblk Mary Herman, Maddie Carnes+0.4
3620-16BELLARBELLAR×3Attack errImani Howell+0.9
3720-17BELLARBELLAR×3KillMady Yadenset Maddie Carnes+1.5
3821-17BELLARRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Brooke Baldwin+1.5
3922-17RUTGERRUTGERAttack errMady Yaden+1.2
4022-18RUTGERBELLARKillMya Whiteset Maddie Carnes+0.5
4123-18BELLARRUTGERAttack errMary Herman+0.8
4223-19RUTGERBELLARAttack errSkylar George+0.3
4324-19BELLARRUTGERServe errBELLAR server+0.6
4425-19RUTGERRUTGERAceRUTGER serveraced Team+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Rutgers first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.