FinalWed, Sep 9, 2026

AwayBIG-WEST

0:3

HomeBIG-SKY

Northern Ariz. def. UC Riverside 3–0

(25-13, 25-21, 26-24)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
UC RIV	13	21	24	0
NAU	25	25	26	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NAU above 50 · UC RIV below

Biggest swing: 1.6% to UC Riverside — set 2, UC RIV 20-19 NAU. Point UC Riverside (not logged in NCAA feed). NAU win probability 95% → 94%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UC RIV 7.0%93.0% NAU

UC Riverside wins

3-0

0.9%

3-1

2.0%

3-2

4.1%

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0

50.4%

3-1

30.9%

3-2

11.8%

UC RIV break %: 38.2% vs this opp
NAU break %: 49.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Unlogged pointFeed gap+1.6%
Point UC Riverside (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 2 · UC RIV 20-19 NAU · UC RIV 5% → 6%
02
Kylie ProctorKill+1.5%
Kill by Kylie Proctor
Set 3 · UC RIV 24-23 NAU · UC RIV 2% → 3%
03
Sariah JohnsonAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Sariah Johnson
Set 2 · UC RIV 20-21 NAU · NAU 95% → 96%
04
Peyton DevlinKill+1.3%
Kill by Peyton Devlin (set by Ella Hosfeld)
Set 2 · UC RIV 20-22 NAU · NAU 96% → 98%
05
Unlogged pointFeed gap+1.2%
Point Northern Ariz. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · UC RIV 24-25 NAU · NAU 98% → 99%
06
Unlogged pointFeed gap+1.2%
Point Northern Ariz. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 3 · UC RIV 24-24 NAU · NAU 97% → 98%
07
Unlogged pointFeed gap+1.2%
Point UC Riverside (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 2 · UC RIV 16-12 NAU · UC RIV 7% → 9%
08
Hanah StoddardAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Hanah Stoddard
Set 2 · UC RIV 15-12 NAU · UC RIV 6% → 7%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UC Riversideaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Andrea BrewerOH	3	7	9	27	-.074	2	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	8
15Evelyn HendrixMB	3	5	1	10	.400	2	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	7
11Elena KasavicaS	3	2	1	6	.167	9	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	3
12Malia TanksleyOH	2	4	5	20	-.050	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
4Zeynep BelgutayMB	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
9Casi DollOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	1
3Sariah JohnsonOH	3	1	1	13	.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	3.5
19Misu NguyenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	9	1	0	0	0	0
1Madison PulsipherOH	2	7	2	17	.294	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	8
22Maya BarronS	2	0	0	0	–	9	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
5McKenna GilesL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
18Kylie ProctorMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
13Nicole HughesOH	1	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
17Izzy JefferyMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		29	22	103	.068	26	2	2	37	6	3	12	9	58

Northern Ariz.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Hanah StoddardOH	3	13	7	37	.162	1	3	2	8	0	0	2	1	17
3Gigi GreenleeMB	3	7	1	15	.400	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	10
14Avery GottschalkMB	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
7Ella HosfeldS	3	0	0	0	–	22	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
18Kate FedericoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
22Quincey CoyleOH	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	2
8Peyton DevlinOH	3	11	3	21	.381	0	2	0	2	0	0	0	0	13
12Laney WilsonOH	3	3	2	11	.091	0	0	0	2	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
9Masina PerezOH	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
10Lilly HolmesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	13	1	0	0	0	1
5Taryn DavisS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
31Kate CampMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		42	17	107	.234	37	6	7	41	2	3	12	9	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UC RIV · NAU 6

Set 1*

13-25

Longest run 3 UC RIVNAU 4

Set 2*

21-25

Longest run 4 UC RIVNAU 4

Set 3*

24-26

Longest run 3 UC RIVNAU 6

Bars above the line = Northern Ariz. leads, below = UC Riverside leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UC Riverside

No clean sets to split.

Northern Ariz.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	UC RIV-NAU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.6
2	1-1	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Malia Tanksley	set Elena Kasavica	+0.6
3	1-2	UC RIV	NAU×4	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.6
4	1-3	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Malia Tanksley		+0.7
5	1-4	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Zeynep Belgutay	blk Laney Wilson	+0.6
6	1-5	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Malia Tanksley	blk Hanah Stoddard, Avery Gottschalk	+0.5
7	2-5	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Malia Tanksley	set Elena Kasavica	+0.4
8	2-6	UC RIV	NAU×4	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.4
9	2-7	NAU	NAU×4	Ace	NAU server	aced Team	+0.4
10	2-8	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Andrea Brewer	blk Laney Wilson, Avery Gottschalk	+0.3
11	2-9	NAU	NAU×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
12	3-9	NAU	UC RIV×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
13	4-9	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Misu Nguyen	+0.3
14	5-9	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Misu Nguyen	+0.4
15	5-10	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.3
16	5-11	NAU	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.3
17	6-11	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Nicole Hughes	set Maya Barron	+0.2
18	6-12	UC RIV	NAU×3	Serve err	UC RIV server		+0.2
19	6-13	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Casi Doll	blk Masina Perez, Gigi Greenlee	+0.2
20	6-14	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Nicole Hughes		+0.1
21	7-14	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Evelyn Hendrix	set Maya Barron	+0.1
22	7-15	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+0.1
23	8-15	NAU	UC RIV	Serve err	NAU server		+0.1
24	8-16	UC RIV	NAU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
25	9-16	NAU	UC RIV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
26	9-17	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+0.1
27	9-18	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Malia Tanksley		+0.1
28	10-18	NAU	UC RIV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
29	10-19	UC RIV	NAU×3	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+0.0
30	10-20	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Avery Gottschalk	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.0
31	10-21	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.0
32	11-21	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+0.0
33	11-22	UC RIV	NAU	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+0.0
34	12-22	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Malia Tanksley	set Elena Kasavica	+0.0
35	12-23	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Peyton Devlin	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.0
36	12-24	NAU	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.0
37	13-24	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Maya Barron	+0.0
38	13-25	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	NAU	UC RIV	Serve err	NAU server		+0.5
2	1-1	UC RIV	NAU×4	Attack err	Malia Tanksley	blk Gigi Greenlee	+0.4
3	1-2	NAU	NAU×4	Ace	NAU server	aced McKenna Giles	+0.5
4	1-3	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+0.4
5	1-4	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Evelyn Hendrix		+0.4
6	2-4	NAU	UC RIV	Attack err	Evelyn Hendrix		+0.3
7	3-4	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Evelyn Hendrix	set Maya Barron	+0.5
8	3-5	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.4
9	3-6	NAU	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson		+0.4
10	4-6	NAU	UC RIV×4	Attack err	Avery Gottschalk	blk Evelyn Hendrix	+0.3
11	5-6	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Attack err	Laney Wilson		+0.5
12	6-6	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Bad set	Lilly Holmes		+0.6
13	7-6	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard	blk Sariah Johnson	+0.7
14	7-7	UC RIV	NAU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.5
15	8-7	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Maya Barron	+0.6
16	9-7	UC RIV	UC RIV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
17	9-8	UC RIV	NAU	Attack err	Madison Pulsipher		+0.6
18	10-8	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Maya Barron	+0.7
19	10-9	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.6
20	10-10	NAU	NAU	Serve err	NAU server		+0.8
21	11-10	NAU	UC RIV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.7
22	12-10	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Peyton Devlin		+1.0
23	12-11	UC RIV	NAU	Bad set	Misu Nguyen		+0.7
24	12-12	NAU	NAU	Ace	NAU server	aced McKenna Giles	+0.9
25	13-12	NAU	UC RIV×4	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+0.8
26	14-12	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Attack err	Gigi Greenlee		+1.1
27	15-12	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+1.2
28	16-12	UC RIV	UC RIV×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.2
29	16-13	UC RIV	NAU×4	Kill	Hanah Stoddard		+0.7
30	16-14	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Malia Tanksley	blk Kate Camp, Hanah Stoddard	+1.0
31	16-15	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+1.1
32	16-16	NAU	NAU×4	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+1.1
33	17-16	NAU	UC RIV	Serve err	NAU server		+1.0
34	17-17	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+0.9
35	17-18	NAU	NAU	Kill	Peyton Devlin		+1.1
36	18-18	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Evelyn Hendrix		+0.9
37	18-19	UC RIV	NAU	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+0.9
38	19-19	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Maya Barron	+1.0
39	20-19	UC RIV	UC RIV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.6
40	20-20	UC RIV	NAU×3	Kill	Peyton Devlin		+1.1
41	20-21	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Sariah Johnson		+1.5
42	20-22	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Peyton Devlin	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.3
43	21-22	NAU	UC RIV	Serve err	NAU server		+0.8
44	21-23	UC RIV	NAU×3	Kill	Peyton Devlin	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.1
45	21-24	NAU	NAU×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
46	21-25	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+0.3
Set 3
1	1-0	UC RIV	UC RIV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
2	2-0	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+0.3
3	2-1	UC RIV	NAU×6	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+0.2
4	2-2	NAU	NAU×6	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Elena Kasavica	+0.3
5	2-3	NAU	NAU×6	Kill	Andrea Brewer		+0.2
6	2-4	NAU	NAU×6	Kill	Avery Gottschalk		+0.2
7	2-5	NAU	NAU×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
8	2-6	NAU	NAU×6	Kill	Avery Gottschalk	set Elena Kasavica	+0.1
9	3-6	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Elena Kasavica	+0.1
10	4-6	UC RIV	UC RIV	Ace	UC RIV server	aced Team	+0.2
11	4-7	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Peyton Devlin		+0.1
12	5-7	NAU	UC RIV	Serve err	NAU server		+0.2
13	5-8	UC RIV	NAU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
14	6-8	NAU	UC RIV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
15	7-8	UC RIV	UC RIV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
16	7-9	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Misu Nguyen	+0.2
17	8-9	NAU	UC RIV	Serve err	NAU server		+0.2
18	8-10	UC RIV	NAU×3	Serve err	UC RIV server		+0.2
19	8-11	NAU	NAU×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
20	8-12	NAU	NAU×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
21	9-12	NAU	UC RIV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
22	9-13	UC RIV	NAU	Attack err	Andrea Brewer	blk Gigi Greenlee, Laney Wilson	+0.1
23	9-14	NAU	NAU	Kill	Peyton Devlin	set Taryn Davis	+0.1
24	10-14	NAU	UC RIV	Attack err	Peyton Devlin		+0.1
25	11-14	UC RIV	UC RIV	Kill	Andrea Brewer	set Evelyn Hendrix	+0.2
26	11-15	UC RIV	NAU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
27	11-16	NAU	NAU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
28	12-16	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Elena Kasavica	set Evelyn Hendrix	+0.1
29	12-17	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+0.1
30	13-17	NAU	UC RIV×3	Kill	Sariah Johnson	set Andrea Brewer	+0.1
31	14-17	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard	blk Sariah Johnson, Kylie Proctor	+0.2
32	15-17	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Madison Pulsipher		+0.3
33	15-18	UC RIV	NAU	Attack err	Andrea Brewer		+0.2
34	16-18	NAU	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+0.2
35	17-18	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+0.4
36	18-18	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Attack err	Laney Wilson	blk Madison Pulsipher	+0.5
37	18-19	UC RIV	NAU×3	Serve err	UC RIV server		+0.4
38	18-20	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Peyton Devlin	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.5
39	18-21	NAU	NAU×3	Ace	NAU server	aced Misu Nguyen	+0.4
40	19-21	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Madison Pulsipher		+0.2
41	20-21	UC RIV	UC RIV	Attack err	Peyton Devlin	blk Sariah Johnson, Evelyn Hendrix	+0.5
42	20-22	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Avery Gottschalk	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.4
43	21-22	NAU	UC RIV	Kill	Evelyn Hendrix	set Kylie Proctor	+0.4
44	21-23	UC RIV	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.5
45	22-23	NAU	UC RIV×3	Kill	Evelyn Hendrix	set Andrea Brewer	+0.4
46	23-23	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Madison Pulsipher	set Kylie Proctor	+0.9
47	24-23	UC RIV	UC RIV×3	Kill	Kylie Proctor		+1.5
48	24-24	UC RIV	NAU×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.2
49	24-25	NAU	NAU×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.2
50	24-26	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Elena Kasavica		+1.0

Score shown after each rally, UC Riverside first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.