FinalWed, Sep 9, 2026

Northern Ariz. def. UC Riverside 3–0

Northern Ariz. beat visiting UC Riverside 3-0 (25-13, 25-21, 26-24) on Wed, Sep 9, 2026. Northern Ariz.'s Hanah Stoddard led with 13 kills, and Lilly Holmes added 17 digs.

Data through · final Sep 9

Set123Sets
UC RIV1321240
NAU2525263

Win probability

Northern Ariz. above 50 · UC Riverside below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.2% UC RIVrally 134 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.2% to UC Riverside — set 2, UC RIV 20-19 NAU. Point UC Riverside (not logged in NCAA feed). NAU win probability 97% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UC RIV 4.6%95.4% NAU

UC Riverside wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.3%
3-2
2.8%

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0
56.6%
3-1
29.4%
3-2
9.5%
UC RIV break %
37.0% vs this opp
NAU break %
49.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.2%

    Point UC Riverside (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · UC RIV 20-19 NAU · UC RIV 3% → 5%

  2. 02
    Kylie ProctorKill+1.2%

    Kill by Kylie Proctor

    Set 3 · UC RIV 24-23 NAU · UC RIV 1% → 3%

  3. 03
    Sariah JohnsonAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Sariah Johnson

    Set 2 · UC RIV 20-21 NAU · NAU 96% → 97%

  4. 04
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.0%

    Point UC Riverside (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 2 · UC RIV 16-12 NAU · UC RIV 5% → 6%

  5. 05
    Hanah StoddardAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Hanah Stoddard

    Set 2 · UC RIV 15-12 NAU · UC RIV 4% → 5%

  6. 06

    Kill by Hanah Stoddard (set by Taryn Davis)

    Set 3 · UC RIV 24-25 NAU · NAU 98% → 99%

  7. 07
    Peyton DevlinKill+0.9%

    Kill by Peyton Devlin (set by Ella Hosfeld)

    Set 2 · UC RIV 20-22 NAU · NAU 97% → 98%

  8. 08
    Gigi GreenleeKill+0.9%

    Kill by Gigi Greenlee (set by Taryn Davis)

    Set 3 · UC RIV 24-24 NAU · NAU 97% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37928-.071111600008
34110.30000010111.55.5
3001.0001010700001
24520-.05000000010.54.5
2114.00000120031.52.5
1012-.500000100211
31112.00000010212.53.5
3000–1500700000
3000–200910000
26218.222000100006
2429.222000001015
2000–000220000
12021.000000000002
1000–000000000
Team totals2922106.066282237648858
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313737.16214210002118
37115.4000000022310
36112.41700010031.57.5
3000–2700600000
3000–000100000
2216.167002500002
312423.3480102000013
33314.00000020132.55.5
3126-.16700020010.51.5
3000–3121710001
3000–1200200000
1000–00100010.50.5
Team totals4419113.2214367482312976

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UC RIV · NAU 7

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 UC RIVNAU 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 4 UC RIVNAU 4

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 3 UC RIVNAU 7

Bars above the line = Northern Ariz. leads, below = UC Riverside leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UC Riverside

No clean sets to split.

Northern Ariz.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#UC RIV-NAUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UC RIVNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
21-1NAUUC RIVKillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica+0.5
31-2UC RIVNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
41-3NAUNAU×4Attack errMalia Tanksley+0.5
51-4NAUNAU×4BlockedZeynep Belgutayblk Laney Wilson+0.4
61-5NAUNAU×4BlockedMalia Tanksleyblk Hanah Stoddard, Avery Gottschalk+0.3
72-5NAUUC RIVKillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica+0.2
82-6UC RIVNAU×4KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
92-7NAUNAU×4AceNorthern Ariz.+0.3
102-8NAUNAU×4BlockedAndrea Brewerblk Laney Wilson, Avery Gottschalk+0.2
11–123-9UC RIV · NAU
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
134-9UC RIVUC RIV×3KillAndrea Brewerset Misu Nguyen+0.2
145-9UC RIVUC RIV×3KillAndrea Brewerset Misu Nguyen+0.3
155-10UC RIVNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
165-11NAUNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
176-11NAUUC RIVKillNicole Hughesset Maya Barron+0.1
186-12UC RIVNAU×3Serve errUC Riverside+0.2
196-13NAUNAU×3BlockedCasi Dollblk Masina Perez, Gigi Greenlee+0.1
206-14NAUNAU×3Attack errNicole Hughes+0.1
217-14NAUUC RIVKillEvelyn Hendrixset Maya Barron+0.1
227-15UC RIVNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.1
238-15NAUUC RIVServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.1
24–259-16UC RIV · NAU
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
269-17UC RIVNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.1
279-18NAUNAUAttack errMalia Tanksley·
2810-18UC RIV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
2910-19UC RIVNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis·
3010-20NAUNAU×3KillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld·
3110-21NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld·
3211-21NAUUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica·
3311-22UC RIVNAUAttack errAndrea Brewer·
3412-22NAUUC RIVKillMalia Tanksleyset Elena Kasavica·
3512-23UC RIVNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld·
3612-24NAUNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld·
3713-24NAUUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Maya Barron·
3813-25UC RIVNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld·
Set 2
11-0NAUUC RIVServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.3
21-1UC RIVNAU×4BlockedMalia Tanksleyblk Gigi Greenlee+0.3
31-2NAUNAU×4AceNorthern Ariz.aced McKenna Giles+0.3
41-3NAUNAU×4Attack errAndrea Brewer+0.3
51-4NAUNAU×4Attack errEvelyn Hendrix+0.3
62-4NAUUC RIVAttack errEvelyn Hendrix+0.2
73-4UC RIVUC RIVKillEvelyn Hendrixset Maya Barron+0.3
83-5UC RIVNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
93-6NAUNAUKillLaney Wilson+0.3
104-6NAUUC RIV×4BlockedAvery Gottschalkblk Evelyn Hendrix+0.2
115-6UC RIVUC RIV×4Attack errLaney Wilson+0.4
126-6UC RIVUC RIV×4Bad setLilly Holmes+0.4
137-6UC RIVUC RIV×4BlockedHanah Stoddardblk Sariah Johnson+0.5
147-7NAU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
158-7NAUUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Maya Barron+0.4
169-7UC RIV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
179-8UC RIVNAUAttack errMadison Pulsipher+0.4
1810-8NAUUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Maya Barron+0.5
1910-9UC RIVNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.5
2010-10NAUNAUServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.6
2111-10UC RIV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
2212-10UC RIVUC RIVAttack errPeyton Devlin+0.8
2312-11UC RIVNAUBad setMisu Nguyen+0.5
2412-12NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced McKenna Giles+0.6
2513-12NAUUC RIV×4KillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica+0.6
2614-12UC RIVUC RIV×4Attack errGigi Greenlee+0.8
2715-12UC RIVUC RIV×4Attack errHanah Stoddard+0.9
2816-12UC RIV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.0
2916-13UC RIVNAU×4KillHanah Stoddard+0.5
3016-14NAUNAU×4BlockedMalia Tanksleyblk Kate Camp, Hanah Stoddard+0.8
3116-15NAUNAU×4Attack errAndrea Brewer+0.8
3216-16NAUNAU×4Attack errAndrea Brewer+0.8
3317-16NAUUC RIVServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.7
3417-17UC RIVNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.6
3517-18NAUNAUKillPeyton Devlin+0.8
3618-18NAUUC RIVKillEvelyn Hendrix+0.7
3718-19UC RIVNAUAttack errAndrea Brewer+0.7
3819-19NAUUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Maya Barron+0.7
3920-19UC RIV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
4020-20UC RIVNAU×3KillPeyton Devlin+0.9
4120-21NAUNAU×3Attack errSariah Johnson+1.1
4220-22NAUNAU×3KillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.9
4321-22NAUUC RIVServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.6
4421-23UC RIVNAU×3KillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.8
4521-24NAU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
4621-25NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.2
Set 3
11-0UC RIV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
22-0UC RIVUC RIVAttack errHanah Stoddard+0.2
32-1UC RIVNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
42-2NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
52-3NAUNAU×3KillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
63-3NAUUC RIVKillAndrea Brewerset Elena Kasavica+0.1
7–95-4UC RIV 2 · NAU
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
105-5UC RIVNAU×7KillLaney Wilson+0.2
115-6NAUNAU×7AceNorthern Ariz.+0.2
125-7NAUNAU×7KillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
135-8NAUNAU×7AceNorthern Ariz.+0.1
14–155-10NAU 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
165-11NAUNAU×7KillPeyton Devlinset Lilly Holmes+0.1
176-11NAUUC RIV×3Serve errNorthern Ariz.·
187-11UC RIVUC RIV×3Serve errUC Riverside+0.1
198-11UC RIVUC RIV×3Serve errUC Riverside+0.1
20–219-12UC RIV · NAU
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
229-13UC RIVNAUBlockedAndrea Brewerblk Gigi Greenlee, Laney Wilson+0.1
239-14NAUNAUKillPeyton Devlin+0.1
2410-14NAUUC RIVAttack errPeyton Devlin+0.1
2511-14UC RIV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
2611-15UC RIVNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Lilly Holmes+0.1
2711-16NAUNAUBlockedAndrea Brewerblk Gigi Greenlee+0.1
2812-16NAUUC RIVKillNicole Hughesset Maya Barron+0.1
2912-17UC RIVNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+0.1
3013-17NAUUC RIV×3KillSariah Johnsonset Andrea Brewer+0.1
3114-17UC RIVUC RIV×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+0.1
3215-17UC RIVUC RIV×3KillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica+0.2
3315-18UC RIVNAUServe errUC Riverside+0.2
3416-18NAUUC RIV×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+0.2
3517-18UC RIVUC RIV×3Serve errUC Riverside+0.3
3618-18UC RIVUC RIV×3Serve errUC Riverside+0.4
3718-19UC RIVNAU×3Attack errEvelyn Hendrix+0.3
3818-20NAU
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
3918-21NAUNAU×3AceNorthern Ariz.aced Misu Nguyen+0.3
4019-21NAUUC RIVKillMadison Pulsipherset Elena Kasavica+0.2
41–4220-22UC RIV · NAU
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
4321-22UC RIVUC RIVKillEvelyn Hendrix+0.4
4421-23UC RIVNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
4522-23NAUUC RIV×3KillNicole Hughesset Maya Barron+0.3
4623-23UC RIVUC RIV×3KillKylie Proctorset Maya Barron+0.7
4724-23UC RIVUC RIV×3KillKylie Proctor+1.2
4824-24UC RIVNAU×3KillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+0.9
4924-25NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.9
5024-26NAUNAU×3Attack errNicole Hughes+0.7

Score shown after each rally, UC Riverside first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).