FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

San Francisco def. Northern Ariz. 3–0

San Francisco beat visiting Northern Ariz. 3-0 (31-29, 25-20, 25-22) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. San Francisco's Petra Fritz led with 18 kills, and Laura Amaro added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
NAU2920220
S FRAN3125253

Win probability

San Francisco above 50 · Northern Ariz. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.4% S FRANrally 152 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.4% to San Francisco — set 1, NAU 29-31 S FRAN. San Francisco ace on Kate Federico. S FRAN win probability 46% → 57%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NAU 63.5%36.5% S FRAN

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0
19.1%
3-1
24.3%
3-2
20.0%

San Francisco wins

3-0
7.6%
3-1
13.1%
3-2
15.7%
NAU break %
44.0% vs this opp
S FRAN break %
41.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    San FranciscoAce+10.4%

    San Francisco ace on Kate Federico

    Set 1 · NAU 29-31 S FRAN · S FRAN 46% → 57%

  2. 02
    Katariina KorhonenAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Katariina Korhonen

    Set 1 · NAU 24-24 S FRAN · NAU 51% → 61%

  3. 03
    Laney WilsonAttack error+9.8%

    Attack error by Laney Wilson

    Set 1 · NAU 28-29 S FRAN · S FRAN 37% → 46%

  4. 04

    Kill by Avery Gottschalk (set by Ella Hosfeld)

    Set 1 · NAU 28-27 S FRAN · NAU 61% → 70%

  5. 05
    Jordan SmartKill+7.3%

    Kill by Jordan Smart

    Set 1 · NAU 24-25 S FRAN · S FRAN 39% → 46%

  6. 06
    Gigi GreenleeKill+7.3%

    Kill by Gigi Greenlee (set by Taryn Davis)

    Set 1 · NAU 25-25 S FRAN · NAU 54% → 61%

  7. 07
    Petra FritzKill+7.3%

    Kill by Petra Fritz (set by Jordan Smart)

    Set 1 · NAU 25-26 S FRAN · S FRAN 39% → 46%

  8. 08
    Taryn DavisKill+7.3%

    Kill by Taryn Davis

    Set 1 · NAU 26-26 S FRAN · NAU 54% → 61%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312636.1671128102114
36111.45500000233.59.5
34110.30010020212.56.5
3108.12500000010.51.5
3104.2501400700001
26431.065301410006
33110.20000020010.53.5
3001.0001210500001
3000–1101720001
3000–100410000
23110.200011110004
2000–000000000
Team totals3614121.182334450648871
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318541.3171235100020
314430.33320213100014
39017.5290013004211
38314.35700010052.510.5
3106.16726121300002
31612-.41700000010.51.5
3001.0005201810002
2329.111000000003
2105.200000000001
2000–1101600000
1000–310100001
1000–000000000
Team totals5520135.2594869604010581

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NAU · S FRAN 7

Set 1

29-31

Longest run 3 NAUS FRAN 7

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 2 NAUS FRAN 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 4 NAUS FRAN 6

Bars above the line = San Francisco leads, below = Northern Ariz. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ariz.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%8/17
46%6/13
2
50%7/14
27%3/11
3
54%7/13
42%5/12
4
75%6/8
42%5/12
5
50%5/10
57%8/14
6
29%5/17
55%6/11
All
48%38/79
45%33/73

San Francisco

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
68%13/19
2
78%7/9
61%11/18
3
54%7/13
42%5/12
4
58%7/12
36%4/11
5
40%6/15
45%5/11
6
45%5/11
38%3/8
All
55%40/73
52%41/79

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

152 rallies

#NAU-S FRANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NAUS FRANKillHokulani Perezset Jordan Smart+1.8
20-2S FRANS FRANBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Hokulani Perez, Emma Neukirchen+2.5
31-2S FRANNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Quincey Coyle+1.7
42-2NAUNAUAttack errPetra Fritz+2.4
52-3NAUS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+1.9
63-3S FRANNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+1.8
73-4NAUS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Katariina Korhonen+1.9
83-5S FRANS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+2.6
94-5S FRANNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Kate Federico+1.8
105-5NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.6
115-6NAUS FRANKillTalula Lenoirset Piper Justiss+2.0
125-7S FRANS FRANAceSan Franciscoaced Quincey Coyle+2.8
136-7S FRANNAU×3Serve errSan Francisco+1.9
147-7NAUNAU×3KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+2.7
158-7NAUNAU×3KillGigi Greenlee+2.7
168-8NAUS FRANAttack errQuincey Coyle+2.1
179-8S FRANNAUKillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
1810-8NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+2.7
1910-9NAUS FRAN×7KillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+2.0
2010-10S FRANS FRAN×7KillHokulani Perezset Jordan Smart+2.9
2110-11S FRANS FRAN×7KillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+3.1
2210-12S FRANS FRAN×7Attack errQuincey Coyle+3.2
2310-13S FRANS FRAN×7KillEmma Neukirchenset Jordan Smart+3.1
2410-14S FRANS FRAN×7KillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+2.9
2510-15S FRANS FRAN×7BlockedQuincey Coyleblk Hokulani Perez, Emma Neukirchen+2.5
2611-15S FRANNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+1.4
2711-16NAUS FRAN×3Serve errNorthern Ariz.+1.9
2811-17S FRANS FRAN×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+2.0
2911-18S FRANS FRAN×3KillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+1.4
3012-18S FRANNAUServe errSan Francisco+0.6
3113-18NAUNAUKillMasina Perezset Hanah Stoddard+1.2
3213-19NAUS FRANKillHokulani Perezset Jordan Smart+1.4
3314-19S FRANNAU×3Attack errPetra Fritz+0.8
3415-19NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.7
3516-19NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
3616-20NAUS FRANBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Maeve Bailey, Hokulani Perez+2.4
3716-21S FRANS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Piper Justiss+2.3
3817-21S FRANNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.0
3917-22NAUS FRANServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.6
4018-22S FRANNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+0.8
4119-22NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Hanah Stoddard+1.8
4220-22NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Avery Gottschalk+3.0
4320-23NAUS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+3.6
4421-23S FRANNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.0
4522-23NAUNAUAttack errKatariina Korhonen+4.7
4622-24NAUS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+5.8
4723-24S FRANNAUBad setEmma Neukirchen+3.2
4824-24NAUNAUAttack errKatariina Korhonen+9.9
4924-25NAUS FRANKillJordan Smart+7.3
5025-25S FRANNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+7.3
5125-26NAUS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+7.3
5226-26S FRANNAUKillTaryn Davis+7.3
5326-27NAUS FRANKillMaeve Baileyset Jordan Smart+7.3
5427-27S FRANNAUBlockedMaeve Baileyblk Avery Gottschalk+7.3
5528-27NAUNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+9.3
5628-28NAUS FRANKillTalula Lenoirset Piper Justiss+6.9
5728-29S FRANS FRANAttack errLaney Wilson+9.8
5829-29S FRANNAUServe errSan Francisco+7.3
5929-30NAUS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+7.3
6029-31S FRANS FRANAceSan Franciscoaced Kate Federico+10.4
Set 2
10-1S FRANS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Katariina Korhonen+2.8
21-1S FRANNAUServe errSan Francisco+2.0
32-1NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Petra Fritz+2.7
42-2NAUS FRANKillEmma Neukirchenset Jordan Smart+2.1
53-2S FRANNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+2.1
63-3NAUS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+2.1
74-3S FRANNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
85-3NAUNAUBad setJordan Smart+2.8
95-4NAUS FRANKillHokulani Perezset Katariina Korhonen+2.0
106-4S FRANNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Hanah Stoddard+2.1
116-5NAUS FRAN×3KillPetra Fritzset Laura Amaro+2.1
126-6S FRANS FRAN×3AceSan Franciscoaced Hanah Stoddard+3.0
136-7S FRANS FRAN×3KillTalula Lenoirset Laura Amaro+3.2
147-7S FRANNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+2.3
158-7NAUNAUAttack errTalula Lenoir+3.2
168-8NAUS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Piper Justiss+2.4
179-8S FRANNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+2.4
1810-8NAUNAUAttack errTalula Lenoir+3.2
1910-9NAUS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+2.3
2010-10S FRANS FRANAceSan Franciscoaced Kate Federico+3.4
2111-10S FRANNAUBlockedKatariina Korhonenblk Masina Perez, Gigi Greenlee+2.6
2211-11NAUS FRAN×5KillHokulani Perezset Jordan Smart+2.6
2311-12S FRANS FRAN×5KillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+3.8
2411-13S FRANS FRAN×5Attack errHanah Stoddard+3.9
2511-14S FRANS FRAN×5KillEmma Neukirchen+3.8
2611-15S FRANS FRAN×5KillPetra Fritzset Laura Amaro+3.5
2712-15S FRANNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+2.1
2812-16NAUS FRAN×3KillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+2.7
2912-17S FRANS FRAN×3KillHokulani Perezset Jordan Smart+2.9
3012-18S FRANS FRAN×3KillHokulani Perezset Jordan Smart+2.2
3113-18S FRANNAUServe errSan Francisco+1.1
3213-19NAUS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+1.6
3314-19S FRANNAUServe errSan Francisco+1.0
3415-19NAUNAUBlockedMaeve Baileyblk Gigi Greenlee+1.9
3515-20NAUS FRANAttack errQuincey Coyle+2.1
3615-21S FRANS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+1.9
3716-21S FRANNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+0.7
3817-21NAUNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.6
3917-22NAUS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Piper Justiss+1.9
4017-23S FRANS FRANAceSan Franciscoaced Lilly Holmes+1.3
4118-23S FRANNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+0.3
4219-23NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Laura Amaro+0.9
4319-24NAUS FRANKillAndjela Sojicset Piper Justiss+1.3
4420-24S FRANNAUBlockedHokulani Perezblk Gigi Greenlee+0.3
4520-25NAUS FRANKillEmma Neukirchenset Lilly Holmes+0.8
Set 3
11-0NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.+2.1
21-1NAUS FRAN×3KillEmma Neukirchenset Jordan Smart+1.6
31-2S FRANS FRAN×3BlockedQuincey Coyleblk Emma Neukirchen, Hokulani Perez+2.2
41-3S FRANS FRAN×3KillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+2.3
52-3S FRANNAUServe errSan Francisco+1.6
62-4NAUS FRAN×3KillEmma Neukirchenset Jordan Smart+1.8
72-5S FRANS FRAN×3KillHokulani Perezset Petra Fritz+2.3
82-6S FRANS FRAN×3Bad setElla Hosfeld+2.3
93-6S FRANNAU×3BlockedPetra Fritzblk Gigi Greenlee, Laney Wilson+1.5
104-6NAUNAU×3Attack errMaeve Bailey+2.2
115-6NAUNAU×3Attack errMaeve Bailey+2.3
125-7NAUS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+1.9
135-8S FRANS FRANAceSan Franciscoaced Peyton Devlin+2.5
146-8S FRANNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+1.7
156-9NAUS FRANServe errNorthern Ariz.+1.9
167-9S FRANNAU×4Serve errSan Francisco+1.7
178-9NAUNAU×4KillPeyton Devlinset Taryn Davis+2.5
189-9NAUNAU×4KillPeyton Devlinset Lilly Holmes+2.6
1910-9NAUNAU×4KillPeyton Devlinset Taryn Davis+2.6
2010-10NAUS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Adelynn Legates+2.0
2110-11S FRANS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Laura Amaro+2.9
2211-11S FRANNAU×3KillAvery Gottschalkset Taryn Davis+2.1
2312-11NAUNAU×3KillLaney Wilsonset Adelynn Legates+2.8
2413-11NAUNAU×3AceNorthern Ariz.aced Katariina Korhonen+2.7
2513-12NAUS FRAN×6KillEmma Neukirchenset Adelynn Legates+1.9
2613-13S FRANS FRAN×6KillEmma Neukirchenset Jordan Smart+3.0
2713-14S FRANS FRAN×6KillKatariina Korhonenset Laura Amaro+3.2
2813-15S FRANS FRAN×6Attack errPeyton Devlin+3.3
2913-16S FRANS FRAN×6Attack errAvery Gottschalk+3.2
3013-17S FRANS FRAN×6KillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+2.8
3114-17S FRANNAU×3Serve errSan Francisco+1.6
3215-17NAUNAU×3BlockedKatariina Korhonenblk Quincey Coyle, Avery Gottschalk+2.8
3316-17NAUNAU×3BlockedHokulani Perezblk Avery Gottschalk+3.3
3416-18NAUS FRAN×3Serve errNorthern Ariz.+2.9
3516-19S FRANS FRAN×3Bad setKate Federico+3.6
3616-20S FRANS FRAN×3BlockedQuincey Coyleblk Emma Neukirchen, Hokulani Perez+3.0
3717-20S FRANNAUAttack errPetra Fritz+1.5
3817-21NAUS FRANKillEmma Neukirchenset Jordan Smart+2.2
3917-22S FRANS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+2.0
4018-22S FRANNAUBlockedPetra Fritzblk Gigi Greenlee, Quincey Coyle+0.7
4119-22NAUNAUAttack errHokulani Perez+1.7
4219-23NAUS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+2.1
4319-24S FRANS FRANAttack errGigi Greenlee+1.4
4420-24S FRANNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+0.3
4521-24NAUNAU×3Attack errMaeve Bailey+0.8
4622-24NAUNAU×3Attack errMaeve Bailey+1.8
4722-25NAUS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+3.1

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ariz. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).