FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayBIG-SKY

0:3

HomeWCC

San Francisco def. Northern Ariz. 3–0

(30-29, 25-20, 25-22)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
NAU	29	20	22	0
S FRAN	30	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play stops before the final score, so the set winner comes from the official result. It is also left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S FRAN above 50 · NAU below

Biggest swing: 17.8% to San Francisco — set 1, NAU 29-30 S FRAN. Kill by Katariina Korhonen (set by Piper Justiss). S FRAN win probability 44% → 62%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NAU 58.0%42.0% S FRAN

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0

16.1%

3-1

22.1%

3-2

19.7%

San Francisco wins

3-0

9.4%

3-1

15.4%

3-2

17.2%

NAU break %: 43.4% vs this opp
S FRAN break %: 41.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Katariina KorhonenKill+17.8%
Kill by Katariina Korhonen (set by Piper Justiss)
Set 1 · NAU 29-30 S FRAN · S FRAN 44% → 62%
02
Katariina KorhonenAttack error+10.1%
Attack error by Katariina Korhonen
Set 1 · NAU 24-24 S FRAN · NAU 46% → 56%
03
Laney WilsonAttack error+10.0%
Attack error by Laney Wilson
Set 1 · NAU 28-29 S FRAN · S FRAN 41% → 51%
04
Avery GottschalkKill+9.7%
Kill by Avery Gottschalk (set by Ella Hosfeld)
Set 1 · NAU 28-27 S FRAN · NAU 56% → 66%
05
Jordan SmartKill+7.4%
Kill by Jordan Smart (set by Jordan Smart)
Set 1 · NAU 24-25 S FRAN · S FRAN 44% → 51%
06
Gigi GreenleeKill+7.4%
Kill by Gigi Greenlee (set by Taryn Davis)
Set 1 · NAU 25-25 S FRAN · NAU 49% → 56%
07
Petra FritzKill+7.4%
Kill by Petra Fritz (set by Jordan Smart)
Set 1 · NAU 25-26 S FRAN · S FRAN 44% → 51%
08
Taryn DavisKill+7.4%
Kill by Taryn Davis
Set 1 · NAU 26-26 S FRAN · NAU 49% → 56%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Northern Ariz.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Quincey CoyleOH	3	12	6	36	.167	1	1	2	8	1	0	2	1	14
3Gigi GreenleeMB	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	3.5	9.5
14Avery GottschalkMB	3	4	1	10	.300	1	0	0	2	0	2	1	2.5	6.5
1Hanah StoddardOH	3	6	4	31	.065	3	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	6
9Masina PerezOH	3	1	0	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
5Taryn DavisS	3	1	0	4	.250	14	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	1
8Peyton DevlinOH	3	3	1	10	.200	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	4
12Laney WilsonOH	3	3	1	10	.200	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
7Ella HosfeldS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
18Kate FedericoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	17	2	0	0	0	1
11Avalon LeggL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Georgi SteinOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Hannah PushckorMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31Kate CampMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Lauren EdlundOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Lilly HolmesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
2Mallory ReynoldsS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

San Franciscohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Petra FritzOH	3	18	5	41	.317	1	2	3	5	1	0	0	20
12Katariina KorhonenOH	3	14	4	30	.333	2	0	2	13	1	0	0	14
14Emma NeukirchenMB	3	9	0	17	.529	0	0	1	3	0	4	2	11
19Hokulani PerezMB	3	8	3	14	.357	0	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	10.5
13Jordan SmartS	3	1	0	6	.167	26	1	2	13	0	0	0	2
16Maeve BaileyMB	3	1	6	12	-.417	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
1Talula LenoirOH	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
18Laura AmaroL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	2	0	18	1	0	0	2
17Andjela SojicMB	3	1	0	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4Adelynn LegatesS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
8Anica BobicOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3Piper JustissS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	1	6	0	0	0	0
15Simona IvanovaMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11True TakemotoDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 NAU · S FRAN 7

Set 1*

29-30

Longest run 3 NAUS FRAN 7

Set 2*

20-25

Longest run 2 NAUS FRAN 5

Set 3*

22-25

Longest run 4 NAUS FRAN 6

Bars above the line = San Francisco leads, below = Northern Ariz. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Northern Ariz.

No clean sets to split.

San Francisco

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

151 rallies

Rally log

#	NAU-S FRAN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+1.8
2	0-2	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard	blk Emma Neukirchen, Hokulani Perez	+2.5
3	1-2	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Quincey Coyle	+1.8
4	2-2	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+2.5
5	2-3	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.9
6	3-3	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Taryn Davis	+1.9
7	3-4	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Katariina Korhonen	+2.0
8	3-5	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+2.7
9	4-5	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Kate Federico	+1.9
10	5-5	NAU	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.7
11	5-6	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Piper Justiss	+2.1
12	5-7	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Quincey Coyle	+2.8
13	6-7	S FRAN	NAU×3	Serve err	S FRAN server		+2.0
14	7-7	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.8
15	8-7	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Gigi Greenlee		+2.9
16	8-8	NAU	S FRAN	Attack err	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.1
17	9-8	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.2
18	10-8	NAU	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Taryn Davis	+2.9
19	10-9	NAU	S FRAN×7	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+2.1
20	10-10	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+3.0
21	10-11	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+3.2
22	10-12	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Attack err	Quincey Coyle		+3.3
23	10-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+3.1
24	10-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+2.9
25	10-15	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Attack err	Quincey Coyle	blk Emma Neukirchen, Hokulani Perez	+2.4
26	11-15	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+1.4
27	11-16	NAU	S FRAN×3	Serve err	NAU server		+1.8
28	11-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+1.9
29	11-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.3
30	12-18	S FRAN	NAU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.6
31	13-18	NAU	NAU	Kill	Masina Perez	set Hanah Stoddard	+1.2
32	13-19	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+1.3
33	14-19	S FRAN	NAU×3	Attack err	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.8
34	15-19	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+1.6
35	16-19	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Hanah Stoddard	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.3
36	16-20	NAU	S FRAN	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard	blk Hokulani Perez, Maeve Bailey	+2.4
37	16-21	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+2.3
38	17-21	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard		+1.0
39	17-22	NAU	S FRAN	Serve err	NAU server		+1.6
40	18-22	S FRAN	NAU×3	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.8
41	19-22	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Quincey Coyle		+1.8
42	20-22	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Avery Gottschalk	+3.0
43	20-23	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen		+3.5
44	21-23	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.0
45	22-23	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+4.7
46	22-24	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+5.8
47	23-24	S FRAN	NAU	Bad set	Emma Neukirchen		+3.2
48	24-24	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+10.1
49	24-25	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Jordan Smart	set Jordan Smart	+7.4
50	25-25	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+7.4
51	25-26	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+7.4
52	26-26	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Taryn Davis		+7.4
53	26-27	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	+7.4
54	27-27	S FRAN	NAU	Attack err	Maeve Bailey	blk Avery Gottschalk	+7.4
55	28-27	NAU	NAU	Kill	Avery Gottschalk	set Ella Hosfeld	+9.7
56	28-28	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Piper Justiss	+7.2
57	28-29	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Laney Wilson		+10.0
58	29-29	S FRAN	NAU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+7.4
59	29-30	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+17.8
Set 2
1	0-1	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen		+2.7
2	1-1	S FRAN	NAU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+2.0
3	2-1	NAU	NAU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
4	2-2	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+2.0
5	3-2	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Avery Gottschalk	set Taryn Davis	+2.0
6	3-3	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+2.1
7	4-3	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Hanah Stoddard		+2.1
8	5-3	NAU	NAU	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
9	5-4	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Katariina Korhonen	+2.0
10	6-4	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Hanah Stoddard	+2.1
11	6-5	NAU	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Laura Amaro	+2.0
12	6-6	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Hanah Stoddard	+3.0
13	6-7	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Laura Amaro	+3.1
14	7-7	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+2.3
15	8-7	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Talula Lenoir		+3.1
16	8-8	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+2.3
17	9-8	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+2.4
18	10-8	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Talula Lenoir		+3.1
19	10-9	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen		+2.2
20	10-10	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Kate Federico	+3.3
21	11-10	S FRAN	NAU	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	blk Gigi Greenlee, Masina Perez	+2.5
22	11-11	NAU	S FRAN×5	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+2.6
23	11-12	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+3.7
24	11-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Attack err	Hanah Stoddard		+3.7
25	11-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Kill	Emma Neukirchen		+3.5
26	11-15	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Laura Amaro	+3.2
27	12-15	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Avery Gottschalk	set Taryn Davis	+1.9
28	12-16	NAU	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz		+2.4
29	12-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+2.7
30	12-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+2.0
31	13-18	S FRAN	NAU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.0
32	13-19	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.4
33	14-19	S FRAN	NAU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.9
34	15-19	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Maeve Bailey	blk Gigi Greenlee	+1.8
35	15-20	NAU	S FRAN	Attack err	Quincey Coyle	set Peyton Devlin	+1.9
36	15-21	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+1.7
37	16-21	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Ella Hosfeld	+0.6
38	17-21	NAU	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Taryn Davis	+1.4
39	17-22	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+1.7
40	17-23	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Lilly Holmes	+1.2
41	18-23	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Taryn Davis	+0.3
42	19-23	NAU	NAU	Ace	NAU server	aced Laura Amaro	+0.8
43	19-24	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Andjela Sojic		+1.2
44	20-24	S FRAN	NAU	Attack err	Hokulani Perez	blk Gigi Greenlee	+0.3
45	20-25	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Lilly Holmes	+0.7
Set 3
1	1-0	NAU	NAU	Ace	NAU server	aced TEAM	+1.9
2	1-1	NAU	S FRAN×3	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.4
3	1-2	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Quincey Coyle	blk Hokulani Perez, Emma Neukirchen	+2.0
4	1-3	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Laura Amaro		+2.1
5	2-3	S FRAN	NAU	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.5
6	2-4	NAU	S FRAN×3	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.6
7	2-5	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Petra Fritz	+2.1
8	2-6	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
9	3-6	S FRAN	NAU×3	Attack err	Petra Fritz	blk Laney Wilson, Gigi Greenlee	+1.3
10	4-6	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Maeve Bailey		+1.9
11	5-6	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Maeve Bailey		+2.1
12	5-7	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.7
13	5-8	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Peyton Devlin	+2.2
14	6-8	S FRAN	NAU	Kill	Gigi Greenlee	set Taryn Davis	+1.5
15	6-9	NAU	S FRAN	Serve err	NAU server		+1.7
16	7-9	S FRAN	NAU×4	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.5
17	8-9	NAU	NAU×4	Kill	Peyton Devlin	set Taryn Davis	+2.3
18	9-9	NAU	NAU×4	Kill	Peyton Devlin	set Lilly Holmes	+2.4
19	10-9	NAU	NAU×4	Kill	Peyton Devlin	set Taryn Davis	+2.4
20	10-10	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Adelynn Legates	+1.8
21	10-11	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+2.6
22	11-11	S FRAN	NAU×3	Kill	Avery Gottschalk	set Taryn Davis	+1.9
23	12-11	NAU	NAU×3	Kill	Laney Wilson	set Adelynn Legates	+2.6
24	13-11	NAU	NAU×3	Ace	NAU server	aced Katariina Korhonen	+2.5
25	13-12	NAU	S FRAN×6	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Adelynn Legates	+1.8
26	13-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+2.7
27	13-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+2.9
28	13-15	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Attack err	Peyton Devlin		+2.9
29	13-16	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.8
30	13-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+2.4
31	14-17	S FRAN	NAU×3	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.4
32	15-17	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	blk Avery Gottschalk, Quincey Coyle	+2.4
33	16-17	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Hokulani Perez	blk Avery Gottschalk	+2.9
34	16-18	NAU	S FRAN×3	Serve err	NAU server		+2.5
35	16-19	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.1
36	16-20	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Quincey Coyle	blk Hokulani Perez, Emma Neukirchen	+2.6
37	17-20	S FRAN	NAU	Attack err	Petra Fritz	set Laura Amaro	+1.3
38	17-21	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.9
39	17-22	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.7
40	18-22	S FRAN	NAU	Attack err	Petra Fritz	blk Quincey Coyle, Gigi Greenlee	+0.6
41	19-22	NAU	NAU	Attack err	Hokulani Perez		+1.5
42	19-23	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.8
43	19-24	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Gigi Greenlee		+1.2
44	20-24	S FRAN	NAU×3	Kill	Quincey Coyle	set Taryn Davis	+0.2
45	21-24	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Maeve Bailey		+0.7
46	22-24	NAU	NAU×3	Attack err	Maeve Bailey		+1.5
47	22-25	NAU	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+2.7

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ariz. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.